Marathon Petroleum (LTS:0JYA) Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share: $13.17 (As of Mar. 2026)

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Director of Data and Quant Analytics at GuruFocus
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LTS:0JYA Marathon Petroleum Corp LTS:0JYA
65 GF Score
Price $314.50
GF Value $211.87
Valuation Significantly Overvalued
! 6 Warning Signs
View Full Analysis

What is Marathon Petroleum Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share?

Marathon Petroleum LTS:0JYA -0.32% 65 Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is $13.17 as of Mar. 2026. GuruFocus rates LTS:0JYA with a GF Score™ of 65/100 and a GF Value™ of $211.87 (Significantly Overvalued). The stock has 6 warning signs investors should review.

E10 is a concept invented by Prof. Robert Shiller, who uses E10 for his Shiller PE Ratio calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings of a company over the past 10 years. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share and the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF. The Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share of a company over the past 10 years.

Marathon Petroleum's adjusted free cash flow per share for the three months ended in Mar. 2026 was $0.705. Add all the adjusted free cash flow per share for the past 10 years together and divide the count will get our Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share, which is $13.17 for the trailing ten years ended in Mar. 2026.

During the past 12 months, Marathon Petroleum's average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate was 18.40% per year. During the past 3 years, the average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate was 22.20% per year. During the past 5 years, the average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate was 28.10% per year. Please click Growth Rate Calculation Example (GuruFocus) to see how GuruFocus calculates Wal-Mart Stores Inc (WMT)'s revenue growth rate. You can apply the same method to get the Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate using Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share data.

During the past 13 years, the highest 3-Year average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate of Marathon Petroleum was 35.60% per year. The lowest was 17.30% per year. And the median was 27.35% per year.

As of today (2026-08-03), Marathon Petroleum's current stock price is $314.50. Marathon Petroleum's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share for the quarter that ended in Mar. 2026 was $13.17. Marathon Petroleum's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF of today is 23.88.

During the past 13 years, the highest Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF of Marathon Petroleum was 23.87. The lowest was 4.35. And the median was 14.94.


Marathon Petroleum  (LTS:0JYA) Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Explanation

If a company grows much fast than inflation, Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share may underestimate the company's free cash flow. Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF can seem to be too high even the actual Price-to-Free-Cash-Flow is low.

For the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF, the free cash flow per share of the past 10 years are inflation-adjusted and averaged. The result is used for P/FCF calculation. Since it looks at the average over the last 10 years, the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF is also called CAPFCF Ratio.

The Shiller PE Ratio was first used by professor Robert Shiller. He uses E10 for his Shiller PE Ratio calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings per share of a company over the past 10 years. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF. The Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted free cash flow per share of a company over the past 10 years.

Marathon Petroleum's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF of today is calculated as

Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF=Share Price/Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share
=314.50/13.17
=23.88

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

During the past 13 years, the highest Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF of Marathon Petroleum was 23.87. The lowest was 4.35. And the median was 14.94.


Be Aware

Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF works better for cyclical companies. It gives you a better idea on the company's real free cash flow value.


Marathon Petroleum Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Related Terms


Marathon Petroleum Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for Marathon Petroleum's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Marathon Petroleum Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Chart

Marathon Petroleum Annual Data
Trend Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23 Dec24 Dec25
Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 4.61 7.05 9.78 11.41 12.86

Marathon Petroleum Quarterly Data
Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Sep24 Dec24 Mar25 Jun25 Sep25 Dec25 Mar26
Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 11.12 11.85 12.28 12.86 13.17

LTS:0JYA vs VLO, PSX, DINO: Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Comparison

For the Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing subindustry, Marathon Petroleum's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Marathon Petroleum Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF vs Oil & Gas Industry

For the Oil & Gas industry and Energy sector, Marathon Petroleum's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Marathon Petroleum's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF falls into.


LTS:0JYA
65GF Score
Marathon Petroleum Corp LTS:0JYA
Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

Marathon Petroleum Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Calculation

E10 is a concept invented by Prof. Robert Shiller, who uses E10 for his Shiller PE Ratio calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings of a company over the past 10 years. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share and the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF. The Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share of a company over the past 10 years.

What is Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share? How do we calculate Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share?

Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share of a company over the past 10 years. Let's use an example to explain.

If we want to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share of Wal-Mart (WMT) for Dec. 31, 2010, we need to have the inflation data and the free cash flow per share from 2001 through 2010.

We adjusted the 2001 free cash flow per share data with the total inflation from 2001 through 2010 to the equivalent free cash flow in 2010. If the total inflation from 2001 to 2010 is 40%, and Wal-Mart's free cash flow is $1 a share in 2001, then the 2001's equivalent free cash flow in 2010 is $1.4 a share. If Wal-Mart's free cash flow is $1 again in 2002, and the total inflation from 2002 through 2010 is 35%, then the equivalent 2002 free cash flow in 2010 is $1.35. So on and so forth, you get the equivalent free cash flow per share of past 10 years. Then you add them together and divided the sum by the count to get Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share.

Please note that we use the CPI data of the country/region where the company is headquartered. If the CPI data for that country/region is not available, then we will use the CPI data of the United States as default.

For example, Marathon Petroleum's adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share data for the three months ended in Mar. 2026 was:

Adj_FreeCashFlowPerShare= Free Cash Flow per Share /CPI of Mar. 2026 (Change)*Current CPI (Mar. 2026)
=0.705/330.2130*330.2130
=0.705

Current CPI (Mar. 2026) = 330.2130.

Marathon Petroleum Quarterly Data

Free Cash Flow per Share CPI Adj_FreeCashFlowPerShare
201606 2.977 241.018 4.079
201609 -0.587 241.428 -0.803
201612 0.511 241.432 0.699
201703 0.940 243.801 1.273
201706 0.383 244.955 0.516
201709 2.447 246.819 3.274
201712 3.929 246.524 5.263
201803 -1.858 249.554 -2.459
201806 3.610 251.989 4.731
201809 0.730 252.439 0.955
201812 2.639 251.233 3.469
201903 0.568 254.202 0.738
201906 2.168 256.143 2.795
201909 2.644 256.759 3.400
201912 1.626 256.974 2.089
202003 -2.653 258.115 -3.394
202006 -0.318 257.797 -0.407
202009 1.057 260.280 1.341
202012 1.342 260.474 1.701
202103 0.230 264.877 0.287
202106 1.648 271.696 2.003
202109 -2.394 274.310 -2.882
202112 5.278 278.802 6.251
202203 3.553 287.504 4.081
202206 12.041 296.311 13.419
202209 3.670 296.808 4.083
202212 7.812 296.797 8.692
202303 8.054 301.836 8.811
202306 8.360 305.109 9.048
202309 11.447 307.789 12.281
202312 1.572 306.746 1.692
202403 2.616 312.332 2.766
202406 7.871 314.175 8.273
202409 3.111 315.301 3.258
202412 4.366 315.605 4.568
202503 -2.323 319.799 -2.399
202506 6.332 322.561 6.482
202509 5.467 324.800 5.558
202512 6.293 324.054 6.413
202603 0.705 330.213 0.705

Add all the adjusted free cash flow per share together and divide 10 will get our Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share.

What does a Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share of $13.17 mean?
Marathon Petroleum (LTS:0JYA) has a Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share of $13.17 as of Mar. 2026. Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share represents the company's inflation-adjusted FCF per share over a 10-year period. View historical data on Marathon Petroleum and its competitors.
Is Marathon Petroleum's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share too high?
Marathon Petroleum's current Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is $13.17. Overall, Marathon Petroleum has a GF Score™ of 65/100 and is considered Significantly Overvalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Marathon Petroleum's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share compare to VLO and PSX?
Marathon Petroleum's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share of $13.17 can be compared against companies in the Oil & Gas industry. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share for an Oil & Gas company?
A good Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share depends on the Oil & Gas industry context. However, Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share mean?
A high Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share represents the company's inflation-adjusted FCF per share over a 10-year period. View historical data on Marathon Petroleum and its competitors. Marathon Petroleum's current Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is $13.17. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Marathon Petroleum stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Marathon Petroleum (LTS:0JYA) is currently considered Significantly Overvalued. The stock's GF Value™ is $211.87, compared to a current price of $314.50 — trading 48.4% above its estimated fair value. The current Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is $13.17. Marathon Petroleum's overall GF Score™ is 65/100 with 6 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share calculated?
Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Marathon Petroleum (LTS:0JYA), the current Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is $13.17 as of Mar. 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Marathon Petroleum (LTS:0JYA) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Marathon Petroleum stock appears to be overvalued. The current stock price of $314.50 is trading 48.4% above its estimated GF Value™ of $211.87. GuruFocus considers Marathon Petroleum to be Significantly Overvalued.

Key valuation signals for LTS:0JYA:

  • Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share: $13.17
  • GF Value™: $211.87 vs. price of $314.50 (48.4% above fair value)
  • GF Score™: 65/100 with 6 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the LTS:0JYA stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Marathon Petroleum Business Description

Industry EnergyOil & Gas
Address 539 South Main Street, Findlay, OH, USA, 45840-3229
Marathon Petroleum is a leading integrated downstream and midstream energy company that operates 13 refineries in the Gulf Coast, Mid-Continent, and West Coast regions of the United States with an aggregate crude oil refining capacity of 3.0 million barrels per day. The company is one of the largest producers of renewable diesel in the US; its Dickinson, North Dakota facility has the capacity to produce 184 million gallons per year, and its Martinez, California, joint venture facility (a 50/50 partnership with Neste) reached its full capacity of 730 million gallons per year in late 2024. Marathon also owns the general partner and approximately 64% of MPLX LP, a large-cap master limited partnership that owns and operates midstream energy infrastructure and logistics assets.
65GF Score

Get the complete analysis for LTS:0JYA

Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

$314.50
Price
$211.87
GF Value