Advance Auto Parts (MEX:AAP) Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share: MXN122.04 (As of Dec. 2025)

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MEX:AAP Advance Auto Parts Inc MEX:AAP
71 GF Score
Price MXN968.18
GF Value MXN1,123.11
! 4 Warning Signs
View Full Analysis

What is Advance Auto Parts Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share?

Advance Auto Parts MEX:AAP 71 Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is MXN122.04 as of Dec. 2025. GuruFocus rates MEX:AAP with a GF Score™ of 71/100 and a GF Value™ of MXN1,123.11. The stock has 4 warning signs investors should review.

E10 is a concept invented by Prof. Robert Shiller, who uses E10 for his Shiller PE Ratio calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings of a company over the past 10 years. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share and the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF. The Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share of a company over the past 10 years.

Advance Auto Parts's adjusted free cash flow per share for the three months ended in Dec. 2025 was MXN-4.819. Add all the adjusted free cash flow per share for the past 10 years together and divide the count will get our Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share, which is MXN122.04 for the trailing ten years ended in Dec. 2025.

During the past 12 months, Advance Auto Parts's average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate was -5.60% per year. During the past 3 years, the average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate was -10.40% per year. During the past 5 years, the average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate was -3.30% per year. During the past 10 years, the average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate was 3.30% per year. Please click Growth Rate Calculation Example (GuruFocus) to see how GuruFocus calculates Wal-Mart Stores Inc (WMT)'s revenue growth rate. You can apply the same method to get the Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate using Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share data.

During the past 13 years, the highest 3-Year average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate of Advance Auto Parts was 14.00% per year. The lowest was -10.40% per year. And the median was 8.20% per year.

As of today (2026-09-15), Advance Auto Parts's current stock price is MXN968.18. Advance Auto Parts's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share for the quarter that ended in Dec. 2025 was MXN122.04. Advance Auto Parts's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF of today is 7.93.

During the past 13 years, the highest Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF of Advance Auto Parts was 33.83. The lowest was 4.65. And the median was 20.95.


Advance Auto Parts  (MEX:AAP) Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Explanation

If a company grows much fast than inflation, Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share may underestimate the company's free cash flow. Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF can seem to be too high even the actual Price-to-Free-Cash-Flow is low.

For the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF, the free cash flow per share of the past 10 years are inflation-adjusted and averaged. The result is used for P/FCF calculation. Since it looks at the average over the last 10 years, the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF is also called CAPFCF Ratio.

The Shiller PE Ratio was first used by professor Robert Shiller. He uses E10 for his Shiller PE Ratio calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings per share of a company over the past 10 years. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF. The Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted free cash flow per share of a company over the past 10 years.

Advance Auto Parts's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF of today is calculated as

Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF=Share Price/Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share
=968.18/122.039
=7.93

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

During the past 13 years, the highest Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF of Advance Auto Parts was 33.83. The lowest was 4.65. And the median was 20.95.


Be Aware

Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF works better for cyclical companies. It gives you a better idea on the company's real free cash flow value.


Advance Auto Parts Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Related Terms


Advance Auto Parts Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for Advance Auto Parts's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Advance Auto Parts Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Chart

Advance Auto Parts Annual Data
Trend Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23 Dec24 Dec25
Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 141.63 151.61 150.54 140.22 121.11

Advance Auto Parts Quarterly Data
Sep16 Dec16 Sep17 Dec17 Sep18 Dec18 Sep19 Dec19 Sep20 Dec20 Sep21 Dec21 Sep22 Dec22 Sep23 Dec23 Sep24 Dec24 Sep25 Dec25
Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 152.22 148.56 141.47 125.87 122.04

MEX:AAP vs PHIN, VC, HSAI: Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Comparison

For the Auto Parts subindustry, Advance Auto Parts's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Advance Auto Parts Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF vs Vehicles & Parts Industry

For the Vehicles & Parts industry and Consumer Cyclical sector, Advance Auto Parts's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Advance Auto Parts's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF falls into.


MEX:AAP
71GF Score
Advance Auto Parts Inc MEX:AAP
Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

Advance Auto Parts Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Calculation

E10 is a concept invented by Prof. Robert Shiller, who uses E10 for his Shiller PE Ratio calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings of a company over the past 10 years. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share and the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF. The Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share of a company over the past 10 years.

What is Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share? How do we calculate Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share?

Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share of a company over the past 10 years. Let's use an example to explain.

If we want to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share of Wal-Mart (WMT) for Dec. 31, 2010, we need to have the inflation data and the free cash flow per share from 2001 through 2010.

We adjusted the 2001 free cash flow per share data with the total inflation from 2001 through 2010 to the equivalent free cash flow in 2010. If the total inflation from 2001 to 2010 is 40%, and Wal-Mart's free cash flow is $1 a share in 2001, then the 2001's equivalent free cash flow in 2010 is $1.4 a share. If Wal-Mart's free cash flow is $1 again in 2002, and the total inflation from 2002 through 2010 is 35%, then the equivalent 2002 free cash flow in 2010 is $1.35. So on and so forth, you get the equivalent free cash flow per share of past 10 years. Then you add them together and divided the sum by the count to get Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share.

Please note that we use the CPI data of the country/region where the company is headquartered. If the CPI data for that country/region is not available, then we will use the CPI data of the United States as default.

For example, Advance Auto Parts's adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share data for the three months ended in Dec. 2025 was:

Adj_FreeCashFlowPerShare= Free Cash Flow per Share /CPI of Dec. 2025 (Change)*Current CPI (Dec. 2025)
=-4.819/324.0540*324.0540
=-4.819

Current CPI (Dec. 2025) = 324.0540.

Advance Auto Parts Quarterly Data

Free Cash Flow per Share CPI Adj_FreeCashFlowPerShare
200509 9.515 198.800 15.510
200512 -5.866 196.800 -9.659
200609 -3.251 202.900 -5.192
200612 -2.231 201.800 -3.583
200709 7.321 208.490 11.379
200712 -3.677 210.036 -5.673
200809 -0.558 218.783 -0.826
200812 14.433 210.228 22.248
200912 0.700 215.949 1.050
201009 8.223 218.439 12.199
201012 0.353 219.179 0.522
201109 16.652 226.889 23.783
201112 34.783 225.672 49.947
201209 5.232 231.407 7.327
201212 18.344 229.601 25.890
201309 9.942 234.149 13.759
201312 17.961 233.049 24.975
201409 29.796 238.031 40.564
201412 23.126 234.812 31.915
201512 22.363 236.525 30.639
201609 38.377 241.428 51.511
201612 12.710 241.432 17.060
201709 22.054 246.819 28.955
201712 47.349 246.524 62.240
201809 46.418 252.439 59.586
201812 17.708 251.233 22.841
201909 45.172 256.759 57.011
201912 14.519 256.974 18.309
202009 95.764 260.280 119.228
202012 11.827 260.474 14.714
202109 28.024 274.310 33.106
202112 37.781 278.802 43.913
202209 17.535 296.808 19.145
202212 52.452 296.797 57.269
202309 49.139 307.789 51.736
202312 59.899 306.746 63.279
202409 10.324 315.301 10.611
202412 -41.290 315.605 -42.395
202509 -22.181 324.800 -22.130
202512 -4.819 324.054 -4.819

Add all the adjusted free cash flow per share together and divide 10 will get our Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share.

What does a Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share of MXN122.04 mean?
Advance Auto Parts (MEX:AAP) has a Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share of MXN122.04 as of Dec. 2025. Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share represents the company's inflation-adjusted FCF per share over a 10-year period. View historical data on Advance Auto Parts and its competitors.
Is Advance Auto Parts' Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share too high?
Advance Auto Parts' current Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is MXN122.04. Overall, Advance Auto Parts has a GF Score™ of 71/100, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Advance Auto Parts' Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share compare to PHIN and VC?
Advance Auto Parts' Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share of MXN122.04 can be compared against companies in the Vehicles & Parts industry. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share for a Vehicles & Parts company?
A good Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share depends on the Vehicles & Parts industry context. However, Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share mean?
A high Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share represents the company's inflation-adjusted FCF per share over a 10-year period. View historical data on Advance Auto Parts and its competitors. Advance Auto Parts's current Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is MXN122.04. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Advance Auto Parts stock overvalued right now?
Advance Auto Parts (MEX:AAP) has a current Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share of MXN122.04. The stock's GF Value™ is MXN1,123.11, compared to a current price of MXN968.18 — trading 13.8% below its estimated fair value. The current Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is MXN122.04. Advance Auto Parts' overall GF Score™ is 71/100 with 4 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share calculated?
Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Advance Auto Parts (MEX:AAP), the current Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is MXN122.04 as of Dec. 2025. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Advance Auto Parts (MEX:AAP) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Advance Auto Parts stock appears to be undervalued. The current stock price of MXN968.18 is trading 13.8% below its estimated GF Value™ of MXN1,123.11.

Key valuation signals for MEX:AAP:

  • Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share: MXN122.04
  • GF Value™: MXN1,123.11 vs. price of MXN968.18 (13.8% below fair value)
  • GF Score™: 71/100 with 4 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the MEX:AAP stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Advance Auto Parts Business Description

Address 4200 Six Forks Road, Raleigh, NC, USA, 27609
Advance Auto Parts is a leading auto-parts retailer in North America with more than 4,000 store and branch locations. About half of the firm's sales are geared toward the professional channel, with the remaining sales in the do-it-yourself market. Through its vast store footprint and distribution network, Advance manages thousands of stock-keeping units for various vehicle makes and models. The retailer primarily competes on inventory availability and service speed, making the operating efficiency of its hub-and-spoke distribution model critical to meeting customer needs.
71GF Score

Get the complete analysis for MEX:AAP

Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

MXN968.18
Price
MXN1,123.11
GF Value