Chipotle Mexican Grill (MEX:CMG) Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share: MXN11.12 (As of Mar. 2026)

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MEX:CMG Chipotle Mexican Grill Inc MEX:CMG
83 GF Score
Price MXN613.00
GF Value MXN1,064.74
Valuation Significantly Undervalued
! 1 Warning Sign
View Full Analysis

What is Chipotle Mexican Grill Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share?

Chipotle Mexican Grill MEX:CMG -2.70% 83 Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is MXN11.12 as of Mar. 2026. GuruFocus rates MEX:CMG with a GF Score™ of 83/100 and a GF Value™ of MXN1,064.74 (Significantly Undervalued). The stock has 1 warning sign investors should review.

E10 is a concept invented by Prof. Robert Shiller, who uses E10 for his Shiller PE Ratio calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings of a company over the past 10 years. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share and the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF. The Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share of a company over the past 10 years.

Chipotle Mexican Grill's adjusted free cash flow per share for the three months ended in Mar. 2026 was MXN6.524. Add all the adjusted free cash flow per share for the past 10 years together and divide the count will get our Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share, which is MXN11.12 for the trailing ten years ended in Mar. 2026.

During the past 12 months, Chipotle Mexican Grill's average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate was 21.60% per year. During the past 3 years, the average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate was 20.00% per year. During the past 5 years, the average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate was 21.20% per year. During the past 10 years, the average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate was 15.50% per year. Please click Growth Rate Calculation Example (GuruFocus) to see how GuruFocus calculates Wal-Mart Stores Inc (WMT)'s revenue growth rate. You can apply the same method to get the Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate using Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share data.

During the past 13 years, the highest 3-Year average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate of Chipotle Mexican Grill was 22.10% per year. The lowest was 10.10% per year. And the median was 12.40% per year.

As of today (2026-07-16), Chipotle Mexican Grill's current stock price is MXN613.00. Chipotle Mexican Grill's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share for the quarter that ended in Mar. 2026 was MXN11.12. Chipotle Mexican Grill's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF of today is 55.13.

During the past 13 years, the highest Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF of Chipotle Mexican Grill was 161.44. The lowest was 31.93. And the median was 88.58.


Chipotle Mexican Grill  (MEX:CMG) Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Explanation

If a company grows much fast than inflation, Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share may underestimate the company's free cash flow. Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF can seem to be too high even the actual Price-to-Free-Cash-Flow is low.

For the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF, the free cash flow per share of the past 10 years are inflation-adjusted and averaged. The result is used for P/FCF calculation. Since it looks at the average over the last 10 years, the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF is also called CAPFCF Ratio.

The Shiller PE Ratio was first used by professor Robert Shiller. He uses E10 for his Shiller PE Ratio calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings per share of a company over the past 10 years. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF. The Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted free cash flow per share of a company over the past 10 years.

Chipotle Mexican Grill's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF of today is calculated as

Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF=Share Price/Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share
=613.00/11.12
=55.13

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

During the past 13 years, the highest Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF of Chipotle Mexican Grill was 161.44. The lowest was 31.93. And the median was 88.58.


Be Aware

Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF works better for cyclical companies. It gives you a better idea on the company's real free cash flow value.


Chipotle Mexican Grill Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Related Terms


Chipotle Mexican Grill Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for Chipotle Mexican Grill's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Chipotle Mexican Grill Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Chart

Chipotle Mexican Grill Annual Data
Trend Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23 Dec24 Dec25
Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 5.56 7.34 7.00 10.28 10.28

Chipotle Mexican Grill Quarterly Data
Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Sep24 Dec24 Mar25 Jun25 Sep25 Dec25 Mar26
Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 10.29 10.17 10.29 10.28 11.12

MEX:CMG vs YUM, DRI, YUMC: Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Comparison

For the Restaurants subindustry, Chipotle Mexican Grill's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Chipotle Mexican Grill Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF vs Restaurants Industry

For the Restaurants industry and Consumer Cyclical sector, Chipotle Mexican Grill's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Chipotle Mexican Grill's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF falls into.


MEX:CMG
83GF Score
Chipotle Mexican Grill Inc MEX:CMG
Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

Chipotle Mexican Grill Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Calculation

E10 is a concept invented by Prof. Robert Shiller, who uses E10 for his Shiller PE Ratio calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings of a company over the past 10 years. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share and the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF. The Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share of a company over the past 10 years.

What is Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share? How do we calculate Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share?

Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share of a company over the past 10 years. Let's use an example to explain.

If we want to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share of Wal-Mart (WMT) for Dec. 31, 2010, we need to have the inflation data and the free cash flow per share from 2001 through 2010.

We adjusted the 2001 free cash flow per share data with the total inflation from 2001 through 2010 to the equivalent free cash flow in 2010. If the total inflation from 2001 to 2010 is 40%, and Wal-Mart's free cash flow is $1 a share in 2001, then the 2001's equivalent free cash flow in 2010 is $1.4 a share. If Wal-Mart's free cash flow is $1 again in 2002, and the total inflation from 2002 through 2010 is 35%, then the equivalent 2002 free cash flow in 2010 is $1.35. So on and so forth, you get the equivalent free cash flow per share of past 10 years. Then you add them together and divided the sum by the count to get Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share.

Please note that we use the CPI data of the country/region where the company is headquartered. If the CPI data for that country/region is not available, then we will use the CPI data of the United States as default.

For example, Chipotle Mexican Grill's adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share data for the three months ended in Mar. 2026 was:

Adj_FreeCashFlowPerShare= Free Cash Flow per Share /CPI of Mar. 2026 (Change)*Current CPI (Mar. 2026)
=6.524/330.2130*330.2130
=6.524

Current CPI (Mar. 2026) = 330.2130.

Chipotle Mexican Grill Quarterly Data

Free Cash Flow per Share CPI Adj_FreeCashFlowPerShare
201606 0.683 241.018 0.936
201609 0.475 241.428 0.650
201612 0.104 241.432 0.142
201703 1.220 243.801 1.652
201706 0.457 244.955 0.616
201709 1.071 246.819 1.433
201712 0.525 246.524 0.703
201803 1.867 249.554 2.470
201806 0.328 251.989 0.430
201809 1.543 252.439 2.018
201812 0.726 251.233 0.954
201903 1.633 254.202 2.121
201906 0.545 256.143 0.703
201909 1.927 256.759 2.478
201912 1.205 256.974 1.548
202003 1.729 258.115 2.212
202006 0.571 257.797 0.731
202009 2.523 260.280 3.201
202012 -0.160 260.474 -0.203
202103 3.138 264.877 3.912
202106 1.835 271.696 2.230
202109 2.489 274.310 2.996
202112 4.559 278.802 5.400
202203 2.628 287.504 3.018
202206 2.671 296.311 2.977
202209 3.064 296.808 3.409
202212 3.605 296.797 4.011
202303 4.342 301.836 4.750
202306 5.502 305.109 5.955
202309 4.396 307.789 4.716
202312 1.149 306.746 1.237
202403 5.245 312.332 5.545
202406 5.597 314.175 5.883
202409 4.283 315.301 4.486
202412 5.391 315.605 5.641
202503 6.198 319.799 6.400
202506 5.588 322.561 5.721
202509 5.563 324.800 5.656
202512 3.115 324.054 3.174
202603 6.524 330.213 6.524

Add all the adjusted free cash flow per share together and divide 10 will get our Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share.

What does a Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share of MXN11.12 mean?
Chipotle Mexican Grill (MEX:CMG) has a Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share of MXN11.12 as of Mar. 2026. Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share represents the company's inflation-adjusted FCF per share over a 10-year period. View historical data on Chipotle Mexican Grill and its competitors.
Is Chipotle Mexican Grill's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share too high?
Chipotle Mexican Grill's current Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is MXN11.12. Overall, Chipotle Mexican Grill has a GF Score™ of 83/100 and is considered Significantly Undervalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Chipotle Mexican Grill's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share compare to YUM and DRI?
Chipotle Mexican Grill's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share of MXN11.12 can be compared against companies in the Restaurants industry. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share for a Restaurants company?
A good Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share depends on the Restaurants industry context. However, Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share mean?
A high Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share represents the company's inflation-adjusted FCF per share over a 10-year period. View historical data on Chipotle Mexican Grill and its competitors. Chipotle Mexican Grill's current Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is MXN11.12. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Chipotle Mexican Grill stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Chipotle Mexican Grill (MEX:CMG) is currently considered Significantly Undervalued. The stock's GF Value™ is MXN1,064.74, compared to a current price of MXN613.00 — trading 42.4% below its estimated fair value. The current Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is MXN11.12. Chipotle Mexican Grill's overall GF Score™ is 83/100 with 1 warning sign to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share calculated?
Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Chipotle Mexican Grill (MEX:CMG), the current Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is MXN11.12 as of Mar. 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Chipotle Mexican Grill (MEX:CMG) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Chipotle Mexican Grill stock appears to be undervalued. The current stock price of MXN613.00 is trading 42.4% below its estimated GF Value™ of MXN1,064.74. GuruFocus considers Chipotle Mexican Grill to be Significantly Undervalued.

Key valuation signals for MEX:CMG:

  • Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share: MXN11.12
  • GF Value™: MXN1,064.74 vs. price of MXN613.00 (42.4% below fair value)
  • GF Score™: 83/100 with 1 warning sign

No single metric tells the full story. See the MEX:CMG stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Chipotle Mexican Grill Business Description

Address 610 Newport Center Drive, Suite 1100, Newport Beach, CA, USA, 92660
Chipotle is a leading fast-casual, Mexican-inspired restaurant chain, generating $11.9 billion in sales across 3,983 company-operated US locations, 104 international units primarily in Canada and Europe, and 14 licensed stores largely operated in the Middle East at the end of 2025. The firm's revenue is primarily driven by food and beverage sales at its company-owned restaurants, supplemented by delivery fees generated through its first-party digital channels. Chipotle emphasizes ingredients with no artificial flavors and utilizes an efficient, assembly line service model to serve mainly customizable burritos, bowls, salads, quesadillas, and tacos.
83GF Score

Get the complete analysis for MEX:CMG

Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

MXN613.00
Price
MXN1,064.74
GF Value