Chipotle Mexican Grill (MEX:CMG) Altman Z2-Score: 1.87 (As of Jul. 01, 2026) — 51% Below Median


MEX:CMG Chipotle Mexican Grill Inc MEX:CMG
83 GF Score
Price MXN589.50
GF Value MXN1,037.69
Valuation Significantly Undervalued
View Full Analysis

What is Chipotle Mexican Grill Altman Z2-Score?

Chipotle Mexican Grill MEX:CMG +3.42% 83 Altman Z2-Score is 1.87 as of Jul. 01, 2026, which is 51% below its 10-year median of 3.84. GuruFocus rates MEX:CMG with a GF Score™ of 83/100 and a GF Value™ of MXN1,037.69 (Significantly Undervalued). Among 359 Restaurants companies, Chipotle Mexican Grill ranks better than 60.17% on this metric.

Altman Z2-Score, also known as Z"-Score, is used to predict the likelihood that a non-manufacturing company (excluding property/financial company) will face bankruptcy within a two-year period.

Chipotle Mexican Grill has a Altman Z2-Score of 1.87, indicating it is in Grey Zones. This implies that Chipotle Mexican Grill is in some kind of financial stress. If it is below 1.1, the company may face bankrupcy risk.

The zones of discrimination were as such:

When Altman Z2-Score <= 1.1, it is in Distress Zones.
When Altman Z2-Score >= 2.6, it is in Safe Zones.
When Altman Z2-Score is between 1.1 and 2.6, it is in Grey Zones.

The historical rank and industry rank for Chipotle Mexican Grill's Altman Z2-Score or its related term are showing as below:

MEX:CMG' s Altman Z2-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 1.84   Med: 3.84   Max: 8.12
Current: 1.84

During the past 13 years, Chipotle Mexican Grill's highest Altman Z2-Score was 8.12. The lowest was 1.84. And the median was 3.84.


Chipotle Mexican Grill  (MEX:CMG) Altman Z2-Score Explanation

The original Z-Score model was based on publicly traded manufacturing companies while the Z2-Score, also known as Z"-score can be used for any type of company excluding property/financial companies. Both Z-Score and Z2-Score describes the financial health of a company, and its likelihood of financial distress.

X1: The Working Capital/Total Assets (WC/TA) ratio is a measure of the net liquid assets of the firm relative to the total capitalization. Working capital is defined as the difference between current assets and current liabilities. Ordinarily, a firm experiencing consistent operating losses will have shrinking current assets in relation to total assets. Altman found this one proved to be the most valuable liquidity ratio comparing with the current ratio and the quick ratio. This is however the least significant of the five factors.

X2: Retained Earnings/Total Assets: the RE/TA ratio measures the leverage of a firm. Retained earnings is the account which reports the total amount of reinvested earnings and/or losses of a firm over its entire life. Those firms with high RE, relative to TA, have financed their assets through retention of profits and have not utilized as much debt.

X3, Earnings Before Interest and Taxes/Total Assets (EBIT/TA): This ratio is a measure of the true productivity of the firm's assets, independent of any tax or leverage factors. Since a firm's ultimate existence is based on the earning power of its assets, this ratio appears to be particularly appropriate for studies dealing with corporate failure. This ratio continually outperforms other profitability measures, including cash flow.

X4_2, Net Worth (Total Stockholders Equity - Preferred Stock)/Total Liabilities (NW/TL): it compares a company’s stock net worth with its total liabilities and can be used to assess the extent of its reliance on debt.

Read more about Altman Z2-Score, the original research on Z-Score and the additional research on Z2-Score.


Be Aware

Altman Z2-Score does not apply to financial companies.


Chipotle Mexican Grill Altman Z2-Score Related Terms


Chipotle Mexican Grill Altman Z2-Score Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for Chipotle Mexican Grill's Altman Z2-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Chipotle Mexican Grill Altman Z2-Score Chart

Chipotle Mexican Grill Annual Data
Trend Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23 Dec24 Dec25
Altman Z2-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 3.80 4.20 4.93 3.15 2.41

Chipotle Mexican Grill Quarterly Data
Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Sep24 Dec24 Mar25 Jun25 Sep25 Dec25 Mar26
Altman Z2-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 3.09 3.11 2.82 2.41 1.84

MEX:CMG vs YUM, DRI, YUMC: Altman Z2-Score Comparison

For the Restaurants subindustry, Chipotle Mexican Grill's Altman Z2-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Altman Z2-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Chipotle Mexican Grill Altman Z2-Score vs Restaurants Industry

For the Restaurants industry and Consumer Cyclical sector, Chipotle Mexican Grill's Altman Z2-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Chipotle Mexican Grill's Altman Z2-Score falls into.


MEX:CMG
83GF Score
Chipotle Mexican Grill Inc MEX:CMG
Altman Z2-Score is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

Chipotle Mexican Grill Altman Z2-Score Calculation

Altman Z-Score model is an accurate forecaster of failure up to two years prior to distress. It can be considered the assessment of the distress of industrial corporations.

Z2-Score, also known as Z"-Score is the Z-Score for non-manufacturing companies excluding property/financial companies.

Chipotle Mexican Grill's Altman Z2-Score for today is calculated with this formula:

Z=6.56*X1+3.26*X2+6.72*X3+1.05*X4_2
=6.56*-0.0114+3.26*0.019+6.72*0.2212+1.05*0.3765
=1.87

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency. GuruFocus does not calculate Altman Z2-Score when X4_2 value is 0.

Trailing Twelve Months (TTM) ended in Mar. 2026:
Total Assets was MXN158,746 Mil.
Total Current Assets was MXN20,509 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was MXN22,313 Mil.
Retained Earnings was MXN3,024 Mil.
Pre-Tax Income was 7317.76 + 7808.046 + 9116.352 + 10872.206 = MXN35,114 Mil.
Interest Expense was 0 + 0 + 0 + 0 = MXN0 Mil.
Total Liabilities was MXN115,330 Mil.

* Note that for stock reported semi-annually or annually, GuruFocus uses latest annual data as the TTM data.

X1=Working Capital/Total Assets
=(Total Current Assets - Total Current Liabilities)/Total Assets
=(20508.932 - 22312.815)/158745.807
=-0.0114

X2=Retained Earnings/Total Assets
=3023.543/158745.807
=0.019

X3=Earnings Before Interest and Taxes/Total Assets
=(Pre-Tax Income - Interest Expense)/Total Assets
=(35114.364 - 0)/158745.807
=0.2212

X4_2=Net Worth/Total Liabilities
=(Total Stockholders Equity - Preferred Stock)/Total Liabilities
=(43416.16 - 0)/115329.648
=0.3765

The zones of discrimination were as such:

Distress Zones - 1.1 < Grey Zones < 2.6 - Safe Zones

Chipotle Mexican Grill has a Altman Z2-Score of 1.87 indicating it is in Grey Zones.

Frequently Asked Questions Learn more about Altman Z2-Score →
What does a Altman Z2-Score of 1.87 mean?
Chipotle Mexican Grill (MEX:CMG) has a Altman Z2-Score of 1.87 as of Jul. 01, 2026. Z2-Score is the Z-Score for non-manufacturing companies excluding property/financial companies, which measures a company's bankruptcy risk. View historical data on Chipotle Mexican Grill and its competitors. This is 51% below median its historical median of 3.84. Over the past decade, Chipotle Mexican Grill's Altman Z2-Score has ranged from 1.84 to 8.12. According to the industry distribution chart, Chipotle Mexican Grill ranks #143 out of 359 companies in the Restaurants industry, placing it in the top 39.8%.
Is Chipotle Mexican Grill's Altman Z2-Score too high?
Chipotle Mexican Grill's current Altman Z2-Score of 1.87 is 51% below median its 10-year median of 3.84. Over the past 10 years, this metric has ranged from a low of 1.84 to a high of 8.12. The Restaurants industry median Altman Z2-Score is 1.29. Chipotle Mexican Grill's value of 1.87 is 45% above this industry median. Based on the distribution chart, Chipotle Mexican Grill ranks #143 out of 359 companies in the Restaurants industry, which is above the industry midpoint. Overall, Chipotle Mexican Grill has a GF Score™ of 83/100 and is considered Significantly Undervalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Chipotle Mexican Grill's Altman Z2-Score compare to YUM and DRI?
According to the Restaurants industry distribution chart, Chipotle Mexican Grill ranks #143 out of 359 companies for Altman Z2-Score. This puts Chipotle Mexican Grill in the upper half of its industry. The industry median Altman Z2-Score is 1.29. Chipotle Mexican Grill's value of 1.87 is 45% above this benchmark. Historically, Chipotle Mexican Grill's own Altman Z2-Score has ranged from 1.84 to 8.12 over the past decade. While the company's 10-year median is 3.84 vs. the industry median of 1.29, Chipotle Mexican Grill has consistently been above the industry average. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Altman Z2-Score for a Restaurants company?
The median Altman Z2-Score among Restaurants companies is 1.29, based on 359 companies in the industry. Companies in the top quartile (top 25%) have a Altman Z2-Score significantly above this median, while those in the bottom quartile fall well below. However, Altman Z2-Score should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Chipotle Mexican Grill's current Altman Z2-Score of 1.87 is 45% above the industry median. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Altman Z2-Score mean?
A high Altman Z2-Score can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. Z2-Score is the Z-Score for non-manufacturing companies excluding property/financial companies, which measures a company's bankruptcy risk. View historical data on Chipotle Mexican Grill and its competitors. For the Restaurants industry, the median Altman Z2-Score is 1.29 — values significantly above this may indicate overvaluation, while values below may suggest a bargain or underlying issues. Chipotle Mexican Grill's current Altman Z2-Score is 1.87, which is 51% below median its own 10-year median of 3.84. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Chipotle Mexican Grill stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Chipotle Mexican Grill (MEX:CMG) is currently considered Significantly Undervalued. The stock's GF Value™ is MXN1,037.69, compared to a current price of MXN589.50 — trading 43.2% below its estimated fair value. The current Altman Z2-Score is 1.87, which is 51% below median its 10-year median of 3.84 and 45% above the Restaurants industry median of 1.29. Chipotle Mexican Grill's overall GF Score™ is 83/100. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Altman Z2-Score calculated?
Altman Z2-Score is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Chipotle Mexican Grill (MEX:CMG), the current Altman Z2-Score is 1.87 as of Jul. 01, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Chipotle Mexican Grill (MEX:CMG) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Chipotle Mexican Grill stock appears to be undervalued. The current stock price of MXN589.50 is trading 43.2% below its estimated GF Value™ of MXN1,037.69. GuruFocus considers Chipotle Mexican Grill to be Significantly Undervalued.

Key valuation signals for MEX:CMG:

  • Altman Z2-Score: 1.87 (51% below median its 10-year median of 3.84)
  • GF Value™: MXN1,037.69 vs. price of MXN589.50 (43.2% below fair value)
  • GF Score™: 83/100
  • Industry Position: 45% above the Restaurants median (#143 of 359)

No single metric tells the full story. See the MEX:CMG stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Chipotle Mexican Grill Business Description

Address 610 Newport Center Drive, Suite 1100, Newport Beach, CA, USA, 92660
Chipotle is a leading fast-casual, Mexican-inspired restaurant chain, generating $11.9 billion in sales across 3,983 company-operated US locations, 104 international units primarily in Canada and Europe, and 14 licensed stores largely operated in the Middle East at the end of 2025. The firm's revenue is primarily driven by food and beverage sales at its company-owned restaurants, supplemented by delivery fees generated through its first-party digital channels. Chipotle emphasizes ingredients with no artificial flavors and utilizes an efficient, assembly line service model to serve mainly customizable burritos, bowls, salads, quesadillas, and tacos.
83GF Score

Get the complete analysis for MEX:CMG

Altman Z2-Score is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

MXN589.50
Price
MXN1,037.69
GF Value