Copa Holdings (MEX:CPAN) Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share: MXN220.98 (As of Jun. 2026)

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MEX:CPAN Copa Holdings SA MEX:CPAN
86 GF Score
Price MXN2,194.25
GF Value MXN2,036.56
Valuation Significantly Overvalued
! 3 Warning Signs
View Full Analysis

What is Copa Holdings Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share?

Copa Holdings MEX:CPAN 86 Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is MXN220.98 as of Jun. 2026. GuruFocus rates MEX:CPAN with a GF Score™ of 86/100 and a GF Value™ of MXN2,036.56 (Significantly Overvalued). The stock has 3 warning signs investors should review.

E10 is a concept invented by Prof. Robert Shiller, who uses E10 for his Shiller PE Ratio calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings of a company over the past 10 years. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share and the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF. The Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share of a company over the past 10 years.

Copa Holdings's adjusted free cash flow per share for the three months ended in Jun. 2026 was MXN-23.774. Add all the adjusted free cash flow per share for the past 10 years together and divide the count will get our Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share, which is MXN220.98 for the trailing ten years ended in Jun. 2026.

During the past 12 months, Copa Holdings's average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate was -4.80% per year. During the past 3 years, the average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate was 6.40% per year. During the past 5 years, the average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate was 8.20% per year. During the past 10 years, the average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate was 6.50% per year. Please click Growth Rate Calculation Example (GuruFocus) to see how GuruFocus calculates Wal-Mart Stores Inc (WMT)'s revenue growth rate. You can apply the same method to get the Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate using Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share data.

During the past 13 years, the highest 3-Year average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate of Copa Holdings was 17.50% per year. The lowest was -1.10% per year. And the median was 9.30% per year.

As of today (2026-09-04), Copa Holdings's current stock price is MXN2194.25. Copa Holdings's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share for the quarter that ended in Jun. 2026 was MXN220.98. Copa Holdings's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF of today is 9.93.

During the past 13 years, the highest Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF of Copa Holdings was 12.16. The lowest was 2.20. And the median was 6.48.


Copa Holdings  (MEX:CPAN) Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Explanation

If a company grows much fast than inflation, Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share may underestimate the company's free cash flow. Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF can seem to be too high even the actual Price-to-Free-Cash-Flow is low.

For the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF, the free cash flow per share of the past 10 years are inflation-adjusted and averaged. The result is used for P/FCF calculation. Since it looks at the average over the last 10 years, the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF is also called CAPFCF Ratio.

The Shiller PE Ratio was first used by professor Robert Shiller. He uses E10 for his Shiller PE Ratio calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings per share of a company over the past 10 years. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF. The Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted free cash flow per share of a company over the past 10 years.

Copa Holdings's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF of today is calculated as

Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF=Share Price/Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share
=2194.25/220.98
=9.93

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

During the past 13 years, the highest Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF of Copa Holdings was 12.16. The lowest was 2.20. And the median was 6.48.


Be Aware

Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF works better for cyclical companies. It gives you a better idea on the company's real free cash flow value.


Copa Holdings Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Related Terms


Copa Holdings Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for Copa Holdings's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Copa Holdings Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Chart

Copa Holdings Annual Data
Trend Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23 Dec24 Dec25
Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 243.39 263.67 221.30 358.08 311.40

Copa Holdings Quarterly Data
Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Sep24 Dec24 Mar25 Jun25 Sep25 Dec25 Mar26 Jun26
Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 323.41 320.46 311.40 310.39 220.98

MEX:CPAN vs ALK, SKYW, ALGT: Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Comparison

For the Airlines subindustry, Copa Holdings's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Copa Holdings Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF vs Transportation Industry

For the Transportation industry and Industrials sector, Copa Holdings's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Copa Holdings's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF falls into.


MEX:CPAN
86GF Score
Copa Holdings SA MEX:CPAN
Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

Copa Holdings Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Calculation

E10 is a concept invented by Prof. Robert Shiller, who uses E10 for his Shiller PE Ratio calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings of a company over the past 10 years. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share and the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF. The Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share of a company over the past 10 years.

What is Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share? How do we calculate Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share?

Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share of a company over the past 10 years. Let's use an example to explain.

If we want to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share of Wal-Mart (WMT) for Dec. 31, 2010, we need to have the inflation data and the free cash flow per share from 2001 through 2010.

We adjusted the 2001 free cash flow per share data with the total inflation from 2001 through 2010 to the equivalent free cash flow in 2010. If the total inflation from 2001 to 2010 is 40%, and Wal-Mart's free cash flow is $1 a share in 2001, then the 2001's equivalent free cash flow in 2010 is $1.4 a share. If Wal-Mart's free cash flow is $1 again in 2002, and the total inflation from 2002 through 2010 is 35%, then the equivalent 2002 free cash flow in 2010 is $1.35. So on and so forth, you get the equivalent free cash flow per share of past 10 years. Then you add them together and divided the sum by the count to get Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share.

Please note that we use the CPI data of the country/region where the company is headquartered. If the CPI data for that country/region is not available, then we will use the CPI data of the United States as default.

For example, Copa Holdings's adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share data for the three months ended in Jun. 2026 was:

Adj_FreeCashFlowPerShare= Free Cash Flow per Share /CPI of Jun. 2026 (Change)*Current CPI (Jun. 2026)
=-23.774/333.9520*333.9520
=-23.774

Current CPI (Jun. 2026) = 333.9520.

Copa Holdings Quarterly Data

Free Cash Flow per Share CPI Adj_FreeCashFlowPerShare
201609 53.741 241.428 74.337
201612 102.041 241.432 141.144
201703 71.069 243.801 97.348
201706 72.529 244.955 98.880
201709 117.095 246.819 158.432
201712 107.159 246.524 145.162
201803 73.550 249.554 98.424
201806 44.118 251.989 58.468
201809 48.813 252.439 64.575
201812 76.321 251.233 101.450
201903 65.787 254.202 86.426
201906 84.600 256.143 110.299
201909 101.205 256.759 131.632
201912 104.732 256.974 136.105
202003 58.668 258.115 75.905
202006 -88.486 257.797 -114.625
202009 -9.700 260.280 -12.446
202012 37.703 260.474 48.339
202103 -0.428 264.877 -0.540
202106 70.270 271.696 86.372
202109 54.761 274.310 66.667
202112 117.699 278.802 140.981
202203 80.266 287.504 93.233
202206 77.372 296.311 87.201
202209 109.565 296.808 123.276
202212 106.008 296.797 119.279
202303 92.673 301.836 102.534
202306 94.209 305.109 103.115
202309 151.002 307.789 163.838
202312 113.135 306.746 123.169
202403 79.326 312.332 84.817
202406 118.480 314.175 125.938
202409 89.002 315.301 94.267
202412 170.881 315.605 180.815
202503 13.682 319.799 14.288
202506 -3.826 322.561 -3.961
202509 -38.472 324.800 -39.556
202512 52.360 324.054 53.959
202603 -23.803 330.213 -24.073
202606 -23.774 333.952 -23.774

Add all the adjusted free cash flow per share together and divide 10 will get our Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share.

What does a Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share of MXN220.98 mean?
Copa Holdings (MEX:CPAN) has a Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share of MXN220.98 as of Jun. 2026. Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share represents the company's inflation-adjusted FCF per share over a 10-year period. View historical data on Copa Holdings and its competitors.
Is Copa Holdings' Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share too high?
Copa Holdings' current Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is MXN220.98. Overall, Copa Holdings has a GF Score™ of 86/100 and is considered Significantly Overvalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Copa Holdings' Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share compare to ALK and SKYW?
Copa Holdings' Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share of MXN220.98 can be compared against companies in the Transportation industry. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share for a Transportation company?
A good Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share depends on the Transportation industry context. However, Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share mean?
A high Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share represents the company's inflation-adjusted FCF per share over a 10-year period. View historical data on Copa Holdings and its competitors. Copa Holdings's current Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is MXN220.98. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Copa Holdings stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Copa Holdings (MEX:CPAN) is currently considered Significantly Overvalued. The stock's GF Value™ is MXN2,036.56, compared to a current price of MXN2,194.25 — trading 7.7% above its estimated fair value. The current Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is MXN220.98. Copa Holdings' overall GF Score™ is 86/100 with 3 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share calculated?
Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Copa Holdings (MEX:CPAN), the current Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is MXN220.98 as of Jun. 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Copa Holdings (MEX:CPAN) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Copa Holdings stock appears to be overvalued. The current stock price of MXN2,194.25 is trading 7.7% above its estimated GF Value™ of MXN2,036.56. GuruFocus considers Copa Holdings to be Significantly Overvalued.

Key valuation signals for MEX:CPAN:

  • Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share: MXN220.98
  • GF Value™: MXN2,036.56 vs. price of MXN2,194.25 (7.7% above fair value)
  • GF Score™: 86/100 with 3 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the MEX:CPAN stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Copa Holdings Business Description

Other Exchanges CPA:USAC2H:Germany
Address Costa del Este, Complejo Business Park, Avenida Principal y Avenida de la Rotonda, Torre Norte Parque Lefevre, Panama, PAN, 0816-06819
Copa Holdings SA is a provider of airline passenger and cargo services through its subsidiaries. The company operates through the air transportation segment. It offers international air transportation for passengers, cargo, and mail, operating from its Panama City hub in the Republic of Panama, and domestic and international air transportation for passengers, cargo, and mail with a point-to-point route network through Copa Colombia, a Colombian air carrier. The company's geographical segments are North America, South America, Central America, and the Caribbean. It derives the maximum revenue from North America.
86GF Score

Get the complete analysis for MEX:CPAN

Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

MXN2,194.25
Price
MXN2,036.56
GF Value