CSX (MEX:CSX) Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share: MXN21.85 (As of Mar. 2026)


MEX:CSX CSX Corp MEX:CSX
63 GF Score
Price MXN769.00
GF Value MXN566.13
Valuation Significantly Overvalued
! 10 Warning Signs
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What is CSX Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share?

CSX MEX:CSX 63 Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is MXN21.85 as of Mar. 2026. GuruFocus rates MEX:CSX with a GF Score™ of 63/100 and a GF Value™ of MXN566.13 (Significantly Overvalued). The stock has 10 warning signs investors should review.

E10 is a concept invented by Prof. Robert Shiller, who uses E10 for his Shiller PE Ratio calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings of a company over the past 10 years. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share and the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF. The Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share of a company over the past 10 years.

CSX's adjusted free cash flow per share for the three months ended in Mar. 2026 was MXN7.060. Add all the adjusted free cash flow per share for the past 10 years together and divide the count will get our Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share, which is MXN21.85 for the trailing ten years ended in Mar. 2026.

During the past 12 months, CSX's average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate was 7.20% per year. During the past 3 years, the average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate was 10.90% per year. During the past 5 years, the average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate was 15.40% per year. During the past 10 years, the average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate was 20.60% per year. Please click Growth Rate Calculation Example (GuruFocus) to see how GuruFocus calculates Wal-Mart Stores Inc (WMT)'s revenue growth rate. You can apply the same method to get the Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate using Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share data.

During the past 13 years, the highest 3-Year average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate of CSX was 67.10% per year. The lowest was -100.00% per year. And the median was 16.30% per year.

As of today (2026-07-02), CSX's current stock price is MXN769.00. CSX's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share for the quarter that ended in Mar. 2026 was MXN21.85. CSX's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF of today is 35.19.

During the past 13 years, the highest Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF of CSX was 67.25. The lowest was 19.72. And the median was 37.45.


CSX  (MEX:CSX) Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Explanation

If a company grows much fast than inflation, Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share may underestimate the company's free cash flow. Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF can seem to be too high even the actual Price-to-Free-Cash-Flow is low.

For the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF, the free cash flow per share of the past 10 years are inflation-adjusted and averaged. The result is used for P/FCF calculation. Since it looks at the average over the last 10 years, the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF is also called CAPFCF Ratio.

The Shiller PE Ratio was first used by professor Robert Shiller. He uses E10 for his Shiller PE Ratio calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings per share of a company over the past 10 years. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF. The Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted free cash flow per share of a company over the past 10 years.

CSX's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF of today is calculated as

Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF=Share Price/Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share
=769.00/21.85
=35.19

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

During the past 13 years, the highest Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF of CSX was 67.25. The lowest was 19.72. And the median was 37.45.


Be Aware

Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF works better for cyclical companies. It gives you a better idea on the company's real free cash flow value.


CSX Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Related Terms


CSX Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for CSX's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

CSX Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Chart

CSX Annual Data
Trend Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23 Dec24 Dec25
Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 15.26 20.22 20.48 27.33 23.74

CSX Quarterly Data
Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Sep24 Dec24 Mar25 Jun25 Sep25 Dec25 Mar26
Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 28.33 25.17 23.90 23.74 21.85

MEX:CSX vs NSC, WAB, UNP: Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Comparison

For the Railroads subindustry, CSX's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


CSX Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF vs Transportation Industry

For the Transportation industry and Industrials sector, CSX's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where CSX's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF falls into.


MEX:CSX
63GF Score
CSX Corp MEX:CSX
Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

CSX Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Calculation

E10 is a concept invented by Prof. Robert Shiller, who uses E10 for his Shiller PE Ratio calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings of a company over the past 10 years. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share and the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF. The Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share of a company over the past 10 years.

What is Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share? How do we calculate Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share?

Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share of a company over the past 10 years. Let's use an example to explain.

If we want to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share of Wal-Mart (WMT) for Dec. 31, 2010, we need to have the inflation data and the free cash flow per share from 2001 through 2010.

We adjusted the 2001 free cash flow per share data with the total inflation from 2001 through 2010 to the equivalent free cash flow in 2010. If the total inflation from 2001 to 2010 is 40%, and Wal-Mart's free cash flow is $1 a share in 2001, then the 2001's equivalent free cash flow in 2010 is $1.4 a share. If Wal-Mart's free cash flow is $1 again in 2002, and the total inflation from 2002 through 2010 is 35%, then the equivalent 2002 free cash flow in 2010 is $1.35. So on and so forth, you get the equivalent free cash flow per share of past 10 years. Then you add them together and divided the sum by the count to get Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share.

Please note that we use the CPI data of the country/region where the company is headquartered. If the CPI data for that country/region is not available, then we will use the CPI data of the United States as default.

For example, CSX's adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share data for the three months ended in Mar. 2026 was:

Adj_FreeCashFlowPerShare= Free Cash Flow per Share /CPI of Mar. 2026 (Change)*Current CPI (Mar. 2026)
=7.06/330.2130*330.2130
=7.060

Current CPI (Mar. 2026) = 330.2130.

CSX Quarterly Data

Free Cash Flow per Share CPI Adj_FreeCashFlowPerShare
201606 1.276 241.018 1.748
201609 2.543 241.428 3.478
201612 -1.878 241.432 -2.569
201703 4.067 243.801 5.508
201706 0.059 244.955 0.080
201709 5.261 246.819 7.039
201712 0.240 246.524 0.321
201803 4.078 249.554 5.396
201806 4.437 251.989 5.814
201809 7.155 252.439 9.359
201812 5.729 251.233 7.530
201903 6.490 254.202 8.431
201906 5.379 256.143 6.934
201909 26.123 256.759 33.596
201912 5.262 256.974 6.762
202003 8.059 258.115 10.310
202006 5.878 257.797 7.529
202009 5.148 260.280 6.531
202012 6.212 260.474 7.875
202103 8.280 264.877 10.322
202106 6.291 271.696 7.646
202109 8.749 274.310 10.532
202112 6.563 278.802 7.773
202203 8.789 287.504 10.095
202206 6.985 296.311 7.784
202209 10.398 296.808 11.568
202212 5.574 296.797 6.202
202303 7.077 301.836 7.742
202306 5.655 305.109 6.120
202309 8.522 307.789 9.143
202312 6.915 306.746 7.444
202403 4.644 312.332 4.910
202406 5.248 314.175 5.516
202409 10.769 315.301 11.278
202412 5.968 315.605 6.244
202503 5.796 319.799 5.985
202506 -1.421 322.561 -1.455
202509 5.964 324.800 6.063
202512 6.849 324.054 6.979
202603 7.060 330.213 7.060

Add all the adjusted free cash flow per share together and divide 10 will get our Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share.

What does a Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share of MXN21.85 mean?
CSX (MEX:CSX) has a Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share of MXN21.85 as of Mar. 2026. Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share represents the company's inflation-adjusted FCF per share over a 10-year period. View historical data on CSX and its competitors.
Is CSX's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share too high?
CSX's current Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is MXN21.85. Overall, CSX has a GF Score™ of 63/100 and is considered Significantly Overvalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does CSX's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share compare to NSC and WAB?
CSX's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share of MXN21.85 can be compared against companies in the Transportation industry. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share for a Transportation company?
A good Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share depends on the Transportation industry context. However, Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share mean?
A high Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share represents the company's inflation-adjusted FCF per share over a 10-year period. View historical data on CSX and its competitors. CSX's current Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is MXN21.85. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is CSX stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, CSX (MEX:CSX) is currently considered Significantly Overvalued. The stock's GF Value™ is MXN566.13, compared to a current price of MXN769.00 — trading 35.8% above its estimated fair value. The current Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is MXN21.85. CSX's overall GF Score™ is 63/100 with 10 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share calculated?
Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is calculated from a company's financial statements. For CSX (MEX:CSX), the current Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is MXN21.85 as of Mar. 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is CSX (MEX:CSX) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, CSX stock appears to be overvalued. The current stock price of MXN769.00 is trading 35.8% above its estimated GF Value™ of MXN566.13. GuruFocus considers CSX to be Significantly Overvalued.

Key valuation signals for MEX:CSX:

  • Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share: MXN21.85
  • GF Value™: MXN566.13 vs. price of MXN769.00 (35.8% above fair value)
  • GF Score™: 63/100 with 10 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the MEX:CSX stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


CSX Business Description

Address 500 Water Street, 15th Floor, Jacksonville, FL, USA, 32202
Operating in the Eastern United States, Class I railroad CSX generated revenue of nearly $14 billion in 2025. On its more than 21,000 miles of track, CSX hauls shipments of coal (16% of consolidated revenue), chemicals (17%), intermodal containers (16%), automotive cargo (7%), and a diverse mix of other bulk and industrial merchandise.
63GF Score

Get the complete analysis for MEX:CSX

Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

MXN769.00
Price
MXN566.13
GF Value