Dollar Tree (MEX:DLTR) Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share: MXN108.75 (As of Apr. 2026)

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MEX:DLTR Dollar Tree Inc MEX:DLTR
66 GF Score
Price MXN2,200.00
GF Value MXN2,513.43
Valuation Modestly Undervalued
! 4 Warning Signs
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What is Dollar Tree Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share?

Dollar Tree MEX:DLTR 66 Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is MXN108.75 as of Apr. 2026. GuruFocus rates MEX:DLTR with a GF Score™ of 66/100 and a GF Value™ of MXN2,513.43 (Modestly Undervalued). The stock has 4 warning signs investors should review.

E10 is a concept invented by Prof. Robert Shiller, who uses E10 for his Shiller PE Ratio calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings of a company over the past 10 years. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share and the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF. The Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share of a company over the past 10 years.

Dollar Tree's adjusted free cash flow per share for the three months ended in Apr. 2026 was MXN34.704. Add all the adjusted free cash flow per share for the past 10 years together and divide the count will get our Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share, which is MXN108.75 for the trailing ten years ended in Apr. 2026.

During the past 12 months, Dollar Tree's average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate was 14.80% per year. During the past 3 years, the average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate was 11.40% per year. During the past 5 years, the average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate was 10.90% per year. During the past 10 years, the average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate was 13.30% per year. Please click Growth Rate Calculation Example (GuruFocus) to see how GuruFocus calculates Wal-Mart Stores Inc (WMT)'s revenue growth rate. You can apply the same method to get the Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate using Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share data.

During the past 13 years, the highest 3-Year average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate of Dollar Tree was 55.40% per year. The lowest was 10.40% per year. And the median was 17.20% per year.

As of today (2026-07-17), Dollar Tree's current stock price is MXN2200.00. Dollar Tree's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share for the quarter that ended in Apr. 2026 was MXN108.75. Dollar Tree's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF of today is 20.23.

During the past 13 years, the highest Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF of Dollar Tree was 58.71. The lowest was 11.88. And the median was 32.45.


Dollar Tree  (MEX:DLTR) Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Explanation

If a company grows much fast than inflation, Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share may underestimate the company's free cash flow. Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF can seem to be too high even the actual Price-to-Free-Cash-Flow is low.

For the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF, the free cash flow per share of the past 10 years are inflation-adjusted and averaged. The result is used for P/FCF calculation. Since it looks at the average over the last 10 years, the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF is also called CAPFCF Ratio.

The Shiller PE Ratio was first used by professor Robert Shiller. He uses E10 for his Shiller PE Ratio calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings per share of a company over the past 10 years. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF. The Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted free cash flow per share of a company over the past 10 years.

Dollar Tree's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF of today is calculated as

Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF=Share Price/Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share
=2200.00/108.75
=20.23

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

During the past 13 years, the highest Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF of Dollar Tree was 58.71. The lowest was 11.88. And the median was 32.45.


Be Aware

Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF works better for cyclical companies. It gives you a better idea on the company's real free cash flow value.


Dollar Tree Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Related Terms


Dollar Tree Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for Dollar Tree's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Dollar Tree Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Chart

Dollar Tree Annual Data
Trend Jan17 Jan18 Jan19 Jan20 Jan21 Jan22 Jan23 Jan24 Jan25 Jan26
Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 77.25 79.47 82.70 108.59 119.01

Dollar Tree Quarterly Data
Jul21 Oct21 Jan22 Apr22 Jul22 Oct22 Jan23 Apr23 Jul23 Oct23 Jan24 Apr24 Jul24 Oct24 Jan25 Apr25 Jul25 Oct25 Jan26 Apr26
Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 102.07 107.42 107.66 119.01 108.75

MEX:DLTR vs DG, BJ, PSMT: Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Comparison

For the Discount Stores subindustry, Dollar Tree's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Dollar Tree Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF vs Retail - Defensive Industry

For the Retail - Defensive industry and Consumer Defensive sector, Dollar Tree's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Dollar Tree's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF falls into.


MEX:DLTR
66GF Score
Dollar Tree Inc MEX:DLTR
Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

Dollar Tree Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Calculation

E10 is a concept invented by Prof. Robert Shiller, who uses E10 for his Shiller PE Ratio calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings of a company over the past 10 years. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share and the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF. The Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share of a company over the past 10 years.

What is Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share? How do we calculate Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share?

Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share of a company over the past 10 years. Let's use an example to explain.

If we want to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share of Wal-Mart (WMT) for Dec. 31, 2010, we need to have the inflation data and the free cash flow per share from 2001 through 2010.

We adjusted the 2001 free cash flow per share data with the total inflation from 2001 through 2010 to the equivalent free cash flow in 2010. If the total inflation from 2001 to 2010 is 40%, and Wal-Mart's free cash flow is $1 a share in 2001, then the 2001's equivalent free cash flow in 2010 is $1.4 a share. If Wal-Mart's free cash flow is $1 again in 2002, and the total inflation from 2002 through 2010 is 35%, then the equivalent 2002 free cash flow in 2010 is $1.35. So on and so forth, you get the equivalent free cash flow per share of past 10 years. Then you add them together and divided the sum by the count to get Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share.

Please note that we use the CPI data of the country/region where the company is headquartered. If the CPI data for that country/region is not available, then we will use the CPI data of the United States as default.

For example, Dollar Tree's adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share data for the three months ended in Apr. 2026 was:

Adj_FreeCashFlowPerShare= Free Cash Flow per Share /CPI of Apr. 2026 (Change)*Current CPI (Apr. 2026)
=34.704/333.0200*333.0200
=34.704

Current CPI (Apr. 2026) = 333.0200.

Dollar Tree Quarterly Data

Free Cash Flow per Share CPI Adj_FreeCashFlowPerShare
201607 15.004 240.628 20.765
201610 -9.566 241.729 -13.179
201701 79.431 242.839 108.929
201704 25.564 244.524 34.816
201707 6.251 244.786 8.504
201710 -20.947 246.663 -28.281
201801 57.427 247.867 77.156
201804 16.253 250.546 21.603
201807 13.064 252.006 17.264
201810 4.591 252.885 6.046
201901 41.648 251.712 55.101
201904 32.166 255.548 41.917
201907 -5.268 256.571 -6.838
201910 -8.840 257.346 -11.439
202001 47.863 257.971 61.787
202004 73.038 256.389 94.868
202007 22.665 259.101 29.131
202010 5.393 260.388 6.897
202101 67.972 261.582 86.535
202104 28.490 267.054 35.527
202107 -4.237 273.003 -5.168
202110 -1.183 276.589 -1.424
202201 12.731 281.148 15.080
202204 25.501 289.109 29.374
202207 -26.698 296.276 -30.009
202210 -15.932 298.012 -17.804
202301 98.469 299.170 109.610
202304 32.397 303.363 35.564
202307 -19.448 305.691 -21.187
202310 -2.924 307.671 -3.165
202401 108.869 308.417 117.554
202404 29.653 313.548 31.495
202407 0.337 314.540 0.357
202410 37.121 315.664 39.162
202501 74.765 317.671 78.377
202504 21.442 320.795 22.259
202507 34.383 323.048 35.444
202510 -16.626 0.000
202601 84.140 325.252 86.150
202604 34.704 333.020 34.704

Add all the adjusted free cash flow per share together and divide 10 will get our Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share.

What does a Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share of MXN108.75 mean?
Dollar Tree (MEX:DLTR) has a Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share of MXN108.75 as of Apr. 2026. Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share represents the company's inflation-adjusted FCF per share over a 10-year period. View historical data on Dollar Tree and its competitors.
Is Dollar Tree's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share too high?
Dollar Tree's current Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is MXN108.75. Overall, Dollar Tree has a GF Score™ of 66/100 and is considered Modestly Undervalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Dollar Tree's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share compare to DG and BJ?
Dollar Tree's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share of MXN108.75 can be compared against companies in the Retail - Defensive industry. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share for a Retail - Defensive company?
A good Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share depends on the Retail - Defensive industry context. However, Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share mean?
A high Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share represents the company's inflation-adjusted FCF per share over a 10-year period. View historical data on Dollar Tree and its competitors. Dollar Tree's current Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is MXN108.75. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Dollar Tree stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Dollar Tree (MEX:DLTR) is currently considered Modestly Undervalued. The stock's GF Value™ is MXN2,513.43, compared to a current price of MXN2,200.00 — trading 12.5% below its estimated fair value. The current Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is MXN108.75. Dollar Tree's overall GF Score™ is 66/100 with 4 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share calculated?
Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Dollar Tree (MEX:DLTR), the current Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is MXN108.75 as of Apr. 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Dollar Tree (MEX:DLTR) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Dollar Tree stock appears to be undervalued. The current stock price of MXN2,200.00 is trading 12.5% below its estimated GF Value™ of MXN2,513.43. GuruFocus considers Dollar Tree to be Modestly Undervalued.

Key valuation signals for MEX:DLTR:

  • Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share: MXN108.75
  • GF Value™: MXN2,513.43 vs. price of MXN2,200.00 (12.5% below fair value)
  • GF Score™: 66/100 with 4 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the MEX:DLTR stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Dollar Tree Business Description

Address 500 Volvo Parkway, Chesapeake, VA, USA, 23320
Founded in 1986, Dollar Tree operates almost 9,000 small-box discount stores across the United States and Canada, offering roughly 85% of its merchandise under $2. The chain targets value-conscious suburban and urban shoppers with a mix of consumables (49% of sales), variety (45%), and seasonal goods (6%). In fiscal 2025, Dollar Tree generated over $19 billion in sales, through its multi-price strategy, higher-margin discretionary assortments, and private-label products that account for nearly one-third of sales.
66GF Score

Get the complete analysis for MEX:DLTR

Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

MXN2,200.00
Price
MXN2,513.43
GF Value