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Dollar Tree (MEX:DLTR) Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF : 16.85 (As of Jun. 04, 2025)


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What is Dollar Tree Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF?

As of today (2025-06-04), Dollar Tree's current share price is MXN1830.00. Dollar Tree's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share for the quarter that ended in Jan. 2025 was MXN108.59. Dollar Tree's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF for today is 16.85.

The historical rank and industry rank for Dollar Tree's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF or its related term are showing as below:

MEX:DLTR' s Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 12.32   Med: 34.86   Max: 59.36
Current: 18.45

During the past years, Dollar Tree's highest Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF was 59.36. The lowest was 12.32. And the median was 34.86.

MEX:DLTR's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF is ranked worse than
54.96% of 131 companies
in the Retail - Defensive industry
Industry Median: 16.23 vs MEX:DLTR: 18.45

The Shiller PE Ratio was first used by professor Robert Shiller. He uses E10 for his Shiller PE Ratio calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings per share of a company over the past 10 years. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF. The Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted free cash flow per share of a company over the past 10 years.

Dollar Tree's adjusted free cash flow per share data for the three months ended in Jan. 2025 was MXN112.861. Add all the adjusted free cash flow per share for the past 10 years together and divide 10 will get our Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share, which is MXN108.59 for the trailing ten years ended in Jan. 2025.

Shiller PE for Stocks: The True Measure of Stock Valuation


Dollar Tree Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF Historical Data

The historical data trend for Dollar Tree's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Dollar Tree Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF Chart

Dollar Tree Annual Data
Trend Jan16 Jan17 Jan18 Jan19 Jan20 Jan21 Jan22 Jan23 Jan24 Jan25
Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 28.60 34.76 35.34 27.35 13.99

Dollar Tree Quarterly Data
Apr20 Jul20 Oct20 Jan21 Apr21 Jul21 Oct21 Jan22 Apr22 Jul22 Oct22 Jan23 Apr23 Jul23 Oct23 Jan24 Apr24 Jul24 Oct24 Jan25
Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 27.35 24.24 21.96 12.98 13.99

Competitive Comparison of Dollar Tree's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF

For the Discount Stores subindustry, Dollar Tree's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Dollar Tree's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF Distribution in the Retail - Defensive Industry

For the Retail - Defensive industry and Consumer Defensive sector, Dollar Tree's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Dollar Tree's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF falls into.


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Dollar Tree Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF Calculation

Like the Shiller PE Ratio, the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF takes the Free Cash Flow per Share from the past 10 years, adjusts it for inflation, and then calculates the average. This average is then used for the P/FCF calculation. Because it considers this 10-year average, it's often referred to as the CAPFCF Ratio.

The Shiller PE Ratio was first used by professor Robert Shiller to measure the valuation of the overall market. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF.

Dollar Tree's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF for today is calculated as

Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF=Share Price/ Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share
=1830.00/108.59
=16.85

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Dollar Tree's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share for the quarter that ended in Jan. 2025 is calculated as:

For example, Dollar Tree's adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share data for the three months ended in Jan. 2025 was:

Adj_FreeCashFlowPerShare=Free Cash Flow per Share/CPI of Jan. 2025 (Change)*Current CPI (Jan. 2025)
=112.861/134.0288*134.0288
=112.861

Current CPI (Jan. 2025) = 134.0288.

Dollar Tree Quarterly Data

Free Cash Flow per Share CPI Adj_FreeCashFlowPerShare
201504 6.203 99.824 8.328
201507 -20.625 100.691 -27.454
201510 -12.217 100.346 -16.318
201601 53.127 99.957 71.236
201604 9.824 100.947 13.043
201607 15.004 101.524 19.808
201610 -9.566 101.988 -12.571
201701 79.431 102.456 103.908
201704 25.564 103.167 33.211
201707 6.251 103.278 8.112
201710 -20.947 104.070 -26.977
201801 57.427 104.578 73.600
201804 16.253 105.708 20.607
201807 13.064 106.324 16.468
201810 4.591 106.695 5.767
201901 41.648 106.200 52.562
201904 32.166 107.818 39.985
201907 -5.268 108.250 -6.523
201910 -8.840 108.577 -10.912
202001 47.863 108.841 58.940
202004 73.038 108.173 90.495
202007 22.665 109.318 27.788
202010 5.393 109.861 6.579
202101 67.972 110.364 82.547
202104 28.490 112.673 33.890
202107 -4.237 115.183 -4.930
202110 -1.183 116.696 -1.359
202201 12.731 118.619 14.385
202204 25.501 121.978 28.020
202207 -26.698 125.002 -28.626
202210 -15.932 125.734 -16.983
202301 98.469 126.223 104.558
202304 32.397 127.992 33.925
202307 -19.448 128.974 -20.210
202310 -2.924 129.810 -3.019
202401 108.869 130.124 112.136
202404 17.424 132.289 17.653
202407 -16.930 132.708 -17.099
202410 33.258 133.182 33.469
202501 112.861 134.029 112.861

Add all the adjusted free cash flow per share together and divide 10 will get our Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share.

Please note that we use the CPI data of the country/region where the company is headquartered. If the CPI data for that country/region is not available, then we will use the CPI data of the United States as default.


Dollar Tree  (MEX:DLTR) Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF Explanation

Compared with the regular Price-to-Free-Cash-Flow, which works poorly for cyclical businesses, the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF smoothed out the fluctuations of free cash flow during business cycles. Therefore it is more accurate in reflecting the valuation of the company.

If a company has consistent business performance, the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF should give similar results to regular Price-to-Free-Cash-Flow.


Dollar Tree Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Dollar Tree's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Dollar Tree Business Description

Address
500 Volvo Parkway, Chesapeake, VA, USA, 23320
Dollar Tree operates discount stores across the United States and Canada, with over 8,800 shops under its namesake banner. About 50% of Dollar Tree's sales in fiscal 2024 were consumables (including food, health and beauty, and cleaning products), around 45% variety items (including toys and homewares), and 5% seasonal items. Dollar Tree sells most of its merchandise at the $1.25 price point and positions its stores in well-populated suburban markets. The retailer has agreed to sell Family Dollar (with about 7,000 stores) to private equity investors for $1 billion.