Etsy (MEX:ETSY) Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share: MXN64.34 (As of Mar. 2026)

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Director of Data and Quant Analytics at GuruFocus
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MEX:ETSY Etsy Inc MEX:ETSY
70 GF Score
Price MXN1,480.00
GF Value MXN1,110.53
Valuation Significantly Overvalued
! 6 Warning Signs
View Full Analysis

What is Etsy Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share?

Etsy MEX:ETSY 70 Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is MXN64.34 as of Mar. 2026. GuruFocus rates MEX:ETSY with a GF Score™ of 70/100 and a GF Value™ of MXN1,110.53 (Significantly Overvalued). The stock has 6 warning signs investors should review.

E10 is a concept invented by Prof. Robert Shiller, who uses E10 for his Shiller PE Ratio calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings of a company over the past 10 years. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share and the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF. The Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share of a company over the past 10 years.

Etsy's adjusted free cash flow per share for the three months ended in Mar. 2026 was MXN10.561. Add all the adjusted free cash flow per share for the past 10 years together and divide the count will get our Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share, which is MXN64.34 for the trailing ten years ended in Mar. 2026.

During the past 12 months, Etsy's average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate was 19.70% per year. Please click Growth Rate Calculation Example (GuruFocus) to see how GuruFocus calculates Wal-Mart Stores Inc (WMT)'s revenue growth rate. You can apply the same method to get the Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate using Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share data.

As of today (2026-07-17), Etsy's current stock price is MXN1480.00. Etsy's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share for the quarter that ended in Mar. 2026 was MXN64.34. Etsy's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF of today is 23.00.

During the past 13 years, the highest Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF of Etsy was 36.46. The lowest was 12.60. And the median was 18.67.


Etsy  (MEX:ETSY) Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Explanation

If a company grows much fast than inflation, Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share may underestimate the company's free cash flow. Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF can seem to be too high even the actual Price-to-Free-Cash-Flow is low.

For the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF, the free cash flow per share of the past 10 years are inflation-adjusted and averaged. The result is used for P/FCF calculation. Since it looks at the average over the last 10 years, the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF is also called CAPFCF Ratio.

The Shiller PE Ratio was first used by professor Robert Shiller. He uses E10 for his Shiller PE Ratio calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings per share of a company over the past 10 years. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF. The Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted free cash flow per share of a company over the past 10 years.

Etsy's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF of today is calculated as

Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF=Share Price/Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share
=1480.00/64.34
=23.00

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

During the past 13 years, the highest Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF of Etsy was 36.46. The lowest was 12.60. And the median was 18.67.


Be Aware

Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF works better for cyclical companies. It gives you a better idea on the company's real free cash flow value.


Etsy Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Related Terms


Etsy Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for Etsy's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Etsy Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Chart

Etsy Annual Data
Trend Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23 Dec24 Dec25
Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 0.00 0.00 41.90 61.67 65.61

Etsy Quarterly Data
Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Sep24 Dec24 Mar25 Jun25 Sep25 Dec25 Mar26
Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 64.33 60.91 61.87 65.61 64.34

MEX:ETSY vs CHWY, VIPS, GLBE: Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Comparison

For the Internet Retail subindustry, Etsy's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Etsy Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF vs Retail - Cyclical Industry

For the Retail - Cyclical industry and Consumer Cyclical sector, Etsy's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Etsy's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF falls into.


MEX:ETSY
70GF Score
Etsy Inc MEX:ETSY
Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

Etsy Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Calculation

E10 is a concept invented by Prof. Robert Shiller, who uses E10 for his Shiller PE Ratio calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings of a company over the past 10 years. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share and the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF. The Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share of a company over the past 10 years.

What is Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share? How do we calculate Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share?

Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share of a company over the past 10 years. Let's use an example to explain.

If we want to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share of Wal-Mart (WMT) for Dec. 31, 2010, we need to have the inflation data and the free cash flow per share from 2001 through 2010.

We adjusted the 2001 free cash flow per share data with the total inflation from 2001 through 2010 to the equivalent free cash flow in 2010. If the total inflation from 2001 to 2010 is 40%, and Wal-Mart's free cash flow is $1 a share in 2001, then the 2001's equivalent free cash flow in 2010 is $1.4 a share. If Wal-Mart's free cash flow is $1 again in 2002, and the total inflation from 2002 through 2010 is 35%, then the equivalent 2002 free cash flow in 2010 is $1.35. So on and so forth, you get the equivalent free cash flow per share of past 10 years. Then you add them together and divided the sum by the count to get Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share.

Please note that we use the CPI data of the country/region where the company is headquartered. If the CPI data for that country/region is not available, then we will use the CPI data of the United States as default.

For example, Etsy's adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share data for the three months ended in Mar. 2026 was:

Adj_FreeCashFlowPerShare= Free Cash Flow per Share /CPI of Mar. 2026 (Change)*Current CPI (Mar. 2026)
=10.561/330.2130*330.2130
=10.561

Current CPI (Mar. 2026) = 330.2130.

Etsy Quarterly Data

Free Cash Flow per Share CPI Adj_FreeCashFlowPerShare
201606 -0.342 241.018 -0.469
201609 -0.074 241.428 -0.101
201612 2.317 241.432 3.169
201703 -0.545 243.801 -0.738
201706 1.287 244.955 1.735
201709 2.232 246.819 2.986
201712 5.582 246.524 7.477
201803 3.305 249.554 4.373
201806 5.545 251.989 7.266
201809 3.543 252.439 4.635
201812 14.570 251.233 19.150
201903 4.079 254.202 5.299
201906 6.681 256.143 8.613
201909 6.776 256.759 8.714
201912 11.523 256.974 14.807
202003 5.301 258.115 6.782
202006 37.782 257.797 48.395
202009 29.448 260.280 37.360
202012 33.584 260.474 42.576
202103 20.441 264.877 25.483
202106 16.001 271.696 19.447
202109 11.272 274.310 13.569
202112 38.443 278.802 45.532
202203 6.832 287.504 7.847
202206 16.264 296.311 18.125
202209 30.583 296.808 34.025
202212 44.230 296.797 49.210
202303 5.979 301.836 6.541
202306 15.565 305.109 16.846
202309 26.038 307.789 27.935
202312 34.894 306.746 37.563
202403 7.274 312.332 7.690
202406 19.374 314.175 20.363
202409 30.780 315.301 32.236
202412 49.793 315.605 52.098
202503 7.066 319.799 7.296
202506 13.754 322.561 14.080
202509 30.112 324.800 30.614
202512 37.936 324.054 38.657
202603 10.561 330.213 10.561

Add all the adjusted free cash flow per share together and divide 10 will get our Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share.

What does a Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share of MXN64.34 mean?
Etsy (MEX:ETSY) has a Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share of MXN64.34 as of Mar. 2026. Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share represents the company's inflation-adjusted FCF per share over a 10-year period. View historical data on Etsy and its competitors.
Is Etsy's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share too high?
Etsy's current Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is MXN64.34. Overall, Etsy has a GF Score™ of 70/100 and is considered Significantly Overvalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Etsy's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share compare to CHWY and VIPS?
Etsy's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share of MXN64.34 can be compared against companies in the Retail - Cyclical industry. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share for a Retail - Cyclical company?
A good Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share depends on the Retail - Cyclical industry context. However, Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share mean?
A high Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share represents the company's inflation-adjusted FCF per share over a 10-year period. View historical data on Etsy and its competitors. Etsy's current Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is MXN64.34. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Etsy stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Etsy (MEX:ETSY) is currently considered Significantly Overvalued. The stock's GF Value™ is MXN1,110.53, compared to a current price of MXN1,480.00 — trading 33.3% above its estimated fair value. The current Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is MXN64.34. Etsy's overall GF Score™ is 70/100 with 6 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share calculated?
Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Etsy (MEX:ETSY), the current Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is MXN64.34 as of Mar. 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Etsy (MEX:ETSY) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Etsy stock appears to be overvalued. The current stock price of MXN1,480.00 is trading 33.3% above its estimated GF Value™ of MXN1,110.53. GuruFocus considers Etsy to be Significantly Overvalued.

Key valuation signals for MEX:ETSY:

  • Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share: MXN64.34
  • GF Value™: MXN1,110.53 vs. price of MXN1,480.00 (33.3% above fair value)
  • GF Score™: 70/100 with 6 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the MEX:ETSY stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Etsy Business Description

Address 117 Adams Street, Brooklyn, NY, USA, 11201
Founded in 2005, Etsy operates a leading global marketplace, connecting roughly 87 million active buyers and 6 million sellers of unique, handmade, and vintage goods. In fiscal 2025, the firm generated $2.9 billion in revenue and almost $12 billion in gross merchandise sales. The firm monetizes its marketplace primarily through transaction fees and advertising, with core categories spanning homeware, jewelry, apparel, and craft supplies. The US drives 74% of sales, though its core geographic reach extends to the UK, Germany, Canada, and Australia.
70GF Score

Get the complete analysis for MEX:ETSY

Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

MXN1,480.00
Price
MXN1,110.53
GF Value