Progressive (MEX:PGR) Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share: MXN295.82 (As of Mar. 2026)

Author: Vera Yuan Vera Yuan
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Director of Data and Quant Analytics at GuruFocus
Focused on building reliable datasets, financial models, and research tools for value-minded investors. Committed to turning complex data into practical guidance for value-investing and long-term wealth.
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Charlie Tian
Charlie Tian
Founder & CEO of GuruFocus
Dr. Charlie Tian is the founder and CEO of GuruFocus.com, a leading global investment research platform established in 2004. With a Ph.D. in physics, Dr. Tian transitioned from science to finance, applying a data-driven, disciplined approach to value investing.

MEX:PGR Progressive Corp MEX:PGR
88 GF Score
Price MXN3,725.03
GF Value MXN4,749.88
Valuation Modestly Undervalued
! 2 Warning Signs
View Full Analysis

What is Progressive Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share?

Progressive MEX:PGR +0.41% 88 Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is MXN295.82 as of Mar. 2026. GuruFocus rates MEX:PGR with a GF Score™ of 88/100 and a GF Value™ of MXN4,749.88 (Modestly Undervalued). The stock has 2 warning signs investors should review.

E10 is a concept invented by Prof. Robert Shiller, who uses E10 for his Shiller PE Ratio calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings of a company over the past 10 years. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share and the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF. The Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share of a company over the past 10 years.

Progressive's adjusted free cash flow per share for the three months ended in Mar. 2026 was MXN132.242. Add all the adjusted free cash flow per share for the past 10 years together and divide the count will get our Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share, which is MXN295.82 for the trailing ten years ended in Mar. 2026.

During the past 12 months, Progressive's average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate was 20.20% per year. During the past 3 years, the average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate was 21.70% per year. During the past 5 years, the average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate was 21.00% per year. During the past 10 years, the average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate was 20.00% per year. Please click Growth Rate Calculation Example (GuruFocus) to see how GuruFocus calculates Wal-Mart Stores Inc (WMT)'s revenue growth rate. You can apply the same method to get the Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate using Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share data.

During the past 13 years, the highest 3-Year average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate of Progressive was 27.30% per year. The lowest was -0.10% per year. And the median was 15.80% per year.

As of today (2026-07-25), Progressive's current stock price is MXN3725.03. Progressive's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share for the quarter that ended in Mar. 2026 was MXN295.82. Progressive's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF of today is 12.59.

During the past 13 years, the highest Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF of Progressive was 22.27. The lowest was 10.88. And the median was 15.54.


Progressive  (MEX:PGR) Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Explanation

If a company grows much fast than inflation, Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share may underestimate the company's free cash flow. Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF can seem to be too high even the actual Price-to-Free-Cash-Flow is low.

For the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF, the free cash flow per share of the past 10 years are inflation-adjusted and averaged. The result is used for P/FCF calculation. Since it looks at the average over the last 10 years, the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF is also called CAPFCF Ratio.

The Shiller PE Ratio was first used by professor Robert Shiller. He uses E10 for his Shiller PE Ratio calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings per share of a company over the past 10 years. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF. The Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted free cash flow per share of a company over the past 10 years.

Progressive's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF of today is calculated as

Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF=Share Price/Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share
=3725.03/295.82
=12.59

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

During the past 13 years, the highest Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF of Progressive was 22.27. The lowest was 10.88. And the median was 15.54.


Be Aware

Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF works better for cyclical companies. It gives you a better idea on the company's real free cash flow value.


Progressive Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Related Terms


Progressive Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for Progressive's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Progressive Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Chart

Progressive Annual Data
Trend Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23 Dec24 Dec25
Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 154.50 168.24 173.04 269.12 281.90

Progressive Quarterly Data
Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Sep24 Dec24 Mar25 Jun25 Sep25 Dec25 Mar26 Jun26
Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 269.49 277.69 281.90 295.82 0.00

MEX:PGR vs CB, TRV, ALL: Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Comparison

For the Insurance - Property & Casualty subindustry, Progressive's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Progressive Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF vs Insurance Industry

For the Insurance industry and Financial Services sector, Progressive's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Progressive's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF falls into.


MEX:PGR
88GF Score
Progressive Corp MEX:PGR
Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

Progressive Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Calculation

E10 is a concept invented by Prof. Robert Shiller, who uses E10 for his Shiller PE Ratio calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings of a company over the past 10 years. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share and the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF. The Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share of a company over the past 10 years.

What is Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share? How do we calculate Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share?

Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share of a company over the past 10 years. Let's use an example to explain.

If we want to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share of Wal-Mart (WMT) for Dec. 31, 2010, we need to have the inflation data and the free cash flow per share from 2001 through 2010.

We adjusted the 2001 free cash flow per share data with the total inflation from 2001 through 2010 to the equivalent free cash flow in 2010. If the total inflation from 2001 to 2010 is 40%, and Wal-Mart's free cash flow is $1 a share in 2001, then the 2001's equivalent free cash flow in 2010 is $1.4 a share. If Wal-Mart's free cash flow is $1 again in 2002, and the total inflation from 2002 through 2010 is 35%, then the equivalent 2002 free cash flow in 2010 is $1.35. So on and so forth, you get the equivalent free cash flow per share of past 10 years. Then you add them together and divided the sum by the count to get Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share.

Please note that we use the CPI data of the country/region where the company is headquartered. If the CPI data for that country/region is not available, then we will use the CPI data of the United States as default.

For example, Progressive's adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share data for the three months ended in Mar. 2026 was:

Adj_FreeCashFlowPerShare= Free Cash Flow per Share /CPI of Mar. 2026 (Change)*Current CPI (Mar. 2026)
=132.242/330.2130*330.2130
=132.242

Current CPI (Mar. 2026) = 330.2130.

Progressive Quarterly Data

Free Cash Flow per Share CPI Adj_FreeCashFlowPerShare
201606 22.052 241.018 30.213
201609 21.548 241.428 29.472
201612 14.282 241.432 19.534
201703 34.520 243.801 46.755
201706 27.247 244.955 36.730
201709 36.073 246.819 48.261
201712 16.353 246.524 21.904
201803 53.091 249.554 70.251
201806 56.017 251.989 73.406
201809 52.786 252.439 69.049
201812 32.868 251.233 43.201
201903 59.282 254.202 77.008
201906 45.127 256.143 58.177
201909 56.516 256.759 72.684
201912 33.610 256.974 43.189
202003 62.461 258.115 79.908
202006 86.656 257.797 110.998
202009 53.142 260.280 67.420
202012 50.812 260.474 64.416
202103 89.301 264.877 111.328
202106 77.205 271.696 93.833
202109 79.901 274.310 96.184
202112 13.882 278.802 16.442
202203 82.500 287.504 94.755
202206 45.481 296.311 50.685
202209 65.748 296.808 73.148
202212 29.315 296.797 32.616
202303 73.890 301.836 80.837
202306 65.614 305.109 71.013
202309 100.309 307.789 107.617
202312 68.039 306.746 73.244
202403 118.262 312.332 125.032
202406 99.772 314.175 104.865
202409 152.536 315.301 159.750
202412 102.841 315.605 107.601
202503 176.977 319.799 182.740
202506 126.147 322.561 129.140
202509 159.958 324.800 162.624
202512 93.350 324.054 95.124
202603 132.242 330.213 132.242

Add all the adjusted free cash flow per share together and divide 10 will get our Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share.

What does a Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share of MXN295.82 mean?
Progressive (MEX:PGR) has a Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share of MXN295.82 as of Mar. 2026. Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share represents the company's inflation-adjusted FCF per share over a 10-year period. View historical data on Progressive and its competitors.
Is Progressive's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share too high?
Progressive's current Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is MXN295.82. Overall, Progressive has a GF Score™ of 88/100 and is considered Modestly Undervalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Progressive's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share compare to CB and TRV?
Progressive's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share of MXN295.82 can be compared against companies in the Insurance industry. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share for an Insurance company?
A good Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share depends on the Insurance industry context. However, Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share mean?
A high Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share represents the company's inflation-adjusted FCF per share over a 10-year period. View historical data on Progressive and its competitors. Progressive's current Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is MXN295.82. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Progressive stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Progressive (MEX:PGR) is currently considered Modestly Undervalued. The stock's GF Value™ is MXN4,749.88, compared to a current price of MXN3,725.03 — trading 21.6% below its estimated fair value. The current Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is MXN295.82. Progressive's overall GF Score™ is 88/100 with 2 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share calculated?
Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Progressive (MEX:PGR), the current Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is MXN295.82 as of Mar. 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Progressive (MEX:PGR) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Progressive stock appears to be undervalued. The current stock price of MXN3,725.03 is trading 21.6% below its estimated GF Value™ of MXN4,749.88. GuruFocus considers Progressive to be Modestly Undervalued.

Key valuation signals for MEX:PGR:

  • Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share: MXN295.82
  • GF Value™: MXN4,749.88 vs. price of MXN3,725.03 (21.6% below fair value)
  • GF Score™: 88/100 with 2 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the MEX:PGR stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Progressive Business Description

Address 300 North Commons Boulevard, Mayfield Village, OH, USA, 44143
Progressive underwrites private and commercial auto insurance and specialty lines; it has almost 27 million personal auto policies in force and is one of the largest auto insurers in the United States. Progressive markets its policies through independent insurance agencies in the US and Canada and directly via the internet and telephone. Its premiums are split between the agent and the direct channel. The company also offers commercial auto policies and entered homeowners insurance through an acquisition in 2015.
88GF Score

Get the complete analysis for MEX:PGR

Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

MXN3,725.03
Price
MXN4,749.88
GF Value