Ternium (MEX:TX) Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share: MXN93.34 (As of Jun. 2026)

Author: Vera Yuan Vera Yuan
Vera Yuan
Vera Yuan
Director of Data and Quant Analytics at GuruFocus
Focused on building reliable datasets, financial models, and research tools for value-minded investors. Committed to turning complex data into practical guidance for value-investing and long-term wealth.
Reviewed by: Charlie Tian Charlie Tian
Charlie Tian
Charlie Tian
Founder & CEO of GuruFocus
Dr. Charlie Tian is the founder and CEO of GuruFocus.com, a leading global investment research platform established in 2004. With a Ph.D. in physics, Dr. Tian transitioned from science to finance, applying a data-driven, disciplined approach to value investing.

MEX:TX Ternium SA MEX:TX
71 GF Score
Price MXN960.00
GF Value MXN652.86
Valuation Significantly Overvalued
! 11 Warning Signs
View Full Analysis

What is Ternium Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share?

Ternium MEX:TX 71 Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is MXN93.34 as of Jun. 2026. GuruFocus rates MEX:TX with a GF Score™ of 71/100 and a GF Value™ of MXN652.86 (Significantly Overvalued). The stock has 11 warning signs investors should review.

E10 is a concept invented by Prof. Robert Shiller, who uses E10 for his Shiller PE Ratio calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings of a company over the past 10 years. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share and the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF. The Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share of a company over the past 10 years.

Ternium's adjusted free cash flow per share for the three months ended in Jun. 2026 was MXN-15.509. Add all the adjusted free cash flow per share for the past 10 years together and divide the count will get our Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share, which is MXN93.34 for the trailing ten years ended in Jun. 2026.

During the past 12 months, Ternium's average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate was -11.30% per year. During the past 3 years, the average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate was -1.00% per year. During the past 5 years, the average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate was 13.50% per year. During the past 10 years, the average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate was 12.90% per year. Please click Growth Rate Calculation Example (GuruFocus) to see how GuruFocus calculates Wal-Mart Stores Inc (WMT)'s revenue growth rate. You can apply the same method to get the Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate using Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share data.

During the past 13 years, the highest 3-Year average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate of Ternium was 31.80% per year. The lowest was -4.30% per year. And the median was 12.80% per year.

As of today (2026-09-16), Ternium's current stock price is MXN960.00. Ternium's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share for the quarter that ended in Jun. 2026 was MXN93.34. Ternium's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF of today is 10.29.

During the past 13 years, the highest Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF of Ternium was 22.60. The lowest was 5.16. And the median was 9.41.


Ternium  (MEX:TX) Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Explanation

If a company grows much fast than inflation, Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share may underestimate the company's free cash flow. Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF can seem to be too high even the actual Price-to-Free-Cash-Flow is low.

For the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF, the free cash flow per share of the past 10 years are inflation-adjusted and averaged. The result is used for P/FCF calculation. Since it looks at the average over the last 10 years, the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF is also called CAPFCF Ratio.

The Shiller PE Ratio was first used by professor Robert Shiller. He uses E10 for his Shiller PE Ratio calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings per share of a company over the past 10 years. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF. The Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted free cash flow per share of a company over the past 10 years.

Ternium's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF of today is calculated as

Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF=Share Price/Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share
=960.00/93.338
=10.29

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

During the past 13 years, the highest Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF of Ternium was 22.60. The lowest was 5.16. And the median was 9.41.


Be Aware

Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF works better for cyclical companies. It gives you a better idea on the company's real free cash flow value.


Ternium Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Related Terms


Ternium Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for Ternium's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Ternium Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Chart

Ternium Annual Data
Trend Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23 Dec24 Dec25
Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 72.05 98.19 109.78 111.01 104.14

Ternium Quarterly Data
Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Sep24 Dec24 Mar25 Jun25 Sep25 Dec25 Mar26 Jun26
Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 103.96 100.86 99.40 96.72 93.34

MEX:TX vs CLF, RS, WS: Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Comparison

For the Steel subindustry, Ternium's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Ternium Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF vs Steel Industry

For the Steel industry and Basic Materials sector, Ternium's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Ternium's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF falls into.


MEX:TX
71GF Score
Ternium SA MEX:TX
Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

Ternium Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Calculation

E10 is a concept invented by Prof. Robert Shiller, who uses E10 for his Shiller PE Ratio calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings of a company over the past 10 years. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share and the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF. The Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share of a company over the past 10 years.

What is Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share? How do we calculate Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share?

Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share of a company over the past 10 years. Let's use an example to explain.

If we want to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share of Wal-Mart (WMT) for Dec. 31, 2010, we need to have the inflation data and the free cash flow per share from 2001 through 2010.

We adjusted the 2001 free cash flow per share data with the total inflation from 2001 through 2010 to the equivalent free cash flow in 2010. If the total inflation from 2001 to 2010 is 40%, and Wal-Mart's free cash flow is $1 a share in 2001, then the 2001's equivalent free cash flow in 2010 is $1.4 a share. If Wal-Mart's free cash flow is $1 again in 2002, and the total inflation from 2002 through 2010 is 35%, then the equivalent 2002 free cash flow in 2010 is $1.35. So on and so forth, you get the equivalent free cash flow per share of past 10 years. Then you add them together and divided the sum by the count to get Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share.

Please note that we use the CPI data of the country/region where the company is headquartered. If the CPI data for that country/region is not available, then we will use the CPI data of the United States as default.

For example, Ternium's adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share data for the three months ended in Jun. 2026 was:

Adj_FreeCashFlowPerShare= Free Cash Flow per Share /CPI of Jun. 2026 (Change)*Current CPI (Jun. 2026)
=-15.509/128.6000*128.6000
=-15.509

Current CPI (Jun. 2026) = 128.6000.

Ternium Quarterly Data

Free Cash Flow per Share CPI Adj_FreeCashFlowPerShare
201609 11.723 100.750 14.964
201612 20.124 101.040 25.613
201703 0.195 101.780 0.246
201706 -7.464 102.170 -9.395
201709 13.549 102.520 16.996
201712 -8.775 102.410 -11.019
201803 9.298 102.900 11.620
201806 43.281 103.650 53.699
201809 36.078 104.580 44.364
201812 38.895 104.320 47.948
201903 25.980 105.140 31.777
201906 -0.867 105.550 -1.056
201909 23.758 105.900 28.851
201912 7.523 106.080 9.120
202003 18.910 106.040 22.933
202006 49.992 106.340 60.457
202009 42.923 106.620 51.772
202012 18.926 106.670 22.817
202103 20.546 108.140 24.433
202106 47.221 108.680 55.876
202109 50.904 109.470 59.800
202112 109.474 111.090 126.729
202203 59.274 114.780 66.411
202206 -15.121 116.750 -16.656
202209 0.000 117.000 0.000
202212 91.497 117.060 100.517
202303 39.441 118.910 42.655
202306 -13.858 120.460 -14.794
202309 48.724 121.740 51.470
202312 30.465 121.170 32.333
202403 2.251 122.590 2.361
202406 21.940 123.120 22.917
202409 -11.827 123.300 -12.335
202412 -5.341 122.430 -5.610
202503 -32.230 124.210 -33.369
202506 24.661 125.820 25.206
202509 -16.138 126.570 -16.397
202512 9.096 126.180 9.270
202603 -16.781 127.160 -16.971
202606 -15.509 128.600 -15.509

Add all the adjusted free cash flow per share together and divide 10 will get our Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share.

What does a Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share of MXN93.34 mean?
Ternium (MEX:TX) has a Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share of MXN93.34 as of Jun. 2026. Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share represents the company's inflation-adjusted FCF per share over a 10-year period. View historical data on Ternium and its competitors.
Is Ternium's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share too high?
Ternium's current Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is MXN93.34. Overall, Ternium has a GF Score™ of 71/100 and is considered Significantly Overvalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Ternium's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share compare to CLF and RS?
Ternium's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share of MXN93.34 can be compared against companies in the Steel industry. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share for a Steel company?
A good Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share depends on the Steel industry context. However, Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share mean?
A high Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share represents the company's inflation-adjusted FCF per share over a 10-year period. View historical data on Ternium and its competitors. Ternium's current Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is MXN93.34. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Ternium stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Ternium (MEX:TX) is currently considered Significantly Overvalued. The stock's GF Value™ is MXN652.86, compared to a current price of MXN960.00 — trading 47% above its estimated fair value. The current Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is MXN93.34. Ternium's overall GF Score™ is 71/100 with 11 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share calculated?
Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Ternium (MEX:TX), the current Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is MXN93.34 as of Jun. 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Ternium (MEX:TX) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Ternium stock appears to be overvalued. The current stock price of MXN960.00 is trading 47% above its estimated GF Value™ of MXN652.86. GuruFocus considers Ternium to be Significantly Overvalued.

Key valuation signals for MEX:TX:

  • Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share: MXN93.34
  • GF Value™: MXN652.86 vs. price of MXN960.00 (47% above fair value)
  • GF Score™: 71/100 with 11 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the MEX:TX stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Ternium Business Description

Address 26 Boulevard Royal, 4th Floor, Luxembourg, LUX, 2449
Ternium SA is a flat steel producer operating in Mexico, Brazil, Argentina, Colombia, the southern United States, and Central America. It produces finished and semi-finished steel products and iron ore, which are sold either directly to steel manufacturers and steel processors or end-users. The company operates in two segments: Steel and Mining. In its Steel segment, the company produces slabs, billets & round bars, hot-rolled coils & sheets, bars & stirrups, wire rods, steel pipes, and other products. The Mining segment sells iron ore as concentrates (fines) and pellets. The vast majority of its revenue comes from the Steel segment and geographically from Mexico.
71GF Score

Get the complete analysis for MEX:TX

Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

MXN960.00
Price
MXN652.86
GF Value