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Ternium (MEX:TX) Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share : MXN114.91 (As of Sep. 2024)


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What is Ternium Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share?

E10 is a concept invented by Prof. Robert Shiller, who uses E10 for his Shiller PE Ratio calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings of a company over the past 10 years. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share and the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF. The Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share of a company over the past 10 years.

Ternium's adjusted free cash flow per share for the three months ended in Sep. 2024 was MXN-14.377. Add all the adjusted free cash flow per share for the past 10 years together and divide the count will get our Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share, which is MXN114.91 for the trailing ten years ended in Sep. 2024.

During the past 12 months, Ternium's average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate was 3.00% per year. During the past 3 years, the average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate was 30.00% per year. During the past 5 years, the average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate was 22.50% per year. Please click Growth Rate Calculation Example (GuruFocus) to see how GuruFocus calculates Wal-Mart Stores Inc (WMT)'s revenue growth rate. You can apply the same method to get the Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate using Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share data.

During the past 13 years, the highest 3-Year average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate of Ternium was 31.80% per year. The lowest was -4.30% per year. And the median was 14.20% per year.

As of today (2024-12-13), Ternium's current stock price is MXN635.00. Ternium's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share for the quarter that ended in Sep. 2024 was MXN114.91. Ternium's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF of today is 5.53.

During the past 13 years, the highest Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF of Ternium was 22.60. The lowest was 4.78. And the median was 9.48.


Ternium Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Historical Data

The historical data trend for Ternium's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Ternium Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Chart

Ternium Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 42.01 52.12 75.83 98.21 95.94

Ternium Quarterly Data
Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Sep24
Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 98.10 95.94 97.21 109.24 114.91

Competitive Comparison of Ternium's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share

For the Steel subindustry, Ternium's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Ternium's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF Distribution in the Steel Industry

For the Steel industry and Basic Materials sector, Ternium's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Ternium's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF falls into.



Ternium Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Calculation

E10 is a concept invented by Prof. Robert Shiller, who uses E10 for his Shiller PE Ratio calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings of a company over the past 10 years. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share and the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF. The Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share of a company over the past 10 years.

What is Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share? How do we calculate Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share?

Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share of a company over the past 10 years. Let's use an example to explain.

If we want to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share of Wal-Mart (WMT) for Dec. 31, 2010, we need to have the inflation data and the free cash flow per share from 2001 through 2010.

We adjusted the 2001 free cash flow per share data with the total inflation from 2001 through 2010 to the equivalent free cash flow in 2010. If the total inflation from 2001 to 2010 is 40%, and Wal-Mart's free cash flow is $1 a share in 2001, then the 2001's equivalent free cash flow in 2010 is $1.4 a share. If Wal-Mart's free cash flow is $1 again in 2002, and the total inflation from 2002 through 2010 is 35%, then the equivalent 2002 free cash flow in 2010 is $1.35. So on and so forth, you get the equivalent free cash flow per share of past 10 years. Then you add them together and divided the sum by the count to get Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share.

Please note that we use the CPI data of the country/region where the company is headquartered. If the CPI data for that country/region is not available, then we will use the CPI data of the United States as default.

For example, Ternium's adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share data for the three months ended in Sep. 2024 was:

Adj_FreeCashFlowPerShare= Free Cash Flow per Share /CPI of Sep. 2024 (Change)*Current CPI (Sep. 2024)
=-14.377/123.3000*123.3000
=-14.377

Current CPI (Sep. 2024) = 123.3000.

Ternium Quarterly Data

Free Cash Flow per Share CPI Adj_FreeCashFlowPerShare
201412 7.487 98.830 9.341
201503 18.638 99.980 22.985
201506 23.263 100.640 28.501
201509 11.719 100.380 14.395
201512 16.612 99.910 20.501
201603 12.241 100.030 15.089
201606 21.798 100.660 26.701
201609 11.376 100.750 13.922
201612 18.658 101.040 22.769
201703 0.181 101.780 0.219
201706 -7.175 102.170 -8.659
201709 13.396 102.520 16.111
201712 -9.446 102.410 -11.373
201803 8.301 102.900 9.947
201806 40.689 103.650 48.403
201809 32.388 104.580 38.186
201812 38.299 104.320 45.267
201903 26.245 105.140 30.778
201906 -0.586 105.550 -0.685
201909 25.172 105.900 29.308
201912 8.212 106.080 9.545
202003 22.120 106.040 25.720
202006 46.198 106.340 53.566
202009 43.764 106.620 50.611
202012 23.752 106.670 27.455
202103 20.631 108.140 23.523
202106 47.355 108.680 53.725
202109 49.753 109.470 56.039
202112 105.876 111.090 117.513
202203 57.555 114.780 61.827
202206 -17.012 116.750 -17.966
202209 92.015 117.000 96.970
202212 86.749 117.060 91.373
202303 39.736 118.910 41.203
202306 -9.082 120.460 -9.296
202309 52.352 121.740 53.023
202312 10.468 121.170 10.652
202403 2.222 122.590 2.235
202406 23.084 123.120 23.118
202409 -14.377 123.300 -14.377

Add all the adjusted free cash flow per share together and divide 10 will get our Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share.


Ternium  (MEX:TX) Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Explanation

If a company grows much fast than inflation, Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share may underestimate the company's free cash flow. Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF can seem to be too high even the actual Price-to-Free-Cash-Flow is low.

For the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF, the free cash flow per share of the past 10 years are inflation-adjusted and averaged. The result is used for P/FCF calculation. Since it looks at the average over the last 10 years, the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF is also called CAPFCF Ratio.

The Shiller PE Ratio was first used by professor Robert Shiller. He uses E10 for his Shiller PE Ratio calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings per share of a company over the past 10 years. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF. The Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted free cash flow per share of a company over the past 10 years.

Ternium's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF of today is calculated as

Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF=Share Price/Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share
=635.00/114.91
=5.53

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

During the past 13 years, the highest Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF of Ternium was 22.60. The lowest was 4.78. And the median was 9.48.


Be Aware

Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF works better for cyclical companies. It gives you a better idea on the company's real free cash flow value.


Ternium Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Ternium's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Ternium Business Description

Industry
GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Basic Materials » Steel » Ternium SA (MEX:TX) » Definitions » Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share
Address
26 Boulevard Royal, 4th Floor, Luxembourg, LUX, L-2449
Ternium SA is a flat steel producer operating in Mexico, Brazil, Argentina, Colombia, the southern United States, and Central America. It produces finished and semi-finished steel products and iron ore, which are sold either directly to steel manufacturers and steel processors or end-users. The company operates in two segments: Steel, Usiminas and Mining. In its steel segment, the company produces slabs, billets & round bars, hot-rolled coils & sheets, bars & stirrups, wire rods, steel pipes, and other products. The Mining segment sells iron ore as concentrates (fines) and pellets. The Usiminas segment include iron ore extraction, steel transformation, production of capital goods and logistics. The vast majority of its revenue comes from the steel segment and geographically from Mexico.

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