UPM-Kymmene Oyj (MEX:UPMN) Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share: MXN37.18 (As of Mar. 2026)

Author: Vera Yuan Vera Yuan
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Director of Data and Quant Analytics at GuruFocus
Focused on building reliable datasets, financial models, and research tools for value-minded investors. Committed to turning complex data into practical guidance for value-investing and long-term wealth.
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Dr. Charlie Tian is the founder and CEO of GuruFocus.com, a leading global investment research platform established in 2004. With a Ph.D. in physics, Dr. Tian transitioned from science to finance, applying a data-driven, disciplined approach to value investing.

MEX:UPMN UPM-Kymmene Oyj MEX:UPMN
79 GF Score
Price MXN696.85
GF Value MXN760.15
! 5 Warning Signs
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What is UPM-Kymmene Oyj Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share?

UPM-Kymmene Oyj MEX:UPMN 79 Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is MXN37.18 as of Mar. 2026. GuruFocus rates MEX:UPMN with a GF Score™ of 79/100 and a GF Value™ of MXN760.15. The stock has 5 warning signs investors should review.

E10 is a concept invented by Prof. Robert Shiller, who uses E10 for his Shiller PE Ratio calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings of a company over the past 10 years. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share and the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF. The Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share of a company over the past 10 years.

UPM-Kymmene Oyj's adjusted free cash flow per share for the three months ended in Mar. 2026 was MXN0.316. Add all the adjusted free cash flow per share for the past 10 years together and divide the count will get our Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share, which is MXN37.18 for the trailing ten years ended in Mar. 2026.

During the past 12 months, UPM-Kymmene Oyj's average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate was -4.00% per year. During the past 3 years, the average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate was 3.70% per year. During the past 5 years, the average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate was -2.00% per year. During the past 10 years, the average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate was 0.40% per year. Please click Growth Rate Calculation Example (GuruFocus) to see how GuruFocus calculates Wal-Mart Stores Inc (WMT)'s revenue growth rate. You can apply the same method to get the Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate using Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share data.

During the past 13 years, the highest 3-Year average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate of UPM-Kymmene Oyj was 12.70% per year. The lowest was -12.00% per year. And the median was -1.60% per year.

As of today (2026-07-19), UPM-Kymmene Oyj's current stock price is MXN696.85. UPM-Kymmene Oyj's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share for the quarter that ended in Mar. 2026 was MXN37.18. UPM-Kymmene Oyj's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF of today is 18.74.

During the past 13 years, the highest Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF of UPM-Kymmene Oyj was 32.70. The lowest was 12.36. And the median was 17.92.


UPM-Kymmene Oyj  (MEX:UPMN) Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Explanation

If a company grows much fast than inflation, Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share may underestimate the company's free cash flow. Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF can seem to be too high even the actual Price-to-Free-Cash-Flow is low.

For the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF, the free cash flow per share of the past 10 years are inflation-adjusted and averaged. The result is used for P/FCF calculation. Since it looks at the average over the last 10 years, the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF is also called CAPFCF Ratio.

The Shiller PE Ratio was first used by professor Robert Shiller. He uses E10 for his Shiller PE Ratio calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings per share of a company over the past 10 years. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF. The Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted free cash flow per share of a company over the past 10 years.

UPM-Kymmene Oyj's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF of today is calculated as

Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF=Share Price/Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share
=696.85/37.18
=18.74

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

During the past 13 years, the highest Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF of UPM-Kymmene Oyj was 32.70. The lowest was 12.36. And the median was 17.92.


Be Aware

Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF works better for cyclical companies. It gives you a better idea on the company's real free cash flow value.


UPM-Kymmene Oyj Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Related Terms


UPM-Kymmene Oyj Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for UPM-Kymmene Oyj's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

UPM-Kymmene Oyj Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Chart

UPM-Kymmene Oyj Annual Data
Trend Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23 Dec24 Dec25
Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 31.66 26.13 30.42 38.04 41.04

UPM-Kymmene Oyj Quarterly Data
Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Sep24 Dec24 Mar25 Jun25 Sep25 Dec25 Mar26
Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 42.04 43.33 42.22 41.04 37.18

MEX:UPMN vs SLVM: Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Comparison

For the Paper & Paper Products subindustry, UPM-Kymmene Oyj's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


UPM-Kymmene Oyj Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF vs Forest Products Industry

For the Forest Products industry and Basic Materials sector, UPM-Kymmene Oyj's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where UPM-Kymmene Oyj's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF falls into.


MEX:UPMN
79GF Score
UPM-Kymmene Oyj MEX:UPMN
Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

UPM-Kymmene Oyj Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Calculation

E10 is a concept invented by Prof. Robert Shiller, who uses E10 for his Shiller PE Ratio calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings of a company over the past 10 years. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share and the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF. The Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share of a company over the past 10 years.

What is Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share? How do we calculate Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share?

Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share of a company over the past 10 years. Let's use an example to explain.

If we want to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share of Wal-Mart (WMT) for Dec. 31, 2010, we need to have the inflation data and the free cash flow per share from 2001 through 2010.

We adjusted the 2001 free cash flow per share data with the total inflation from 2001 through 2010 to the equivalent free cash flow in 2010. If the total inflation from 2001 to 2010 is 40%, and Wal-Mart's free cash flow is $1 a share in 2001, then the 2001's equivalent free cash flow in 2010 is $1.4 a share. If Wal-Mart's free cash flow is $1 again in 2002, and the total inflation from 2002 through 2010 is 35%, then the equivalent 2002 free cash flow in 2010 is $1.35. So on and so forth, you get the equivalent free cash flow per share of past 10 years. Then you add them together and divided the sum by the count to get Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share.

Please note that we use the CPI data of the country/region where the company is headquartered. If the CPI data for that country/region is not available, then we will use the CPI data of the United States as default.

For example, UPM-Kymmene Oyj's adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share data for the three months ended in Mar. 2026 was:

Adj_FreeCashFlowPerShare= Free Cash Flow per Share /CPI of Mar. 2026 (Change)*Current CPI (Mar. 2026)
=0.316/124.6700*124.6700
=0.316

Current CPI (Mar. 2026) = 124.6700.

UPM-Kymmene Oyj Quarterly Data

Free Cash Flow per Share CPI Adj_FreeCashFlowPerShare
201606 13.204 100.390 16.397
201609 16.474 100.540 20.428
201612 13.411 101.020 16.551
201703 12.461 100.910 15.395
201706 8.185 101.140 10.089
201709 16.463 101.320 20.257
201712 13.161 101.510 16.164
201803 6.091 101.730 7.465
201806 10.029 102.320 12.220
201809 13.301 102.600 16.162
201812 11.518 102.710 13.981
201903 9.658 102.870 11.705
201906 14.407 103.360 17.377
201909 16.878 103.540 20.322
201912 17.367 103.650 20.889
202003 -2.380 103.490 -2.867
202006 -1.950 103.320 -2.353
202009 8.879 103.710 10.673
202012 4.084 103.890 4.901
202103 -2.601 104.870 -3.092
202106 -4.587 105.360 -5.428
202109 -2.132 106.290 -2.501
202112 -2.869 107.490 -3.328
202203 -13.198 110.950 -14.830
202206 -49.804 113.570 -54.672
202209 -20.875 114.920 -22.646
202212 44.959 117.320 47.776
202303 14.909 119.750 15.522
202306 5.712 120.690 5.900
202309 11.956 121.280 12.290
202312 9.406 121.540 9.648
202403 6.697 122.360 6.823
202406 0.444 122.230 0.453
202409 4.753 122.260 4.847
202412 17.485 122.390 17.811
202503 8.352 123.010 8.465
202506 1.853 122.530 1.885
202509 5.226 122.880 5.302
202512 24.070 122.670 24.462
202603 0.316 124.670 0.316

Add all the adjusted free cash flow per share together and divide 10 will get our Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share.

What does a Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share of MXN37.18 mean?
UPM-Kymmene Oyj (MEX:UPMN) has a Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share of MXN37.18 as of Mar. 2026. Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share represents the company's inflation-adjusted FCF per share over a 10-year period. View historical data on UPM-Kymmene Oyj and its competitors.
Is UPM-Kymmene Oyj's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share too high?
UPM-Kymmene Oyj's current Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is MXN37.18. Overall, UPM-Kymmene Oyj has a GF Score™ of 79/100, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does UPM-Kymmene Oyj's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share compare to SLVM?
UPM-Kymmene Oyj's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share of MXN37.18 can be compared against companies in the Forest Products industry. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share for a Forest Products company?
A good Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share depends on the Forest Products industry context. However, Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share mean?
A high Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share represents the company's inflation-adjusted FCF per share over a 10-year period. View historical data on UPM-Kymmene Oyj and its competitors. UPM-Kymmene Oyj's current Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is MXN37.18. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is UPM-Kymmene Oyj stock overvalued right now?
UPM-Kymmene Oyj (MEX:UPMN) has a current Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share of MXN37.18. The stock's GF Value™ is MXN760.15, compared to a current price of MXN696.85 — trading 8.3% below its estimated fair value. The current Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is MXN37.18. UPM-Kymmene Oyj's overall GF Score™ is 79/100 with 5 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share calculated?
Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is calculated from a company's financial statements. For UPM-Kymmene Oyj (MEX:UPMN), the current Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is MXN37.18 as of Mar. 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is UPM-Kymmene Oyj (MEX:UPMN) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, UPM-Kymmene Oyj stock appears to be undervalued. The current stock price of MXN696.85 is trading 8.3% below its estimated GF Value™ of MXN760.15.

Key valuation signals for MEX:UPMN:

  • Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share: MXN37.18
  • GF Value™: MXN760.15 vs. price of MXN696.85 (8.3% below fair value)
  • GF Score™: 79/100 with 5 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the MEX:UPMN stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


UPM-Kymmene Oyj Business Description

Address Alvar Aallon katu 1, P.O. Box 380, Helsinki, FIN, FI-00100
UPM-Kymmene Oyj is a Finnish paper and biomaterials company. The company produces products related to the forestry industry, including paper, pulp, and plywood. UPM is also the majority electricity generator in Finland and is one of the globalised producers of self-adhesive labeling materials. It delivers responsible solutions and innovation for a future beyond fossils across six business areas: UPM Fibres, UPM Energy, UPM Raflatac, UPM Specialty Papers, UPM Communication Papers, and UPM Plywood. Geographically, the company has operational footprints in Sweden, Finland, the Netherlands, and other regions.
79GF Score

Get the complete analysis for MEX:UPMN

Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

MXN696.85
Price
MXN760.15
GF Value