Xcel Energy (MEX:XEL) Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share: MXN-68.63 (As of Mar. 2026)

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MEX:XEL Xcel Energy Inc MEX:XEL
80 GF Score
Price MXN1,400.00
GF Value MXN1,192.23
! 10 Warning Signs
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What is Xcel Energy Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share?

Xcel Energy MEX:XEL 80 Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is MXN-68.63 as of Mar. 2026. GuruFocus rates MEX:XEL with a GF Score™ of 80/100 and a GF Value™ of MXN1,192.23. The stock has 10 warning signs investors should review.

E10 is a concept invented by Prof. Robert Shiller, who uses E10 for his Shiller PE Ratio calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings of a company over the past 10 years. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share and the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF. The Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share of a company over the past 10 years.

Xcel Energy's adjusted free cash flow per share for the three months ended in Mar. 2026 was MXN-38.168. Add all the adjusted free cash flow per share for the past 10 years together and divide the count will get our Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share, which is MXN-68.63 for the trailing ten years ended in Mar. 2026.

During the past 3 years, the average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate was -18.80% per year. During the past 5 years, the average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate was -15.60% per year. During the past 10 years, the average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate was -18.10% per year. Please click Growth Rate Calculation Example (GuruFocus) to see how GuruFocus calculates Wal-Mart Stores Inc (WMT)'s revenue growth rate. You can apply the same method to get the Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate using Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share data.

During the past 13 years, the highest 3-Year average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate of Xcel Energy was 71.60% per year. The lowest was -138.70% per year. And the median was -8.60% per year.

As of today (2026-07-19), Xcel Energy's current stock price is MXN1400.00. Xcel Energy's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share for the quarter that ended in Mar. 2026 was MXN-68.63. Xcel Energy's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF of today is .


Xcel Energy  (MEX:XEL) Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Explanation

If a company grows much fast than inflation, Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share may underestimate the company's free cash flow. Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF can seem to be too high even the actual Price-to-Free-Cash-Flow is low.

For the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF, the free cash flow per share of the past 10 years are inflation-adjusted and averaged. The result is used for P/FCF calculation. Since it looks at the average over the last 10 years, the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF is also called CAPFCF Ratio.

The Shiller PE Ratio was first used by professor Robert Shiller. He uses E10 for his Shiller PE Ratio calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings per share of a company over the past 10 years. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF. The Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted free cash flow per share of a company over the past 10 years.


Be Aware

Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF works better for cyclical companies. It gives you a better idea on the company's real free cash flow value.


Xcel Energy Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Related Terms


Xcel Energy Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for Xcel Energy's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Xcel Energy Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Chart

Xcel Energy Annual Data
Trend Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23 Dec24 Dec25
Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -40.62 -40.37 -36.52 -43.90 -66.02

Xcel Energy Quarterly Data
Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Sep24 Dec24 Mar25 Jun25 Sep25 Dec25 Mar26
Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -52.72 -59.13 -55.15 -66.02 -68.63

MEX:XEL vs ETR, EXC, PEG: Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Comparison

For the Utilities - Regulated Electric subindustry, Xcel Energy's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Xcel Energy Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF vs Utilities - Regulated Industry

For the Utilities - Regulated industry and Utilities sector, Xcel Energy's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Xcel Energy's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF falls into.


MEX:XEL
80GF Score
Xcel Energy Inc MEX:XEL
Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

Xcel Energy Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Calculation

E10 is a concept invented by Prof. Robert Shiller, who uses E10 for his Shiller PE Ratio calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings of a company over the past 10 years. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share and the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF. The Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share of a company over the past 10 years.

What is Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share? How do we calculate Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share?

Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share of a company over the past 10 years. Let's use an example to explain.

If we want to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share of Wal-Mart (WMT) for Dec. 31, 2010, we need to have the inflation data and the free cash flow per share from 2001 through 2010.

We adjusted the 2001 free cash flow per share data with the total inflation from 2001 through 2010 to the equivalent free cash flow in 2010. If the total inflation from 2001 to 2010 is 40%, and Wal-Mart's free cash flow is $1 a share in 2001, then the 2001's equivalent free cash flow in 2010 is $1.4 a share. If Wal-Mart's free cash flow is $1 again in 2002, and the total inflation from 2002 through 2010 is 35%, then the equivalent 2002 free cash flow in 2010 is $1.35. So on and so forth, you get the equivalent free cash flow per share of past 10 years. Then you add them together and divided the sum by the count to get Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share.

Please note that we use the CPI data of the country/region where the company is headquartered. If the CPI data for that country/region is not available, then we will use the CPI data of the United States as default.

For example, Xcel Energy's adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share data for the three months ended in Mar. 2026 was:

Adj_FreeCashFlowPerShare= Free Cash Flow per Share /CPI of Mar. 2026 (Change)*Current CPI (Mar. 2026)
=-38.168/330.2130*330.2130
=-38.168

Current CPI (Mar. 2026) = 330.2130.

Xcel Energy Quarterly Data

Free Cash Flow per Share CPI Adj_FreeCashFlowPerShare
201606 -3.279 241.018 -4.492
201609 8.612 241.428 11.779
201612 -15.453 241.432 -21.135
201703 -1.147 243.801 -1.554
201706 -5.362 244.955 -7.228
201709 10.447 246.819 13.977
201712 -8.784 246.524 -11.766
201803 0.964 249.554 1.276
201806 -17.107 251.989 -22.417
201809 8.382 252.439 10.964
201812 -24.716 251.233 -32.486
201903 -1.917 254.202 -2.490
201906 -11.273 256.143 -14.533
201909 -4.017 256.759 -5.166
201912 -17.964 256.974 -23.084
202003 -41.735 258.115 -53.393
202006 -21.155 257.797 -27.098
202009 -3.598 260.280 -4.565
202012 -37.986 260.474 -48.156
202103 -43.992 264.877 -54.843
202106 -11.744 271.696 -14.273
202109 0.954 274.310 1.148
202112 -22.743 278.802 -26.937
202203 7.234 287.504 8.309
202206 -9.212 296.311 -10.266
202209 -3.891 296.808 -4.329
202212 -19.425 296.797 -21.612
202303 8.898 301.836 9.735
202306 -12.920 305.109 -13.983
202309 8.110 307.789 8.701
202312 -19.574 306.746 -21.071
202403 -14.537 312.332 -15.369
202406 -21.083 314.175 -22.159
202409 -1.464 315.301 -1.533
202412 -56.329 315.605 -58.936
202503 -34.038 319.799 -35.146
202506 -43.102 322.561 -44.124
202509 -39.771 324.800 -40.434
202512 -97.551 324.054 -99.405
202603 -38.168 330.213 -38.168

Add all the adjusted free cash flow per share together and divide 10 will get our Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share.

What does a Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share of MXN-68.63 mean?
Xcel Energy (MEX:XEL) has a Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share of MXN-68.63 as of Mar. 2026. Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share represents the company's inflation-adjusted FCF per share over a 10-year period. View historical data on Xcel Energy and its competitors.
Is Xcel Energy's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share too high?
Xcel Energy's current Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is MXN-68.63. Overall, Xcel Energy has a GF Score™ of 80/100, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Xcel Energy's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share compare to ETR and EXC?
Xcel Energy's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share of MXN-68.63 can be compared against companies in the Utilities - Regulated industry. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share for an Utilities - Regulated company?
A good Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share depends on the Utilities - Regulated industry context. However, Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share mean?
A high Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share represents the company's inflation-adjusted FCF per share over a 10-year period. View historical data on Xcel Energy and its competitors. Xcel Energy's current Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is MXN-68.63. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Xcel Energy stock overvalued right now?
Xcel Energy (MEX:XEL) has a current Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share of MXN-68.63. The stock's GF Value™ is MXN1,192.23, compared to a current price of MXN1,400.00 — trading 17.4% above its estimated fair value. The current Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is MXN-68.63. Xcel Energy's overall GF Score™ is 80/100 with 10 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share calculated?
Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Xcel Energy (MEX:XEL), the current Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is MXN-68.63 as of Mar. 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Xcel Energy (MEX:XEL) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Xcel Energy stock appears to be overvalued. The current stock price of MXN1,400.00 is trading 17.4% above its estimated GF Value™ of MXN1,192.23.

Key valuation signals for MEX:XEL:

  • Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share: MXN-68.63
  • GF Value™: MXN1,192.23 vs. price of MXN1,400.00 (17.4% above fair value)
  • GF Score™: 80/100 with 10 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the MEX:XEL stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Xcel Energy Business Description

Address 414 Nicollet Mall, Minneapolis, MN, USA, 55401
Xcel Energy manages utilities serving 3.9 million electric customers and 2.2 million natural gas customers in eight states. Its utilities are Northern States Power, which serves customers in Minnesota, North Dakota, South Dakota, Wisconsin, and Michigan; Public Service Company of Colorado; and Southwestern Public Service Company, which serves customers in Texas and New Mexico. It is one of the largest renewable energy suppliers in the US, with more than half of its electricity sales coming from carbon-free energy.
80GF Score

Get the complete analysis for MEX:XEL

Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

MXN1,400.00
Price
MXN1,192.23
GF Value