XPO (MEX:XPO) Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share: MXN55.16 (As of Mar. 2026)

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MEX:XPO XPO Inc MEX:XPO
68 GF Score
Price MXN3,711.00
GF Value MXN2,264.20
Valuation Significantly Overvalued
! 6 Warning Signs
View Full Analysis

What is XPO Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share?

XPO MEX:XPO 68 Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is MXN55.16 as of Mar. 2026. GuruFocus rates MEX:XPO with a GF Score™ of 68/100 and a GF Value™ of MXN2,264.20 (Significantly Overvalued). The stock has 6 warning signs investors should review.

E10 is a concept invented by Prof. Robert Shiller, who uses E10 for his Shiller PE Ratio calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings of a company over the past 10 years. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share and the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF. The Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share of a company over the past 10 years.

XPO's adjusted free cash flow per share for the three months ended in Mar. 2026 was MXN10.911. Add all the adjusted free cash flow per share for the past 10 years together and divide the count will get our Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share, which is MXN55.16 for the trailing ten years ended in Mar. 2026.

During the past 12 months, XPO's average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate was 45.20% per year. During the past 3 years, the average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate was 10.60% per year. During the past 5 years, the average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate was 20.00% per year. Please click Growth Rate Calculation Example (GuruFocus) to see how GuruFocus calculates Wal-Mart Stores Inc (WMT)'s revenue growth rate. You can apply the same method to get the Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate using Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share data.

During the past 13 years, the highest 3-Year average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate of XPO was 82.70% per year. The lowest was -12.80% per year. And the median was 15.80% per year.

As of today (2026-07-21), XPO's current stock price is MXN3711.00. XPO's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share for the quarter that ended in Mar. 2026 was MXN55.16. XPO's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF of today is 67.28.

During the past 13 years, the highest Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF of XPO was 106.41. The lowest was 14.14. And the median was 51.49.


XPO  (MEX:XPO) Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Explanation

If a company grows much fast than inflation, Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share may underestimate the company's free cash flow. Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF can seem to be too high even the actual Price-to-Free-Cash-Flow is low.

For the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF, the free cash flow per share of the past 10 years are inflation-adjusted and averaged. The result is used for P/FCF calculation. Since it looks at the average over the last 10 years, the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF is also called CAPFCF Ratio.

The Shiller PE Ratio was first used by professor Robert Shiller. He uses E10 for his Shiller PE Ratio calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings per share of a company over the past 10 years. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF. The Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted free cash flow per share of a company over the past 10 years.

XPO's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF of today is calculated as

Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF=Share Price/Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share
=3711.00/55.16
=67.28

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

During the past 13 years, the highest Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF of XPO was 106.41. The lowest was 14.14. And the median was 51.49.


Be Aware

Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF works better for cyclical companies. It gives you a better idea on the company's real free cash flow value.


XPO Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Related Terms


XPO Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for XPO's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

XPO Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Chart

XPO Annual Data
Trend Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23 Dec24 Dec25
Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 28.15 41.31 31.34 22.93 28.09

XPO Quarterly Data
Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Sep24 Dec24 Mar25 Jun25 Sep25 Dec25 Mar26
Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 26.75 25.42 27.18 28.09 55.16

MEX:XPO vs KNX, SAIA, SNDR: Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Comparison

For the Trucking subindustry, XPO's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


XPO Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF vs Transportation Industry

For the Transportation industry and Industrials sector, XPO's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where XPO's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF falls into.


MEX:XPO
68GF Score
XPO Inc MEX:XPO
Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

XPO Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Calculation

E10 is a concept invented by Prof. Robert Shiller, who uses E10 for his Shiller PE Ratio calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings of a company over the past 10 years. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share and the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF. The Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share of a company over the past 10 years.

What is Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share? How do we calculate Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share?

Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share of a company over the past 10 years. Let's use an example to explain.

If we want to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share of Wal-Mart (WMT) for Dec. 31, 2010, we need to have the inflation data and the free cash flow per share from 2001 through 2010.

We adjusted the 2001 free cash flow per share data with the total inflation from 2001 through 2010 to the equivalent free cash flow in 2010. If the total inflation from 2001 to 2010 is 40%, and Wal-Mart's free cash flow is $1 a share in 2001, then the 2001's equivalent free cash flow in 2010 is $1.4 a share. If Wal-Mart's free cash flow is $1 again in 2002, and the total inflation from 2002 through 2010 is 35%, then the equivalent 2002 free cash flow in 2010 is $1.35. So on and so forth, you get the equivalent free cash flow per share of past 10 years. Then you add them together and divided the sum by the count to get Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share.

Please note that we use the CPI data of the country/region where the company is headquartered. If the CPI data for that country/region is not available, then we will use the CPI data of the United States as default.

For example, XPO's adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share data for the three months ended in Mar. 2026 was:

Adj_FreeCashFlowPerShare= Free Cash Flow per Share /CPI of Mar. 2026 (Change)*Current CPI (Mar. 2026)
=10.911/330.2130*330.2130
=10.911

Current CPI (Mar. 2026) = 330.2130.

XPO Quarterly Data

Free Cash Flow per Share CPI Adj_FreeCashFlowPerShare
201606 22.894 241.018 31.367
201609 6.686 241.428 9.145
201612 8.115 241.432 11.099
201703 -16.180 243.801 -21.915
201706 10.263 244.955 13.835
201709 23.167 246.819 30.995
201712 22.290 246.524 29.857
201803 -21.992 249.554 -29.100
201806 20.676 251.989 27.094
201809 19.524 252.439 25.539
201812 62.250 251.233 81.820
201903 -35.480 254.202 -46.089
201906 26.742 256.143 34.475
201909 19.548 256.759 25.140
201912 70.130 256.974 90.117
202003 9.334 258.115 11.941
202006 24.858 257.797 31.841
202009 71.687 260.280 90.948
202012 34.759 260.474 44.065
202103 18.068 264.877 22.525
202106 53.729 271.696 65.301
202109 1.773 274.310 2.134
202112 6.779 278.802 8.029
202203 13.388 287.504 15.377
202206 13.181 296.311 14.689
202209 26.184 296.808 29.131
202212 1.008 296.797 1.121
202303 -24.241 301.836 -26.520
202306 0.000 305.109 0.000
202309 13.759 307.789 14.761
202312 -113.497 306.746 -122.180
202403 -22.267 312.332 -23.542
202406 3.053 314.175 3.209
202409 22.480 315.301 23.543
202412 3.997 315.605 4.182
202503 -9.718 319.799 -10.034
202506 8.070 322.561 8.261
202509 32.867 324.800 33.415
202512 18.311 324.054 18.659
202603 10.911 330.213 10.911

Add all the adjusted free cash flow per share together and divide 10 will get our Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share.

What does a Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share of MXN55.16 mean?
XPO (MEX:XPO) has a Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share of MXN55.16 as of Mar. 2026. Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share represents the company's inflation-adjusted FCF per share over a 10-year period. View historical data on XPO and its competitors.
Is XPO's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share too high?
XPO's current Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is MXN55.16. Overall, XPO has a GF Score™ of 68/100 and is considered Significantly Overvalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does XPO's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share compare to KNX and SAIA?
XPO's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share of MXN55.16 can be compared against companies in the Transportation industry. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share for a Transportation company?
A good Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share depends on the Transportation industry context. However, Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share mean?
A high Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share represents the company's inflation-adjusted FCF per share over a 10-year period. View historical data on XPO and its competitors. XPO's current Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is MXN55.16. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is XPO stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, XPO (MEX:XPO) is currently considered Significantly Overvalued. The stock's GF Value™ is MXN2,264.20, compared to a current price of MXN3,711.00 — trading 63.9% above its estimated fair value. The current Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is MXN55.16. XPO's overall GF Score™ is 68/100 with 6 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share calculated?
Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is calculated from a company's financial statements. For XPO (MEX:XPO), the current Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is MXN55.16 as of Mar. 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is XPO (MEX:XPO) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, XPO stock appears to be overvalued. The current stock price of MXN3,711.00 is trading 63.9% above its estimated GF Value™ of MXN2,264.20. GuruFocus considers XPO to be Significantly Overvalued.

Key valuation signals for MEX:XPO:

  • Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share: MXN55.16
  • GF Value™: MXN2,264.20 vs. price of MXN3,711.00 (63.9% above fair value)
  • GF Score™: 68/100 with 6 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the MEX:XPO stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


XPO Business Description

Other Exchanges XPO:USA0M1O:UKUX2A:Germany
Address Five American Lane, Greenwich, CT, USA, 06831
Following the spinoff of its contract logistics division (GXO) in 2021 and freight brokerage operations (RXO) in 2022, XPO is moving closer to becoming a pure-play asset-based less-than-truckload carrier. We estimate LTL shipping makes up 60% of total revenue, with XPO's European truckload and LTL operations making up 40%. However, XPO's LTL segment EBITDA mix is much higher than 60%. We believe XPO intends to divest its European trucking division once it finds the right buyer.
68GF Score

Get the complete analysis for MEX:XPO

Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

MXN3,711.00
Price
MXN2,264.20
GF Value