XPO (MEX:XPO) Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share: MXN52.42 (As of Jun. 2026)

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Director of Data and Quant Analytics at GuruFocus
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Founder & CEO of GuruFocus
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MEX:XPO XPO Inc MEX:XPO
21 GF Score
Price MXN3,200.00
GF Value MXN2,384.76
Valuation Significantly Overvalued
! 2 Warning Signs
View Full Analysis

What is XPO Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share?

XPO MEX:XPO 21 Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is MXN52.42 as of Jun. 2026. GuruFocus rates MEX:XPO with a GF Score™ of 21/100 and a GF Value™ of MXN2,384.76 (Significantly Overvalued). The stock has 2 warning signs investors should review.

E10 is a concept invented by Prof. Robert Shiller, who uses E10 for his Shiller PE Ratio calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings of a company over the past 10 years. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share and the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF. The Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share of a company over the past 10 years.

XPO's adjusted free cash flow per share for the three months ended in Jun. 2026 was MXN26.765. Add all the adjusted free cash flow per share for the past 10 years together and divide the count will get our Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share, which is MXN52.42 for the trailing ten years ended in Jun. 2026.

During the past 12 months, XPO's average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate was 30.60% per year. During the past 3 years, the average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate was 10.60% per year. During the past 5 years, the average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate was 20.00% per year. Please click Growth Rate Calculation Example (GuruFocus) to see how GuruFocus calculates Wal-Mart Stores Inc (WMT)'s revenue growth rate. You can apply the same method to get the Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate using Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share data.

During the past 13 years, the highest 3-Year average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate of XPO was 82.70% per year. The lowest was -12.80% per year. And the median was 15.80% per year.

As of today (2026-09-04), XPO's current stock price is MXN3200.00. XPO's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share for the quarter that ended in Jun. 2026 was MXN52.42. XPO's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF of today is 61.05.

During the past 13 years, the highest Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF of XPO was 106.41. The lowest was 14.14. And the median was 51.81.


XPO  (MEX:XPO) Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Explanation

If a company grows much fast than inflation, Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share may underestimate the company's free cash flow. Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF can seem to be too high even the actual Price-to-Free-Cash-Flow is low.

For the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF, the free cash flow per share of the past 10 years are inflation-adjusted and averaged. The result is used for P/FCF calculation. Since it looks at the average over the last 10 years, the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF is also called CAPFCF Ratio.

The Shiller PE Ratio was first used by professor Robert Shiller. He uses E10 for his Shiller PE Ratio calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings per share of a company over the past 10 years. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF. The Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted free cash flow per share of a company over the past 10 years.

XPO's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF of today is calculated as

Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF=Share Price/Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share
=3200.00/52.42
=61.05

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

During the past 13 years, the highest Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF of XPO was 106.41. The lowest was 14.14. And the median was 51.81.


Be Aware

Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF works better for cyclical companies. It gives you a better idea on the company's real free cash flow value.


XPO Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Related Terms


XPO Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for XPO's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

XPO Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Chart

XPO Annual Data
Trend Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23 Dec24 Dec25
Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 28.15 41.31 31.34 22.93 28.09

XPO Quarterly Data
Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Sep24 Dec24 Mar25 Jun25 Sep25 Dec25 Mar26 Jun26
Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 25.42 27.18 28.09 55.16 52.42

MEX:XPO vs KNX, SAIA, SNDR: Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Comparison

For the Trucking subindustry, XPO's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


XPO Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF vs Transportation Industry

For the Transportation industry and Industrials sector, XPO's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where XPO's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF falls into.


MEX:XPO
21GF Score
XPO Inc MEX:XPO
Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

XPO Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Calculation

E10 is a concept invented by Prof. Robert Shiller, who uses E10 for his Shiller PE Ratio calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings of a company over the past 10 years. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share and the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF. The Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share of a company over the past 10 years.

What is Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share? How do we calculate Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share?

Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share of a company over the past 10 years. Let's use an example to explain.

If we want to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share of Wal-Mart (WMT) for Dec. 31, 2010, we need to have the inflation data and the free cash flow per share from 2001 through 2010.

We adjusted the 2001 free cash flow per share data with the total inflation from 2001 through 2010 to the equivalent free cash flow in 2010. If the total inflation from 2001 to 2010 is 40%, and Wal-Mart's free cash flow is $1 a share in 2001, then the 2001's equivalent free cash flow in 2010 is $1.4 a share. If Wal-Mart's free cash flow is $1 again in 2002, and the total inflation from 2002 through 2010 is 35%, then the equivalent 2002 free cash flow in 2010 is $1.35. So on and so forth, you get the equivalent free cash flow per share of past 10 years. Then you add them together and divided the sum by the count to get Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share.

Please note that we use the CPI data of the country/region where the company is headquartered. If the CPI data for that country/region is not available, then we will use the CPI data of the United States as default.

For example, XPO's adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share data for the three months ended in Jun. 2026 was:

Adj_FreeCashFlowPerShare= Free Cash Flow per Share /CPI of Jun. 2026 (Change)*Current CPI (Jun. 2026)
=26.765/333.9520*333.9520
=26.765

Current CPI (Jun. 2026) = 333.9520.

XPO Quarterly Data

Free Cash Flow per Share CPI Adj_FreeCashFlowPerShare
201609 6.686 241.428 9.248
201612 8.115 241.432 11.225
201703 -16.180 243.801 -22.163
201706 10.263 244.955 13.992
201709 23.167 246.819 31.346
201712 22.290 246.524 30.195
201803 -21.992 249.554 -29.430
201806 20.676 251.989 27.401
201809 19.524 252.439 25.828
201812 62.250 251.233 82.746
201903 -35.480 254.202 -46.611
201906 26.742 256.143 34.865
201909 19.548 256.759 25.425
201912 70.130 256.974 91.138
202003 9.334 258.115 12.076
202006 24.858 257.797 32.201
202009 71.687 260.280 91.978
202012 34.759 260.474 44.564
202103 18.068 264.877 22.780
202106 53.729 271.696 66.040
202109 1.773 274.310 2.158
202112 6.779 278.802 8.120
202203 13.388 287.504 15.551
202206 13.181 296.311 14.855
202209 26.184 296.808 29.461
202212 1.008 296.797 1.134
202303 -24.241 301.836 -26.820
202306 0.000 305.109 0.000
202309 13.759 307.789 14.929
202312 -113.497 306.746 -123.563
202403 -22.267 312.332 -23.808
202406 3.053 314.175 3.245
202409 22.480 315.301 23.810
202412 3.997 315.605 4.229
202503 -9.718 319.799 -10.148
202506 8.070 322.561 8.355
202509 32.867 324.800 33.793
202512 18.157 324.054 18.712
202603 10.911 330.213 11.035
202606 26.765 333.952 26.765

Add all the adjusted free cash flow per share together and divide 10 will get our Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share.

What does a Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share of MXN52.42 mean?
XPO (MEX:XPO) has a Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share of MXN52.42 as of Jun. 2026. Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share represents the company's inflation-adjusted FCF per share over a 10-year period. View historical data on XPO and its competitors.
Is XPO's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share too high?
XPO's current Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is MXN52.42. Overall, XPO has a GF Score™ of 21/100 and is considered Significantly Overvalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does XPO's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share compare to KNX and SAIA?
XPO's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share of MXN52.42 can be compared against companies in the Transportation industry. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share for a Transportation company?
A good Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share depends on the Transportation industry context. However, Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share mean?
A high Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share represents the company's inflation-adjusted FCF per share over a 10-year period. View historical data on XPO and its competitors. XPO's current Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is MXN52.42. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is XPO stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, XPO (MEX:XPO) is currently considered Significantly Overvalued. The stock's GF Value™ is MXN2,384.76, compared to a current price of MXN3,200.00 — trading 34.2% above its estimated fair value. The current Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is MXN52.42. XPO's overall GF Score™ is 21/100 with 2 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share calculated?
Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is calculated from a company's financial statements. For XPO (MEX:XPO), the current Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is MXN52.42 as of Jun. 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is XPO (MEX:XPO) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, XPO stock appears to be overvalued. The current stock price of MXN3,200.00 is trading 34.2% above its estimated GF Value™ of MXN2,384.76. GuruFocus considers XPO to be Significantly Overvalued.

Key valuation signals for MEX:XPO:

  • Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share: MXN52.42
  • GF Value™: MXN2,384.76 vs. price of MXN3,200.00 (34.2% above fair value)
  • GF Score™: 21/100 with 2 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the MEX:XPO stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


XPO Business Description

Other Exchanges XPO:USA0M1O:UKUX2A:Germany
Address Five American Lane, Greenwich, CT, USA, 06831
Following the spinoff of its contract logistics division (GXO) in 2021 and freight brokerage operations (RXO) in 2022, XPO is moving closer to becoming a pure-play asset-based less-than-truckload carrier. We estimate LTL shipping makes up 60% of total revenue, with XPO's European truckload and LTL operations making up 40%. However, XPO's LTL segment EBITDA mix is much higher than 60%. We believe XPO intends to divest its European trucking division once it finds the right buyer.
21GF Score

Get the complete analysis for MEX:XPO

Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

MXN3,200.00
Price
MXN2,384.76
GF Value