Mattel (MIL:1MAT) Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share: €0.65 (As of Mar. 2026)


MIL:1MAT Mattel Inc MIL:1MAT
46 GF Score
Price €11.44
GF Value €19.12
Valuation Significantly Undervalued
! 1 Warning Sign
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What is Mattel Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share?

Mattel MIL:1MAT -4.60% 46 Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is €0.65 as of Mar. 2026. GuruFocus rates MIL:1MAT with a GF Score™ of 46/100 and a GF Value™ of €19.12 (Significantly Undervalued). The stock has 1 warning sign investors should review.

E10 is a concept invented by Prof. Robert Shiller, who uses E10 for his Shiller PE Ratio calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings of a company over the past 10 years. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share and the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF. The Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share of a company over the past 10 years.

Mattel's adjusted free cash flow per share for the three months ended in Mar. 2026 was €-0.253. Add all the adjusted free cash flow per share for the past 10 years together and divide the count will get our Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share, which is €0.65 for the trailing ten years ended in Mar. 2026.

During the past 12 months, Mattel's average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate was -5.10% per year. During the past 3 years, the average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate was -1.40% per year. During the past 5 years, the average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate was -7.30% per year. During the past 10 years, the average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate was -9.20% per year. Please click Growth Rate Calculation Example (GuruFocus) to see how GuruFocus calculates Wal-Mart Stores Inc (WMT)'s revenue growth rate. You can apply the same method to get the Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate using Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share data.

During the past 13 years, the highest 3-Year average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate of Mattel was 18.20% per year. The lowest was -12.40% per year. And the median was 3.20% per year.

As of today (2026-07-06), Mattel's current stock price is €11.436. Mattel's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share for the quarter that ended in Mar. 2026 was €0.65. Mattel's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF of today is 17.59.

During the past 13 years, the highest Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF of Mattel was 30.27. The lowest was 6.55. And the median was 18.65.


Mattel  (MIL:1MAT) Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Explanation

If a company grows much fast than inflation, Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share may underestimate the company's free cash flow. Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF can seem to be too high even the actual Price-to-Free-Cash-Flow is low.

For the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF, the free cash flow per share of the past 10 years are inflation-adjusted and averaged. The result is used for P/FCF calculation. Since it looks at the average over the last 10 years, the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF is also called CAPFCF Ratio.

The Shiller PE Ratio was first used by professor Robert Shiller. He uses E10 for his Shiller PE Ratio calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings per share of a company over the past 10 years. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF. The Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted free cash flow per share of a company over the past 10 years.

Mattel's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF of today is calculated as

Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF=Share Price/Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share
=11.436/0.65
=17.59

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

During the past 13 years, the highest Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF of Mattel was 30.27. The lowest was 6.55. And the median was 18.65.


Be Aware

Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF works better for cyclical companies. It gives you a better idea on the company's real free cash flow value.


Mattel Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Related Terms


Mattel Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for Mattel's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Mattel Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Chart

Mattel Annual Data
Trend Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23 Dec24 Dec25
Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.77 0.62

Mattel Quarterly Data
Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Sep24 Dec24 Mar25 Jun25 Sep25 Dec25 Mar26
Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 0.76 0.70 0.71 0.62 0.65

MIL:1MAT vs PLNT, YETI, CALY: Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Comparison

For the Leisure subindustry, Mattel's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Mattel Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF vs Travel & Leisure Industry

For the Travel & Leisure industry and Consumer Cyclical sector, Mattel's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Mattel's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF falls into.


MIL:1MAT
46GF Score
Mattel Inc MIL:1MAT
Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

Mattel Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Calculation

E10 is a concept invented by Prof. Robert Shiller, who uses E10 for his Shiller PE Ratio calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings of a company over the past 10 years. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share and the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF. The Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share of a company over the past 10 years.

What is Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share? How do we calculate Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share?

Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share of a company over the past 10 years. Let's use an example to explain.

If we want to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share of Wal-Mart (WMT) for Dec. 31, 2010, we need to have the inflation data and the free cash flow per share from 2001 through 2010.

We adjusted the 2001 free cash flow per share data with the total inflation from 2001 through 2010 to the equivalent free cash flow in 2010. If the total inflation from 2001 to 2010 is 40%, and Wal-Mart's free cash flow is $1 a share in 2001, then the 2001's equivalent free cash flow in 2010 is $1.4 a share. If Wal-Mart's free cash flow is $1 again in 2002, and the total inflation from 2002 through 2010 is 35%, then the equivalent 2002 free cash flow in 2010 is $1.35. So on and so forth, you get the equivalent free cash flow per share of past 10 years. Then you add them together and divided the sum by the count to get Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share.

Please note that we use the CPI data of the country/region where the company is headquartered. If the CPI data for that country/region is not available, then we will use the CPI data of the United States as default.

For example, Mattel's adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share data for the three months ended in Mar. 2026 was:

Adj_FreeCashFlowPerShare= Free Cash Flow per Share /CPI of Mar. 2026 (Change)*Current CPI (Mar. 2026)
=-0.253/330.2130*330.2130
=-0.253

Current CPI (Mar. 2026) = 330.2130.

Mattel Quarterly Data

Free Cash Flow per Share CPI Adj_FreeCashFlowPerShare
201606 -0.567 241.018 -0.777
201609 -0.410 241.428 -0.561
201612 2.302 241.432 3.149
201703 -1.037 243.801 -1.405
201706 -0.824 244.955 -1.111
201709 -0.677 246.819 -0.906
201712 1.597 246.524 2.139
201803 -0.756 249.554 -1.000
201806 -0.779 251.989 -1.021
201809 -0.515 252.439 -0.674
201812 1.685 251.233 2.215
201903 -0.555 254.202 -0.721
201906 -0.593 256.143 -0.764
201909 -0.366 256.759 -0.471
201912 1.702 256.974 2.187
202003 -0.547 258.115 -0.700
202006 -0.802 257.797 -1.027
202009 -0.003 260.280 -0.004
202012 1.601 260.474 2.030
202103 -0.172 264.877 -0.214
202106 -0.581 271.696 -0.706
202109 -0.132 274.310 -0.159
202112 1.705 278.802 2.019
202203 -0.455 287.504 -0.523
202206 -0.851 296.311 -0.948
202209 0.284 296.808 0.316
202212 1.730 296.797 1.925
202303 -0.656 301.836 -0.718
202306 -0.387 305.109 -0.419
202309 0.529 307.789 0.568
202312 2.345 306.746 2.524
202403 0.013 312.332 0.014
202406 -0.777 314.175 -0.817
202409 0.170 315.301 0.178
202412 2.312 315.605 2.419
202503 -0.032 319.799 -0.033
202506 -0.905 322.561 -0.926
202509 0.062 324.800 0.063
202512 2.025 324.054 2.063
202603 -0.253 330.213 -0.253

Add all the adjusted free cash flow per share together and divide 10 will get our Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share.

What does a Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share of €0.65 mean?
Mattel (MIL:1MAT) has a Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share of €0.65 as of Mar. 2026. Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share represents the company's inflation-adjusted FCF per share over a 10-year period. View historical data on Mattel and its competitors.
Is Mattel's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share too high?
Mattel's current Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is €0.65. Overall, Mattel has a GF Score™ of 46/100 and is considered Significantly Undervalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Mattel's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share compare to PLNT and YETI?
Mattel's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share of €0.65 can be compared against companies in the Travel & Leisure industry. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share for a Travel & Leisure company?
A good Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share depends on the Travel & Leisure industry context. However, Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share mean?
A high Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share represents the company's inflation-adjusted FCF per share over a 10-year period. View historical data on Mattel and its competitors. Mattel's current Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is €0.65. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Mattel stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Mattel (MIL:1MAT) is currently considered Significantly Undervalued. The stock's GF Value™ is €19.12, compared to a current price of €11.44 — trading 40.2% below its estimated fair value. The current Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is €0.65. Mattel's overall GF Score™ is 46/100 with 1 warning sign to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share calculated?
Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Mattel (MIL:1MAT), the current Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is €0.65 as of Mar. 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Mattel (MIL:1MAT) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Mattel stock appears to be undervalued. The current stock price of €11.44 is trading 40.2% below its estimated GF Value™ of €19.12. GuruFocus considers Mattel to be Significantly Undervalued.

Key valuation signals for MIL:1MAT:

  • Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share: €0.65
  • GF Value™: €19.12 vs. price of €11.44 (40.2% below fair value)
  • GF Score™: 46/100 with 1 warning sign

No single metric tells the full story. See the MIL:1MAT stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Mattel Business Description

Address 333 Continental Boulevard, El Segundo, CA, USA, 90245-5012
Mattel manufactures and markets toy products that are sold to its wholesale partners and direct to retail customers. The company offers products for children and families, including toys for infants and preschoolers, girls and boys, youth electronics, hand-held and other games, puzzles, educational toys, media-driven products, and plush and fashion-related toys. Mattel's owned portfolio includes Barbie, Hot Wheels, Fisher-Price, Thomas & Friends, and American Girl. In addition, it currently manufactures toy products for its segments both internally and externally (through manufacturing partners). Nearly 60% of its net sales were generated from North America in 2025, with the remainder stemming from international markets.
46GF Score

Get the complete analysis for MIL:1MAT

Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

€11.44
Price
€19.12
GF Value