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MORN (Morningstar) Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share : $6.70 (As of Dec. 2024)


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What is Morningstar Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share?

E10 is a concept invented by Prof. Robert Shiller, who uses E10 for his Shiller PE Ratio calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings of a company over the past 10 years. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share and the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF. The Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share of a company over the past 10 years.

Morningstar's adjusted free cash flow per share for the three months ended in Dec. 2024 was $2.617. Add all the adjusted free cash flow per share for the past 10 years together and divide the count will get our Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share, which is $6.70 for the trailing ten years ended in Dec. 2024.

During the past 12 months, Morningstar's average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate was 16.90% per year. During the past 3 years, the average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate was 9.50% per year. During the past 5 years, the average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate was 11.30% per year. During the past 10 years, the average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate was 11.50% per year. Please click Growth Rate Calculation Example (GuruFocus) to see how GuruFocus calculates Wal-Mart Stores Inc (WMT)'s revenue growth rate. You can apply the same method to get the Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate using Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share data.

During the past 13 years, the highest 3-Year average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate of Morningstar was 14.90% per year. The lowest was 6.00% per year. And the median was 9.70% per year.

As of today (2025-03-03), Morningstar's current stock price is $313.72. Morningstar's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share for the quarter that ended in Dec. 2024 was $6.70. Morningstar's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF of today is 46.82.

During the past 13 years, the highest Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF of Morningstar was 69.29. The lowest was 25.43. And the median was 39.54.


Morningstar Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Historical Data

The historical data trend for Morningstar's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Morningstar Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Chart

Morningstar Annual Data
Trend Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23 Dec24
Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 4.33 5.10 5.52 5.73 6.70

Morningstar Quarterly Data
Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Sep24 Dec24
Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 5.73 6.00 6.18 6.57 6.70

Competitive Comparison of Morningstar's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share

For the Financial Data & Stock Exchanges subindustry, Morningstar's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Morningstar's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF Distribution in the Capital Markets Industry

For the Capital Markets industry and Financial Services sector, Morningstar's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Morningstar's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF falls into.



Morningstar Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Calculation

E10 is a concept invented by Prof. Robert Shiller, who uses E10 for his Shiller PE Ratio calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings of a company over the past 10 years. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share and the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF. The Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share of a company over the past 10 years.

What is Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share? How do we calculate Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share?

Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share of a company over the past 10 years. Let's use an example to explain.

If we want to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share of Wal-Mart (WMT) for Dec. 31, 2010, we need to have the inflation data and the free cash flow per share from 2001 through 2010.

We adjusted the 2001 free cash flow per share data with the total inflation from 2001 through 2010 to the equivalent free cash flow in 2010. If the total inflation from 2001 to 2010 is 40%, and Wal-Mart's free cash flow is $1 a share in 2001, then the 2001's equivalent free cash flow in 2010 is $1.4 a share. If Wal-Mart's free cash flow is $1 again in 2002, and the total inflation from 2002 through 2010 is 35%, then the equivalent 2002 free cash flow in 2010 is $1.35. So on and so forth, you get the equivalent free cash flow per share of past 10 years. Then you add them together and divided the sum by the count to get Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share.

Please note that we use the CPI data of the country/region where the company is headquartered. If the CPI data for that country/region is not available, then we will use the CPI data of the United States as default.

For example, Morningstar's adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share data for the three months ended in Dec. 2024 was:

Adj_FreeCashFlowPerShare= Free Cash Flow per Share /CPI of Dec. 2024 (Change)*Current CPI (Dec. 2024)
=2.617/133.1571*133.1571
=2.617

Current CPI (Dec. 2024) = 133.1571.

Morningstar Quarterly Data

Free Cash Flow per Share CPI Adj_FreeCashFlowPerShare
201503 0.463 99.621 0.619
201506 1.459 100.684 1.930
201509 1.429 100.392 1.895
201512 0.807 99.792 1.077
201603 -0.049 100.470 -0.065
201606 1.282 101.688 1.679
201609 0.977 101.861 1.277
201612 1.275 101.863 1.667
201703 0.745 102.862 0.964
201706 0.852 103.349 1.098
201709 1.154 104.136 1.476
201712 1.527 104.011 1.955
201803 0.986 105.290 1.247
201806 1.205 106.317 1.509
201809 1.397 106.507 1.747
201812 1.963 105.998 2.466
201903 0.937 107.251 1.163
201906 1.599 108.070 1.970
201909 1.981 108.329 2.435
201912 1.370 108.420 1.683
202003 0.776 108.902 0.949
202006 2.560 108.767 3.134
202009 1.639 109.815 1.987
202012 2.144 109.897 2.598
202103 0.958 111.754 1.141
202106 2.506 114.631 2.911
202109 2.129 115.734 2.450
202112 2.419 117.630 2.738
202203 -0.104 121.301 -0.114
202206 0.862 125.017 0.918
202209 1.602 125.227 1.703
202212 1.582 125.222 1.682
202303 -0.144 127.348 -0.151
202306 -0.136 128.729 -0.141
202309 2.364 129.860 2.424
202312 2.495 129.419 2.567
202403 1.384 131.776 1.399
202406 2.803 132.554 2.816
202409 3.606 133.029 3.609
202412 2.617 133.157 2.617

Add all the adjusted free cash flow per share together and divide 10 will get our Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share.


Morningstar  (NAS:MORN) Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Explanation

If a company grows much fast than inflation, Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share may underestimate the company's free cash flow. Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF can seem to be too high even the actual Price-to-Free-Cash-Flow is low.

For the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF, the free cash flow per share of the past 10 years are inflation-adjusted and averaged. The result is used for P/FCF calculation. Since it looks at the average over the last 10 years, the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF is also called CAPFCF Ratio.

The Shiller PE Ratio was first used by professor Robert Shiller. He uses E10 for his Shiller PE Ratio calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings per share of a company over the past 10 years. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF. The Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted free cash flow per share of a company over the past 10 years.

Morningstar's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF of today is calculated as

Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF=Share Price/Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share
=313.72/6.70
=46.82

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

During the past 13 years, the highest Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF of Morningstar was 69.29. The lowest was 25.43. And the median was 39.54.


Be Aware

Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF works better for cyclical companies. It gives you a better idea on the company's real free cash flow value.


Morningstar Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Morningstar's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Morningstar Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
22 West Washington Street, Chicago, IL, USA, 60602
Morningstar Inc is a provider of independent investment research to financial advisers, asset managers, and investors. The company focuses its operations on two core sectors: data and research. It offers data on investments such as mutual funds, stocks, exchange-traded funds, closed-end funds, separate accounts, and variable annuities. Further, the company tracks real-time market data of equity, derivative, currency exchanges, and other investments. In its research operation, Morningstar offers analyst research on passive and active mutual funds, alternative funds, and college saving plans. Morningstar's largest share of revenue is generated in the United States of America.
Executives
Joseph D Mansueto director, 10 percent owner, officer: Executive Chairman C/O MORNINGSTAR, INC., 225 WEST WACKER DRIVE, CHICAGO IL 60606
Jason Dubinsky officer: Chief Financial Officer C/O MORNINGSTAR, INC., 22 W. WASHINGTON STREET, CHICAGO IL 60602
William M Lyons director 225 WEST WACKER DRIVE, CHICAGO IL 60606
Daniel Joseph Dunn officer: Chief Revenue Officer C/O MORNINGSTAR, INC., 22 WEST WASHINGTON STREET, CHICAGO IL 60602
Caroline J Tsay director C/O ROSETTA STONE INC., 1919 NORTH LYNN STREET, 7TH FLOOR, ARLINGTON VA 22209
Steven N Kaplan director 1101 EAST 58TH STREET, CHICAGO IL 60637
Robin Diamonte director C/O MORNINGSTAR, INC., 22 WEST WASHINGTON ST., CHICAGO IL 60602
Gail S Landis director MORNINGSTAR, INC., 22 WEST WASHINGTON STREET, CHICAGO IL 60602
Bevin Desmond officer: Head of Talent and Culture C/O MORNINGSTAR, INC., 225 WEST WACKER DRIVE, CHICAGO IL 60606
Cheryl A Francis director 8237 GREYSTONE COURT, BURR RIDGE IL 60527
Doniel Sutton director C/O MORNINGSTAR, INC., 22 WEST WASHINGTON STREET, CHICAGO IL 60602
Stephen Joynt director C/O MORNINGSTAR, INC., 22 W. WASHINGTON STREET, CHICAGO IL 60602
Kimberly J Mcgarry officer: Global Controller & CAO 22 WEST WASHINGTON STREET, 6TH FLOOR, CHICAGO IL 60602
Kunal Kapoor director, officer: CEO MORNINGSTAR, INC., 22 WEST WASHINGTON STREET, CHICAGO IL 60602
Jack Noonan director 17000 GULF BLVD, UNIT B, N. REDINGTON BEACH FL 33708