SIGI (Selective Insurance Group) Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share: $13.38 (As of Jun. 2026)

Author: Vera Yuan Vera Yuan
Vera Yuan
Vera Yuan
Director of Data and Quant Analytics at GuruFocus
Focused on building reliable datasets, financial models, and research tools for value-minded investors. Committed to turning complex data into practical guidance for value-investing and long-term wealth.
Reviewed by: Charlie Tian Charlie Tian
Charlie Tian
Charlie Tian
Founder & CEO of GuruFocus
Dr. Charlie Tian is the founder and CEO of GuruFocus.com, a leading global investment research platform established in 2004. With a Ph.D. in physics, Dr. Tian transitioned from science to finance, applying a data-driven, disciplined approach to value investing.

SIGI Selective Insurance Group Inc SIGI
82 GF Score
Price $96.52
GF Value $100.41
Valuation Fairly Valued
! 6 Warning Signs
View Full Analysis

What is Selective Insurance Group Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share?

Selective Insurance Group SIGI +1.16% 82 Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is $13.38 as of Jun. 2026. GuruFocus rates SIGI with a GF Score™ of 82/100 and a GF Value™ of $100.41 (Fairly Valued). The stock has 6 warning signs investors should review.

E10 is a concept invented by Prof. Robert Shiller, who uses E10 for his Shiller PE Ratio calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings of a company over the past 10 years. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share and the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF. The Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share of a company over the past 10 years.

Selective Insurance Group's adjusted free cash flow per share for the three months ended in Jun. 2026 was $3.571. Add all the adjusted free cash flow per share for the past 10 years together and divide the count will get our Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share, which is $13.38 for the trailing ten years ended in Jun. 2026.

During the past 12 months, Selective Insurance Group's average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate was 15.50% per year. During the past 3 years, the average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate was 12.40% per year. During the past 5 years, the average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate was 14.90% per year. During the past 10 years, the average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate was 11.10% per year. Please click Growth Rate Calculation Example (GuruFocus) to see how GuruFocus calculates Wal-Mart Stores Inc (WMT)'s revenue growth rate. You can apply the same method to get the Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate using Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share data.

During the past 13 years, the highest 3-Year average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate of Selective Insurance Group was 17.40% per year. The lowest was -4.10% per year. And the median was 6.80% per year.

As of today (2026-08-04), Selective Insurance Group's current stock price is $96.5225. Selective Insurance Group's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share for the quarter that ended in Jun. 2026 was $13.38. Selective Insurance Group's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF of today is 7.21.

During the past 13 years, the highest Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF of Selective Insurance Group was 15.41. The lowest was 5.93. And the median was 10.70.


Selective Insurance Group  (NAS:SIGI) Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Explanation

If a company grows much fast than inflation, Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share may underestimate the company's free cash flow. Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF can seem to be too high even the actual Price-to-Free-Cash-Flow is low.

For the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF, the free cash flow per share of the past 10 years are inflation-adjusted and averaged. The result is used for P/FCF calculation. Since it looks at the average over the last 10 years, the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF is also called CAPFCF Ratio.

The Shiller PE Ratio was first used by professor Robert Shiller. He uses E10 for his Shiller PE Ratio calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings per share of a company over the past 10 years. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF. The Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted free cash flow per share of a company over the past 10 years.

Selective Insurance Group's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF of today is calculated as

Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF=Share Price/Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share
=96.5225/13.38
=7.21

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

During the past 13 years, the highest Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF of Selective Insurance Group was 15.41. The lowest was 5.93. And the median was 10.70.


Be Aware

Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF works better for cyclical companies. It gives you a better idea on the company's real free cash flow value.


Selective Insurance Group Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Related Terms


Selective Insurance Group Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for Selective Insurance Group's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Selective Insurance Group Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Chart

Selective Insurance Group Annual Data
Trend Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23 Dec24 Dec25
Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 7.46 8.73 9.48 11.01 12.41

Selective Insurance Group Quarterly Data
Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Sep24 Dec24 Mar25 Jun25 Sep25 Dec25 Mar26 Jun26
Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 11.58 12.11 12.41 12.97 13.38

SIGI vs RLI, MCY, WTM: Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Comparison

For the Insurance - Property & Casualty subindustry, Selective Insurance Group's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Selective Insurance Group Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF vs Insurance Industry

For the Insurance industry and Financial Services sector, Selective Insurance Group's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Selective Insurance Group's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF falls into.


SIGI
82GF Score
Selective Insurance Group Inc SIGI
Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

Selective Insurance Group Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Calculation

E10 is a concept invented by Prof. Robert Shiller, who uses E10 for his Shiller PE Ratio calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings of a company over the past 10 years. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share and the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF. The Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share of a company over the past 10 years.

What is Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share? How do we calculate Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share?

Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share of a company over the past 10 years. Let's use an example to explain.

If we want to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share of Wal-Mart (WMT) for Dec. 31, 2010, we need to have the inflation data and the free cash flow per share from 2001 through 2010.

We adjusted the 2001 free cash flow per share data with the total inflation from 2001 through 2010 to the equivalent free cash flow in 2010. If the total inflation from 2001 to 2010 is 40%, and Wal-Mart's free cash flow is $1 a share in 2001, then the 2001's equivalent free cash flow in 2010 is $1.4 a share. If Wal-Mart's free cash flow is $1 again in 2002, and the total inflation from 2002 through 2010 is 35%, then the equivalent 2002 free cash flow in 2010 is $1.35. So on and so forth, you get the equivalent free cash flow per share of past 10 years. Then you add them together and divided the sum by the count to get Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share.

Please note that we use the CPI data of the country/region where the company is headquartered. If the CPI data for that country/region is not available, then we will use the CPI data of the United States as default.

For example, Selective Insurance Group's adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share data for the three months ended in Jun. 2026 was:

Adj_FreeCashFlowPerShare= Free Cash Flow per Share /CPI of Jun. 2026 (Change)*Current CPI (Jun. 2026)
=3.571/333.9520*333.9520
=3.571

Current CPI (Jun. 2026) = 333.9520.

Selective Insurance Group Quarterly Data

Free Cash Flow per Share CPI Adj_FreeCashFlowPerShare
201609 1.926 241.428 2.664
201612 2.490 241.432 3.444
201703 0.331 243.801 0.453
201706 1.162 244.955 1.584
201709 3.205 246.819 4.336
201712 1.456 246.524 1.972
201803 -0.165 249.554 -0.221
201806 1.600 251.989 2.120
201809 3.279 252.439 4.338
201812 2.626 251.233 3.491
201903 0.643 254.202 0.845
201906 1.833 256.143 2.390
201909 2.379 256.759 3.094
201912 2.585 256.974 3.359
202003 0.507 258.115 0.656
202006 2.565 257.797 3.323
202009 2.960 260.280 3.798
202012 2.796 260.474 3.585
202103 2.083 264.877 2.626
202106 2.604 271.696 3.201
202109 4.047 274.310 4.927
202112 3.616 278.802 4.331
202203 1.398 287.504 1.624
202206 2.373 296.311 2.674
202209 3.851 296.808 4.333
202212 5.125 296.797 5.767
202303 2.139 301.836 2.367
202306 2.525 305.109 2.764
202309 3.662 307.789 3.973
202312 3.748 306.746 4.080
202403 1.764 312.332 1.886
202406 4.243 314.175 4.510
202409 6.167 315.301 6.532
202412 5.295 315.605 5.603
202503 4.421 319.799 4.617
202506 2.606 322.561 2.698
202509 6.510 324.800 6.693
202512 6.040 324.054 6.224
202603 3.480 330.213 3.519
202606 3.571 333.952 3.571

Add all the adjusted free cash flow per share together and divide 10 will get our Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share.

What does a Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share of $13.38 mean?
Selective Insurance Group (SIGI) has a Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share of $13.38 as of Jun. 2026. Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share represents the company's inflation-adjusted FCF per share over a 10-year period. View historical data on Selective Insurance Group and its competitors.
Is Selective Insurance Group's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share too high?
Selective Insurance Group's current Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is $13.38. Overall, Selective Insurance Group has a GF Score™ of 82/100 and is considered Fairly Valued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Selective Insurance Group's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share compare to RLI and MCY?
Selective Insurance Group's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share of $13.38 can be compared against companies in the Insurance industry. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share for an Insurance company?
A good Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share depends on the Insurance industry context. However, Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share mean?
A high Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share represents the company's inflation-adjusted FCF per share over a 10-year period. View historical data on Selective Insurance Group and its competitors. Selective Insurance Group's current Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is $13.38. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Selective Insurance Group stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Selective Insurance Group (SIGI) is currently considered Fairly Valued. The stock's GF Value™ is $100.41, compared to a current price of $96.52 — trading 3.9% below its estimated fair value. The current Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is $13.38. Selective Insurance Group's overall GF Score™ is 82/100 with 6 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share calculated?
Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Selective Insurance Group (SIGI), the current Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is $13.38 as of Jun. 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Selective Insurance Group (SIGI) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Selective Insurance Group stock appears to be undervalued. The current stock price of $96.52 is trading 3.9% below its estimated GF Value™ of $100.41. GuruFocus considers Selective Insurance Group to be Fairly Valued.

Key valuation signals for SIGI:

  • Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share: $13.38
  • GF Value™: $100.41 vs. price of $96.52 (3.9% below fair value)
  • GF Score™: 82/100 with 6 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the SIGI stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Selective Insurance Group Business Description

Other Exchanges SIGIP.PFD:USASV2:Germany
Address 40 Wantage Avenue, Branchville, NJ, USA, 07890
Selective Insurance Group Inc is a regional property-casualty insurer based in New Jersey, with its operations focused in the New York metropolitan area. The Company has four operating segments: Standard Commercial Lines, Standard Personal Lines, E&S Lines, and Investments. Majority of revenue is gained from Standard Commercial Lines segment, which comprises of property and casualty insurance products and services provided in the standard marketplace to commercial enterprises, which are typically businesses, non-profit organizations, and local government agencies.
82GF Score

Get the complete analysis for SIGI

Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

$96.52
Price
$100.41
GF Value