Ellington Financial (STU:1EL) Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share: €-4.03 (As of Mar. 2026)

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STU:1EL Ellington Financial Inc STU:1EL
57 GF Score
Price €11.50
GF Value €9.64
Valuation Modestly Overvalued
! 8 Warning Signs
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What is Ellington Financial Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share?

Ellington Financial STU:1EL -1.71% 57 Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is €-4.03 as of Mar. 2026. GuruFocus rates STU:1EL with a GF Score™ of 57/100 and a GF Value™ of €9.64 (Modestly Overvalued). The stock has 8 warning signs investors should review.

E10 is a concept invented by Prof. Robert Shiller, who uses E10 for his Shiller PE Ratio calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings of a company over the past 10 years. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share and the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF. The Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share of a company over the past 10 years.

Ellington Financial's adjusted free cash flow per share for the three months ended in Mar. 2026 was €-0.070. Add all the adjusted free cash flow per share for the past 10 years together and divide the count will get our Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share, which is €-4.03 for the trailing ten years ended in Mar. 2026.

During the past 3 years, the average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate was -4.80% per year. During the past 5 years, the average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate was 10.60% per year. Please click Growth Rate Calculation Example (GuruFocus) to see how GuruFocus calculates Wal-Mart Stores Inc (WMT)'s revenue growth rate. You can apply the same method to get the Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate using Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share data.

During the past 13 years, the highest 3-Year average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate of Ellington Financial was 36.80% per year. The lowest was -4.80% per year. And the median was 19.25% per year.

As of today (2026-08-01), Ellington Financial's current stock price is €11.50. Ellington Financial's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share for the quarter that ended in Mar. 2026 was €-4.03. Ellington Financial's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF of today is .


Ellington Financial  (STU:1EL) Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Explanation

If a company grows much fast than inflation, Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share may underestimate the company's free cash flow. Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF can seem to be too high even the actual Price-to-Free-Cash-Flow is low.

For the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF, the free cash flow per share of the past 10 years are inflation-adjusted and averaged. The result is used for P/FCF calculation. Since it looks at the average over the last 10 years, the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF is also called CAPFCF Ratio.

The Shiller PE Ratio was first used by professor Robert Shiller. He uses E10 for his Shiller PE Ratio calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings per share of a company over the past 10 years. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF. The Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted free cash flow per share of a company over the past 10 years.


Be Aware

Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF works better for cyclical companies. It gives you a better idea on the company's real free cash flow value.


Ellington Financial Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Related Terms


Ellington Financial Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for Ellington Financial's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Ellington Financial Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Chart

Ellington Financial Annual Data
Trend Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23 Dec24 Dec25
Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 0.00 0.00 -2.80 -0.98 -3.99

Ellington Financial Quarterly Data
Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Sep24 Dec24 Mar25 Jun25 Sep25 Dec25 Mar26
Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.34 -2.42 -2.77 -3.99 -4.03

STU:1EL vs ARR, ORC, TWO: Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Comparison

For the REIT - Mortgage subindustry, Ellington Financial's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Ellington Financial Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF vs REITs Industry

For the REITs industry and Real Estate sector, Ellington Financial's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Ellington Financial's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF falls into.


STU:1EL
57GF Score
Ellington Financial Inc STU:1EL
Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

Ellington Financial Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Calculation

E10 is a concept invented by Prof. Robert Shiller, who uses E10 for his Shiller PE Ratio calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings of a company over the past 10 years. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share and the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF. The Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share of a company over the past 10 years.

What is Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share? How do we calculate Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share?

Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share of a company over the past 10 years. Let's use an example to explain.

If we want to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share of Wal-Mart (WMT) for Dec. 31, 2010, we need to have the inflation data and the free cash flow per share from 2001 through 2010.

We adjusted the 2001 free cash flow per share data with the total inflation from 2001 through 2010 to the equivalent free cash flow in 2010. If the total inflation from 2001 to 2010 is 40%, and Wal-Mart's free cash flow is $1 a share in 2001, then the 2001's equivalent free cash flow in 2010 is $1.4 a share. If Wal-Mart's free cash flow is $1 again in 2002, and the total inflation from 2002 through 2010 is 35%, then the equivalent 2002 free cash flow in 2010 is $1.35. So on and so forth, you get the equivalent free cash flow per share of past 10 years. Then you add them together and divided the sum by the count to get Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share.

Please note that we use the CPI data of the country/region where the company is headquartered. If the CPI data for that country/region is not available, then we will use the CPI data of the United States as default.

For example, Ellington Financial's adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share data for the three months ended in Mar. 2026 was:

Adj_FreeCashFlowPerShare= Free Cash Flow per Share /CPI of Mar. 2026 (Change)*Current CPI (Mar. 2026)
=-0.07/330.2130*330.2130
=-0.070

Current CPI (Mar. 2026) = 330.2130.

Ellington Financial Quarterly Data

Free Cash Flow per Share CPI Adj_FreeCashFlowPerShare
201606 2.935 241.018 4.021
201609 2.030 241.428 2.777
201612 -2.744 241.432 -3.753
201703 -3.120 243.801 -4.226
201706 -0.213 244.955 -0.287
201709 -0.232 246.819 -0.310
201712 -9.005 246.524 -12.062
201803 -3.280 249.554 -4.340
201806 -2.806 251.989 -3.677
201809 -5.610 252.439 -7.338
201812 -2.142 251.233 -2.815
201903 0.625 254.202 0.812
201906 0.665 256.143 0.857
201909 0.354 256.759 0.455
201912 0.580 256.974 0.745
202003 0.613 258.115 0.784
202006 0.763 257.797 0.977
202009 0.311 260.280 0.395
202012 0.695 260.474 0.881
202103 0.176 264.877 0.219
202106 0.664 271.696 0.807
202109 0.250 274.310 0.301
202112 -0.118 278.802 -0.140
202203 0.519 287.504 0.596
202206 0.763 296.311 0.850
202209 -0.187 296.808 -0.208
202212 -0.422 296.797 -0.470
202303 -0.682 301.836 -0.746
202306 -0.596 305.109 -0.645
202309 -0.968 307.789 -1.039
202312 -1.014 306.746 -1.092
202403 -0.648 312.332 -0.685
202406 -0.968 314.175 -1.017
202409 -1.450 315.301 -1.519
202412 -1.524 315.605 -1.595
202503 -1.293 319.799 -1.335
202506 -1.904 322.561 -1.949
202509 -2.409 324.800 -2.449
202512 -2.416 324.054 -2.462
202603 -0.070 330.213 -0.070

Add all the adjusted free cash flow per share together and divide 10 will get our Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share.

What does a Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share of €-4.03 mean?
Ellington Financial (STU:1EL) has a Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share of €-4.03 as of Mar. 2026. Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share represents the company's inflation-adjusted FCF per share over a 10-year period. View historical data on Ellington Financial and its competitors.
Is Ellington Financial's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share too high?
Ellington Financial's current Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is €-4.03. Overall, Ellington Financial has a GF Score™ of 57/100 and is considered Modestly Overvalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Ellington Financial's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share compare to ARR and ORC?
Ellington Financial's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share of €-4.03 can be compared against companies in the REITs industry. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share for a REITs company?
A good Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share depends on the REITs industry context. However, Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share mean?
A high Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share represents the company's inflation-adjusted FCF per share over a 10-year period. View historical data on Ellington Financial and its competitors. Ellington Financial's current Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is €-4.03. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Ellington Financial stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Ellington Financial (STU:1EL) is currently considered Modestly Overvalued. The stock's GF Value™ is €9.64, compared to a current price of €11.50 — trading 19.3% above its estimated fair value. The current Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is €-4.03. Ellington Financial's overall GF Score™ is 57/100 with 8 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share calculated?
Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Ellington Financial (STU:1EL), the current Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is €-4.03 as of Mar. 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Ellington Financial (STU:1EL) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Ellington Financial stock appears to be overvalued. The current stock price of €11.50 is trading 19.3% above its estimated GF Value™ of €9.64. GuruFocus considers Ellington Financial to be Modestly Overvalued.

Key valuation signals for STU:1EL:

  • Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share: €-4.03
  • GF Value™: €9.64 vs. price of €11.50 (19.3% above fair value)
  • GF Score™: 57/100 with 8 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the STU:1EL stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Ellington Financial Business Description

Industry Real EstateREITs
Other Exchanges EFC:USA1EL:Germany
Address 53 Forest Avenue, Old Greenwich, CT, USA, 06870
Ellington Financial Inc is a specialty finance company. Its primary investment objective is to generate attractive, risk-adjusted total returns for its shareholders by making investments. The company has two reportable segments; The Investment Portfolio Segment is focused on investing in a diverse array of financial assets, including residential and commercial mortgage loans, residential mortgage-backed securities, non-mortgage- and mortgage-related derivatives, debt and equity investments in loan origination companies, and other strategic investments, and The Longbridge Segment is focused on the origination and servicing of reverse mortgage loans. It acquires reverse mortgage loans both through its origination activities and through secondary market purchases.
57GF Score

Get the complete analysis for STU:1EL

Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

€11.50
Price
€9.64
GF Value