AAR (STU:ARZ) Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share: €0.61 (As of May. 2026)

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STU:ARZ AAR Corp STU:ARZ
79 GF Score
Price €112.90
GF Value €74.77
Valuation Significantly Overvalued
! 7 Warning Signs
View Full Analysis

What is AAR Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share?

AAR STU:ARZ +2.82% 79 Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is €0.61 as of May. 2026. GuruFocus rates STU:ARZ with a GF Score™ of 79/100 and a GF Value™ of €74.77 (Significantly Overvalued). The stock has 7 warning signs investors should review.

E10 is a concept invented by Prof. Robert Shiller, who uses E10 for his Shiller PE Ratio calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings of a company over the past 10 years. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share and the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF. The Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share of a company over the past 10 years.

AAR's adjusted free cash flow per share for the three months ended in May. 2026 was €0.839. Add all the adjusted free cash flow per share for the past 10 years together and divide the count will get our Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share, which is €0.61 for the trailing ten years ended in May. 2026.

During the past 12 months, AAR's average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate was 22.40% per year. During the past 3 years, the average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate was 3.00% per year. During the past 5 years, the average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate was -8.10% per year. During the past 10 years, the average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate was -2.70% per year. Please click Growth Rate Calculation Example (GuruFocus) to see how GuruFocus calculates Wal-Mart Stores Inc (WMT)'s revenue growth rate. You can apply the same method to get the Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate using Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share data.

During the past 13 years, the highest 3-Year average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate of AAR was 132.10% per year. The lowest was -157.10% per year. And the median was 0.35% per year.

As of today (2026-07-25), AAR's current stock price is €112.90. AAR's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share for the quarter that ended in May. 2026 was €0.61. AAR's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF of today is 185.08.

During the past 13 years, the highest Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF of AAR was 347.60. The lowest was 19.66. And the median was 56.03.


AAR  (STU:ARZ) Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Explanation

If a company grows much fast than inflation, Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share may underestimate the company's free cash flow. Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF can seem to be too high even the actual Price-to-Free-Cash-Flow is low.

For the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF, the free cash flow per share of the past 10 years are inflation-adjusted and averaged. The result is used for P/FCF calculation. Since it looks at the average over the last 10 years, the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF is also called CAPFCF Ratio.

The Shiller PE Ratio was first used by professor Robert Shiller. He uses E10 for his Shiller PE Ratio calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings per share of a company over the past 10 years. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF. The Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted free cash flow per share of a company over the past 10 years.

AAR's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF of today is calculated as

Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF=Share Price/Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share
=112.90/0.61
=185.08

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

During the past 13 years, the highest Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF of AAR was 347.60. The lowest was 19.66. And the median was 56.03.


Be Aware

Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF works better for cyclical companies. It gives you a better idea on the company's real free cash flow value.


AAR Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Related Terms


AAR Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for AAR's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

AAR Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Chart

AAR Annual Data
Trend May17 May18 May19 May20 May21 May22 May23 May24 May25 May26
Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 0.96 0.61 0.27 0.51 0.61

AAR Quarterly Data
Aug21 Nov21 Feb22 May22 Aug22 Nov22 Feb23 May23 Aug23 Nov23 Feb24 May24 Aug24 Nov24 Feb25 May25 Aug25 Nov25 Feb26 May26
Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 0.51 0.63 0.54 0.77 0.61

STU:ARZ vs KRMN, VSEC, MRCY: Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Comparison

For the Aerospace & Defense subindustry, AAR's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


AAR Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF vs Aerospace & Defense Industry

For the Aerospace & Defense industry and Industrials sector, AAR's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where AAR's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF falls into.


STU:ARZ
79GF Score
AAR Corp STU:ARZ
Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

AAR Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Calculation

E10 is a concept invented by Prof. Robert Shiller, who uses E10 for his Shiller PE Ratio calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings of a company over the past 10 years. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share and the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF. The Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share of a company over the past 10 years.

What is Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share? How do we calculate Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share?

Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share of a company over the past 10 years. Let's use an example to explain.

If we want to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share of Wal-Mart (WMT) for Dec. 31, 2010, we need to have the inflation data and the free cash flow per share from 2001 through 2010.

We adjusted the 2001 free cash flow per share data with the total inflation from 2001 through 2010 to the equivalent free cash flow in 2010. If the total inflation from 2001 to 2010 is 40%, and Wal-Mart's free cash flow is $1 a share in 2001, then the 2001's equivalent free cash flow in 2010 is $1.4 a share. If Wal-Mart's free cash flow is $1 again in 2002, and the total inflation from 2002 through 2010 is 35%, then the equivalent 2002 free cash flow in 2010 is $1.35. So on and so forth, you get the equivalent free cash flow per share of past 10 years. Then you add them together and divided the sum by the count to get Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share.

Please note that we use the CPI data of the country/region where the company is headquartered. If the CPI data for that country/region is not available, then we will use the CPI data of the United States as default.

For example, AAR's adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share data for the three months ended in May. 2026 was:

Adj_FreeCashFlowPerShare= Free Cash Flow per Share /CPI of May. 2026 (Change)*Current CPI (May. 2026)
=0.839/335.1230*335.1230
=0.839

Current CPI (May. 2026) = 335.1230.

AAR Quarterly Data

Free Cash Flow per Share CPI Adj_FreeCashFlowPerShare
201608 -0.275 240.849 -0.383
201611 -0.261 241.353 -0.362
201702 -0.308 243.603 -0.424
201705 0.736 244.733 1.008
201708 -0.646 245.519 -0.882
201711 0.069 246.669 0.094
201802 0.892 248.991 1.201
201805 0.674 251.588 0.898
201808 -0.770 252.146 -1.023
201811 -0.309 252.038 -0.411
201902 1.406 252.776 1.864
201905 0.977 256.092 1.279
201908 -0.948 256.558 -1.238
201911 0.228 257.208 0.297
202002 0.024 258.678 0.031
202005 -0.856 256.394 -1.119
202008 0.859 259.918 1.108
202011 0.578 260.229 0.744
202102 0.338 263.014 0.431
202105 0.460 269.195 0.573
202108 0.017 273.567 0.021
202111 0.308 277.948 0.371
202202 0.289 283.716 0.341
202205 0.853 292.296 0.978
202208 0.003 296.171 0.003
202211 -1.476 297.711 -1.661
202302 0.208 300.840 0.232
202305 0.993 304.127 1.094
202308 -0.726 307.026 -0.792
202311 0.264 307.051 0.288
202402 0.384 310.326 0.415
202405 0.402 314.069 0.429
202408 -0.675 314.796 -0.719
202411 0.367 315.493 0.390
202502 -0.781 319.082 -0.820
202505 0.935 321.465 0.975
202508 -1.283 323.976 -1.327
202511 0.141 324.122 0.146
202602 0.904 326.785 0.927
202605 0.839 335.123 0.839

Add all the adjusted free cash flow per share together and divide 10 will get our Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share.

What does a Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share of €0.61 mean?
AAR (STU:ARZ) has a Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share of €0.61 as of May. 2026. Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share represents the company's inflation-adjusted FCF per share over a 10-year period. View historical data on AAR and its competitors.
Is AAR's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share too high?
AAR's current Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is €0.61. Overall, AAR has a GF Score™ of 79/100 and is considered Significantly Overvalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does AAR's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share compare to KRMN and VSEC?
AAR's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share of €0.61 can be compared against companies in the Aerospace & Defense industry. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share for an Aerospace & Defense company?
A good Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share depends on the Aerospace & Defense industry context. However, Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share mean?
A high Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share represents the company's inflation-adjusted FCF per share over a 10-year period. View historical data on AAR and its competitors. AAR's current Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is €0.61. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is AAR stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, AAR (STU:ARZ) is currently considered Significantly Overvalued. The stock's GF Value™ is €74.77, compared to a current price of €112.90 — trading 51% above its estimated fair value. The current Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is €0.61. AAR's overall GF Score™ is 79/100 with 7 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share calculated?
Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is calculated from a company's financial statements. For AAR (STU:ARZ), the current Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is €0.61 as of May. 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is AAR (STU:ARZ) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, AAR stock appears to be overvalued. The current stock price of €112.90 is trading 51% above its estimated GF Value™ of €74.77. GuruFocus considers AAR to be Significantly Overvalued.

Key valuation signals for STU:ARZ:

  • Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share: €0.61
  • GF Value™: €74.77 vs. price of €112.90 (51% above fair value)
  • GF Score™: 79/100 with 7 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the STU:ARZ stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


AAR Business Description

Other Exchanges AIR:USAARZ:Germany
Address 1100 N. Wood Dale Road, One AAR Place, Wood Dale, IL, USA, 60191
AAR Corp is engaged in providing products and services to aviation, government and defense market. It operates in segments namely: The parts supply segment majorly consists of sales and leasing of USM and aftermarket distribution of new, OEM-supplied replacement parts; Repair & Engineering segment provides airframe maintenance, component repair, and landing gear overhaul services; Integrated Solutions segment consists of its fleet management and operations of customer-owned aircraft, customized performance-based supply chain logistics programs in support of the U.S. Department of Defense, flight hour component inventory; and The Expeditionary Services segment consists of products and services supporting the movement of equipment and personnel by the U.S. and foreign governments and NGOs.
79GF Score

Get the complete analysis for STU:ARZ

Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

€112.90
Price
€74.77
GF Value