First Quantum Minerals (TSX:FM) Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share: C$0.75 (As of Mar. 2026)

Author: Vera Yuan Vera Yuan
Vera Yuan
Vera Yuan
Director of Data and Quant Analytics at GuruFocus
Focused on building reliable datasets, financial models, and research tools for value-minded investors. Committed to turning complex data into practical guidance for value-investing and long-term wealth.
Reviewed by: Charlie Tian Charlie Tian
Charlie Tian
Charlie Tian
Founder & CEO of GuruFocus
Dr. Charlie Tian is the founder and CEO of GuruFocus.com, a leading global investment research platform established in 2004. With a Ph.D. in physics, Dr. Tian transitioned from science to finance, applying a data-driven, disciplined approach to value investing.

TSX:FM First Quantum Minerals Ltd TSX:FM
75 GF Score
Price C$38.94
GF Value C$22.67
Valuation Significantly Overvalued
! 3 Warning Signs
View Full Analysis

What is First Quantum Minerals Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share?

First Quantum Minerals TSX:FM +8.26% 75 Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is C$0.75 as of Mar. 2026. GuruFocus rates TSX:FM with a GF Score™ of 75/100 and a GF Value™ of C$22.67 (Significantly Overvalued). The stock has 3 warning signs investors should review.

E10 is a concept invented by Prof. Robert Shiller, who uses E10 for his Shiller PE Ratio calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings of a company over the past 10 years. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share and the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF. The Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share of a company over the past 10 years.

First Quantum Minerals's adjusted free cash flow per share for the three months ended in Mar. 2026 was C$0.254. Add all the adjusted free cash flow per share for the past 10 years together and divide the count will get our Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share, which is C$0.75 for the trailing ten years ended in Mar. 2026.

During the past 12 months, First Quantum Minerals's average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate was 44.20% per year. Please click Growth Rate Calculation Example (GuruFocus) to see how GuruFocus calculates Wal-Mart Stores Inc (WMT)'s revenue growth rate. You can apply the same method to get the Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate using Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share data.

During the past 13 years, the highest 3-Year average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate of First Quantum Minerals was 192.40% per year. The lowest was -117.50% per year. And the median was -7.70% per year.

As of today (2026-07-15), First Quantum Minerals's current stock price is C$38.94. First Quantum Minerals's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share for the quarter that ended in Mar. 2026 was C$0.75. First Quantum Minerals's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF of today is 51.92.

During the past 13 years, the highest Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF of First Quantum Minerals was 215.89. The lowest was 30.77. And the median was 47.88.


First Quantum Minerals  (TSX:FM) Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Explanation

If a company grows much fast than inflation, Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share may underestimate the company's free cash flow. Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF can seem to be too high even the actual Price-to-Free-Cash-Flow is low.

For the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF, the free cash flow per share of the past 10 years are inflation-adjusted and averaged. The result is used for P/FCF calculation. Since it looks at the average over the last 10 years, the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF is also called CAPFCF Ratio.

The Shiller PE Ratio was first used by professor Robert Shiller. He uses E10 for his Shiller PE Ratio calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings per share of a company over the past 10 years. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF. The Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted free cash flow per share of a company over the past 10 years.

First Quantum Minerals's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF of today is calculated as

Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF=Share Price/Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share
=38.94/0.75
=51.92

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

During the past 13 years, the highest Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF of First Quantum Minerals was 215.89. The lowest was 30.77. And the median was 47.88.


Be Aware

Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF works better for cyclical companies. It gives you a better idea on the company's real free cash flow value.


First Quantum Minerals Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Related Terms


First Quantum Minerals Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for First Quantum Minerals's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

First Quantum Minerals Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Chart

First Quantum Minerals Annual Data
Trend Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23 Dec24 Dec25
Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -0.88 -0.45 -0.05 0.46 0.71

First Quantum Minerals Quarterly Data
Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Sep24 Dec24 Mar25 Jun25 Sep25 Dec25 Mar26
Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 0.52 0.67 0.87 0.71 0.75

TSX:FM vs SCCO, FCX: Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Comparison

For the Copper subindustry, First Quantum Minerals's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


First Quantum Minerals Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF vs Metals & Mining Industry

For the Metals & Mining industry and Basic Materials sector, First Quantum Minerals's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where First Quantum Minerals's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF falls into.


TSX:FM
75GF Score
First Quantum Minerals Ltd TSX:FM
Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

First Quantum Minerals Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Calculation

E10 is a concept invented by Prof. Robert Shiller, who uses E10 for his Shiller PE Ratio calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings of a company over the past 10 years. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share and the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF. The Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share of a company over the past 10 years.

What is Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share? How do we calculate Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share?

Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share of a company over the past 10 years. Let's use an example to explain.

If we want to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share of Wal-Mart (WMT) for Dec. 31, 2010, we need to have the inflation data and the free cash flow per share from 2001 through 2010.

We adjusted the 2001 free cash flow per share data with the total inflation from 2001 through 2010 to the equivalent free cash flow in 2010. If the total inflation from 2001 to 2010 is 40%, and Wal-Mart's free cash flow is $1 a share in 2001, then the 2001's equivalent free cash flow in 2010 is $1.4 a share. If Wal-Mart's free cash flow is $1 again in 2002, and the total inflation from 2002 through 2010 is 35%, then the equivalent 2002 free cash flow in 2010 is $1.35. So on and so forth, you get the equivalent free cash flow per share of past 10 years. Then you add them together and divided the sum by the count to get Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share.

Please note that we use the CPI data of the country/region where the company is headquartered. If the CPI data for that country/region is not available, then we will use the CPI data of the United States as default.

For example, First Quantum Minerals's adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share data for the three months ended in Mar. 2026 was:

Adj_FreeCashFlowPerShare= Free Cash Flow per Share /CPI of Mar. 2026 (Change)*Current CPI (Mar. 2026)
=0.254/132.2623*132.2623
=0.254

Current CPI (Mar. 2026) = 132.2623.

First Quantum Minerals Quarterly Data

Free Cash Flow per Share CPI Adj_FreeCashFlowPerShare
201606 0.039 102.002 0.051
201609 -0.011 101.765 -0.014
201612 -0.410 101.449 -0.535
201703 -0.141 102.634 -0.182
201706 -0.306 103.029 -0.393
201709 -0.381 103.345 -0.488
201712 -0.549 103.345 -0.703
201803 0.670 105.004 0.844
201806 -0.320 105.557 -0.401
201809 -0.159 105.636 -0.199
201812 -0.522 105.399 -0.655
201903 -0.559 106.979 -0.691
201906 -0.451 107.690 -0.554
201909 -0.229 107.611 -0.281
201912 0.144 107.769 0.177
202003 0.615 107.927 0.754
202006 0.049 108.401 0.060
202009 0.603 108.164 0.737
202012 0.671 108.559 0.818
202103 1.023 110.298 1.227
202106 0.733 111.720 0.868
202109 0.785 112.905 0.920
202112 0.895 113.774 1.040
202203 0.707 117.646 0.795
202206 1.163 120.806 1.273
202209 0.441 120.648 0.483
202212 -0.157 120.964 -0.172
202303 0.067 122.702 0.072
202306 0.762 124.203 0.811
202309 0.437 125.230 0.462
202312 -1.026 125.072 -1.085
202403 0.263 126.258 0.276
202406 0.048 127.522 0.050
202409 -0.112 127.285 -0.116
202412 0.443 127.364 0.460
202503 -0.173 129.181 -0.177
202506 0.770 129.892 0.784
202509 1.521 130.287 1.544
202512 -0.559 130.366 -0.567
202603 0.254 132.262 0.254

Add all the adjusted free cash flow per share together and divide 10 will get our Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share.

What does a Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share of C$0.75 mean?
First Quantum Minerals (TSX:FM) has a Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share of C$0.75 as of Mar. 2026. Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share represents the company's inflation-adjusted FCF per share over a 10-year period. View historical data on First Quantum Minerals and its competitors.
Is First Quantum Minerals' Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share too high?
First Quantum Minerals' current Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is C$0.75. Overall, First Quantum Minerals has a GF Score™ of 75/100 and is considered Significantly Overvalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does First Quantum Minerals' Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share compare to SCCO and FCX?
First Quantum Minerals' Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share of C$0.75 can be compared against companies in the Metals & Mining industry. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share for a Metals & Mining company?
A good Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share depends on the Metals & Mining industry context. However, Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share mean?
A high Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share represents the company's inflation-adjusted FCF per share over a 10-year period. View historical data on First Quantum Minerals and its competitors. First Quantum Minerals's current Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is C$0.75. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is First Quantum Minerals stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, First Quantum Minerals (TSX:FM) is currently considered Significantly Overvalued. The stock's GF Value™ is C$22.67, compared to a current price of C$38.94 — trading 71.8% above its estimated fair value. The current Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is C$0.75. First Quantum Minerals' overall GF Score™ is 75/100 with 3 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share calculated?
Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is calculated from a company's financial statements. For First Quantum Minerals (TSX:FM), the current Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is C$0.75 as of Mar. 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is First Quantum Minerals (TSX:FM) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, First Quantum Minerals stock appears to be overvalued. The current stock price of C$38.94 is trading 71.8% above its estimated GF Value™ of C$22.67. GuruFocus considers First Quantum Minerals to be Significantly Overvalued.

Key valuation signals for TSX:FM:

  • Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share: C$0.75
  • GF Value™: C$22.67 vs. price of C$38.94 (71.8% above fair value)
  • GF Score™: 75/100 with 3 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the TSX:FM stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


First Quantum Minerals Business Description

Other Exchanges FQVLF:USAIZ1:Germany
Address 330 Bay Street, Suite 1101, Toronto, ON, CAN, M5H 2S8
First Quantum Minerals Ltd is a diversified mining company. The company's principal activities include mineral exploration, mine engineering and construction, and development and mining operations. The firm produces copper in concentrate, copper anode, copper cathode, nickel, gold, zinc, silver, acid, and pyrite. It has operating mines located in Zambia, Panama, Turkey, Spain, Australia, and Mauritania. The company's reportable operating segments are Cobre Panama, Kansanshi, and Trident.
75GF Score

Get the complete analysis for TSX:FM

Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

C$38.94
Price
C$22.67
GF Value