First Quantum Minerals (TSX:FM) Altman Z-Score: 1.67 (As of Jun. 29, 2026) — 59% Above Median


TSX:FM First Quantum Minerals Ltd TSX:FM
75 GF Score
Price C$37.30
GF Value C$22.23
Valuation Significantly Overvalued
! 3 Warning Signs
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What is First Quantum Minerals Altman Z-Score?

First Quantum Minerals TSX:FM -0.37% 75 Altman Z-Score is 1.67 as of Jun. 29, 2026, which is 59% above its 10-year median of 1.05. GuruFocus rates TSX:FM with a GF Score™ of 75/100 and a GF Value™ of C$22.23 (Significantly Overvalued). The stock has 3 warning signs investors should review. Among 787 Metals & Mining companies, First Quantum Minerals ranks worse than 73.7% on this metric.

The Altman Z-Score is a model designed to predict the likelihood of a company going bankrupt within the next two years. Created by American finance professor Edward Altman in 1968, the model is specifically designed for publicly traded manufacturing companies with assets greater than $1 million.

Warning Sign:

Altman Z-score of 1.67 is in distress zone. This implies bankruptcy possibility in the next two years.

First Quantum Minerals has a Altman Z-Score of 1.67, indicating it is in Distress Zones. This implies bankrupcy possibility in the next two years.

The zones of discrimination were as such:

When Altman Z-Score <= 1.8, it is in Distress Zones.
When Altman Z-Score >= 3, it is in Safe Zones.
When Altman Z-Score is between 1.8 and 3, it is in Grey Zones.

The historical rank and industry rank for First Quantum Minerals's Altman Z-Score or its related term are showing as below:

TSX:FM' s Altman Z-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 0.62   Med: 1.05   Max: 2.09
Current: 1.67

During the past 13 years, First Quantum Minerals's highest Altman Z-Score was 2.09. The lowest was 0.62. And the median was 1.05.


First Quantum Minerals  (TSX:FM) Altman Z-Score Explanation

X1: The Working Capital/Total Assets (WC/TA) ratio is a measure of the net liquid assets of the firm relative to the total capitalization. Working capital is defined as the difference between current assets and current liabilities. Ordinarily, a firm experiencing consistent operating losses will have shrinking current assets in relation to total assets. Altman found this one proved to be the most valuable liquidity ratio comparing with the current ratio and the quick ratio. This is however the least significant of the five factors.

X2: Retained Earnings/Total Assets: the RE/TA ratio measures the leverage of a firm. Retained earnings is the account which reports the total amount of reinvested earnings and/or losses of a firm over its entire life. Those firms with high RE, relative to TA, have financed their assets through retention of profits and have not utilized as much debt.

X3, Earnings Before Interest and Taxes/Total Assets (EBIT/TA): This ratio is a measure of the true productivity of the firm's assets, independent of any tax or leverage factors. Since a firm's ultimate existence is based on the earning power of its assets, this ratio appears to be particularly appropriate for studies dealing with corporate failure. This ratio continually outperforms other profitability measures, including cash flow.

X4, Market Value of Equity/Book Value of Total Liabilities (MVE/TL): The measure shows how much the firm's assets can decline in value (measured by market value of equity plus debt) before the liabilities exceed the assets and the firm becomes insolvent.

X5, Revenue/Total Assets (S/TA): The capital-turnover ratio is a standard financial ratio illustrating the sales generating ability of the firm's assets.

Read more about Altman Z-Score and the original research.


Be Aware

Altman Z-Score does not apply to financial companies.


First Quantum Minerals Altman Z-Score Related Terms


First Quantum Minerals Altman Z-Score Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for First Quantum Minerals's Altman Z-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

First Quantum Minerals Altman Z-Score Chart

First Quantum Minerals Annual Data
Trend Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23 Dec24 Dec25
Altman Z-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 1.67 1.64 0.91 1.22 1.64

First Quantum Minerals Quarterly Data
Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Sep24 Dec24 Mar25 Jun25 Sep25 Dec25 Mar26
Altman Z-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 1.24 1.44 1.56 1.64 1.57

TSX:FM vs SCCO, FCX: Altman Z-Score Comparison

For the Copper subindustry, First Quantum Minerals's Altman Z-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Altman Z-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


First Quantum Minerals Altman Z-Score vs Metals & Mining Industry

For the Metals & Mining industry and Basic Materials sector, First Quantum Minerals's Altman Z-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where First Quantum Minerals's Altman Z-Score falls into.


TSX:FM
75GF Score
First Quantum Minerals Ltd TSX:FM
Altman Z-Score is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
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First Quantum Minerals Altman Z-Score Calculation

Altman Z-Score model is an accurate forecaster of failure up to two years prior to distress. It can be considered the assessment of the distress of industrial corporations.

First Quantum Minerals's Altman Z-Score for today is calculated with this formula:

Z=1.2*X1+1.4*X2+3.3*X3+0.6*X4+1.0*X5
=1.2*0.064+1.4*0.1872+3.3*0.0377+0.6*1.6534+1.0*0.2185
=1.67

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency. GuruFocus does not calculate Altman Z-Score when X4 or X5 value is 0.

Trailing Twelve Months (TTM) ended in Mar. 2026:
Total Assets was C$34,319 Mil.
Total Current Assets was C$5,085 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was C$2,888 Mil.
Retained Earnings was C$6,424 Mil.
Pre-Tax Income was -107.016 + 419.368 + 41.502 + 95.676 = C$450 Mil.
Interest Expense was -214.032 + -200.028 + -218.577 + -210.487 = C$-843 Mil.
Revenue was 1926.288 + 2034.763 + 1862.056 + 1675.697 = C$7,499 Mil.
Market Cap (Today) was C$30,891 Mil.
Total Liabilities was C$18,684 Mil.

* Note that for stock reported semi-annually or annually, GuruFocus uses latest annual data as the TTM data.

X1=Working Capital/Total Assets
=(Total Current Assets - Total Current Liabilities)/Total Assets
=(5084.632 - 2888.06)/34319.208
=0.064

X2=Retained Earnings/Total Assets
=6423.704/34319.208
=0.1872

X3=Earnings Before Interest and Taxes/Total Assets
=(Pre-Tax Income - Interest Expense)/Total Assets
=(449.53 - -843.124)/34319.208
=0.0377

X4=Market Value Equity/Book Value of Total Liabilities
=Market Cap/Total Liabilities
=30891.343/18683.896
=1.6534

X5=Revenue/Total Assets
=7498.804/34319.208
=0.2185

The zones of discrimination were as such:

Distress Zones - 1.81 < Grey Zones < 2.99 - Safe Zones

First Quantum Minerals has a Altman Z-Score of 1.67 indicating it is in Distress Zones.

Study by Altman found that companies that are in Distress Zone have more than 80% of chances of bankruptcy in two years.

Frequently Asked Questions Learn more about Altman Z-Score →
What does a Altman Z-Score of 1.67 mean?
First Quantum Minerals (TSX:FM) has a Altman Z-Score of 1.67 as of Jun. 29, 2026. The Altman Z-score measures a company's bankruptcy risk. View historical data on First Quantum Minerals and its competitors. This is 59% above median its historical median of 1.05. Over the past decade, First Quantum Minerals' Altman Z-Score has ranged from 0.62 to 2.09. According to the industry distribution chart, First Quantum Minerals ranks #580 out of 787 companies in the Metals & Mining industry, placing it in the top 73.7%.
Is First Quantum Minerals' Altman Z-Score too high?
First Quantum Minerals' current Altman Z-Score of 1.67 is 59% above median its 10-year median of 1.05. Over the past 10 years, this metric has ranged from a low of 0.62 to a high of 2.09. The Metals & Mining industry median Altman Z-Score is 3.36. First Quantum Minerals' value of 1.67 is 50.3% below this industry median. Based on the distribution chart, First Quantum Minerals ranks #580 out of 787 companies in the Metals & Mining industry, which is below the industry midpoint. Overall, First Quantum Minerals has a GF Score™ of 75/100 and is considered Significantly Overvalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does First Quantum Minerals' Altman Z-Score compare to SCCO and FCX?
According to the Metals & Mining industry distribution chart, First Quantum Minerals ranks #580 out of 787 companies for Altman Z-Score. This places First Quantum Minerals in the lower half of its industry. The industry median Altman Z-Score is 3.36. First Quantum Minerals' value of 1.67 is 50.3% below this benchmark. Historically, First Quantum Minerals' own Altman Z-Score has ranged from 0.62 to 2.09 over the past decade. While the company's 10-year median is 1.05 vs. the industry median of 3.36, First Quantum Minerals has consistently been below the industry average. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Altman Z-Score for a Metals & Mining company?
The median Altman Z-Score among Metals & Mining companies is 3.36, based on 787 companies in the industry. Companies in the top quartile (top 25%) have a Altman Z-Score significantly above this median, while those in the bottom quartile fall well below. However, Altman Z-Score should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. First Quantum Minerals's current Altman Z-Score of 1.67 is 50.3% below the industry median. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Altman Z-Score mean?
A high Altman Z-Score can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. The Altman Z-score measures a company's bankruptcy risk. View historical data on First Quantum Minerals and its competitors. For the Metals & Mining industry, the median Altman Z-Score is 3.36 — values significantly above this may indicate overvaluation, while values below may suggest a bargain or underlying issues. First Quantum Minerals's current Altman Z-Score is 1.67, which is 59% above median its own 10-year median of 1.05. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is First Quantum Minerals stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, First Quantum Minerals (TSX:FM) is currently considered Significantly Overvalued. The stock's GF Value™ is C$22.23, compared to a current price of C$37.30 — trading 67.8% above its estimated fair value. The current Altman Z-Score is 1.67, which is 59% above median its 10-year median of 1.05 and 50.3% below the Metals & Mining industry median of 3.36. First Quantum Minerals' overall GF Score™ is 75/100 with 3 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Altman Z-Score calculated?
Altman Z-Score is calculated from a company's financial statements. For First Quantum Minerals (TSX:FM), the current Altman Z-Score is 1.67 as of Jun. 29, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is First Quantum Minerals (TSX:FM) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, First Quantum Minerals stock appears to be overvalued. The current stock price of C$37.30 is trading 67.8% above its estimated GF Value™ of C$22.23. GuruFocus considers First Quantum Minerals to be Significantly Overvalued.

Key valuation signals for TSX:FM:

  • Altman Z-Score: 1.67 (59% above median its 10-year median of 1.05)
  • GF Value™: C$22.23 vs. price of C$37.30 (67.8% above fair value)
  • GF Score™: 75/100 with 3 warning signs
  • Industry Position: 50.3% below the Metals & Mining median (#580 of 787)

No single metric tells the full story. See the TSX:FM stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


First Quantum Minerals Business Description

Other Exchanges FQVLF:USAIZ1:Germany
Address 330 Bay Street, Suite 1101, Toronto, ON, CAN, M5H 2S8
First Quantum Minerals Ltd is a diversified mining company. The company's principal activities include mineral exploration, mine engineering and construction, and development and mining operations. The firm produces copper in concentrate, copper anode, copper cathode, nickel, gold, zinc, silver, acid, and pyrite. It has operating mines located in Zambia, Panama, Turkey, Spain, Australia, and Mauritania. The company's reportable operating segments are Cobre Panama, Kansanshi, and Trident.
75GF Score

Get the complete analysis for TSX:FM

Altman Z-Score is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

C$37.30
Price
C$22.23
GF Value