Morgan Stanley (TSX:MS) Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share: C$-0.37 (As of Mar. 2026)


TSX:MS Morgan Stanley TSX:MS
57 GF Score
Price C$42.36
GF Value C$30.18
Valuation Significantly Overvalued
! 8 Warning Signs
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What is Morgan Stanley Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share?

Morgan Stanley TSX:MS -1.56% 57 Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is C$-0.37 as of Mar. 2026. GuruFocus rates TSX:MS with a GF Score™ of 57/100 and a GF Value™ of C$30.18 (Significantly Overvalued). The stock has 8 warning signs investors should review.

E10 is a concept invented by Prof. Robert Shiller, who uses E10 for his Shiller PE Ratio calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings of a company over the past 10 years. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share and the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF. The Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share of a company over the past 10 years.

Morgan Stanley's adjusted free cash flow per share for the three months ended in Mar. 2026 was C$-1.026. Add all the adjusted free cash flow per share for the past 10 years together and divide the count will get our Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share, which is C$-0.37 for the trailing ten years ended in Mar. 2026.

Please click Growth Rate Calculation Example (GuruFocus) to see how GuruFocus calculates Wal-Mart Stores Inc (WMT)'s revenue growth rate. You can apply the same method to get the Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate using Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share data.

During the past 13 years, the highest 3-Year average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate of Morgan Stanley was 72.90% per year. The lowest was -150.60% per year. And the median was -7.10% per year.

As of today (2026-07-02), Morgan Stanley's current stock price is C$42.36. Morgan Stanley's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share for the quarter that ended in Mar. 2026 was C$-0.37. Morgan Stanley's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF of today is .

During the past 13 years, the highest Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF of Morgan Stanley was 2604.75. The lowest was 3.25. And the median was 8.79.


Morgan Stanley  (TSX:MS) Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Explanation

If a company grows much fast than inflation, Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share may underestimate the company's free cash flow. Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF can seem to be too high even the actual Price-to-Free-Cash-Flow is low.

For the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF, the free cash flow per share of the past 10 years are inflation-adjusted and averaged. The result is used for P/FCF calculation. Since it looks at the average over the last 10 years, the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF is also called CAPFCF Ratio.

The Shiller PE Ratio was first used by professor Robert Shiller. He uses E10 for his Shiller PE Ratio calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings per share of a company over the past 10 years. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF. The Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted free cash flow per share of a company over the past 10 years.

During the past 13 years, the highest Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF of Morgan Stanley was 2604.75. The lowest was 3.25. And the median was 8.79.


Be Aware

Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF works better for cyclical companies. It gives you a better idea on the company's real free cash flow value.


Morgan Stanley Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Related Terms


Morgan Stanley Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for Morgan Stanley's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Morgan Stanley Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Chart

Morgan Stanley Annual Data
Trend Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23 Dec24 Dec25
Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 -0.21

Morgan Stanley Quarterly Data
Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Sep24 Dec24 Mar25 Jun25 Sep25 Dec25 Mar26
Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 0.00 -0.07 -0.12 -0.21 -0.37

TSX:MS vs GS, SCHW, HOOD: Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Comparison

For the Capital Markets subindustry, Morgan Stanley's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Morgan Stanley Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF vs Capital Markets Industry

For the Capital Markets industry and Financial Services sector, Morgan Stanley's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Morgan Stanley's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF falls into.


TSX:MS
57GF Score
Morgan Stanley TSX:MS
Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

Morgan Stanley Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Calculation

E10 is a concept invented by Prof. Robert Shiller, who uses E10 for his Shiller PE Ratio calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings of a company over the past 10 years. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share and the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF. The Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share of a company over the past 10 years.

What is Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share? How do we calculate Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share?

Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share of a company over the past 10 years. Let's use an example to explain.

If we want to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share of Wal-Mart (WMT) for Dec. 31, 2010, we need to have the inflation data and the free cash flow per share from 2001 through 2010.

We adjusted the 2001 free cash flow per share data with the total inflation from 2001 through 2010 to the equivalent free cash flow in 2010. If the total inflation from 2001 to 2010 is 40%, and Wal-Mart's free cash flow is $1 a share in 2001, then the 2001's equivalent free cash flow in 2010 is $1.4 a share. If Wal-Mart's free cash flow is $1 again in 2002, and the total inflation from 2002 through 2010 is 35%, then the equivalent 2002 free cash flow in 2010 is $1.35. So on and so forth, you get the equivalent free cash flow per share of past 10 years. Then you add them together and divided the sum by the count to get Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share.

Please note that we use the CPI data of the country/region where the company is headquartered. If the CPI data for that country/region is not available, then we will use the CPI data of the United States as default.

For example, Morgan Stanley's adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share data for the three months ended in Mar. 2026 was:

Adj_FreeCashFlowPerShare= Free Cash Flow per Share /CPI of Mar. 2026 (Change)*Current CPI (Mar. 2026)
=-1.026/330.2130*330.2130
=-1.026

Current CPI (Mar. 2026) = 330.2130.

Morgan Stanley Quarterly Data

Free Cash Flow per Share CPI Adj_FreeCashFlowPerShare
201606 1.203 241.018 1.648
201609 -0.915 241.428 -1.251
201612 -0.304 241.432 -0.416
201703 -0.028 243.801 -0.038
201706 -1.595 244.955 -2.150
201709 0.523 246.819 0.700
201712 0.384 246.524 0.514
201803 1.341 249.554 1.774
201806 -1.491 251.989 -1.954
201809 1.599 252.439 2.092
201812 -0.909 251.233 -1.195
201903 1.976 254.202 2.567
201906 1.212 256.143 1.562
201909 1.574 256.759 2.024
201912 -0.062 256.974 -0.080
202003 3.128 258.115 4.002
202006 -2.252 257.797 -2.885
202009 -0.886 260.280 -1.124
202012 -2.768 260.474 -3.509
202103 2.735 264.877 3.410
202106 0.409 271.696 0.497
202109 0.158 274.310 0.190
202112 -0.032 278.802 -0.038
202203 -0.045 287.504 -0.052
202206 1.574 296.311 1.754
202209 -0.992 296.808 -1.104
202212 -1.796 296.797 -1.998
202303 -1.307 301.836 -1.430
202306 -1.270 305.109 -1.374
202309 0.350 307.789 0.375
202312 -2.315 306.746 -2.492
202403 0.446 312.332 0.472
202406 0.214 314.175 0.225
202409 -2.305 315.301 -2.414
202412 1.452 315.605 1.519
202503 -3.325 319.799 -3.433
202506 1.425 322.561 1.459
202509 -0.528 324.800 -0.537
202512 -0.407 324.054 -0.415
202603 -1.026 330.213 -1.026

Add all the adjusted free cash flow per share together and divide 10 will get our Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share.

What does a Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share of C$-0.37 mean?
Morgan Stanley (TSX:MS) has a Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share of C$-0.37 as of Mar. 2026. Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share represents the company's inflation-adjusted FCF per share over a 10-year period. View historical data on Morgan Stanley and its competitors.
Is Morgan Stanley's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share too high?
Morgan Stanley's current Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is C$-0.37. Overall, Morgan Stanley has a GF Score™ of 57/100 and is considered Significantly Overvalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Morgan Stanley's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share compare to GS and SCHW?
Morgan Stanley's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share of C$-0.37 can be compared against companies in the Capital Markets industry. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share for a Capital Markets company?
A good Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share depends on the Capital Markets industry context. However, Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share mean?
A high Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share represents the company's inflation-adjusted FCF per share over a 10-year period. View historical data on Morgan Stanley and its competitors. Morgan Stanley's current Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is C$-0.37. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Morgan Stanley stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Morgan Stanley (TSX:MS) is currently considered Significantly Overvalued. The stock's GF Value™ is C$30.18, compared to a current price of C$42.36 — trading 40.4% above its estimated fair value. The current Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is C$-0.37. Morgan Stanley's overall GF Score™ is 57/100 with 8 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share calculated?
Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Morgan Stanley (TSX:MS), the current Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is C$-0.37 as of Mar. 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Morgan Stanley (TSX:MS) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Morgan Stanley stock appears to be overvalued. The current stock price of C$42.36 is trading 40.4% above its estimated GF Value™ of C$30.18. GuruFocus considers Morgan Stanley to be Significantly Overvalued.

Key valuation signals for TSX:MS:

  • Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share: C$-0.37
  • GF Value™: C$30.18 vs. price of C$42.36 (40.4% above fair value)
  • GF Score™: 57/100 with 8 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the TSX:MS stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Morgan Stanley Business Description

Address 1585 Broadway, New York, NY, USA, 10036
Morgan Stanley is a massive global financial services firm, with offices in 42 countries and more than 82,000 employees as of year-end 2025. The firm cut its teeth in investment banking and institutional trading, where it maintains a strong presence today, but generates the lion share of its income from wealth and asset management franchises, where it boasted $9.3 trillion in client assets at the end of 2025. After reincorporation as a bank holding company in the wake of the global financial crisis, Morgan Stanley also boasts a top 10 banking franchise by deposits, with more than $400 billion in customer deposits, predominately attributable to cash sweeps from its wealth management and brokerage businesses.
57GF Score

Get the complete analysis for TSX:MS

Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

C$42.36
Price
C$30.18
GF Value