VLO (Valero Energy) Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share: $15.92 (As of Jun. 2026)

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Director of Data and Quant Analytics at GuruFocus
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Dr. Charlie Tian is the founder and CEO of GuruFocus.com, a leading global investment research platform established in 2004. With a Ph.D. in physics, Dr. Tian transitioned from science to finance, applying a data-driven, disciplined approach to value investing.

VLO Valero Energy Corp VLO
65 GF Score
Price $312.90
GF Value $164.44
Valuation Significantly Overvalued
! 6 Warning Signs
View Full Analysis

What is Valero Energy Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share?

Valero Energy VLO +0.38% 65 Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is $15.92 as of Jun. 2026. GuruFocus rates VLO with a GF Score™ of 65/100 and a GF Value™ of $164.44 (Significantly Overvalued). The stock has 6 warning signs investors should review.

E10 is a concept invented by Prof. Robert Shiller, who uses E10 for his Shiller PE Ratio calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings of a company over the past 10 years. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share and the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF. The Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share of a company over the past 10 years.

Valero Energy's adjusted free cash flow per share for the three months ended in Jun. 2026 was $18.211. Add all the adjusted free cash flow per share for the past 10 years together and divide the count will get our Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share, which is $15.92 for the trailing ten years ended in Jun. 2026.

During the past 12 months, Valero Energy's average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate was 22.20% per year. During the past 3 years, the average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate was 13.30% per year. During the past 5 years, the average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate was 20.20% per year. During the past 10 years, the average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate was 14.90% per year. Please click Growth Rate Calculation Example (GuruFocus) to see how GuruFocus calculates Wal-Mart Stores Inc (WMT)'s revenue growth rate. You can apply the same method to get the Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate using Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share data.

During the past 13 years, the highest 3-Year average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate of Valero Energy was 109.90% per year. The lowest was -0.90% per year. And the median was 15.90% per year.

As of today (2026-08-03), Valero Energy's current stock price is $312.90. Valero Energy's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share for the quarter that ended in Jun. 2026 was $15.92. Valero Energy's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF of today is 19.65.

During the past 13 years, the highest Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF of Valero Energy was 27.63. The lowest was 6.26. And the median was 13.52.


Valero Energy  (NYSE:VLO) Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Explanation

If a company grows much fast than inflation, Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share may underestimate the company's free cash flow. Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF can seem to be too high even the actual Price-to-Free-Cash-Flow is low.

For the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF, the free cash flow per share of the past 10 years are inflation-adjusted and averaged. The result is used for P/FCF calculation. Since it looks at the average over the last 10 years, the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF is also called CAPFCF Ratio.

The Shiller PE Ratio was first used by professor Robert Shiller. He uses E10 for his Shiller PE Ratio calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings per share of a company over the past 10 years. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF. The Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted free cash flow per share of a company over the past 10 years.

Valero Energy's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF of today is calculated as

Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF=Share Price/Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share
=312.90/15.92
=19.65

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

During the past 13 years, the highest Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF of Valero Energy was 27.63. The lowest was 6.26. And the median was 13.52.


Be Aware

Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF works better for cyclical companies. It gives you a better idea on the company's real free cash flow value.


Valero Energy Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Related Terms


Valero Energy Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for Valero Energy's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Valero Energy Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Chart

Valero Energy Annual Data
Trend Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23 Dec24 Dec25
Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 6.92 9.60 11.44 13.04 13.95

Valero Energy Quarterly Data
Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Sep24 Dec24 Mar25 Jun25 Sep25 Dec25 Mar26 Jun26
Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 13.03 13.39 13.95 14.54 15.92

VLO vs MPC, PSX, DINO: Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Comparison

For the Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing subindustry, Valero Energy's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Valero Energy Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF vs Oil & Gas Industry

For the Oil & Gas industry and Energy sector, Valero Energy's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Valero Energy's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF falls into.


VLO
65GF Score
Valero Energy Corp VLO
Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

Valero Energy Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Calculation

E10 is a concept invented by Prof. Robert Shiller, who uses E10 for his Shiller PE Ratio calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings of a company over the past 10 years. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share and the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF. The Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share of a company over the past 10 years.

What is Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share? How do we calculate Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share?

Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share of a company over the past 10 years. Let's use an example to explain.

If we want to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share of Wal-Mart (WMT) for Dec. 31, 2010, we need to have the inflation data and the free cash flow per share from 2001 through 2010.

We adjusted the 2001 free cash flow per share data with the total inflation from 2001 through 2010 to the equivalent free cash flow in 2010. If the total inflation from 2001 to 2010 is 40%, and Wal-Mart's free cash flow is $1 a share in 2001, then the 2001's equivalent free cash flow in 2010 is $1.4 a share. If Wal-Mart's free cash flow is $1 again in 2002, and the total inflation from 2002 through 2010 is 35%, then the equivalent 2002 free cash flow in 2010 is $1.35. So on and so forth, you get the equivalent free cash flow per share of past 10 years. Then you add them together and divided the sum by the count to get Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share.

Please note that we use the CPI data of the country/region where the company is headquartered. If the CPI data for that country/region is not available, then we will use the CPI data of the United States as default.

For example, Valero Energy's adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share data for the three months ended in Jun. 2026 was:

Adj_FreeCashFlowPerShare= Free Cash Flow per Share /CPI of Jun. 2026 (Change)*Current CPI (Jun. 2026)
=18.211/333.9520*333.9520
=18.211

Current CPI (Jun. 2026) = 333.9520.

Valero Energy Quarterly Data

Free Cash Flow per Share CPI Adj_FreeCashFlowPerShare
201609 1.220 241.428 1.688
201612 1.389 241.432 1.921
201703 1.572 243.801 2.153
201706 3.372 244.955 4.597
201709 1.578 246.819 2.135
201712 2.726 246.524 3.693
201803 -0.569 249.554 -0.761
201806 3.770 251.989 4.996
201809 0.133 252.439 0.176
201812 2.045 251.233 2.718
201903 0.990 254.202 1.301
201906 2.412 256.143 3.145
201909 2.407 256.759 3.131
201912 2.752 256.974 3.576
202003 -1.186 258.115 -1.534
202006 0.727 257.797 0.942
202009 -0.595 260.280 -0.763
202012 -1.007 260.474 -1.291
202103 -0.961 264.877 -1.212
202106 4.061 271.696 4.992
202109 2.417 274.310 2.943
202112 4.781 278.802 5.727
202203 0.500 287.504 0.581
202206 13.436 296.311 15.143
202209 4.056 296.808 4.564
202212 9.656 296.797 10.865
202303 7.873 301.836 8.711
202306 3.749 305.109 4.103
202309 8.848 307.789 9.600
202312 2.934 306.746 3.194
202403 4.973 312.332 5.317
202406 7.031 314.175 7.474
202409 3.412 315.301 3.614
202412 2.427 315.605 2.568
202503 2.239 319.799 2.338
202506 2.519 322.561 2.608
202509 5.515 324.800 5.670
202512 6.063 324.054 6.248
202603 4.111 330.213 4.158
202606 18.211 333.952 18.211

Add all the adjusted free cash flow per share together and divide 10 will get our Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share.

What does a Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share of $15.92 mean?
Valero Energy (VLO) has a Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share of $15.92 as of Jun. 2026. Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share represents the company's inflation-adjusted FCF per share over a 10-year period. View historical data on Valero Energy and its competitors.
Is Valero Energy's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share too high?
Valero Energy's current Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is $15.92. Overall, Valero Energy has a GF Score™ of 65/100 and is considered Significantly Overvalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Valero Energy's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share compare to MPC and PSX?
Valero Energy's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share of $15.92 can be compared against companies in the Oil & Gas industry. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share for an Oil & Gas company?
A good Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share depends on the Oil & Gas industry context. However, Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share mean?
A high Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share represents the company's inflation-adjusted FCF per share over a 10-year period. View historical data on Valero Energy and its competitors. Valero Energy's current Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is $15.92. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Valero Energy stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Valero Energy (VLO) is currently considered Significantly Overvalued. The stock's GF Value™ is $164.44, compared to a current price of $312.90 — trading 90.3% above its estimated fair value. The current Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is $15.92. Valero Energy's overall GF Score™ is 65/100 with 6 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share calculated?
Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Valero Energy (VLO), the current Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is $15.92 as of Jun. 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Valero Energy (VLO) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Valero Energy stock appears to be overvalued. The current stock price of $312.90 is trading 90.3% above its estimated GF Value™ of $164.44. GuruFocus considers Valero Energy to be Significantly Overvalued.

Key valuation signals for VLO:

  • Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share: $15.92
  • GF Value™: $164.44 vs. price of $312.90 (90.3% above fair value)
  • GF Score™: 65/100 with 6 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the VLO stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Valero Energy Business Description

Industry EnergyOil & Gas
Address One Valero Way, San Antonio, TX, USA, 78249
Valero Energy is one of the largest independent refiners in the United States. It operates 15 refineries, with a total throughput capacity of 3.2 million barrels a day in the US, Canada, and the United Kingdom. Valero also owns 12 ethanol plants with capacity of 1.6 billion gallons a year and holds a 50% stake in Diamond Green Diesel, which can produce 1.2 billion gallons per year of renewable diesel.
65GF Score

Get the complete analysis for VLO

Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

$312.90
Price
$164.44
GF Value