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Valero EnergyVLO -1.91%65 Shiller PE Ratio is 30.71 as of Sep. 14, 2026, which is 102% above its 10-year median of 15.21. GuruFocus rates VLO with a GF Score™ of 65/100 and a GF Value™ of $171.47 (Significantly Overvalued). The stock has 6 warning signs investors should review. Among 441 Oil & Gas companies, Valero Energy ranks worse than 76.19% on this metric.
As of today (2026-09-14), Valero Energy's current share price is $382.95. Valero Energy's E10 for the quarter that ended in Jun. 2026 was $12.47. Valero Energy's Shiller PE Ratio for today is 30.71.
The historical rank and industry rank for Valero Energy's Shiller PE Ratio or its related term are showing as below:
VLO'
s Shiller PE Ratio Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 6.57 Med: 15.21 Max: 32.83
Current: 30.71
During the past years, Valero Energy's highest Shiller PE Ratio was 32.83. The lowest was 6.57. And the median was 15.21.
VLO's Shiller PE Ratio is ranked worse than 76.19% of 441
companies
in the Oil & Gas industry
Industry Median: 17.89
vs VLO: 30.71
E10 is a concept invented by Prof. Robert Shiller, who uses E10 for his Shiller PE Ratio calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings of a company over the past 10 years.
Valero Energy's adjusted earnings per share data for the three months ended in Jun. 2026 was $12.620. Add all the adjusted EPS for the past 10 years together and divide 10 will get our E10, which is $12.47 for the trailing ten years ended in Jun. 2026.
Shiller PE for Stocks: The True Measure of Stock Valuation
Valero Energy (NYSE:VLO) Shiller PE Ratio Explanation
Compared with the regular PE Ratio, which works poorly for cyclical businesses, the Shiller PE Ratio smoothed out the fluctuations of profit margins during business cycles. Therefore it is more accurate in reflecting the valuation of the company.
If a company has consistent business performance, the Shiller PE Ratio should give similar results to regular PE Ratio.
Compared with the PS Ratio, the Shiller PE Ratio makes the comparison between different industries more meaningful.
Be Aware
Shiller PE Ratio assumes that over the long term, businesses and profitability revert to their means. If a company's business model does not work in the future compared with the past, Shiller PE Ratio and PS Ratio will give false valuations.
Valero Energy Shiller PE Ratio Related Terms
Valero Energy Shiller PE Ratio Historical Data
* Premium members only.
The historical data trend for Valero Energy's Shiller PE Ratio can be seen below:
* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD. * For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.
VLO vs MPC, PSX, DINO: Shiller PE Ratio Comparison
For the Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing subindustry, Valero Energy's Shiller PE Ratio, along with its competitors' market caps and Shiller PE Ratio data, can be viewed below:
* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.
Valero Energy Shiller PE Ratio vs Oil & Gas Industry
For the Oil & Gas industry and Energy sector, Valero Energy's Shiller PE Ratio distribution charts can be found below:
* The bar in red indicates where Valero Energy's Shiller PE Ratio falls into.
For Shiller PE Ratio, the earnings of the past 10 years are inflation-adjusted and averaged. The result is used for P/E calculation. Since it looks at the average over the last 10 years, the Shiller PE Ratio is also called PE10.
The Shiller PE Ratio was first used by professor Robert Shiller to measure the valuation of the overall market. The same calculation is applied here to individual companies.
Valero Energy's Shiller PE Ratio for today is calculated as
* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD. * For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.
Valero Energy's E10 for the quarter that ended in Jun. 2026 is calculated as:
For example, Valero Energy's adjusted earnings per share data for the three months ended in Jun. 2026 was:
Add all the adjusted EPS together and divide 10 will get our E10.
Please note that we use the CPI data of the country/region where the company is headquartered. If the CPI data for that country/region is not available, then we will use the CPI data of the United States as default.
Valero Energy (VLO) has a Shiller PE Ratio of 30.71 as of Sep. 14, 2026. Shiller price-earnings ratio is the ratio of share price to a company's inflation-adjusted earnings over a 10-year period. View historical data on Valero Energy and its competitors. This is 102% above median its historical median of 15.21. Over the past decade, Valero Energy's Shiller PE Ratio has ranged from 6.57 to 32.83. According to the industry distribution chart, Valero Energy ranks #336 out of 441 companies in the Oil & Gas industry, placing it in the top 76.2%.
Is Valero Energy's Shiller PE Ratio too high?
Valero Energy's current Shiller PE Ratio of 30.71 is 102% above median its 10-year median of 15.21. Over the past 10 years, this metric has ranged from a low of 6.57 to a high of 32.83. The Oil & Gas industry median Shiller PE Ratio is 17.89. Valero Energy's value of 30.71 is 71.7% above this industry median. Based on the distribution chart, Valero Energy ranks #336 out of 441 companies in the Oil & Gas industry, which is in the bottom quartile relative to peers. Overall, Valero Energy has a GF Score™ of 65/100 and is considered Significantly Overvalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Valero Energy's Shiller PE Ratio compare to MPC and PSX?
According to the Oil & Gas industry distribution chart, Valero Energy ranks #336 out of 441 companies for Shiller PE Ratio. This places Valero Energy in the lower half of its industry. The industry median Shiller PE Ratio is 17.89. Valero Energy's value of 30.71 is 71.7% above this benchmark. Historically, Valero Energy's own Shiller PE Ratio has ranged from 6.57 to 32.83 over the past decade. While the company's 10-year median is 15.21 vs. the industry median of 17.89, Valero Energy has consistently been above the industry average. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Shiller PE Ratio for an Oil & Gas company?
The median Shiller PE Ratio among Oil & Gas companies is 17.89, based on 441 companies in the industry. Companies in the top quartile (top 25%) have a Shiller PE Ratio significantly above this median, while those in the bottom quartile fall well below. However, Shiller PE Ratio should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Valero Energy's current Shiller PE Ratio of 30.71 is 71.7% above the industry median. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Shiller PE Ratio mean?
A high Shiller PE Ratio can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. Shiller price-earnings ratio is the ratio of share price to a company's inflation-adjusted earnings over a 10-year period. View historical data on Valero Energy and its competitors. For the Oil & Gas industry, the median Shiller PE Ratio is 17.89 — values significantly above this may indicate overvaluation, while values below may suggest a bargain or underlying issues. Valero Energy's current Shiller PE Ratio is 30.71, which is 102% above median its own 10-year median of 15.21. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Valero Energy stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Valero Energy (VLO) is currently considered Significantly Overvalued. The stock's GF Value™ is $171.47, compared to a current price of $382.95 — trading 123.3% above its estimated fair value. The current Shiller PE Ratio is 30.71, which is 102% above median its 10-year median of 15.21 and 71.7% above the Oil & Gas industry median of 17.89. Valero Energy's overall GF Score™ is 65/100 with 6 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Shiller PE Ratio calculated?
Shiller PE Ratio is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Valero Energy (VLO), the current Shiller PE Ratio is 30.71 as of Sep. 14, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.
Is Valero Energy (VLO) Overvalued in 2026?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Valero Energy stock appears to be overvalued.
The current stock price of $382.95 is trading 123.3% above its estimated GF Value™ of $171.47.
GuruFocus considers Valero Energy to be Significantly Overvalued.
Key valuation signals for VLO:
Shiller PE Ratio: 30.71 (102% above median its 10-year median of 15.21)
GF Value™: $171.47 vs. price of $382.95 (123.3% above fair value)
Industry Position: 71.7% above the Oil & Gas median (#336 of 441)
No single metric tells the full story. See the VLO stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.
Valero Energy is one of the largest independent refiners in the United States. It operates 15 refineries, with a total throughput capacity of 3.2 million barrels a day in the US, Canada, and the United Kingdom. Valero also owns 12 ethanol plants with capacity of 1.6 billion gallons a year and holds a 50% stake in Diamond Green Diesel, which can produce 1.2 billion gallons per year of renewable diesel.
65GF Score
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