American Airlines Group (XSWX:AAL) Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share: CHF-1.67 (As of Mar. 2026)


XSWX:AAL American Airlines Group Inc XSWX:AAL
77 GF Score
Price CHF14.47
GF Value CHF12.18
! 8 Warning Signs
View Full Analysis

What is American Airlines Group Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share?

American Airlines Group XSWX:AAL 77 Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is CHF-1.67 as of Mar. 2026. GuruFocus rates XSWX:AAL with a GF Score™ of 77/100 and a GF Value™ of CHF12.18. The stock has 8 warning signs investors should review.

E10 is a concept invented by Prof. Robert Shiller, who uses E10 for his Shiller PE Ratio calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings of a company over the past 10 years. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share and the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF. The Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share of a company over the past 10 years.

American Airlines Group's adjusted free cash flow per share for the three months ended in Mar. 2026 was CHF4.063. Add all the adjusted free cash flow per share for the past 10 years together and divide the count will get our Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share, which is CHF-1.67 for the trailing ten years ended in Mar. 2026.

During the past 3 years, the average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate was 12.50% per year. During the past 5 years, the average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate was 14.30% per year. During the past 10 years, the average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate was 5.00% per year. Please click Growth Rate Calculation Example (GuruFocus) to see how GuruFocus calculates Wal-Mart Stores Inc (WMT)'s revenue growth rate. You can apply the same method to get the Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate using Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share data.

During the past 13 years, the highest 3-Year average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate of American Airlines Group was 51.10% per year. The lowest was -50.10% per year. And the median was 9.10% per year.

As of today (2026-07-04), American Airlines Group's current stock price is CHF14.47. American Airlines Group's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share for the quarter that ended in Mar. 2026 was CHF-1.67. American Airlines Group's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF of today is .


American Airlines Group  (XSWX:AAL) Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Explanation

If a company grows much fast than inflation, Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share may underestimate the company's free cash flow. Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF can seem to be too high even the actual Price-to-Free-Cash-Flow is low.

For the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF, the free cash flow per share of the past 10 years are inflation-adjusted and averaged. The result is used for P/FCF calculation. Since it looks at the average over the last 10 years, the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF is also called CAPFCF Ratio.

The Shiller PE Ratio was first used by professor Robert Shiller. He uses E10 for his Shiller PE Ratio calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings per share of a company over the past 10 years. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF. The Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted free cash flow per share of a company over the past 10 years.


Be Aware

Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF works better for cyclical companies. It gives you a better idea on the company's real free cash flow value.


American Airlines Group Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Related Terms


American Airlines Group Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for American Airlines Group's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

American Airlines Group Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Chart

American Airlines Group Annual Data
Trend Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23 Dec24 Dec25
Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -6.77 -8.80 0.00 0.00 -1.88

American Airlines Group Quarterly Data
Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Sep24 Dec24 Mar25 Jun25 Sep25 Dec25 Mar26
Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 0.00 0.00 0.00 -1.88 -1.67

XSWX:AAL vs CPA, ALK, SKYW: Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Comparison

For the Airlines subindustry, American Airlines Group's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


American Airlines Group Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF vs Transportation Industry

For the Transportation industry and Industrials sector, American Airlines Group's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where American Airlines Group's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF falls into.


XSWX:AAL
77GF Score
American Airlines Group Inc XSWX:AAL
Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

American Airlines Group Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Calculation

E10 is a concept invented by Prof. Robert Shiller, who uses E10 for his Shiller PE Ratio calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings of a company over the past 10 years. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share and the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF. The Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share of a company over the past 10 years.

What is Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share? How do we calculate Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share?

Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share of a company over the past 10 years. Let's use an example to explain.

If we want to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share of Wal-Mart (WMT) for Dec. 31, 2010, we need to have the inflation data and the free cash flow per share from 2001 through 2010.

We adjusted the 2001 free cash flow per share data with the total inflation from 2001 through 2010 to the equivalent free cash flow in 2010. If the total inflation from 2001 to 2010 is 40%, and Wal-Mart's free cash flow is $1 a share in 2001, then the 2001's equivalent free cash flow in 2010 is $1.4 a share. If Wal-Mart's free cash flow is $1 again in 2002, and the total inflation from 2002 through 2010 is 35%, then the equivalent 2002 free cash flow in 2010 is $1.35. So on and so forth, you get the equivalent free cash flow per share of past 10 years. Then you add them together and divided the sum by the count to get Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share.

Please note that we use the CPI data of the country/region where the company is headquartered. If the CPI data for that country/region is not available, then we will use the CPI data of the United States as default.

For example, American Airlines Group's adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share data for the three months ended in Mar. 2026 was:

Adj_FreeCashFlowPerShare= Free Cash Flow per Share /CPI of Mar. 2026 (Change)*Current CPI (Mar. 2026)
=4.063/330.2130*330.2130
=4.063

Current CPI (Mar. 2026) = 330.2130.

American Airlines Group Quarterly Data

Free Cash Flow per Share CPI Adj_FreeCashFlowPerShare
201606 1.211 241.018 1.659
201609 -0.265 241.428 -0.362
201612 -1.638 241.432 -2.240
201703 1.057 243.801 1.432
201706 0.408 244.955 0.550
201709 -1.978 246.819 -2.646
201712 -1.999 246.524 -2.678
201803 2.039 249.554 2.698
201806 0.303 251.989 0.397
201809 -2.270 252.439 -2.969
201812 -0.629 251.233 -0.827
201903 0.763 254.202 0.991
201906 -0.625 256.143 -0.806
201909 0.049 256.759 0.063
201912 -1.437 256.974 -1.847
202003 -2.283 258.115 -2.921
202006 -2.875 257.797 -3.683
202009 -5.717 260.280 -7.253
202012 -4.945 260.474 -6.269
202103 0.193 264.877 0.241
202106 4.751 271.696 5.774
202109 -2.301 274.310 -2.770
202112 -1.807 278.802 -2.140
202203 0.541 287.504 0.621
202206 1.541 296.311 1.717
202209 -1.425 296.808 -1.585
202212 -1.173 296.797 -1.305
202303 3.986 301.836 4.361
202306 1.282 305.109 1.387
202309 -0.620 307.789 -0.665
202312 -2.691 306.746 -2.897
202403 1.837 312.332 1.942
202406 0.592 314.175 0.622
202409 -0.246 315.301 -0.258
202412 -0.841 315.605 -0.880
202503 2.189 319.799 2.260
202506 0.571 322.561 0.585
202509 -1.051 324.800 -1.069
202512 -3.624 324.054 -3.693
202603 4.063 330.213 4.063

Add all the adjusted free cash flow per share together and divide 10 will get our Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share.

What does a Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share of CHF-1.67 mean?
American Airlines Group (XSWX:AAL) has a Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share of CHF-1.67 as of Mar. 2026. Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share represents the company's inflation-adjusted FCF per share over a 10-year period. View historical data on American Airlines Group and its competitors.
Is American Airlines Group's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share too high?
American Airlines Group's current Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is CHF-1.67. Overall, American Airlines Group has a GF Score™ of 77/100, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does American Airlines Group's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share compare to CPA and ALK?
American Airlines Group's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share of CHF-1.67 can be compared against companies in the Transportation industry. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share for a Transportation company?
A good Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share depends on the Transportation industry context. However, Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share mean?
A high Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share represents the company's inflation-adjusted FCF per share over a 10-year period. View historical data on American Airlines Group and its competitors. American Airlines Group's current Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is CHF-1.67. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is American Airlines Group stock overvalued right now?
American Airlines Group (XSWX:AAL) has a current Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share of CHF-1.67. The stock's GF Value™ is CHF12.18, compared to a current price of CHF14.47 — trading 18.8% above its estimated fair value. The current Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is CHF-1.67. American Airlines Group's overall GF Score™ is 77/100 with 8 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share calculated?
Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is calculated from a company's financial statements. For American Airlines Group (XSWX:AAL), the current Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is CHF-1.67 as of Mar. 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is American Airlines Group (XSWX:AAL) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, American Airlines Group stock appears to be overvalued. The current stock price of CHF14.47 is trading 18.8% above its estimated GF Value™ of CHF12.18.

Key valuation signals for XSWX:AAL:

  • Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share: CHF-1.67
  • GF Value™: CHF12.18 vs. price of CHF14.47 (18.8% above fair value)
  • GF Score™: 77/100 with 8 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the XSWX:AAL stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


American Airlines Group Business Description

Address 1 Skyview Drive, Fort Worth, TX, USA, 76155
American Airlines is the world's largest airline by aircraft, capacity, and scheduled revenue passenger miles. Its major US hubs are Dallas/Fort Worth, Charlotte, Chicago, Los Angeles, Miami, New York, Philadelphia, Phoenix, and Washington, D.C. It generates over 30% of US airline revenue connecting Latin America with destinations in the United States. After completing a major fleet renewal, the company has the youngest average fleet of US legacy carriers.
77GF Score

Get the complete analysis for XSWX:AAL

Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

CHF14.47
Price
CHF12.18
GF Value