CF (CF Industries Holdings) Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio: 5.41 (As of Jul. 30, 2026) — 66% Above Median

Author: Vera Yuan Vera Yuan
Vera Yuan
Vera Yuan
Director of Data and Quant Analytics at GuruFocus
Focused on building reliable datasets, financial models, and research tools for value-minded investors. Committed to turning complex data into practical guidance for value-investing and long-term wealth.
Reviewed by: Charlie Tian Charlie Tian
Charlie Tian
Charlie Tian
Founder & CEO of GuruFocus
Dr. Charlie Tian is the founder and CEO of GuruFocus.com, a leading global investment research platform established in 2004. With a Ph.D. in physics, Dr. Tian transitioned from science to finance, applying a data-driven, disciplined approach to value investing.

CF CF Industries Holdings Inc CF
69 GF Score
Price $127.35
GF Value $117.50
Valuation Fairly Valued
! 3 Warning Signs
View Full Analysis

What is CF Industries Holdings Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio?

CF Industries Holdings CF +3.60% 69 Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio is 5.41 as of Jul. 30, 2026, which is 66% above its 10-year median of 3.25. GuruFocus rates CF with a GF Scoreâ„¢ of 69/100 and a GF Valueâ„¢ of $117.50 (Fairly Valued). The stock has 3 warning signs investors should review. Among 199 Agriculture companies, CF Industries Holdings ranks worse than 89.45% on this metric.

As of today (2026-07-30), CF Industries Holdings's current share price is $127.35. CF Industries Holdings's Cyclically Adjusted Book per Share for the quarter that ended in Mar. 2026 was $23.53. CF Industries Holdings's Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio for today is 5.41.

The historical rank and industry rank for CF Industries Holdings's Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio or its related term are showing as below:

CF' s Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 1.35   Med: 3.25   Max: 6.2
Current: 5.41

During the past years, CF Industries Holdings's highest Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio was 6.20. The lowest was 1.35. And the median was 3.25.

CF's Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio is ranked worse than
89.45% of 199 companies
in the Agriculture industry
Industry Median: 1.33 vs CF: 5.41

The Shiller PE Ratio was first used by professor Robert Shiller. He uses E10 for his Shiller PE Ratio calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings per share of a company over the past 10 years. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio. The Cyclically Adjusted Book per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted book value per share of a company over the past 10 years.

CF Industries Holdings's adjusted book value per share data for the three months ended in Mar. 2026 was $34.776. Add all the adjusted book value per share for the past 10 years together and divide the count will get our Cyclically Adjusted Book per Share, which is $23.53 for the trailing ten years ended in Mar. 2026.

Shiller PE for Stocks: The True Measure of Stock Valuation


CF Industries Holdings  (NYSE:CF) Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio Explanation

Compared with the regular PB Ratio, which works poorly for cyclical businesses, the Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio smoothed out the fluctuations of book value during business cycles. Therefore it is more accurate in reflecting the valuation of the company.

If a company has consistent business performance, the Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio should give similar results to regular PB Ratio.


CF Industries Holdings Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio Related Terms


CF Industries Holdings Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for CF Industries Holdings's Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

CF Industries Holdings Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio Chart

CF Industries Holdings Annual Data
Trend Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23 Dec24 Dec25
Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 3.95 4.45 3.90 3.96 3.39

CF Industries Holdings Quarterly Data
Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Sep24 Dec24 Mar25 Jun25 Sep25 Dec25 Mar26
Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 3.55 4.11 3.95 3.39 5.52

CF vs MOS, SMG, FMC: Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio Comparison

For the Agricultural Inputs subindustry, CF Industries Holdings's Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio, along with its competitors' market caps and Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


CF Industries Holdings Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio vs Agriculture Industry

For the Agriculture industry and Basic Materials sector, CF Industries Holdings's Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where CF Industries Holdings's Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio falls into.


CF
69GF Score
CF Industries Holdings Inc CF
Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

CF Industries Holdings Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio Calculation

Like the Shiller PE Ratio, the Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio takes the Book Value per Share from the past 10 years, adjusts it for inflation, and then calculates the average. This average is then used for the P/B calculation. Because it considers this 10-year average, it's often referred to as the CAPB Ratio.

The Shiller PE Ratio was first used by professor Robert Shiller to measure the valuation of the overall market. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio.

CF Industries Holdings's Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio for today is calculated as

Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio=Share Price/ Cyclically Adjusted Book per Share
=127.35/23.53
=5.41

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

CF Industries Holdings's Cyclically Adjusted Book per Share for the quarter that ended in Mar. 2026 is calculated as:

For example, CF Industries Holdings's adjusted Book Value per Share data for the three months ended in Mar. 2026 was:

Adj_Book=Book Value per Share/CPI of Mar. 2026 (Change)*Current CPI (Mar. 2026)
=34.776/330.2130*330.2130
=34.776

Current CPI (Mar. 2026) = 330.2130.

CF Industries Holdings Quarterly Data

Book Value per Share CPI Adj_Book
201606 17.089 241.018 23.413
201609 16.558 241.428 22.647
201612 14.362 241.432 19.643
201703 14.062 243.801 19.046
201706 14.020 244.955 18.900
201709 13.577 246.819 18.164
201712 15.342 246.524 20.550
201803 15.401 249.554 20.379
201806 15.231 251.989 19.959
201809 14.820 252.439 19.386
201812 13.275 251.233 17.448
201903 13.339 254.202 17.328
201906 14.005 256.143 18.055
201909 13.680 256.759 17.594
201912 13.411 256.974 17.233
202003 12.760 258.115 16.324
202006 13.433 257.797 17.206
202009 13.211 260.280 16.761
202012 13.657 260.474 17.314
202103 14.121 264.877 17.604
202106 15.091 271.696 18.341
202109 13.716 274.310 16.511
202112 15.445 278.802 18.293
202203 19.148 287.504 21.992
202206 22.523 296.311 25.100
202209 22.473 296.808 25.002
202212 25.823 296.797 28.730
202303 27.976 301.836 30.606
202306 30.083 305.109 32.558
202309 29.955 307.789 32.137
202312 30.379 306.746 32.703
202403 29.510 312.332 31.199
202406 30.272 314.175 31.817
202409 29.795 315.301 31.204
202412 29.344 315.605 30.702
202503 29.030 319.799 29.975
202506 30.642 322.561 31.369
202509 30.751 324.800 31.263
202512 31.507 324.054 32.106
202603 34.776 330.213 34.776

Add all the adjusted book value per share together and divide the count will get our Cyclically Adjusted Book per Share.

Please note that we use the CPI data of the country/region where the company is headquartered. If the CPI data for that country/region is not available, then we will use the CPI data of the United States as default.

What does a Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio of 5.41 mean?
CF Industries Holdings (CF) has a Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio of 5.41 as of Jul. 30, 2026. Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio is the ratio of share price to a company's inflation-adjusted book value per share over a 10-year period. View historical data on CF Industries Holdings and its competitors. This is 66% above median its historical median of 3.25. Over the past decade, CF Industries Holdings' Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio has ranged from 1.35 to 6.20. According to the industry distribution chart, CF Industries Holdings ranks #178 out of 199 companies in the Agriculture industry, placing it in the top 89.4%.
Is CF Industries Holdings' Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio too high?
CF Industries Holdings' current Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio of 5.41 is 66% above median its 10-year median of 3.25. Over the past 10 years, this metric has ranged from a low of 1.35 to a high of 6.20. The Agriculture industry median Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio is 1.33. CF Industries Holdings' value of 5.41 is 306.8% above this industry median. Based on the distribution chart, CF Industries Holdings ranks #178 out of 199 companies in the Agriculture industry, which is in the bottom quartile relative to peers. Overall, CF Industries Holdings has a GF Scoreâ„¢ of 69/100 and is considered Fairly Valued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does CF Industries Holdings' Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio compare to MOS and SMG?
According to the Agriculture industry distribution chart, CF Industries Holdings ranks #178 out of 199 companies for Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio. This places CF Industries Holdings in the lower half of its industry. The industry median Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio is 1.33. CF Industries Holdings' value of 5.41 is 306.8% above this benchmark. Historically, CF Industries Holdings' own Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio has ranged from 1.35 to 6.20 over the past decade. While the company's 10-year median is 3.25 vs. the industry median of 1.33, CF Industries Holdings has consistently been above the industry average. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio for an Agriculture company?
The median Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio among Agriculture companies is 1.33, based on 199 companies in the industry. Companies in the top quartile (top 25%) have a Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio significantly above this median, while those in the bottom quartile fall well below. However, Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. CF Industries Holdings's current Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio of 5.41 is 306.8% above the industry median. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio mean?
A high Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio is the ratio of share price to a company's inflation-adjusted book value per share over a 10-year period. View historical data on CF Industries Holdings and its competitors. For the Agriculture industry, the median Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio is 1.33 — values significantly above this may indicate overvaluation, while values below may suggest a bargain or underlying issues. CF Industries Holdings's current Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio is 5.41, which is 66% above median its own 10-year median of 3.25. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is CF Industries Holdings stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, CF Industries Holdings (CF) is currently considered Fairly Valued. The stock's GF Value™ is $117.50, compared to a current price of $127.35 — trading 8.4% above its estimated fair value. The current Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio is 5.41, which is 66% above median its 10-year median of 3.25 and 306.8% above the Agriculture industry median of 1.33. CF Industries Holdings' overall GF Score™ is 69/100 with 3 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio calculated?
Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio is calculated from a company's financial statements. For CF Industries Holdings (CF), the current Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio is 5.41 as of Jul. 30, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is CF Industries Holdings (CF) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, CF Industries Holdings stock appears to be overvalued. The current stock price of $127.35 is trading 8.4% above its estimated GF Value™ of $117.50. GuruFocus considers CF Industries Holdings to be Fairly Valued.

Key valuation signals for CF:

  • Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio: 5.41 (66% above median its 10-year median of 3.25)
  • GF Value™: $117.50 vs. price of $127.35 (8.4% above fair value)
  • GF Score™: 69/100 with 3 warning signs
  • Industry Position: 306.8% above the Agriculture median (#178 of 199)

No single metric tells the full story. See the CF stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


CF Industries Holdings Business Description

Address 2375 Waterview Drive, Northbrook, IL, USA, 60062
CF Industries is a leading producer and distributor of nitrogen, which is primarily used in fertilizers. The company operates nitrogen manufacturing plants primarily in North America. CF also produces nitrogen in the United Kingdom and holds a joint venture interest in a nitrogen production facility in Trinidad and Tobago. CF makes nitrogen primarily using low-cost US natural gas as its feedstock, making the company one of the lowest-cost nitrogen producers globally. It is also investing in carbon-free blue and green ammonia, which can be used as an alternative fuel to hydrogen or as a means to transport hydrogen.
69GF Score

Get the complete analysis for CF

Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

$127.35
Price
$117.50
GF Value