Alcoa (LTS:0HCB) Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio: 1.45 (As of Jul. 24, 2026) — 28% Above Median

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LTS:0HCB Alcoa Corp LTS:0HCB
72 GF Score
Price $45.25
GF Value $32.45
Valuation Significantly Overvalued
! 8 Warning Signs
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What is Alcoa Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio?

Alcoa LTS:0HCB -1.74% 72 Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio is 1.45 as of Jul. 24, 2026, which is 28% above its 10-year median of 1.13. GuruFocus rates LTS:0HCB with a GF Score™ of 72/100 and a GF Value™ of $32.45 (Significantly Overvalued). The stock has 8 warning signs investors should review. Among 1,542 Metals & Mining companies, Alcoa ranks worse than 51.56% on this metric.

As of today (2026-07-24), Alcoa's current share price is $45.25. Alcoa's Cyclically Adjusted Book per Share for the quarter that ended in Jun. 2026 was $31.19. Alcoa's Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio for today is 1.45.

The historical rank and industry rank for Alcoa's Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio or its related term are showing as below:

LTS:0HCB' s Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 0.7   Med: 1.13   Max: 2.47
Current: 1.47

During the past years, Alcoa's highest Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio was 2.47. The lowest was 0.70. And the median was 1.13.

LTS:0HCB's Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio is ranked worse than
51.56% of 1542 companies
in the Metals & Mining industry
Industry Median: 1.41 vs LTS:0HCB: 1.47

The Shiller PE Ratio was first used by professor Robert Shiller. He uses E10 for his Shiller PE Ratio calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings per share of a company over the past 10 years. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio. The Cyclically Adjusted Book per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted book value per share of a company over the past 10 years.

Alcoa's adjusted book value per share data for the three months ended in Jun. 2026 was $27.928. Add all the adjusted book value per share for the past 10 years together and divide the count will get our Cyclically Adjusted Book per Share, which is $31.19 for the trailing ten years ended in Jun. 2026.

Shiller PE for Stocks: The True Measure of Stock Valuation


Alcoa  (LTS:0HCB) Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio Explanation

Compared with the regular PB Ratio, which works poorly for cyclical businesses, the Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio smoothed out the fluctuations of book value during business cycles. Therefore it is more accurate in reflecting the valuation of the company.

If a company has consistent business performance, the Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio should give similar results to regular PB Ratio.


Alcoa Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio Related Terms


Alcoa Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for Alcoa's Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Alcoa Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio Chart

Alcoa Annual Data
Trend Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23 Dec24 Dec25
Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.14 1.66

Alcoa Quarterly Data
Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Sep24 Dec24 Mar25 Jun25 Sep25 Dec25 Mar26 Jun26
Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 0.89 0.99 1.66 2.11 1.70

LTS:0HCB vs CENX, CSTM, KALU: Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio Comparison

For the Aluminum subindustry, Alcoa's Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio, along with its competitors' market caps and Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Alcoa Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio vs Metals & Mining Industry

For the Metals & Mining industry and Basic Materials sector, Alcoa's Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Alcoa's Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio falls into.


LTS:0HCB
72GF Score
Alcoa Corp LTS:0HCB
Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

Alcoa Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio Calculation

Like the Shiller PE Ratio, the Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio takes the Book Value per Share from the past 10 years, adjusts it for inflation, and then calculates the average. This average is then used for the P/B calculation. Because it considers this 10-year average, it's often referred to as the CAPB Ratio.

The Shiller PE Ratio was first used by professor Robert Shiller to measure the valuation of the overall market. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio.

Alcoa's Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio for today is calculated as

Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio=Share Price/ Cyclically Adjusted Book per Share
=45.25/31.19
=1.45

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Alcoa's Cyclically Adjusted Book per Share for the quarter that ended in Jun. 2026 is calculated as:

For example, Alcoa's adjusted Book Value per Share data for the three months ended in Jun. 2026 was:

Adj_Book=Book Value per Share/CPI of Jun. 2026 (Change)*Current CPI (Jun. 2026)
=27.928/333.9520*333.9520
=27.928

Current CPI (Jun. 2026) = 333.9520.

Alcoa Quarterly Data

Book Value per Share CPI Adj_Book
201609 38.253 241.428 52.913
201612 30.908 241.432 42.752
201703 31.896 243.801 43.690
201706 32.314 244.955 44.054
201709 31.692 246.819 42.880
201712 24.422 246.524 33.083
201803 28.828 249.554 38.577
201806 26.942 251.989 35.705
201809 27.969 252.439 37.000
201812 30.405 251.233 40.416
201903 27.798 254.202 36.519
201906 26.380 256.143 34.393
201909 24.459 256.759 31.812
201912 22.158 256.974 28.796
202003 22.994 258.115 29.750
202006 19.927 257.797 25.814
202009 18.260 260.280 23.428
202012 17.803 260.474 22.825
202103 17.424 264.877 21.968
202106 20.170 271.696 24.792
202109 20.731 274.310 25.238
202112 25.378 278.802 30.398
202203 24.829 287.504 28.840
202206 31.491 296.311 35.491
202209 30.355 296.808 34.154
202212 28.683 296.797 32.274
202303 26.296 301.836 29.094
202306 27.134 305.109 29.699
202309 25.264 307.789 27.412
202312 23.819 306.746 25.932
202403 22.243 312.332 23.783
202406 21.714 314.175 23.081
202409 20.321 315.301 21.523
202412 19.960 315.605 21.120
202503 22.462 319.799 23.456
202506 23.695 322.561 24.532
202509 24.501 324.800 25.191
202512 23.253 324.054 23.963
202603 25.869 330.213 26.162
202606 27.928 333.952 27.928

Add all the adjusted book value per share together and divide the count will get our Cyclically Adjusted Book per Share.

Please note that we use the CPI data of the country/region where the company is headquartered. If the CPI data for that country/region is not available, then we will use the CPI data of the United States as default.

What does a Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio of 1.45 mean?
Alcoa (LTS:0HCB) has a Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio of 1.45 as of Jul. 24, 2026. Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio is the ratio of share price to a company's inflation-adjusted book value per share over a 10-year period. View historical data on Alcoa and its competitors. This is 28% above median its historical median of 1.13. Over the past decade, Alcoa's Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio has ranged from 0.70 to 2.47. According to the industry distribution chart, Alcoa ranks #795 out of 1542 companies in the Metals & Mining industry, placing it in the top 51.6%.
Is Alcoa's Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio too high?
Alcoa's current Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio of 1.45 is 28% above median its 10-year median of 1.13. Over the past 10 years, this metric has ranged from a low of 0.70 to a high of 2.47. The Metals & Mining industry median Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio is 1.41. Alcoa's value of 1.45 is 2.8% above this industry median. Based on the distribution chart, Alcoa ranks #795 out of 1542 companies in the Metals & Mining industry, which is below the industry midpoint. Overall, Alcoa has a GF Score™ of 72/100 and is considered Significantly Overvalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Alcoa's Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio compare to CENX and CSTM?
According to the Metals & Mining industry distribution chart, Alcoa ranks #795 out of 1542 companies for Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio. This places Alcoa in the lower half of its industry. The industry median Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio is 1.41. Alcoa's value of 1.45 is 2.8% above this benchmark. Historically, Alcoa's own Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio has ranged from 0.70 to 2.47 over the past decade. While the company's 10-year median is 1.13 vs. the industry median of 1.41, Alcoa has consistently been above the industry average. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio for a Metals & Mining company?
The median Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio among Metals & Mining companies is 1.41, based on 1,542 companies in the industry. Companies in the top quartile (top 25%) have a Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio significantly above this median, while those in the bottom quartile fall well below. However, Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Alcoa's current Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio of 1.45 is 2.8% above the industry median. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio mean?
A high Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio is the ratio of share price to a company's inflation-adjusted book value per share over a 10-year period. View historical data on Alcoa and its competitors. For the Metals & Mining industry, the median Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio is 1.41 — values significantly above this may indicate overvaluation, while values below may suggest a bargain or underlying issues. Alcoa's current Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio is 1.45, which is 28% above median its own 10-year median of 1.13. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Alcoa stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Alcoa (LTS:0HCB) is currently considered Significantly Overvalued. The stock's GF Value™ is $32.45, compared to a current price of $45.25 — trading 39.4% above its estimated fair value. The current Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio is 1.45, which is 28% above median its 10-year median of 1.13 and 2.8% above the Metals & Mining industry median of 1.41. Alcoa's overall GF Score™ is 72/100 with 8 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio calculated?
Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Alcoa (LTS:0HCB), the current Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio is 1.45 as of Jul. 24, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Alcoa (LTS:0HCB) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Alcoa stock appears to be overvalued. The current stock price of $45.25 is trading 39.4% above its estimated GF Value™ of $32.45. GuruFocus considers Alcoa to be Significantly Overvalued.

Key valuation signals for LTS:0HCB:

  • Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio: 1.45 (28% above median its 10-year median of 1.13)
  • GF Value™: $32.45 vs. price of $45.25 (39.4% above fair value)
  • GF Score™: 72/100 with 8 warning signs
  • Industry Position: 2.8% above the Metals & Mining median (#795 of 1542)

No single metric tells the full story. See the LTS:0HCB stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Alcoa Business Description

Address 201 Isabella Street, Suite 500, Pittsburgh, PA, USA, 15212-5858
Alcoa is a vertically integrated aluminum company whose operations include bauxite mining, alumina refining, and manufacturing primary aluminum. It is one of the world's largest bauxite miners and alumina refiners by production volume, but sits outside the top-10 aluminum producers, a list dominated by Chinese companies. Profits are closely tied to prevailing commodity prices along the aluminum supply chain.Alcoa was the first mass producer of aluminum, launching the world-changing Hall-Heroult smelting process in the 1880s, making aluminum affordable. It listed as a public company in 1925. In 2016, Alcoa spun off its automotive and aerospace metal parts segment to focus on mining, smelting, and refining. It bought the 40% unowned balance of AWAC in mid-2024.
72GF Score

Get the complete analysis for LTS:0HCB

Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

$45.25
Price
$32.45
GF Value