Alcoa (LTS:0HCB) Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio: (As of Jul. 20, 2026)

Author: Vera Yuan Vera Yuan
Vera Yuan
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Director of Data and Quant Analytics at GuruFocus
Focused on building reliable datasets, financial models, and research tools for value-minded investors. Committed to turning complex data into practical guidance for value-investing and long-term wealth.
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Charlie Tian
Charlie Tian
Founder & CEO of GuruFocus
Dr. Charlie Tian is the founder and CEO of GuruFocus.com, a leading global investment research platform established in 2004. With a Ph.D. in physics, Dr. Tian transitioned from science to finance, applying a data-driven, disciplined approach to value investing.

LTS:0HCB Alcoa Corp LTS:0HCB
67 GF Score
Price $45.34
GF Value $30.34
Valuation Significantly Overvalued
! 7 Warning Signs
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What is Alcoa Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio?

Shiller PE for Stocks: The True Measure of Stock Valuation


Alcoa  (LTS:0HCB) Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio Explanation

Compared with the regular PS Ratio, which works poorly for cyclical businesses, the Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio smoothed out the fluctuations of revenue during business cycles. Therefore it is more accurate in reflecting the valuation of the company.

If a company has consistent business performance, the Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio should give similar results to regular PS Ratio.


Alcoa Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio Related Terms


Alcoa Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for Alcoa's Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Alcoa Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio Chart

Alcoa Annual Data
Trend Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23 Dec24 Dec25
Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.53 0.76

Alcoa Quarterly Data
Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Sep24 Dec24 Mar25 Jun25 Sep25 Dec25 Mar26 Jun26
Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 0.42 0.47 0.76 0.94 0.00

LTS:0HCB vs CENX, CSTM, KALU: Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio Comparison

For the Aluminum subindustry, Alcoa's Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio, along with its competitors' market caps and Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Alcoa Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio vs Metals & Mining Industry

For the Metals & Mining industry and Basic Materials sector, Alcoa's Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Alcoa's Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio falls into.


LTS:0HCB
67GF Score
Alcoa Corp LTS:0HCB
Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
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Alcoa Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio Calculation

Like the Shiller PE Ratio, the Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio takes the Revenue per Share from the past 10 years, adjusts it for inflation, and then calculates the average. This average is then used for the P/S calculation. Because it considers this 10-year average, it's often referred to as the CAPS Ratio.

The Shiller PE Ratio was first used by professor Robert Shiller to measure the valuation of the overall market. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio.

Alcoa's Cyclically Adjusted Revenue per Share for the quarter that ended in Jun. 2026 is calculated as:

For example, Alcoa's adjusted Revenue per Share data for the three months ended in Jun. 2026 was:

Adj_RevenuePerShare=Revenue per Share/CPI of Jun. 2026 (Change)*Current CPI (Jun. 2026)
=14.912/333.9520*333.9520
=14.912

Current CPI (Jun. 2026) = 333.9520.

Alcoa Quarterly Data

Revenue per Share CPI Adj_RevenuePerShare
201609 12.764 241.428 17.656
201612 13.869 241.432 19.184
201703 14.274 243.801 19.552
201706 15.371 244.955 20.956
201709 15.850 246.819 21.445
201712 16.973 246.524 22.992
201803 16.436 249.554 21.995
201806 18.937 251.989 25.097
201809 18.226 252.439 24.111
201812 17.693 251.233 23.518
201903 14.697 254.202 19.308
201906 14.575 256.143 19.002
201909 13.801 256.759 17.950
201912 13.168 256.974 17.113
202003 12.733 258.115 16.474
202006 11.548 257.797 14.959
202009 12.715 260.280 16.314
202012 12.860 260.474 16.488
202103 15.185 264.877 19.145
202106 14.911 271.696 18.328
202109 16.277 274.310 19.816
202112 17.579 278.802 21.056
202203 17.516 287.504 20.346
202206 19.591 296.311 22.080
202209 15.927 296.808 17.920
202212 14.961 296.797 16.834
202303 15.000 301.836 16.596
202306 15.079 305.109 16.504
202309 14.618 307.789 15.861
202312 14.579 306.746 15.872
202403 14.520 312.332 15.525
202406 16.055 314.175 17.066
202409 12.410 315.301 13.144
202412 13.155 315.605 13.920
202503 12.939 319.799 13.512
202506 11.592 322.561 12.001
202509 11.480 324.800 11.803
202512 13.099 324.054 13.499
202603 12.018 330.213 12.154
202606 14.912 333.952 14.912

Add all the adjusted revenue per share together and divide 10 will get our Cyclically Adjusted Revenue per Share.

Please note that we use the CPI data of the country/region where the company is headquartered. If the CPI data for that country/region is not available, then we will use the CPI data of the United States as default.

Is Alcoa (LTS:0HCB) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Alcoa stock appears to be overvalued. The current stock price of $45.34 is trading 49.4% above its estimated GF Value™ of $30.34. GuruFocus considers Alcoa to be Significantly Overvalued.

Key valuation signals for LTS:0HCB:

  • Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio:
  • GF Value™: $30.34 vs. price of $45.34 (49.4% above fair value)
  • GF Score™: 67/100 with 7 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the LTS:0HCB stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Alcoa Business Description

Address 201 Isabella Street, Suite 500, Pittsburgh, PA, USA, 15212-5858
Alcoa is a vertically integrated aluminum company whose operations include bauxite mining, alumina refining, and manufacturing primary aluminum. It is one of the world's largest bauxite miners and alumina refiners by production volume, but sits outside the top-10 aluminum producers, a list dominated by Chinese companies. Profits are closely tied to prevailing commodity prices along the aluminum supply chain.Alcoa was the first mass producer of aluminum, launching the world-changing Hall-Heroult smelting process in the 1880s, making aluminum affordable. It listed as a public company in 1925. In 2016, Alcoa spun off its automotive and aerospace metal parts segment to focus on mining, smelting, and refining. It bought the 40% unowned balance of AWAC in mid-2024.
67GF Score

Get the complete analysis for LTS:0HCB

Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

$45.34
Price
$30.34
GF Value