Watsco (STU:WC3) Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio: 5.63 (As of Aug. 01, 2026) — 22% Below Median

Author: Vera Yuan Vera Yuan
Vera Yuan
Vera Yuan
Director of Data and Quant Analytics at GuruFocus
Focused on building reliable datasets, financial models, and research tools for value-minded investors. Committed to turning complex data into practical guidance for value-investing and long-term wealth.
Reviewed by: Charlie Tian Charlie Tian
Charlie Tian
Charlie Tian
Founder & CEO of GuruFocus
Dr. Charlie Tian is the founder and CEO of GuruFocus.com, a leading global investment research platform established in 2004. With a Ph.D. in physics, Dr. Tian transitioned from science to finance, applying a data-driven, disciplined approach to value investing.

STU:WC3 Watsco Inc STU:WC3
86 GF Score
Price €268.80
GF Value €344.17
Valuation Modestly Undervalued
! 3 Warning Signs
View Full Analysis

What is Watsco Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio?

Watsco STU:WC3 -0.67% 86 Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio is 5.63 as of Aug. 01, 2026, which is 22% below its 10-year median of 7.24. GuruFocus rates STU:WC3 with a GF Score™ of 86/100 and a GF Value™ of €344.17 (Modestly Undervalued). The stock has 3 warning signs investors should review. Among 126 Industrial Distribution companies, Watsco ranks worse than 89.68% on this metric.

As of today (2026-08-01), Watsco's current share price is €268.80. Watsco's Cyclically Adjusted Book per Share for the quarter that ended in Jun. 2026 was €47.77. Watsco's Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio for today is 5.63.

The historical rank and industry rank for Watsco's Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio or its related term are showing as below:

STU:WC3' s Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 4.79   Med: 7.24   Max: 12.13
Current: 5.71

During the past years, Watsco's highest Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio was 12.13. The lowest was 4.79. And the median was 7.24.

STU:WC3's Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio is ranked worse than
89.68% of 126 companies
in the Industrial Distribution industry
Industry Median: 1.325 vs STU:WC3: 5.71

The Shiller PE Ratio was first used by professor Robert Shiller. He uses E10 for his Shiller PE Ratio calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings per share of a company over the past 10 years. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio. The Cyclically Adjusted Book per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted book value per share of a company over the past 10 years.

Watsco's adjusted book value per share data for the three months ended in Jun. 2026 was €63.105. Add all the adjusted book value per share for the past 10 years together and divide the count will get our Cyclically Adjusted Book per Share, which is €47.77 for the trailing ten years ended in Jun. 2026.

Shiller PE for Stocks: The True Measure of Stock Valuation


Watsco  (STU:WC3) Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio Explanation

Compared with the regular PB Ratio, which works poorly for cyclical businesses, the Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio smoothed out the fluctuations of book value during business cycles. Therefore it is more accurate in reflecting the valuation of the company.

If a company has consistent business performance, the Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio should give similar results to regular PB Ratio.


Watsco Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio Related Terms


Watsco Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for Watsco's Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Watsco Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio Chart

Watsco Annual Data
Trend Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23 Dec24 Dec25
Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 9.01 6.47 10.16 10.17 6.60

Watsco Quarterly Data
Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Sep24 Dec24 Mar25 Jun25 Sep25 Dec25 Mar26 Jun26
Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 8.97 8.02 6.60 6.89 7.69

STU:WC3 vs QXO, WCC, AIT: Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio Comparison

For the Industrial Distribution subindustry, Watsco's Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio, along with its competitors' market caps and Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Watsco Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio vs Industrial Distribution Industry

For the Industrial Distribution industry and Industrials sector, Watsco's Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Watsco's Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio falls into.


STU:WC3
86GF Score
Watsco Inc STU:WC3
Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

Watsco Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio Calculation

Like the Shiller PE Ratio, the Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio takes the Book Value per Share from the past 10 years, adjusts it for inflation, and then calculates the average. This average is then used for the P/B calculation. Because it considers this 10-year average, it's often referred to as the CAPB Ratio.

The Shiller PE Ratio was first used by professor Robert Shiller to measure the valuation of the overall market. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio.

Watsco's Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio for today is calculated as

Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio=Share Price/ Cyclically Adjusted Book per Share
=268.80/47.77
=5.63

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Watsco's Cyclically Adjusted Book per Share for the quarter that ended in Jun. 2026 is calculated as:

For example, Watsco's adjusted Book Value per Share data for the three months ended in Jun. 2026 was:

Adj_Book=Book Value per Share/CPI of Jun. 2026 (Change)*Current CPI (Jun. 2026)
=63.105/333.9520*333.9520
=63.105

Current CPI (Jun. 2026) = 333.9520.

Watsco Quarterly Data

Book Value per Share CPI Adj_Book
201609 26.058 241.428 36.044
201612 26.837 241.432 37.121
201703 25.647 243.801 35.131
201706 25.390 244.955 34.615
201709 24.698 246.819 33.417
201712 29.460 246.524 39.908
201803 28.056 249.554 37.544
201806 30.430 251.989 40.328
201809 31.307 252.439 41.416
201812 31.626 251.233 42.039
201903 31.400 254.202 41.251
201906 31.856 256.143 41.533
201909 34.391 256.759 44.730
201912 33.782 256.974 43.902
202003 33.141 258.115 42.878
202006 33.214 257.797 43.026
202009 32.864 260.280 42.166
202012 31.684 260.474 40.622
202103 32.405 264.877 40.856
202106 33.764 271.696 41.501
202109 36.053 274.310 43.892
202112 37.929 278.802 45.432
202203 40.216 287.504 46.713
202206 44.523 296.311 50.179
202209 49.383 296.808 55.563
202212 45.967 296.797 51.721
202303 46.248 301.836 51.169
202306 48.143 305.109 52.694
202309 52.897 307.789 57.393
202312 51.779 306.746 56.371
202403 57.675 312.332 61.667
202406 60.127 314.175 63.912
202409 60.161 315.301 63.720
202412 62.882 315.605 66.538
202503 60.900 319.799 63.595
202506 59.025 322.561 61.109
202509 59.130 324.800 60.796
202512 58.539 324.054 60.327
202603 58.768 330.213 59.433
202606 63.105 333.952 63.105

Add all the adjusted book value per share together and divide the count will get our Cyclically Adjusted Book per Share.

Please note that we use the CPI data of the country/region where the company is headquartered. If the CPI data for that country/region is not available, then we will use the CPI data of the United States as default.

What does a Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio of 5.63 mean?
Watsco (STU:WC3) has a Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio of 5.63 as of Aug. 01, 2026. Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio is the ratio of share price to a company's inflation-adjusted book value per share over a 10-year period. View historical data on Watsco and its competitors. This is 22% below median its historical median of 7.24. Over the past decade, Watsco's Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio has ranged from 4.79 to 12.13. According to the industry distribution chart, Watsco ranks #113 out of 126 companies in the Industrial Distribution industry, placing it in the top 89.7%.
Is Watsco's Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio too high?
Watsco's current Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio of 5.63 is 22% below median its 10-year median of 7.24. Over the past 10 years, this metric has ranged from a low of 4.79 to a high of 12.13. The Industrial Distribution industry median Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio is 1.33. Watsco's value of 5.63 is 324.9% above this industry median. Based on the distribution chart, Watsco ranks #113 out of 126 companies in the Industrial Distribution industry, which is in the bottom quartile relative to peers. Overall, Watsco has a GF Score™ of 86/100 and is considered Modestly Undervalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Watsco's Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio compare to QXO and WCC?
According to the Industrial Distribution industry distribution chart, Watsco ranks #113 out of 126 companies for Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio. This places Watsco in the lower half of its industry. The industry median Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio is 1.33. Watsco's value of 5.63 is 324.9% above this benchmark. Historically, Watsco's own Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio has ranged from 4.79 to 12.13 over the past decade. While the company's 10-year median is 7.24 vs. the industry median of 1.33, Watsco has consistently been above the industry average. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio for an Industrial Distribution company?
The median Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio among Industrial Distribution companies is 1.33, based on 126 companies in the industry. Companies in the top quartile (top 25%) have a Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio significantly above this median, while those in the bottom quartile fall well below. However, Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Watsco's current Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio of 5.63 is 324.9% above the industry median. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio mean?
A high Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio is the ratio of share price to a company's inflation-adjusted book value per share over a 10-year period. View historical data on Watsco and its competitors. For the Industrial Distribution industry, the median Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio is 1.33 — values significantly above this may indicate overvaluation, while values below may suggest a bargain or underlying issues. Watsco's current Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio is 5.63, which is 22% below median its own 10-year median of 7.24. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Watsco stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Watsco (STU:WC3) is currently considered Modestly Undervalued. The stock's GF Value™ is €344.17, compared to a current price of €268.80 — trading 21.9% below its estimated fair value. The current Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio is 5.63, which is 22% below median its 10-year median of 7.24 and 324.9% above the Industrial Distribution industry median of 1.33. Watsco's overall GF Score™ is 86/100 with 3 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio calculated?
Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Watsco (STU:WC3), the current Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio is 5.63 as of Aug. 01, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Watsco (STU:WC3) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Watsco stock appears to be undervalued. The current stock price of €268.80 is trading 21.9% below its estimated GF Value™ of €344.17. GuruFocus considers Watsco to be Modestly Undervalued.

Key valuation signals for STU:WC3:

  • Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio: 5.63 (22% below median its 10-year median of 7.24)
  • GF Value™: €344.17 vs. price of €268.80 (21.9% below fair value)
  • GF Score™: 86/100 with 3 warning signs
  • Industry Position: 324.9% above the Industrial Distribution median (#113 of 126)

No single metric tells the full story. See the STU:WC3 stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Watsco Business Description

Address 2665 South Bayshore Drive, Suite 901, Miami, FL, USA, 33133
Watsco is the largest HVAC and refrigeration products distributor in North America with approximately 13% market share. The company primarily operates in the United States (90% of revenue) with significant exposure in the Sunbelt states. Watsco also has operations in Canada, Latin America, and the Caribbean. The company's customer base comprises more than 120,000 dealers and contractors serving the replacement and new-construction HVAC/R markets for residential and light-commercial applications. As much as 20% of residential HVAC units are distributed through Watsco in any given year. Revenue is approximately 75%-80% residential HVAC and 20%-25% commercial, with relatively small exposure to more complex "applied" solutions.
86GF Score

Get the complete analysis for STU:WC3

Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

€268.80
Price
€344.17
GF Value