Watsco (STU:WC3) Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio: 1.88 (As of Jul. 25, 2026) — Near Median

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STU:WC3 Watsco Inc STU:WC3
85 GF Score
Price €319.00
GF Value €365.88
Valuation Modestly Undervalued
! 3 Warning Signs
View Full Analysis

What is Watsco Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio?

Watsco STU:WC3 +1.08% 85 Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio is 1.88 as of Jul. 25, 2026, which is 6% above its 10-year median of 1.77. GuruFocus rates STU:WC3 with a GF Score™ of 85/100 and a GF Value™ of €365.88 (Modestly Undervalued). The stock has 3 warning signs investors should review. Among 127 Industrial Distribution companies, Watsco ranks worse than 84.25% on this metric.

As of today (2026-07-25), Watsco's current share price is €319.00. Watsco's Cyclically Adjusted Revenue per Share for the quarter that ended in Mar. 2026 was €169.78. Watsco's Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio for today is 1.88.

The historical rank and industry rank for Watsco's Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio or its related term are showing as below:

STU:WC3' s Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 1.12   Med: 1.77   Max: 3.02
Current: 1.85

During the past years, Watsco's highest Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio was 3.02. The lowest was 1.12. And the median was 1.77.

STU:WC3's Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio is ranked worse than
84.25% of 127 companies
in the Industrial Distribution industry
Industry Median: 0.51 vs STU:WC3: 1.85

The Shiller PE Ratio was first used by professor Robert Shiller. He uses E10 for his Shiller PE Ratio calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings per share of a company over the past 10 years. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio. The Cyclically Adjusted Revenue per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted revenue per share of a company over the past 10 years.

Watsco's adjusted revenue per share data for the three months ended in Mar. 2026 was €34.928. Add all the adjusted revenue per share for the past 10 years together and divide 10 will get our Cyclically Adjusted Revenue per Share, which is €169.78 for the trailing ten years ended in Mar. 2026.

Shiller PE for Stocks: The True Measure of Stock Valuation


Watsco  (STU:WC3) Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio Explanation

Compared with the regular PS Ratio, which works poorly for cyclical businesses, the Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio smoothed out the fluctuations of revenue during business cycles. Therefore it is more accurate in reflecting the valuation of the company.

If a company has consistent business performance, the Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio should give similar results to regular PS Ratio.


Watsco Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio Related Terms


Watsco Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for Watsco's Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Watsco Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio Chart

Watsco Annual Data
Trend Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23 Dec24 Dec25
Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 2.09 1.51 2.44 2.56 1.75

Watsco Quarterly Data
Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Sep24 Dec24 Mar25 Jun25 Sep25 Dec25 Mar26
Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 2.70 2.32 2.10 1.75 1.86

STU:WC3 vs WCC, QXO, AIT: Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio Comparison

For the Industrial Distribution subindustry, Watsco's Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio, along with its competitors' market caps and Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Watsco Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio vs Industrial Distribution Industry

For the Industrial Distribution industry and Industrials sector, Watsco's Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Watsco's Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio falls into.


STU:WC3
85GF Score
Watsco Inc STU:WC3
Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

Watsco Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio Calculation

Like the Shiller PE Ratio, the Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio takes the Revenue per Share from the past 10 years, adjusts it for inflation, and then calculates the average. This average is then used for the P/S calculation. Because it considers this 10-year average, it's often referred to as the CAPS Ratio.

The Shiller PE Ratio was first used by professor Robert Shiller to measure the valuation of the overall market. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio.

Watsco's Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio for today is calculated as

Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio=Share Price/ Cyclically Adjusted Revenue per Share
=319.00/169.78
=1.88

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Watsco's Cyclically Adjusted Revenue per Share for the quarter that ended in Mar. 2026 is calculated as:

For example, Watsco's adjusted Revenue per Share data for the three months ended in Mar. 2026 was:

Adj_RevenuePerShare=Revenue per Share/CPI of Mar. 2026 (Change)*Current CPI (Mar. 2026)
=34.928/330.2130*330.2130
=34.928

Current CPI (Mar. 2026) = 330.2130.

Watsco Quarterly Data

Revenue per Share CPI Adj_RevenuePerShare
201606 33.149 241.018 45.417
201609 33.873 241.428 46.330
201612 26.516 241.432 36.267
201703 24.951 243.801 33.795
201706 34.717 244.955 46.800
201709 31.504 246.819 42.148
201712 24.460 246.524 32.764
201803 21.896 249.554 28.973
201806 33.184 251.989 43.485
201809 32.288 252.439 42.236
201812 25.332 251.233 33.296
201903 23.957 254.202 31.121
201906 35.229 256.143 45.416
201909 36.408 256.759 46.824
201912 27.579 256.974 35.439
202003 26.050 258.115 33.326
202006 34.324 257.797 43.966
202009 37.025 260.280 46.973
202012 26.908 260.474 34.112
202103 27.012 264.877 33.675
202106 43.333 271.696 52.666
202109 42.751 274.310 51.463
202112 37.695 278.802 44.646
202203 38.965 287.504 44.753
202206 56.826 296.311 63.328
202209 57.819 296.808 64.326
202212 41.296 296.797 45.945
202303 39.896 301.836 43.647
202306 50.751 305.109 54.927
202309 54.481 307.789 58.450
202312 39.935 306.746 42.990
202403 38.913 312.332 41.141
202406 52.818 314.175 55.514
202409 51.661 315.301 54.104
202412 44.384 315.605 46.438
202503 37.415 319.799 38.633
202506 47.182 322.561 48.301
202509 46.445 324.800 47.219
202512 35.548 324.054 36.224
202603 34.928 330.213 34.928

Add all the adjusted revenue per share together and divide 10 will get our Cyclically Adjusted Revenue per Share.

Please note that we use the CPI data of the country/region where the company is headquartered. If the CPI data for that country/region is not available, then we will use the CPI data of the United States as default.

What does a Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio of 1.88 mean?
Watsco (STU:WC3) has a Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio of 1.88 as of Jul. 25, 2026. Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio is the ratio of share price to a company's inflation-adjusted revenue per share over a 10-year period. View historical data on Watsco and its competitors. This is near median its historical median of 1.77. Over the past decade, Watsco's Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio has ranged from 1.12 to 3.02. According to the industry distribution chart, Watsco ranks #107 out of 127 companies in the Industrial Distribution industry, placing it in the top 84.3%.
Is Watsco's Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio too high?
Watsco's current Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio of 1.88 is near median its 10-year median of 1.77. Over the past 10 years, this metric has ranged from a low of 1.12 to a high of 3.02. The Industrial Distribution industry median Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio is 0.51. Watsco's value of 1.88 is 268.6% above this industry median. Based on the distribution chart, Watsco ranks #107 out of 127 companies in the Industrial Distribution industry, which is in the bottom quartile relative to peers. Overall, Watsco has a GF Score™ of 85/100 and is considered Modestly Undervalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Watsco's Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio compare to WCC and QXO?
According to the Industrial Distribution industry distribution chart, Watsco ranks #107 out of 127 companies for Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio. This places Watsco in the lower half of its industry. The industry median Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio is 0.51. Watsco's value of 1.88 is 268.6% above this benchmark. Historically, Watsco's own Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio has ranged from 1.12 to 3.02 over the past decade. While the company's 10-year median is 1.77 vs. the industry median of 0.51, Watsco has consistently been above the industry average. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio for an Industrial Distribution company?
The median Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio among Industrial Distribution companies is 0.51, based on 127 companies in the industry. Companies in the top quartile (top 25%) have a Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio significantly above this median, while those in the bottom quartile fall well below. However, Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Watsco's current Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio of 1.88 is 268.6% above the industry median. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio mean?
A high Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio is the ratio of share price to a company's inflation-adjusted revenue per share over a 10-year period. View historical data on Watsco and its competitors. For the Industrial Distribution industry, the median Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio is 0.51 — values significantly above this may indicate overvaluation, while values below may suggest a bargain or underlying issues. Watsco's current Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio is 1.88, which is near median its own 10-year median of 1.77. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Watsco stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Watsco (STU:WC3) is currently considered Modestly Undervalued. The stock's GF Value™ is €365.88, compared to a current price of €319.00 — trading 12.8% below its estimated fair value. The current Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio is 1.88, which is near median its 10-year median of 1.77 and 268.6% above the Industrial Distribution industry median of 0.51. Watsco's overall GF Score™ is 85/100 with 3 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio calculated?
Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Watsco (STU:WC3), the current Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio is 1.88 as of Jul. 25, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Watsco (STU:WC3) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Watsco stock appears to be undervalued. The current stock price of €319.00 is trading 12.8% below its estimated GF Value™ of €365.88. GuruFocus considers Watsco to be Modestly Undervalued.

Key valuation signals for STU:WC3:

  • Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio: 1.88 (near median its 10-year median of 1.77)
  • GF Value™: €365.88 vs. price of €319.00 (12.8% below fair value)
  • GF Score™: 85/100 with 3 warning signs
  • Industry Position: 268.6% above the Industrial Distribution median (#107 of 127)

No single metric tells the full story. See the STU:WC3 stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Watsco Business Description

Address 2665 South Bayshore Drive, Suite 901, Miami, FL, USA, 33133
Watsco is the largest HVAC and refrigeration products distributor in North America with approximately 13% market share. The company primarily operates in the United States (90% of revenue) with significant exposure in the Sunbelt states. Watsco also has operations in Canada, Latin America, and the Caribbean. The company's customer base comprises more than 120,000 dealers and contractors serving the replacement and new-construction HVAC/R markets for residential and light-commercial applications. As much as 20% of residential HVAC units are distributed through Watsco in any given year. Revenue is approximately 75%-80% residential HVAC and 20%-25% commercial, with relatively small exposure to more complex "applied" solutions.
85GF Score

Get the complete analysis for STU:WC3

Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

€319.00
Price
€365.88
GF Value