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MetcashASX:MTS -0.70%74 Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF is 7.31 as of Sep. 11, 2026, which is 35% below its 10-year median of 11.21. GuruFocus rates ASX:MTS with a GF Score™ of 74/100 and a GF Value™ of A$3.59 (Modestly Undervalued). The stock has 2 warning signs investors should review. Among 136 Retail - Defensive companies, Metcash ranks better than 80.15% on this metric.
As of today (2026-09-11), Metcash's current share price is A$2.85. Metcash's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share for the fiscal year that ended in Apr26 was A$0.39. Metcash's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF for today is 7.31.
The historical rank and industry rank for Metcash's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF or its related term are showing as below:
ASX:MTS'
s Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 6.92 Med: 11.21 Max: 17.74
Current: 7.59
During the past 13 years, Metcash's highest Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF was 17.74. The lowest was 6.92. And the median was 11.21.
ASX:MTS's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF is ranked better than 80.15% of 136
companies
in the Retail - Defensive industry
Industry Median: 15.22
vs ASX:MTS: 7.59
The Shiller PE Ratio was first used by professor Robert Shiller. He uses E10 for his Shiller PE Ratio calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings per share of a company over the past 10 years. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF. The Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted free cash flow per share of a company over the past 10 years.
Metcash's adjusted free cash flow per share data of for the fiscal year that ended in Apr26 was A$0.347. Add all the adjusted free cash flow per share for the past 10 years together and divide 10 will get our Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share, which is A$0.39 for the trailing ten years ended in Apr26.
Shiller PE for Stocks: The True Measure of Stock Valuation
Compared with the regular Price-to-Free-Cash-Flow, which works poorly for cyclical businesses, the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF smoothed out the fluctuations of free cash flow during business cycles. Therefore it is more accurate in reflecting the valuation of the company.
If a company has consistent business performance, the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF should give similar results to regular Price-to-Free-Cash-Flow.
Metcash Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF Related Terms
Metcash Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF Historical Data
* Premium members only.
The historical data trend for Metcash's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF can be seen below:
* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD. * For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.
ASX:MTS vs SYY, USFD, PFGC: Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF Comparison
For the Food Distribution subindustry, Metcash's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF data, can be viewed below:
* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.
Metcash Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF vs Retail - Defensive Industry
For the Retail - Defensive industry and Consumer Defensive sector, Metcash's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF distribution charts can be found below:
* The bar in red indicates where Metcash's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF falls into.
Like the Shiller PE Ratio, the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF takes the Free Cash Flow per Share from the past 10 years, adjusts it for inflation, and then calculates the average. This average is then used for the P/FCF calculation. Because it considers this 10-year average, it's often referred to as the CAPFCF Ratio.
The Shiller PE Ratio was first used by professor Robert Shiller to measure the valuation of the overall market. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF.
Metcash's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF for today is calculated as
* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD. * For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.
Please note that we use the CPI data of the country/region where the company is headquartered. If the CPI data for that country/region is not available, then we will use the CPI data of the United States as default.
What does a Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF of 7.31 mean?
Metcash (ASX:MTS) has a Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF of 7.31 as of Sep. 11, 2026. Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF Ratio is the ratio of share price to a company's inflation-adjusted FCF per share over a 10-year period. View historical data on Metcash and its competitors. This is 35% below median its historical median of 11.21. Over the past decade, Metcash's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF has ranged from 6.92 to 17.74. According to the industry distribution chart, Metcash ranks #27 out of 136 companies in the Retail - Defensive industry, placing it in the top 19.9%.
Is Metcash's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF too high?
Metcash's current Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF of 7.31 is 35% below median its 10-year median of 11.21. Over the past 10 years, this metric has ranged from a low of 6.92 to a high of 17.74. The Retail - Defensive industry median Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF is 15.22. Metcash's value of 7.31 is 52% below this industry median. Based on the distribution chart, Metcash ranks #27 out of 136 companies in the Retail - Defensive industry, which is in the top quartile — a strong position relative to peers. Overall, Metcash has a GF Score™ of 74/100 and is considered Modestly Undervalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Metcash's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF compare to SYY and USFD?
According to the Retail - Defensive industry distribution chart, Metcash ranks #27 out of 136 companies for Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF. This places Metcash in the top 20% of its industry — outperforming the majority of peers. The industry median Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF is 15.22. Metcash's value of 7.31 is 52% below this benchmark. Historically, Metcash's own Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF has ranged from 6.92 to 17.74 over the past decade. While the company's 10-year median is 11.21 vs. the industry median of 15.22, Metcash has consistently been below the industry average. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF for a Retail - Defensive company?
The median Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF among Retail - Defensive companies is 15.22, based on 136 companies in the industry. Companies in the top quartile (top 25%) have a Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF significantly above this median, while those in the bottom quartile fall well below. However, Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Metcash's current Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF of 7.31 is 52% below the industry median. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF mean?
A high Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF Ratio is the ratio of share price to a company's inflation-adjusted FCF per share over a 10-year period. View historical data on Metcash and its competitors. For the Retail - Defensive industry, the median Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF is 15.22 — values significantly above this may indicate overvaluation, while values below may suggest a bargain or underlying issues. Metcash's current Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF is 7.31, which is 35% below median its own 10-year median of 11.21. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Metcash stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Metcash (ASX:MTS) is currently considered Modestly Undervalued. The stock's GF Value™ is A$3.59, compared to a current price of A$2.85 — trading 20.6% below its estimated fair value. The current Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF is 7.31, which is 35% below median its 10-year median of 11.21 and 52% below the Retail - Defensive industry median of 15.22. Metcash's overall GF Score™ is 74/100 with 2 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF calculated?
Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Metcash (ASX:MTS), the current Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF is 7.31 as of Sep. 11, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.
Is Metcash (ASX:MTS) Overvalued in 2026?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Metcash stock appears to be undervalued.
The current stock price of A$2.85 is trading 20.6% below its estimated GF Value™ of A$3.59.
GuruFocus considers Metcash to be Modestly Undervalued.
Key valuation signals for ASX:MTS:
Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF: 7.31 (35% below median its 10-year median of 11.21)
GF Value™: A$3.59 vs. price of A$2.85 (20.6% below fair value)
Industry Position: 52% below the Retail - Defensive median (#27 of 136)
No single metric tells the full story. See the ASX:MTS stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.
Metcash is a wholesaler, and to a lesser extent a retailer, specializing in food, liquor, and hardware. Centralized wholesale distribution enables independent retailers to gain access to the combined scale of many retailers to negotiate material volume discounts.The food segment distributes a range of products and services to independent supermarket and convenience stores. The hardware segment distributes hardware products to independent retail outlets and operates company-owned stores. The liquor segment distributes liquor products to independent retailers and venues like pubs.
74GF Score
Get the complete analysis for ASX:MTS
Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.
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