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China Merchants Securities Co (FRA:195H) Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF : 37.75 (As of Jun. 21, 2024)


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What is China Merchants Securities Co Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF?

As of today (2024-06-21), China Merchants Securities Co's current share price is €0.755. China Merchants Securities Co's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share for the quarter that ended in Mar. 2024 was €0.02. China Merchants Securities Co's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF for today is 37.75.

The historical rank and industry rank for China Merchants Securities Co's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF or its related term are showing as below:

FRA:195H' s Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 41.77   Med: 140.7   Max: 477.33
Current: 45.86

During the past years, China Merchants Securities Co's highest Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF was 477.33. The lowest was 41.77. And the median was 140.70.

FRA:195H's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF is ranked worse than
78.93% of 242 companies
in the Capital Markets industry
Industry Median: 18.435 vs FRA:195H: 45.86

The Shiller PE Ratio was first used by professor Robert Shiller. He uses E10 for his Shiller PE Ratio calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings per share of a company over the past 10 years. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF. The Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted free cash flow per share of a company over the past 10 years.

China Merchants Securities Co's adjusted free cash flow per share data for the three months ended in Mar. 2024 was €0.090. Add all the adjusted free cash flow per share for the past 10 years together and divide 10 will get our Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share, which is €0.02 for the trailing ten years ended in Mar. 2024.

Shiller PE for Stocks: The True Measure of Stock Valuation


China Merchants Securities Co Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF Historical Data

The historical data trend for China Merchants Securities Co's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

China Merchants Securities Co Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF Chart

China Merchants Securities Co Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only - - - - 44.33

China Merchants Securities Co Quarterly Data
Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24
Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 144.98 306.45 506.90 44.33 45.14

Competitive Comparison of China Merchants Securities Co's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF

For the Capital Markets subindustry, China Merchants Securities Co's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


China Merchants Securities Co's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF Distribution in the Capital Markets Industry

For the Capital Markets industry and Financial Services sector, China Merchants Securities Co's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where China Merchants Securities Co's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF falls into.



China Merchants Securities Co Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF Calculation

Like the Shiller PE Ratio, the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF takes the Free Cash Flow per Share from the past 10 years, adjusts it for inflation, and then calculates the average. This average is then used for the P/FCF calculation. Because it considers this 10-year average, it's often referred to as the CAPFCF Ratio.

The Shiller PE Ratio was first used by professor Robert Shiller to measure the valuation of the overall market. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF.

China Merchants Securities Co's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF for today is calculated as

Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF=Share Price/ Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share
=0.755/0.02
=37.75

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

China Merchants Securities Co's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share for the quarter that ended in Mar. 2024 is calculated as:

For example, China Merchants Securities Co's adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share data for the three months ended in Mar. 2024 was:

Adj_FreeCashFlowPerShare=Free Cash Flow per Share/CPI of Mar. 2024 (Change)*Current CPI (Mar. 2024)
=0.09/115.2271*115.2271
=0.090

Current CPI (Mar. 2024) = 115.2271.

China Merchants Securities Co Quarterly Data

Free Cash Flow per Share CPI Adj_FreeCashFlowPerShare
201406 -0.092 98.200 -0.108
201409 0.162 98.900 0.189
201412 0.222 99.000 0.258
201503 -0.339 99.900 -0.391
201506 0.613 99.500 0.710
201509 -0.228 100.500 -0.261
201512 -0.033 100.600 -0.038
201603 0.259 102.200 0.292
201606 0.020 101.400 0.023
201609 -0.218 102.400 -0.245
201612 -0.503 102.600 -0.565
201703 -0.088 103.200 -0.098
201706 0.085 103.100 0.095
201709 -0.250 104.100 -0.277
201712 -0.371 104.500 -0.409
201803 0.199 105.300 0.218
201806 0.018 104.900 0.020
201809 0.149 106.600 0.161
201812 0.073 106.500 0.079
201903 0.341 107.700 0.365
201906 -0.012 107.700 -0.013
201909 -0.142 109.800 -0.149
201912 -0.022 111.200 -0.023
202003 0.235 112.300 0.241
202006 -0.125 110.400 -0.130
202009 -0.526 111.700 -0.543
202012 0.255 111.500 0.264
202103 -0.293 112.662 -0.300
202106 -0.119 111.769 -0.123
202109 -0.158 112.215 -0.162
202112 -0.009 113.108 -0.009
202203 0.305 114.335 0.307
202206 0.599 114.558 0.602
202209 -0.501 115.339 -0.501
202212 0.529 115.116 0.530
202303 0.355 115.116 0.355
202306 -0.083 114.558 -0.083
202309 -0.089 115.339 -0.089
202312 0.192 114.781 0.193
202403 0.090 115.227 0.090

Add all the adjusted free cash flow per share together and divide 10 will get our Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share.

Please note that we use the CPI data of the country/region where the company is headquartered. If the CPI data for that country/region is not available, then we will use the CPI data of the United States as default.


China Merchants Securities Co  (FRA:195H) Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF Explanation

Compared with the regular Price-to-Free-Cash-Flow, which works poorly for cyclical businesses, the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF smoothed out the fluctuations of free cash flow during business cycles. Therefore it is more accurate in reflecting the valuation of the company.

If a company has consistent business performance, the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF should give similar results to regular Price-to-Free-Cash-Flow.


China Merchants Securities Co Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF Related Terms

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China Merchants Securities Co (FRA:195H) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
No. 111, 1st Fuhua Road, Futian District, Guangdong, Shenzhen, CHN, 518046
China Merchants Securities Co Ltd is a financial service provider. Its business is divided into four segments: Wealth management and institutional business; Investment banking; Investment management; and Investment and trading. The Wealth management and institutional business include brokerage and wealth management, capital-based intermediary business, and institutional client integrated services. Investment banking business includes equity underwriting, debt underwriting, and financial advisory businesses. The Investment management business engages in securities asset management and private equity investment fund business. Investment and trading business includes the investment and trading of equity and fixed-income products and other financial products.

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