Costco Wholesale (FRA:CTO0) Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio: 1.74 (As of Jul. 30, 2026) — 41% Above Median

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FRA:CTO0 Costco Wholesale Corp FRA:CTO0
86 GF Score
Price €26.60
GF Value €28.04
Valuation Fairly Valued
! 2 Warning Signs
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What is Costco Wholesale Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio?

Costco Wholesale FRA:CTO0 +1.53% 86 Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio is 1.74 as of Jul. 30, 2026, which is 41% above its 10-year median of 1.23. GuruFocus rates FRA:CTO0 with a GF Score™ of 86/100 and a GF Value™ of €28.04 (Fairly Valued). The stock has 2 warning signs investors should review. Among 240 Retail - Defensive companies, Costco Wholesale ranks worse than 88.75% on this metric.

As of today (2026-07-30), Costco Wholesale's current share price is €26.60. Costco Wholesale's Cyclically Adjusted Revenue per Share for the quarter that ended in May. 2026 was €15.29. Costco Wholesale's Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio for today is 1.74.

The historical rank and industry rank for Costco Wholesale's Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio or its related term are showing as below:

FRA:CTO0' s Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 0.64   Med: 1.23   Max: 2.3
Current: 1.81

During the past years, Costco Wholesale's highest Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio was 2.30. The lowest was 0.64. And the median was 1.23.

FRA:CTO0's Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio is ranked worse than
88.75% of 240 companies
in the Retail - Defensive industry
Industry Median: 0.44 vs FRA:CTO0: 1.81

The Shiller PE Ratio was first used by professor Robert Shiller. He uses E10 for his Shiller PE Ratio calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings per share of a company over the past 10 years. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio. The Cyclically Adjusted Revenue per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted revenue per share of a company over the past 10 years.

Costco Wholesale's adjusted revenue per share data for the three months ended in May. 2026 was €4.605. Add all the adjusted revenue per share for the past 10 years together and divide 10 will get our Cyclically Adjusted Revenue per Share, which is €15.29 for the trailing ten years ended in May. 2026.

Shiller PE for Stocks: The True Measure of Stock Valuation


Costco Wholesale  (FRA:CTO0) Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio Explanation

Compared with the regular PS Ratio, which works poorly for cyclical businesses, the Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio smoothed out the fluctuations of revenue during business cycles. Therefore it is more accurate in reflecting the valuation of the company.

If a company has consistent business performance, the Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio should give similar results to regular PS Ratio.


Costco Wholesale Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio Related Terms


Costco Wholesale Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for Costco Wholesale's Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Costco Wholesale Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio Chart

Costco Wholesale Annual Data
Trend Aug16 Aug17 Aug18 Aug19 Aug20 Aug21 Aug22 Aug23 Aug24 Aug25
Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 1.36 1.35 1.29 1.94 1.89

Costco Wholesale Quarterly Data
Aug21 Nov21 Feb22 May22 Aug22 Nov22 Feb23 May23 Aug23 Nov23 Feb24 May24 Aug24 Nov24 Feb25 May25 Aug25 Nov25 Feb26 May26
Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 2.14 1.89 1.81 1.96 1.78

FRA:CTO0 vs TGT, DG, DLTR: Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio Comparison

For the Discount Stores subindustry, Costco Wholesale's Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio, along with its competitors' market caps and Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Costco Wholesale Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio vs Retail - Defensive Industry

For the Retail - Defensive industry and Consumer Defensive sector, Costco Wholesale's Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Costco Wholesale's Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio falls into.


FRA:CTO0
86GF Score
Costco Wholesale Corp FRA:CTO0
Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

Costco Wholesale Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio Calculation

Like the Shiller PE Ratio, the Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio takes the Revenue per Share from the past 10 years, adjusts it for inflation, and then calculates the average. This average is then used for the P/S calculation. Because it considers this 10-year average, it's often referred to as the CAPS Ratio.

The Shiller PE Ratio was first used by professor Robert Shiller to measure the valuation of the overall market. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio.

Costco Wholesale's Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio for today is calculated as

Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio=Share Price/ Cyclically Adjusted Revenue per Share
=26.60/15.29
=1.74

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Costco Wholesale's Cyclically Adjusted Revenue per Share for the quarter that ended in May. 2026 is calculated as:

For example, Costco Wholesale's adjusted Revenue per Share data for the three months ended in May. 2026 was:

Adj_RevenuePerShare=Revenue per Share/CPI of May. 2026 (Change)*Current CPI (May. 2026)
=4.605/335.1230*335.1230
=4.605

Current CPI (May. 2026) = 335.1230.

Costco Wholesale Quarterly Data

Revenue per Share CPI Adj_RevenuePerShare
201608 2.506 240.849 3.487
201611 2.004 241.353 2.783
201702 2.150 243.603 2.958
201705 2.007 244.733 2.748
201708 2.751 245.519 3.755
201711 2.084 246.669 2.831
201802 2.052 248.991 2.762
201805 2.101 251.588 2.799
201808 2.942 252.146 3.910
201811 2.363 252.038 3.142
201902 2.390 252.776 3.169
201905 2.379 256.092 3.113
201908 3.260 256.558 4.258
201911 2.561 257.208 3.337
202002 2.737 258.678 3.546
202005 2.610 256.394 3.411
202008 3.441 259.918 4.437
202011 2.788 260.229 3.590
202102 2.824 263.014 3.598
202105 2.844 269.195 3.541
202108 4.064 273.567 4.978
202111 3.364 277.948 4.056
202202 3.484 283.716 4.115
202205 3.791 292.296 4.346
202208 5.425 296.171 6.138
202211 4.072 297.711 4.584
202302 3.937 300.840 4.386
202305 3.765 304.127 4.149
202308 5.521 307.026 6.026
202311 4.074 307.051 4.446
202402 4.129 310.326 4.459
202405 4.125 314.069 4.402
202408 5.506 314.796 5.862
202411 4.461 315.493 4.739
202502 4.661 319.082 4.895
202505 4.273 321.465 4.455
202508 5.642 323.976 5.836
202511 4.440 324.122 4.591
202602 4.491 326.785 4.606
202605 4.605 335.123 4.605

Add all the adjusted revenue per share together and divide 10 will get our Cyclically Adjusted Revenue per Share.

Please note that we use the CPI data of the country/region where the company is headquartered. If the CPI data for that country/region is not available, then we will use the CPI data of the United States as default.

What does a Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio of 1.74 mean?
Costco Wholesale (FRA:CTO0) has a Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio of 1.74 as of Jul. 30, 2026. Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio is the ratio of share price to a company's inflation-adjusted revenue per share over a 10-year period. View historical data on Costco Wholesale and its competitors. This is 41% above median its historical median of 1.23. Over the past decade, Costco Wholesale's Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio has ranged from 0.64 to 2.30. According to the industry distribution chart, Costco Wholesale ranks #213 out of 240 companies in the Retail - Defensive industry, placing it in the top 88.7%.
Is Costco Wholesale's Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio too high?
Costco Wholesale's current Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio of 1.74 is 41% above median its 10-year median of 1.23. Over the past 10 years, this metric has ranged from a low of 0.64 to a high of 2.30. The Retail - Defensive industry median Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio is 0.44. Costco Wholesale's value of 1.74 is 295.5% above this industry median. Based on the distribution chart, Costco Wholesale ranks #213 out of 240 companies in the Retail - Defensive industry, which is in the bottom quartile relative to peers. Overall, Costco Wholesale has a GF Score™ of 86/100 and is considered Fairly Valued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Costco Wholesale's Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio compare to TGT and DG?
According to the Retail - Defensive industry distribution chart, Costco Wholesale ranks #213 out of 240 companies for Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio. This places Costco Wholesale in the lower half of its industry. The industry median Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio is 0.44. Costco Wholesale's value of 1.74 is 295.5% above this benchmark. Historically, Costco Wholesale's own Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio has ranged from 0.64 to 2.30 over the past decade. While the company's 10-year median is 1.23 vs. the industry median of 0.44, Costco Wholesale has consistently been above the industry average. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio for a Retail - Defensive company?
The median Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio among Retail - Defensive companies is 0.44, based on 240 companies in the industry. Companies in the top quartile (top 25%) have a Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio significantly above this median, while those in the bottom quartile fall well below. However, Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Costco Wholesale's current Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio of 1.74 is 295.5% above the industry median. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio mean?
A high Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio is the ratio of share price to a company's inflation-adjusted revenue per share over a 10-year period. View historical data on Costco Wholesale and its competitors. For the Retail - Defensive industry, the median Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio is 0.44 — values significantly above this may indicate overvaluation, while values below may suggest a bargain or underlying issues. Costco Wholesale's current Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio is 1.74, which is 41% above median its own 10-year median of 1.23. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Costco Wholesale stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Costco Wholesale (FRA:CTO0) is currently considered Fairly Valued. The stock's GF Value™ is €28.04, compared to a current price of €26.60 — trading 5.1% below its estimated fair value. The current Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio is 1.74, which is 41% above median its 10-year median of 1.23 and 295.5% above the Retail - Defensive industry median of 0.44. Costco Wholesale's overall GF Score™ is 86/100 with 2 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio calculated?
Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Costco Wholesale (FRA:CTO0), the current Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio is 1.74 as of Jul. 30, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Costco Wholesale (FRA:CTO0) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Costco Wholesale stock appears to be undervalued. The current stock price of €26.60 is trading 5.1% below its estimated GF Value™ of €28.04. GuruFocus considers Costco Wholesale to be Fairly Valued.

Key valuation signals for FRA:CTO0:

  • Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio: 1.74 (41% above median its 10-year median of 1.23)
  • GF Value™: €28.04 vs. price of €26.60 (5.1% below fair value)
  • GF Score™: 86/100 with 2 warning signs
  • Industry Position: 295.5% above the Retail - Defensive median (#213 of 240)

No single metric tells the full story. See the FRA:CTO0 stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Costco Wholesale Business Description

Address 999 Lake Drive, Issaquah, WA, USA, 98027
Founded in 1983, Costco Wholesale now operates a global chain of membership-based warehouse clubs, delivering high-quality goods and services at consistently low prices. As of its most recent fiscal year, Costco operated approximately 910 warehouses, serving more than 80 million members across its three geographic segments: Costco US (approximately 73% of total revenue), Costco Canada (13%), and Costco International (14%).Costco's core value proposition—quality products at unbeatable prices—has yielded consistently strong member renewal rates (93% in the US and Canada and nearly 90% internationally). About 55% of Costco's fiscal 2025 revenue came from its grocery offerings, and another 25% from general merchandise.
86GF Score

Get the complete analysis for FRA:CTO0

Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

€26.60
Price
€28.04
GF Value