Toll Brothers (MIL:1TOL) Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio: 1.68 (As of Jul. 12, 2026) — Near Median


MIL:1TOL Toll Brothers Inc MIL:1TOL
69 GF Score
Price €137.85
GF Value €126.14
Valuation Fairly Valued
! 3 Warning Signs
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What is Toll Brothers Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio?

Toll Brothers MIL:1TOL 69 Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio is 1.68 as of Jul. 12, 2026, which is 2% above its 10-year median of 1.65. GuruFocus rates MIL:1TOL with a GF Score™ of 69/100 and a GF Value™ of €126.14 (Fairly Valued). The stock has 3 warning signs investors should review. Among 71 Homebuilding & Construction companies, Toll Brothers ranks worse than 77.46% on this metric.

As of today (2026-07-12), Toll Brothers's current share price is €137.85. Toll Brothers's Cyclically Adjusted Revenue per Share for the quarter that ended in Apr. 2026 was €81.82. Toll Brothers's Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio for today is 1.68.

The historical rank and industry rank for Toll Brothers's Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio or its related term are showing as below:

MIL:1TOL' s Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 0.59   Med: 1.65   Max: 2.68
Current: 1.81

During the past years, Toll Brothers's highest Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio was 2.68. The lowest was 0.59. And the median was 1.65.

MIL:1TOL's Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio is ranked worse than
77.46% of 71 companies
in the Homebuilding & Construction industry
Industry Median: 0.65 vs MIL:1TOL: 1.81

The Shiller PE Ratio was first used by professor Robert Shiller. He uses E10 for his Shiller PE Ratio calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings per share of a company over the past 10 years. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio. The Cyclically Adjusted Revenue per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted revenue per share of a company over the past 10 years.

Toll Brothers's adjusted revenue per share data for the three months ended in Apr. 2026 was €22.601. Add all the adjusted revenue per share for the past 10 years together and divide 10 will get our Cyclically Adjusted Revenue per Share, which is €81.82 for the trailing ten years ended in Apr. 2026.

Shiller PE for Stocks: The True Measure of Stock Valuation


Toll Brothers  (MIL:1TOL) Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio Explanation

Compared with the regular PS Ratio, which works poorly for cyclical businesses, the Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio smoothed out the fluctuations of revenue during business cycles. Therefore it is more accurate in reflecting the valuation of the company.

If a company has consistent business performance, the Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio should give similar results to regular PS Ratio.


Toll Brothers Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio Related Terms


Toll Brothers Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for Toll Brothers's Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Toll Brothers Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio Chart

Toll Brothers Annual Data
Trend Oct16 Oct17 Oct18 Oct19 Oct20 Oct21 Oct22 Oct23 Oct24 Oct25
Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 1.55 0.87 1.22 2.17 1.75

Toll Brothers Quarterly Data
Jul21 Oct21 Jan22 Apr22 Jul22 Oct22 Jan23 Apr23 Jul23 Oct23 Jan24 Apr24 Jul24 Oct24 Jan25 Apr25 Jul25 Oct25 Jan26 Apr26
Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 1.41 1.59 1.75 1.83 1.72

MIL:1TOL vs NVR, LEN, TMHC: Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio Comparison

For the Residential Construction subindustry, Toll Brothers's Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio, along with its competitors' market caps and Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Toll Brothers Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio vs Homebuilding & Construction Industry

For the Homebuilding & Construction industry and Consumer Cyclical sector, Toll Brothers's Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Toll Brothers's Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio falls into.


MIL:1TOL
69GF Score
Toll Brothers Inc MIL:1TOL
Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

Toll Brothers Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio Calculation

Like the Shiller PE Ratio, the Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio takes the Revenue per Share from the past 10 years, adjusts it for inflation, and then calculates the average. This average is then used for the P/S calculation. Because it considers this 10-year average, it's often referred to as the CAPS Ratio.

The Shiller PE Ratio was first used by professor Robert Shiller to measure the valuation of the overall market. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio.

Toll Brothers's Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio for today is calculated as

Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio=Share Price/ Cyclically Adjusted Revenue per Share
=137.85/81.82
=1.68

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Toll Brothers's Cyclically Adjusted Revenue per Share for the quarter that ended in Apr. 2026 is calculated as:

For example, Toll Brothers's adjusted Revenue per Share data for the three months ended in Apr. 2026 was:

Adj_RevenuePerShare=Revenue per Share/CPI of Apr. 2026 (Change)*Current CPI (Apr. 2026)
=22.601/333.0200*333.0200
=22.601

Current CPI (Apr. 2026) = 333.0200.

Toll Brothers Quarterly Data

Revenue per Share CPI Adj_RevenuePerShare
201607 6.628 240.628 9.173
201610 9.813 241.729 13.519
201701 5.079 242.839 6.965
201704 7.422 244.524 10.108
201707 7.595 244.786 10.333
201710 10.487 246.663 14.159
201801 6.066 247.867 8.150
201804 8.402 250.546 11.168
201807 10.693 252.006 14.131
201810 14.278 252.885 18.802
201901 8.067 251.712 10.673
201904 10.311 255.548 13.437
201907 10.767 256.571 13.975
201910 14.980 257.346 19.385
202001 8.576 257.971 11.071
202004 11.064 256.389 14.371
202007 11.278 259.101 14.496
202010 16.788 260.388 21.471
202101 10.062 261.582 12.810
202104 12.806 267.054 15.969
202107 15.191 273.003 18.531
202110 21.133 276.589 25.445
202201 12.887 281.148 15.265
202204 17.734 289.109 20.428
202207 21.082 296.276 23.697
202210 33.111 298.012 37.001
202301 14.706 299.170 16.370
202304 20.380 303.363 22.372
202307 21.864 305.691 23.819
202310 26.387 307.671 28.561
202401 16.827 308.417 18.169
202404 24.995 313.548 26.547
202407 24.181 314.540 25.602
202410 29.803 315.664 31.442
202501 17.636 317.671 18.488
202504 24.236 320.795 25.160
202507 25.451 323.048 26.237
202510 30.152 0.000
202601 18.921 325.252 19.373
202604 22.601 333.020 22.601

Add all the adjusted revenue per share together and divide 10 will get our Cyclically Adjusted Revenue per Share.

Please note that we use the CPI data of the country/region where the company is headquartered. If the CPI data for that country/region is not available, then we will use the CPI data of the United States as default.

What does a Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio of 1.68 mean?
Toll Brothers (MIL:1TOL) has a Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio of 1.68 as of Jul. 12, 2026. Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio is the ratio of share price to a company's inflation-adjusted revenue per share over a 10-year period. View historical data on Toll Brothers and its competitors. This is near median its historical median of 1.65. Over the past decade, Toll Brothers' Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio has ranged from 0.59 to 2.68. According to the industry distribution chart, Toll Brothers ranks #55 out of 71 companies in the Homebuilding & Construction industry, placing it in the top 77.5%.
Is Toll Brothers' Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio too high?
Toll Brothers' current Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio of 1.68 is near median its 10-year median of 1.65. Over the past 10 years, this metric has ranged from a low of 0.59 to a high of 2.68. The Homebuilding & Construction industry median Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio is 0.65. Toll Brothers' value of 1.68 is 158.5% above this industry median. Based on the distribution chart, Toll Brothers ranks #55 out of 71 companies in the Homebuilding & Construction industry, which is in the bottom quartile relative to peers. Overall, Toll Brothers has a GF Score™ of 69/100 and is considered Fairly Valued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Toll Brothers' Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio compare to NVR and LEN?
According to the Homebuilding & Construction industry distribution chart, Toll Brothers ranks #55 out of 71 companies for Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio. This places Toll Brothers in the lower half of its industry. The industry median Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio is 0.65. Toll Brothers' value of 1.68 is 158.5% above this benchmark. Historically, Toll Brothers' own Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio has ranged from 0.59 to 2.68 over the past decade. While the company's 10-year median is 1.65 vs. the industry median of 0.65, Toll Brothers has consistently been above the industry average. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio for a Homebuilding & Construction company?
The median Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio among Homebuilding & Construction companies is 0.65, based on 71 companies in the industry. Companies in the top quartile (top 25%) have a Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio significantly above this median, while those in the bottom quartile fall well below. However, Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Toll Brothers's current Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio of 1.68 is 158.5% above the industry median. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio mean?
A high Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio is the ratio of share price to a company's inflation-adjusted revenue per share over a 10-year period. View historical data on Toll Brothers and its competitors. For the Homebuilding & Construction industry, the median Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio is 0.65 — values significantly above this may indicate overvaluation, while values below may suggest a bargain or underlying issues. Toll Brothers's current Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio is 1.68, which is near median its own 10-year median of 1.65. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Toll Brothers stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Toll Brothers (MIL:1TOL) is currently considered Fairly Valued. The stock's GF Value™ is €126.14, compared to a current price of €137.85 — trading 9.3% above its estimated fair value. The current Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio is 1.68, which is near median its 10-year median of 1.65 and 158.5% above the Homebuilding & Construction industry median of 0.65. Toll Brothers' overall GF Score™ is 69/100 with 3 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio calculated?
Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Toll Brothers (MIL:1TOL), the current Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio is 1.68 as of Jul. 12, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Toll Brothers (MIL:1TOL) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Toll Brothers stock appears to be overvalued. The current stock price of €137.85 is trading 9.3% above its estimated GF Value™ of €126.14. GuruFocus considers Toll Brothers to be Fairly Valued.

Key valuation signals for MIL:1TOL:

  • Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio: 1.68 (near median its 10-year median of 1.65)
  • GF Value™: €126.14 vs. price of €137.85 (9.3% above fair value)
  • GF Score™: 69/100 with 3 warning signs
  • Industry Position: 158.5% above the Homebuilding & Construction median (#55 of 71)

No single metric tells the full story. See the MIL:1TOL stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Toll Brothers Business Description

Other Exchanges TOL:USA0LFS:UKTLK:Germany
Address 1140 Virginia Drive, Fort Washington, PA, USA, 19034
Toll Brothers is the leading luxury homebuilder in the United States with an average sale price well above public competitors'. The company operates in over 60 markets across 24 states and caters to move-up, active-adult, and second-homebuyers. Toll Brothers consistently ranks as a top 10 builder within the US according to total home closings. Traditional homebuilding operations represent most of the company's revenue. Toll Brothers also builds luxury for-sale and for-rent properties in urban centers across the US It has its headquarters in Horsham, Pennsylvania.
69GF Score

Get the complete analysis for MIL:1TOL

Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

€137.85
Price
€126.14
GF Value