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XPOXPO +4.40%75 Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio is 1.99 as of Jul. 16, 2026, which is 290% above its 10-year median of 0.51. GuruFocus rates XPO with a GF Score™ of 75/100 and a GF Value™ of $128.32 (Significantly Overvalued). The stock has 2 warning signs investors should review. Among 757 Transportation companies, XPO ranks worse than 71.47% on this metric.
As of today (2026-07-16), XPO's current share price is $213.83. XPO's Cyclically Adjusted Revenue per Share for the quarter that ended in Mar. 2026 was $107.71. XPO's Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio for today is 1.99.
The historical rank and industry rank for XPO's Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio or its related term are showing as below:
XPO'
s Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 0.2 Med: 0.51 Max: 2.12
Current: 1.9
During the past years, XPO's highest Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio was 2.12. The lowest was 0.20. And the median was 0.51.
XPO's Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio is ranked worse than 71.47% of 757
companies
in the Transportation industry
Industry Median: 0.9
vs XPO: 1.90
The Shiller PE Ratio was first used by professor Robert Shiller. He uses E10 for his Shiller PE Ratio calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings per share of a company over the past 10 years. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio. The Cyclically Adjusted Revenue per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted revenue per share of a company over the past 10 years.
XPO's adjusted revenue per share data for the three months ended in Mar. 2026 was $17.613. Add all the adjusted revenue per share for the past 10 years together and divide 10 will get our Cyclically Adjusted Revenue per Share, which is $107.71 for the trailing ten years ended in Mar. 2026.
Shiller PE for Stocks: The True Measure of Stock Valuation
XPO (NYSE:XPO) Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio Explanation
Compared with the regular PS Ratio, which works poorly for cyclical businesses, the Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio smoothed out the fluctuations of revenue during business cycles. Therefore it is more accurate in reflecting the valuation of the company.
If a company has consistent business performance, the Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio should give similar results to regular PS Ratio.
XPO Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio Related Terms
XPO Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio Historical Data
* Premium members only.
The historical data trend for XPO's Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio can be seen below:
* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD. * For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.
XPO vs KNX, SAIA, SNDR: Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio Comparison
For the Trucking subindustry, XPO's Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio, along with its competitors' market caps and Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio data, can be viewed below:
* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.
XPO Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio vs Transportation Industry
For the Transportation industry and Industrials sector, XPO's Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio distribution charts can be found below:
* The bar in red indicates where XPO's Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio falls into.
Like the Shiller PE Ratio, the Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio takes the Revenue per Share from the past 10 years, adjusts it for inflation, and then calculates the average. This average is then used for the P/S calculation. Because it considers this 10-year average, it's often referred to as the CAPS Ratio.
The Shiller PE Ratio was first used by professor Robert Shiller to measure the valuation of the overall market. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio.
XPO's Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio for today is calculated as
* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD. * For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.
Please note that we use the CPI data of the country/region where the company is headquartered. If the CPI data for that country/region is not available, then we will use the CPI data of the United States as default.
What does a Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio of 1.99 mean?
XPO (XPO) has a Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio of 1.99 as of Jul. 16, 2026. Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio is the ratio of share price to a company's inflation-adjusted revenue per share over a 10-year period. View historical data on XPO and its competitors. This is 290% above median its historical median of 0.51. Over the past decade, XPO's Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio has ranged from 0.20 to 2.12. According to the industry distribution chart, XPO ranks #541 out of 757 companies in the Transportation industry, placing it in the top 71.5%.
Is XPO's Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio too high?
XPO's current Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio of 1.99 is 290% above median its 10-year median of 0.51. Over the past 10 years, this metric has ranged from a low of 0.20 to a high of 2.12. The Transportation industry median Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio is 0.90. XPO's value of 1.99 is 121.1% above this industry median. Based on the distribution chart, XPO ranks #541 out of 757 companies in the Transportation industry, which is below the industry midpoint. Overall, XPO has a GF Score™ of 75/100 and is considered Significantly Overvalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does XPO's Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio compare to KNX and SAIA?
According to the Transportation industry distribution chart, XPO ranks #541 out of 757 companies for Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio. This places XPO in the lower half of its industry. The industry median Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio is 0.90. XPO's value of 1.99 is 121.1% above this benchmark. Historically, XPO's own Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio has ranged from 0.20 to 2.12 over the past decade. While the company's 10-year median is 0.51 vs. the industry median of 0.90, XPO has consistently been above the industry average. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio for a Transportation company?
The median Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio among Transportation companies is 0.90, based on 757 companies in the industry. Companies in the top quartile (top 25%) have a Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio significantly above this median, while those in the bottom quartile fall well below. However, Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. XPO's current Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio of 1.99 is 121.1% above the industry median. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio mean?
A high Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio is the ratio of share price to a company's inflation-adjusted revenue per share over a 10-year period. View historical data on XPO and its competitors. For the Transportation industry, the median Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio is 0.90 — values significantly above this may indicate overvaluation, while values below may suggest a bargain or underlying issues. XPO's current Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio is 1.99, which is 290% above median its own 10-year median of 0.51. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is XPO stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, XPO (XPO) is currently considered Significantly Overvalued. The stock's GF Value™ is $128.32, compared to a current price of $213.83 — trading 66.6% above its estimated fair value. The current Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio is 1.99, which is 290% above median its 10-year median of 0.51 and 121.1% above the Transportation industry median of 0.90. XPO's overall GF Score™ is 75/100 with 2 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio calculated?
Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio is calculated from a company's financial statements. For XPO (XPO), the current Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio is 1.99 as of Jul. 16, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.
Is XPO (XPO) Overvalued in 2026?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, XPO stock appears to be overvalued.
The current stock price of $213.83 is trading 66.6% above its estimated GF Value™ of $128.32.
GuruFocus considers XPO to be Significantly Overvalued.
Key valuation signals for XPO:
Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio: 1.99 (290% above median its 10-year median of 0.51)
GF Value™: $128.32 vs. price of $213.83 (66.6% above fair value)
Industry Position: 121.1% above the Transportation median (#541 of 757)
No single metric tells the full story. See the XPO stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.
Following the spinoff of its contract logistics division (GXO) in 2021 and freight brokerage operations (RXO) in 2022, XPO is moving closer to becoming a pure-play asset-based less-than-truckload carrier. We estimate LTL shipping makes up 60% of total revenue, with XPO's European truckload and LTL operations making up 40%. However, XPO's LTL segment EBITDA mix is much higher than 60%. We believe XPO intends to divest its European trucking division once it finds the right buyer.
75GF Score
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