Caterpillar (XSWX:CAT) Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio: 8.38 (As of Jul. 05, 2026) — 309% Above Median


XSWX:CAT Caterpillar Inc XSWX:CAT
81 GF Score
Price CHF784.40
GF Value CHF341.22
! 6 Warning Signs
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What is Caterpillar Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio?

Caterpillar XSWX:CAT +0.20% 81 Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio is 8.38 as of Jul. 05, 2026, which is 309% above its 10-year median of 2.05. GuruFocus rates XSWX:CAT with a GF Score™ of 81/100 and a GF Value™ of CHF341.22. The stock has 6 warning signs investors should review. Among 168 Farm & Heavy Construction Machinery companies, Caterpillar ranks worse than 98.21% on this metric.

As of today (2026-07-05), Caterpillar's current share price is CHF784.40. Caterpillar's Cyclically Adjusted Revenue per Share for the quarter that ended in Mar. 2026 was CHF93.58. Caterpillar's Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio for today is 8.38.

The historical rank and industry rank for Caterpillar's Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio or its related term are showing as below:

XSWX:CAT' s Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 0.93   Med: 2.05   Max: 8.24
Current: 7.96

During the past years, Caterpillar's highest Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio was 8.24. The lowest was 0.93. And the median was 2.05.

XSWX:CAT's Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio is ranked worse than
98.21% of 168 companies
in the Farm & Heavy Construction Machinery industry
Industry Median: 1.06 vs XSWX:CAT: 7.96

The Shiller PE Ratio was first used by professor Robert Shiller. He uses E10 for his Shiller PE Ratio calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings per share of a company over the past 10 years. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio. The Cyclically Adjusted Revenue per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted revenue per share of a company over the past 10 years.

Caterpillar's adjusted revenue per share data for the three months ended in Mar. 2026 was CHF29.435. Add all the adjusted revenue per share for the past 10 years together and divide 10 will get our Cyclically Adjusted Revenue per Share, which is CHF93.58 for the trailing ten years ended in Mar. 2026.

Shiller PE for Stocks: The True Measure of Stock Valuation


Caterpillar  (XSWX:CAT) Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio Explanation

Compared with the regular PS Ratio, which works poorly for cyclical businesses, the Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio smoothed out the fluctuations of revenue during business cycles. Therefore it is more accurate in reflecting the valuation of the company.

If a company has consistent business performance, the Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio should give similar results to regular PS Ratio.


Caterpillar Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio Related Terms


Caterpillar Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for Caterpillar's Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Caterpillar Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio Chart

Caterpillar Annual Data
Trend Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23 Dec24 Dec25
Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 2.16 2.38 2.79 3.28 4.88

Caterpillar Quarterly Data
Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Sep24 Dec24 Mar25 Jun25 Sep25 Dec25 Mar26
Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 2.94 3.40 4.11 4.88 5.85

XSWX:CAT vs DE, PCAR, CNH: Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio Comparison

For the Farm & Heavy Construction Machinery subindustry, Caterpillar's Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio, along with its competitors' market caps and Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Caterpillar Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio vs Farm & Heavy Construction Machinery Industry

For the Farm & Heavy Construction Machinery industry and Industrials sector, Caterpillar's Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Caterpillar's Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio falls into.


XSWX:CAT
81GF Score
Caterpillar Inc XSWX:CAT
Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
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Caterpillar Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio Calculation

Like the Shiller PE Ratio, the Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio takes the Revenue per Share from the past 10 years, adjusts it for inflation, and then calculates the average. This average is then used for the P/S calculation. Because it considers this 10-year average, it's often referred to as the CAPS Ratio.

The Shiller PE Ratio was first used by professor Robert Shiller to measure the valuation of the overall market. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio.

Caterpillar's Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio for today is calculated as

Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio=Share Price/ Cyclically Adjusted Revenue per Share
=784.40/93.58
=8.38

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Caterpillar's Cyclically Adjusted Revenue per Share for the quarter that ended in Mar. 2026 is calculated as:

For example, Caterpillar's adjusted Revenue per Share data for the three months ended in Mar. 2026 was:

Adj_RevenuePerShare=Revenue per Share/CPI of Mar. 2026 (Change)*Current CPI (Mar. 2026)
=29.435/330.2130*330.2130
=29.435

Current CPI (Mar. 2026) = 330.2130.

Caterpillar Quarterly Data

Revenue per Share CPI Adj_RevenuePerShare
201606 17.035 241.018 23.339
201609 15.120 241.428 20.680
201612 16.661 241.432 22.788
201703 16.582 243.801 22.459
201706 18.424 244.955 24.837
201709 18.305 246.819 24.490
201712 20.945 246.524 28.055
201803 20.050 249.554 26.530
201806 22.957 251.989 30.083
201809 21.666 252.439 28.341
201812 23.733 251.233 31.194
201903 23.277 254.202 30.237
201906 24.880 256.143 32.075
201909 22.520 256.759 28.963
201912 23.162 256.974 29.763
202003 18.512 258.115 23.683
202006 17.466 257.797 22.372
202009 16.545 260.280 20.990
202012 18.115 260.474 22.965
202103 20.044 264.877 24.988
202106 21.355 271.696 25.954
202109 20.891 274.310 25.148
202112 23.386 278.802 27.698
202203 23.462 287.504 26.947
202206 25.880 296.311 28.841
202209 27.660 296.808 30.773
202212 29.620 296.797 32.955
202303 28.264 301.836 30.921
202306 30.278 305.109 32.769
202309 29.501 307.789 31.650
202312 29.099 306.746 31.325
202403 28.253 312.332 29.870
202406 30.473 314.175 32.029
202409 28.036 315.301 29.362
202412 29.963 315.605 31.350
202503 26.389 319.799 27.248
202506 28.577 322.561 29.255
202509 29.825 324.800 30.322
202512 32.510 324.054 33.128
202603 29.435 330.213 29.435

Add all the adjusted revenue per share together and divide 10 will get our Cyclically Adjusted Revenue per Share.

Please note that we use the CPI data of the country/region where the company is headquartered. If the CPI data for that country/region is not available, then we will use the CPI data of the United States as default.

What does a Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio of 8.38 mean?
Caterpillar (XSWX:CAT) has a Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio of 8.38 as of Jul. 05, 2026. Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio is the ratio of share price to a company's inflation-adjusted revenue per share over a 10-year period. View historical data on Caterpillar and its competitors. This is 309% above median its historical median of 2.05. Over the past decade, Caterpillar's Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio has ranged from 0.93 to 8.24. According to the industry distribution chart, Caterpillar ranks #165 out of 168 companies in the Farm & Heavy Construction Machinery industry, placing it in the top 98.2%.
Is Caterpillar's Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio too high?
Caterpillar's current Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio of 8.38 is 309% above median its 10-year median of 2.05. Over the past 10 years, this metric has ranged from a low of 0.93 to a high of 8.24. The Farm & Heavy Construction Machinery industry median Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio is 1.06. Caterpillar's value of 8.38 is 690.6% above this industry median. Based on the distribution chart, Caterpillar ranks #165 out of 168 companies in the Farm & Heavy Construction Machinery industry, which is in the bottom quartile relative to peers. Overall, Caterpillar has a GF Score™ of 81/100, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Caterpillar's Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio compare to DE and PCAR?
According to the Farm & Heavy Construction Machinery industry distribution chart, Caterpillar ranks #165 out of 168 companies for Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio. This places Caterpillar in the lower half of its industry. The industry median Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio is 1.06. Caterpillar's value of 8.38 is 690.6% above this benchmark. Historically, Caterpillar's own Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio has ranged from 0.93 to 8.24 over the past decade. While the company's 10-year median is 2.05 vs. the industry median of 1.06, Caterpillar has consistently been above the industry average. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio for a Farm & Heavy Construction Machinery company?
The median Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio among Farm & Heavy Construction Machinery companies is 1.06, based on 168 companies in the industry. Companies in the top quartile (top 25%) have a Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio significantly above this median, while those in the bottom quartile fall well below. However, Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Caterpillar's current Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio of 8.38 is 690.6% above the industry median. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio mean?
A high Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio is the ratio of share price to a company's inflation-adjusted revenue per share over a 10-year period. View historical data on Caterpillar and its competitors. For the Farm & Heavy Construction Machinery industry, the median Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio is 1.06 — values significantly above this may indicate overvaluation, while values below may suggest a bargain or underlying issues. Caterpillar's current Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio is 8.38, which is 309% above median its own 10-year median of 2.05. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Caterpillar stock overvalued right now?
Caterpillar (XSWX:CAT) has a current Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio of 8.38. The stock's GF Value™ is CHF341.22, compared to a current price of CHF784.40 — trading 129.9% above its estimated fair value. The current Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio is 8.38, which is 309% above median its 10-year median of 2.05 and 690.6% above the Farm & Heavy Construction Machinery industry median of 1.06. Caterpillar's overall GF Score™ is 81/100 with 6 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio calculated?
Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Caterpillar (XSWX:CAT), the current Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio is 8.38 as of Jul. 05, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Caterpillar (XSWX:CAT) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Caterpillar stock appears to be overvalued. The current stock price of CHF784.40 is trading 129.9% above its estimated GF Value™ of CHF341.22.

Key valuation signals for XSWX:CAT:

  • Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio: 8.38 (309% above median its 10-year median of 2.05)
  • GF Value™: CHF341.22 vs. price of CHF784.40 (129.9% above fair value)
  • GF Score™: 81/100 with 6 warning signs
  • Industry Position: 690.6% above the Farm & Heavy Construction Machinery median (#165 of 168)

No single metric tells the full story. See the XSWX:CAT stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Caterpillar Business Description

Address 5205 N. O\'Connor Boulevard, Suite 100, Irving, TX, USA, 75039
Caterpillar is the world's leading manufacturer of construction and mining equipment, off-highway diesel and natural gas engines, industrial gas turbines, and diesel-electric locomotives. Its reporting segments are construction, resource, energy, and transportation. Market share approaches 20% across many products. Caterpillar operates a captive finance subsidiary to facilitate sales. The firm has a global reach that is approximately evenly balanced between the US and the rest of the world. Construction skews more domestic, while the other divisions are more geographically diversified. An independent network of over 150 dealers operates approximately 2,800 facilities, giving Caterpillar reach into about 190 countries for sales and support services.
81GF Score

Get the complete analysis for XSWX:CAT

Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

CHF784.40
Price
CHF341.22
GF Value