Caterpillar (XSWX:CAT) Peter Lynch Fair Value: CHF231.77 (As of Jul. 06, 2026) — 18898% Above Median


XSWX:CAT Caterpillar Inc XSWX:CAT
81 GF Score
Price CHF784.40
GF Value CHF341.22
! 6 Warning Signs
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What is Caterpillar Peter Lynch Fair Value?

Caterpillar XSWX:CAT +0.20% 81 Peter Lynch Fair Value is CHF231.77 as of Jul. 06, 2026, which is 100% below its 10-year median of 1.22. GuruFocus rates XSWX:CAT with a GF Score™ of 81/100 and a GF Value™ of CHF341.22. The stock has 6 warning signs investors should review. Among 76 Farm & Heavy Construction Machinery companies, Caterpillar ranks worse than 88.16% on this metric.

Peter Lynch Fair Value applies to growing companies. The ideal range for the growth rate is between 10 - 20% a year. Peter Lynch thinks that the fair P/E value for a growth company equals its growth rate, that is PEG = 1. The earnings here is trailing twelve month (TTM) earnings. For non-bank companies, the growth rate we use is the average growth rate for EBITDA per share over the past 5 years. For Banks, the growth rate we use is the average growth rate for Book Value per share over the past 5 years. If 5-Year Growth Rate is greater than 25% a year, we use 25. If 5-Year Growth Rate is smaller than 5% a year, we do not calculate Peter Lynch Fair Value.

Here, as of today, Caterpillar's PEG is 1. Caterpillar's 5-Year TTM EBITDA Growth Rate is 14.26. Caterpillar's EPS without NRI for the trailing twelve months (TTM) ended in Mar. 2026 was CHF16.25. Therefore, the Peter Lynch Fair Value for today is CHF231.77.

As of today (2026-07-06), Caterpillar's share price is CHF784.40. Caterpillar's Peter Lynch fair value is CHF231.77. Therefore, Caterpillar's Price to Peter Lynch Fair Value Ratio for today is 3.38.


The historical rank and industry rank for Caterpillar's Peter Lynch Fair Value or its related term are showing as below:

XSWX:CAT' s Price-to-Peter-Lynch-Fair-Value Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 0.62   Med: 1.22   Max: 2.76
Current: 2.76


During the past 13 years, the highest Price to Peter Lynch Fair Value Ratio of Caterpillar was 2.76. The lowest was 0.62. And the median was 1.22.


XSWX:CAT's Price-to-Peter-Lynch-Fair-Value is ranked worse than
88.16% of 76 companies
in the Farm & Heavy Construction Machinery industry
Industry Median: 0.975 vs XSWX:CAT: 2.76

Note: Please don't confuse Peter Lynch Fair Value with the value reached in Peter Lynch Chart.


Caterpillar  (XSWX:CAT) Peter Lynch Fair Value Explanation

Peter Lynch Fair Value applies to growing companies. The ideal range for the growth rate is between 10 - 20% a year.

Peter Lynch thinks that the fair P/E value for a growth company equals its growth rate, that is PEG = 1. The earnings here is trailing twelve month (TTM) earnings. For non-bank companies, the growth rate we use is the average growth rate for EBITDA per share over the past 5 years. For Banks, the growth rate we use is the average growth rate for Book Value per share over the past 5 years.

Please don't confuse Peter Lynch Fair Value with the value reached in Peter Lynch Chart. In Peter Lynch chart, a fixed P/E ratio of 15 is used to draw the Earnings Line. Therefore the value reached has a P/E ratio of 15. But in Peter Lynch Fair Value calculation, P/E equals to the growth rate of EBITDA per share over the past 5 years, which is 14.26 instead of 15 in this case.

Caterpillar's Price to Peter Lynch Fair Value Ratio for today is calculated as

Price to Peter Lynch Fair Value=Share Price/Peter Lynch Fair Value
=784.40/231.77
=3.38

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Caterpillar Peter Lynch Fair Value Related Terms


Caterpillar Peter Lynch Fair Value Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for Caterpillar's Peter Lynch Fair Value can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Caterpillar Peter Lynch Fair Value Chart

Caterpillar Annual Data
Trend Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23 Dec24 Dec25
Peter Lynch Fair Value
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 158.69 0.00 156.54 0.00 0.00

Caterpillar Quarterly Data
Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Sep24 Dec24 Mar25 Jun25 Sep25 Dec25 Mar26
Peter Lynch Fair Value Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 269.86

XSWX:CAT vs DE, PCAR, CNH: Peter Lynch Fair Value Comparison

For the Farm & Heavy Construction Machinery subindustry, Caterpillar's Price-to-Peter-Lynch-Fair-Value, along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-Peter-Lynch-Fair-Value data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Caterpillar Price-to-Peter-Lynch-Fair-Value vs Farm & Heavy Construction Machinery Industry

For the Farm & Heavy Construction Machinery industry and Industrials sector, Caterpillar's Price-to-Peter-Lynch-Fair-Value distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Caterpillar's Price-to-Peter-Lynch-Fair-Value falls into.


XSWX:CAT
81GF Score
Caterpillar Inc XSWX:CAT
Peter Lynch Fair Value is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

Caterpillar Peter Lynch Fair Value Calculation

Caterpillar's Peter Lynch Fair Value for today is calculated as

Peter Lynch Fair Value=PEG Ratio*5-Year TTM EBITDA Growth Rate***EPS without NRI (TTM)
=1* 14.26 *16.253
=231.77

Caterpillar's EPS without NRI for the trailing twelve months (TTM) ended in Mar. 2026 adds up the quarterly data reported by the company within the most recent 12 months, which was CHF16.25.


* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

** Please be aware that the 5-Year TTM EBITDA Growth Rate is calculated based on TTM data over the last 5 years. For quarterly reported companies, the TTM data adds up the quarterly data reported by the company within the most recent 12 months. For companies that report semi-annually, annually, or do not have enough quarterly data, GuruFocus uses the annual data as the TTM data.

If 5-Year Earnings Growth Rate is greater than 25% a year, we use 25.

If 5-Year Earnings Growth Rate is smaller than 5% a year, we do not calculate Peter Lynch Fair Value.

Please note that we use the 5-year average growth rate of EBITDA per share as the growth rate for non-bank companies, as EBITDA growth is subject to less manipulations than net earnings per share. For banks, we use the 5-year average growth rate of Book Value per share as the growth rate. The reason is that EBITDA is not applicable to Banks and Book value is a relative important measurement for Banks. In the calculation, PEG=1 because Peter Lynch thinks that the fair P/E ratio of the growth stock is equal to its earnings growth rate.

Frequently Asked Questions Learn more about Peter Lynch Fair Value →
What does a Peter Lynch Fair Value of CHF231.77 mean?
Caterpillar (XSWX:CAT) has a Peter Lynch Fair Value of CHF231.77 as of Jul. 06, 2026. Peter Lynch Fair Value is the stock value based on a company's current earnings and five-year earnings growth, assuming a PEG of one. View historical data on Caterpillar and its competitors. This is 18898% above median its historical median of 1.22. Over the past decade, Caterpillar's Peter Lynch Fair Value has ranged from 0.62 to 2.76. According to the industry distribution chart, Caterpillar ranks #67 out of 76 companies in the Farm & Heavy Construction Machinery industry, placing it in the top 88.2%.
Is Caterpillar's Peter Lynch Fair Value too high?
Caterpillar's current Peter Lynch Fair Value of CHF231.77 is 18898% above median its 10-year median of 1.22. Over the past 10 years, this metric has ranged from a low of 0.62 to a high of 2.76. Based on the distribution chart, Caterpillar ranks #67 out of 76 companies in the Farm & Heavy Construction Machinery industry, which is in the bottom quartile relative to peers. Overall, Caterpillar has a GF Score™ of 81/100, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Caterpillar's Peter Lynch Fair Value compare to DE and PCAR?
According to the Farm & Heavy Construction Machinery industry distribution chart, Caterpillar ranks #67 out of 76 companies for Peter Lynch Fair Value. This places Caterpillar in the lower half of its industry. The industry median Peter Lynch Fair Value is 0.98. Historically, Caterpillar's own Peter Lynch Fair Value has ranged from 0.62 to 2.76 over the past decade. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Peter Lynch Fair Value for a Farm & Heavy Construction Machinery company?
The median Peter Lynch Fair Value among Farm & Heavy Construction Machinery companies is 0.98, based on 76 companies in the industry. Companies in the top quartile (top 25%) have a Peter Lynch Fair Value significantly above this median, while those in the bottom quartile fall well below. However, Peter Lynch Fair Value should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Peter Lynch Fair Value mean?
A high Peter Lynch Fair Value can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. Peter Lynch Fair Value is the stock value based on a company's current earnings and five-year earnings growth, assuming a PEG of one. View historical data on Caterpillar and its competitors. For the Farm & Heavy Construction Machinery industry, the median Peter Lynch Fair Value is 0.98 — values significantly above this may indicate overvaluation, while values below may suggest a bargain or underlying issues. Caterpillar's current Peter Lynch Fair Value is CHF231.77, which is 18898% above median its own 10-year median of 1.22. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Caterpillar stock overvalued right now?
Caterpillar (XSWX:CAT) has a current Peter Lynch Fair Value of CHF231.77. The stock's GF Value™ is CHF341.22, compared to a current price of CHF784.40 — trading 129.9% above its estimated fair value. The current Peter Lynch Fair Value is CHF231.77, which is 18898% above median its 10-year median of 1.22. Caterpillar's overall GF Score™ is 81/100 with 6 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Peter Lynch Fair Value calculated?
Peter Lynch Fair Value is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Caterpillar (XSWX:CAT), the current Peter Lynch Fair Value is CHF231.77 as of Jul. 06, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Caterpillar (XSWX:CAT) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Caterpillar stock appears to be overvalued. The current stock price of CHF784.40 is trading 129.9% above its estimated GF Value™ of CHF341.22.

Key valuation signals for XSWX:CAT:

  • Peter Lynch Fair Value: CHF231.77 (18898% above median its 10-year median of 1.22)
  • GF Value™: CHF341.22 vs. price of CHF784.40 (129.9% above fair value)
  • GF Score™: 81/100 with 6 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the XSWX:CAT stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Caterpillar Business Description

Address 5205 N. O\'Connor Boulevard, Suite 100, Irving, TX, USA, 75039
Caterpillar is the world's leading manufacturer of construction and mining equipment, off-highway diesel and natural gas engines, industrial gas turbines, and diesel-electric locomotives. Its reporting segments are construction, resource, energy, and transportation. Market share approaches 20% across many products. Caterpillar operates a captive finance subsidiary to facilitate sales. The firm has a global reach that is approximately evenly balanced between the US and the rest of the world. Construction skews more domestic, while the other divisions are more geographically diversified. An independent network of over 150 dealers operates approximately 2,800 facilities, giving Caterpillar reach into about 190 countries for sales and support services.
81GF Score

Get the complete analysis for XSWX:CAT

Peter Lynch Fair Value is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

CHF784.40
Price
CHF341.22
GF Value