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Headwater Exploration (TSX:HWX) Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF : 260.67 (As of Apr. 28, 2024)


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What is Headwater Exploration Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF?

As of today (2024-04-28), Headwater Exploration's current share price is C$7.82. Headwater Exploration's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share for the quarter that ended in Dec. 2023 was C$0.03. Headwater Exploration's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF for today is 260.67.

The historical rank and industry rank for Headwater Exploration's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF or its related term are showing as below:

TSX:HWX' s Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 16   Med: 126.33   Max: 758
Current: 264.98

During the past years, Headwater Exploration's highest Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF was 758.00. The lowest was 16.00. And the median was 126.33.

TSX:HWX's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF is ranked worse than
96.94% of 392 companies
in the Oil & Gas industry
Industry Median: 14.585 vs TSX:HWX: 264.98

The Shiller PE Ratio was first used by professor Robert Shiller. He uses E10 for his Shiller PE Ratio calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings per share of a company over the past 10 years. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF. The Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted free cash flow per share of a company over the past 10 years.

Headwater Exploration's adjusted free cash flow per share data for the three months ended in Dec. 2023 was C$0.229. Add all the adjusted free cash flow per share for the past 10 years together and divide 10 will get our Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share, which is C$0.03 for the trailing ten years ended in Dec. 2023.

Shiller PE for Stocks: The True Measure of Stock Valuation


Headwater Exploration Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF Historical Data

The historical data trend for Headwater Exploration's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Headwater Exploration Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF Chart

Headwater Exploration Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 16.80 71.58 775.54 405.55 211.78

Headwater Exploration Quarterly Data
Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23
Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 405.55 1,777.81 3,510.95 1,140.46 211.78

Competitive Comparison of Headwater Exploration's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF

For the Oil & Gas E&P subindustry, Headwater Exploration's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Headwater Exploration's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF Distribution in the Oil & Gas Industry

For the Oil & Gas industry and Energy sector, Headwater Exploration's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Headwater Exploration's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF falls into.



Headwater Exploration Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF Calculation

Like the Shiller PE Ratio, the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF takes the Free Cash Flow per Share from the past 10 years, adjusts it for inflation, and then calculates the average. This average is then used for the P/FCF calculation. Because it considers this 10-year average, it's often referred to as the CAPFCF Ratio.

The Shiller PE Ratio was first used by professor Robert Shiller to measure the valuation of the overall market. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF.

Headwater Exploration's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF for today is calculated as

Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF=Share Price/ Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share
=7.82/0.03
=260.67

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Headwater Exploration's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share for the quarter that ended in Dec. 2023 is calculated as:

For example, Headwater Exploration's adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share data for the three months ended in Dec. 2023 was:

Adj_FreeCashFlowPerShare=Free Cash Flow per Share/CPI of Dec. 2023 (Change)*Current CPI (Dec. 2023)
=0.229/125.4675*125.4675
=0.229

Current CPI (Dec. 2023) = 125.4675.

Headwater Exploration Quarterly Data

Free Cash Flow per Share CPI Adj_FreeCashFlowPerShare
201403 0.084 98.604 0.107
201406 0.020 99.473 0.025
201409 -0.112 99.394 -0.141
201412 -0.062 98.367 -0.079
201503 0.075 99.789 0.094
201506 0.008 100.500 0.010
201509 -0.006 100.421 -0.007
201512 0.000 99.947 0.000
201603 0.036 101.054 0.045
201606 0.002 102.002 0.002
201609 0.008 101.765 0.010
201612 -0.007 101.449 -0.009
201703 0.038 102.634 0.046
201706 0.001 103.029 0.001
201709 -0.016 103.345 -0.019
201712 -0.045 103.345 -0.055
201803 0.105 105.004 0.125
201806 0.021 105.557 0.025
201809 -0.011 105.636 -0.013
201812 -0.027 105.399 -0.032
201903 0.085 106.979 0.100
201906 0.017 107.690 0.020
201909 -0.005 107.611 -0.006
201912 -0.005 107.769 -0.006
202003 0.011 107.927 0.013
202006 0.003 108.401 0.003
202009 -0.003 108.164 -0.003
202012 -0.194 108.559 -0.224
202103 -0.125 110.298 -0.142
202106 0.030 111.720 0.034
202109 -0.043 112.905 -0.048
202112 -0.006 113.774 -0.007
202203 -0.091 117.646 -0.097
202206 0.220 120.806 0.228
202209 0.004 120.648 0.004
202212 0.017 120.964 0.018
202303 -0.039 122.702 -0.040
202306 0.012 124.203 0.012
202309 0.064 125.230 0.064
202312 0.229 125.468 0.229

Add all the adjusted free cash flow per share together and divide 10 will get our Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share.

Please note that we use the CPI data of the country/region where the company is headquartered. If the CPI data for that country/region is not available, then we will use the CPI data of the United States as default.


Headwater Exploration  (TSX:HWX) Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF Explanation

Compared with the regular Price-to-Free-Cash-Flow, which works poorly for cyclical businesses, the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF smoothed out the fluctuations of free cash flow during business cycles. Therefore it is more accurate in reflecting the valuation of the company.

If a company has consistent business performance, the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF should give similar results to regular Price-to-Free-Cash-Flow.


Headwater Exploration Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Headwater Exploration's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Headwater Exploration (TSX:HWX) Business Description

Industry
Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
500 - 4th Avenue S.W, Suite 1200, Calgary, AB, CAN, T2P 2V6
Headwater Exploration Inc is an oil and gas exploration and development company. It is engaged in the exploration, development, and production of petroleum and natural gas onshore in McCully Field, New Brunswick and Marten Hills, Alberta. The firm generates substantial revenue from the sale of commodities which include crude oil, natural gas and natural gas liquids.
Executives
Stephen Phillip Larke Director

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