Headwater Exploration (TSX:HWX) Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share: C$0.11 (As of Jun. 2026)

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TSX:HWX Headwater Exploration Inc TSX:HWX
91 GF Score
Price C$13.40
GF Value C$9.44
Valuation Significantly Overvalued
! 4 Warning Signs
View Full Analysis

What is Headwater Exploration Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share?

Headwater Exploration TSX:HWX +3.47% 91 Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is C$0.11 as of Jun. 2026. GuruFocus rates TSX:HWX with a GF Score™ of 91/100 and a GF Value™ of C$9.44 (Significantly Overvalued). The stock has 4 warning signs investors should review.

E10 is a concept invented by Prof. Robert Shiller, who uses E10 for his Shiller PE Ratio calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings of a company over the past 10 years. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share and the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF. The Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share of a company over the past 10 years.

Headwater Exploration's adjusted free cash flow per share for the three months ended in Jun. 2026 was C$0.221. Add all the adjusted free cash flow per share for the past 10 years together and divide the count will get our Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share, which is C$0.11 for the trailing ten years ended in Jun. 2026.

During the past 12 months, Headwater Exploration's average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate was 37.50% per year. During the past 3 years, the average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate was 115.40% per year. During the past 5 years, the average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate was 46.50% per year. Please click Growth Rate Calculation Example (GuruFocus) to see how GuruFocus calculates Wal-Mart Stores Inc (WMT)'s revenue growth rate. You can apply the same method to get the Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate using Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share data.

During the past 13 years, the highest 3-Year average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate of Headwater Exploration was 115.40% per year. The lowest was -37.00% per year. And the median was 6.30% per year.

As of today (2026-07-30), Headwater Exploration's current stock price is C$13.40. Headwater Exploration's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share for the quarter that ended in Jun. 2026 was C$0.11. Headwater Exploration's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF of today is 121.82.

During the past 13 years, the highest Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF of Headwater Exploration was 847.00. The lowest was 16.00. And the median was 111.67.


Headwater Exploration  (TSX:HWX) Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Explanation

If a company grows much fast than inflation, Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share may underestimate the company's free cash flow. Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF can seem to be too high even the actual Price-to-Free-Cash-Flow is low.

For the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF, the free cash flow per share of the past 10 years are inflation-adjusted and averaged. The result is used for P/FCF calculation. Since it looks at the average over the last 10 years, the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF is also called CAPFCF Ratio.

The Shiller PE Ratio was first used by professor Robert Shiller. He uses E10 for his Shiller PE Ratio calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings per share of a company over the past 10 years. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF. The Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted free cash flow per share of a company over the past 10 years.

Headwater Exploration's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF of today is calculated as

Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF=Share Price/Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share
=13.40/0.11
=121.82

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

During the past 13 years, the highest Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF of Headwater Exploration was 847.00. The lowest was 16.00. And the median was 111.67.


Be Aware

Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF works better for cyclical companies. It gives you a better idea on the company's real free cash flow value.


Headwater Exploration Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Related Terms


Headwater Exploration Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for Headwater Exploration's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Headwater Exploration Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Chart

Headwater Exploration Annual Data
Trend Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23 Dec24 Dec25
Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 0.01 0.01 0.03 0.08 0.10

Headwater Exploration Quarterly Data
Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Sep24 Dec24 Mar25 Jun25 Sep25 Dec25 Mar26 Jun26
Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 0.08 0.09 0.10 0.08 0.11

TSX:HWX vs COP, EOG, FANG: Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Comparison

For the Oil & Gas E&P subindustry, Headwater Exploration's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Headwater Exploration Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF vs Oil & Gas Industry

For the Oil & Gas industry and Energy sector, Headwater Exploration's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Headwater Exploration's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF falls into.


TSX:HWX
91GF Score
Headwater Exploration Inc TSX:HWX
Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

Headwater Exploration Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Calculation

E10 is a concept invented by Prof. Robert Shiller, who uses E10 for his Shiller PE Ratio calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings of a company over the past 10 years. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share and the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF. The Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share of a company over the past 10 years.

What is Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share? How do we calculate Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share?

Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share of a company over the past 10 years. Let's use an example to explain.

If we want to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share of Wal-Mart (WMT) for Dec. 31, 2010, we need to have the inflation data and the free cash flow per share from 2001 through 2010.

We adjusted the 2001 free cash flow per share data with the total inflation from 2001 through 2010 to the equivalent free cash flow in 2010. If the total inflation from 2001 to 2010 is 40%, and Wal-Mart's free cash flow is $1 a share in 2001, then the 2001's equivalent free cash flow in 2010 is $1.4 a share. If Wal-Mart's free cash flow is $1 again in 2002, and the total inflation from 2002 through 2010 is 35%, then the equivalent 2002 free cash flow in 2010 is $1.35. So on and so forth, you get the equivalent free cash flow per share of past 10 years. Then you add them together and divided the sum by the count to get Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share.

Please note that we use the CPI data of the country/region where the company is headquartered. If the CPI data for that country/region is not available, then we will use the CPI data of the United States as default.

For example, Headwater Exploration's adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share data for the three months ended in Jun. 2026 was:

Adj_FreeCashFlowPerShare= Free Cash Flow per Share /CPI of Jun. 2026 (Change)*Current CPI (Jun. 2026)
=0.221/134.0005*134.0005
=0.221

Current CPI (Jun. 2026) = 134.0005.

Headwater Exploration Quarterly Data

Free Cash Flow per Share CPI Adj_FreeCashFlowPerShare
201609 0.008 101.765 0.011
201612 -0.007 101.449 -0.009
201703 0.038 102.634 0.050
201706 0.001 103.029 0.001
201709 -0.016 103.345 -0.021
201712 -0.045 103.345 -0.058
201803 0.105 105.004 0.134
201806 0.021 105.557 0.027
201809 -0.011 105.636 -0.014
201812 -0.027 105.399 -0.034
201903 0.085 106.979 0.106
201906 0.017 107.690 0.021
201909 -0.005 107.611 -0.006
201912 -0.005 107.769 -0.006
202003 0.011 107.927 0.014
202006 0.003 108.401 0.004
202009 -0.003 108.164 -0.004
202012 -0.194 108.559 -0.239
202103 -0.125 110.298 -0.152
202106 0.030 111.720 0.036
202109 -0.043 112.905 -0.051
202112 -0.006 113.774 -0.007
202203 -0.091 117.646 -0.104
202206 0.220 120.806 0.244
202209 0.004 120.648 0.004
202212 0.017 120.964 0.019
202303 -0.039 122.702 -0.043
202306 0.012 124.203 0.013
202309 0.064 125.230 0.068
202312 0.229 125.072 0.245
202403 -0.043 126.258 -0.046
202406 0.166 127.522 0.174
202409 0.155 127.285 0.163
202412 0.115 127.364 0.121
202503 0.030 129.181 0.031
202506 0.075 129.892 0.077
202509 0.072 130.287 0.074
202512 0.111 130.366 0.114
202603 -0.111 132.262 -0.112
202606 0.221 134.001 0.221

Add all the adjusted free cash flow per share together and divide 10 will get our Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share.

What does a Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share of C$0.11 mean?
Headwater Exploration (TSX:HWX) has a Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share of C$0.11 as of Jun. 2026. Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share represents the company's inflation-adjusted FCF per share over a 10-year period. View historical data on Headwater Exploration and its competitors.
Is Headwater Exploration's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share too high?
Headwater Exploration's current Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is C$0.11. Overall, Headwater Exploration has a GF Score™ of 91/100 and is considered Significantly Overvalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Headwater Exploration's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share compare to COP and EOG?
Headwater Exploration's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share of C$0.11 can be compared against companies in the Oil & Gas industry. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share for an Oil & Gas company?
A good Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share depends on the Oil & Gas industry context. However, Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share mean?
A high Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share represents the company's inflation-adjusted FCF per share over a 10-year period. View historical data on Headwater Exploration and its competitors. Headwater Exploration's current Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is C$0.11. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Headwater Exploration stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Headwater Exploration (TSX:HWX) is currently considered Significantly Overvalued. The stock's GF Value™ is C$9.44, compared to a current price of C$13.40 — trading 41.9% above its estimated fair value. The current Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is C$0.11. Headwater Exploration's overall GF Score™ is 91/100 with 4 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share calculated?
Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Headwater Exploration (TSX:HWX), the current Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is C$0.11 as of Jun. 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Headwater Exploration (TSX:HWX) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Headwater Exploration stock appears to be overvalued. The current stock price of C$13.40 is trading 41.9% above its estimated GF Value™ of C$9.44. GuruFocus considers Headwater Exploration to be Significantly Overvalued.

Key valuation signals for TSX:HWX:

  • Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share: C$0.11
  • GF Value™: C$9.44 vs. price of C$13.40 (41.9% above fair value)
  • GF Score™: 91/100 with 4 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the TSX:HWX stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Headwater Exploration Business Description

Industry EnergyOil & Gas
Other Exchanges CDDRF:USAC6V:Germany
Address 215 - 9th Avenue SW, Unit 1400, Calgary, AB, CAN, T2P 1K3
Headwater Exploration Inc is a Canadian resource company engaged in the exploration for and development and production of petroleum and natural gas in Canada. The company has high quality oil production, reserves, and lands in the prolific Clearwater play in the Marten Hills, Greater Peavine and Greater Nipisi areas of Alberta as well as low decline natural gas production and reserves in the McCully Field near Sussex, New Brunswick. Its core operating areas are Clearwater fairway, Alberta and McCully Field, New Brunswick.
91GF Score

Get the complete analysis for TSX:HWX

Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

C$13.40
Price
C$9.44
GF Value