Headwater Exploration (TSX:HWX) Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio: 6.24 (As of Aug. 14, 2026) — 141% Above Median

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TSX:HWX Headwater Exploration Inc TSX:HWX
90 GF Score
Price C$13.29
GF Value C$9.48
Valuation Significantly Overvalued
! 4 Warning Signs
View Full Analysis

What is Headwater Exploration Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio?

Headwater Exploration TSX:HWX +0.45% 90 Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio is 6.24 as of Aug. 14, 2026, which is 141% above its 10-year median of 2.59. GuruFocus rates TSX:HWX with a GF Score™ of 90/100 and a GF Value™ of C$9.48 (Significantly Overvalued). The stock has 4 warning signs investors should review. Among 765 Oil & Gas companies, Headwater Exploration ranks worse than 94.64% on this metric.

As of today (2026-08-14), Headwater Exploration's current share price is C$13.29. Headwater Exploration's Cyclically Adjusted Book per Share for the quarter that ended in Jun. 2026 was C$2.13. Headwater Exploration's Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio for today is 6.24.

The historical rank and industry rank for Headwater Exploration's Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio or its related term are showing as below:

TSX:HWX' s Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 0.15   Med: 2.59   Max: 6.6
Current: 6.29

During the past years, Headwater Exploration's highest Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio was 6.60. The lowest was 0.15. And the median was 2.59.

TSX:HWX's Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio is ranked worse than
94.64% of 765 companies
in the Oil & Gas industry
Industry Median: 1.17 vs TSX:HWX: 6.29

The Shiller PE Ratio was first used by professor Robert Shiller. He uses E10 for his Shiller PE Ratio calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings per share of a company over the past 10 years. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio. The Cyclically Adjusted Book per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted book value per share of a company over the past 10 years.

Headwater Exploration's adjusted book value per share data for the three months ended in Jun. 2026 was C$3.425. Add all the adjusted book value per share for the past 10 years together and divide the count will get our Cyclically Adjusted Book per Share, which is C$2.13 for the trailing ten years ended in Jun. 2026.

Shiller PE for Stocks: The True Measure of Stock Valuation


Headwater Exploration  (TSX:HWX) Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio Explanation

Compared with the regular PB Ratio, which works poorly for cyclical businesses, the Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio smoothed out the fluctuations of book value during business cycles. Therefore it is more accurate in reflecting the valuation of the company.

If a company has consistent business performance, the Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio should give similar results to regular PB Ratio.


Headwater Exploration Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio Related Terms


Headwater Exploration Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for Headwater Exploration's Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Headwater Exploration Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio Chart

Headwater Exploration Annual Data
Trend Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23 Dec24 Dec25
Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 3.12 3.44 3.48 3.56 4.70

Headwater Exploration Quarterly Data
Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Sep24 Dec24 Mar25 Jun25 Sep25 Dec25 Mar26 Jun26
Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 3.48 3.83 4.70 6.24 5.55

TSX:HWX vs COP, EOG, FANG: Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio Comparison

For the Oil & Gas E&P subindustry, Headwater Exploration's Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio, along with its competitors' market caps and Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Headwater Exploration Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio vs Oil & Gas Industry

For the Oil & Gas industry and Energy sector, Headwater Exploration's Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Headwater Exploration's Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio falls into.


TSX:HWX
90GF Score
Headwater Exploration Inc TSX:HWX
Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

Headwater Exploration Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio Calculation

Like the Shiller PE Ratio, the Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio takes the Book Value per Share from the past 10 years, adjusts it for inflation, and then calculates the average. This average is then used for the P/B calculation. Because it considers this 10-year average, it's often referred to as the CAPB Ratio.

The Shiller PE Ratio was first used by professor Robert Shiller to measure the valuation of the overall market. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio.

Headwater Exploration's Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio for today is calculated as

Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio=Share Price/ Cyclically Adjusted Book per Share
=13.29/2.13
=6.24

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Headwater Exploration's Cyclically Adjusted Book per Share for the quarter that ended in Jun. 2026 is calculated as:

For example, Headwater Exploration's adjusted Book Value per Share data for the three months ended in Jun. 2026 was:

Adj_Book=Book Value per Share/CPI of Jun. 2026 (Change)*Current CPI (Jun. 2026)
=3.425/133.5265*133.5265
=3.425

Current CPI (Jun. 2026) = 133.5265.

Headwater Exploration Quarterly Data

Book Value per Share CPI Adj_Book
201609 0.919 101.765 1.206
201612 1.058 101.449 1.393
201703 1.080 102.634 1.405
201706 1.063 103.029 1.378
201709 1.107 103.345 1.430
201712 1.260 103.345 1.628
201803 1.323 105.004 1.682
201806 1.209 105.557 1.529
201809 1.189 105.636 1.503
201812 1.256 105.399 1.591
201903 1.291 106.979 1.611
201906 1.293 107.690 1.603
201909 1.280 107.611 1.588
201912 1.297 107.769 1.607
202003 1.089 107.927 1.347
202006 1.078 108.401 1.328
202009 1.070 108.164 1.321
202012 1.379 108.559 1.696
202103 1.316 110.298 1.593
202106 1.326 111.720 1.585
202109 1.460 112.905 1.727
202112 1.827 113.774 2.144
202203 1.972 117.646 2.238
202206 2.141 120.806 2.366
202209 2.284 120.648 2.528
202212 2.323 120.964 2.564
202303 2.342 122.702 2.549
202306 2.373 124.203 2.551
202309 2.485 125.230 2.650
202312 2.581 125.072 2.755
202403 2.637 126.258 2.789
202406 2.771 127.522 2.901
202409 2.880 127.285 3.021
202412 2.942 127.364 3.084
202503 3.043 129.181 3.145
202506 3.092 129.892 3.179
202509 3.151 130.287 3.229
202512 3.147 130.366 3.223
202603 3.186 132.262 3.216
202606 3.425 133.527 3.425

Add all the adjusted book value per share together and divide the count will get our Cyclically Adjusted Book per Share.

Please note that we use the CPI data of the country/region where the company is headquartered. If the CPI data for that country/region is not available, then we will use the CPI data of the United States as default.

What does a Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio of 6.24 mean?
Headwater Exploration (TSX:HWX) has a Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio of 6.24 as of Aug. 14, 2026. Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio is the ratio of share price to a company's inflation-adjusted book value per share over a 10-year period. View historical data on Headwater Exploration and its competitors. This is 141% above median its historical median of 2.59. Over the past decade, Headwater Exploration's Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio has ranged from 0.15 to 6.60. According to the industry distribution chart, Headwater Exploration ranks #724 out of 765 companies in the Oil & Gas industry, placing it in the top 94.6%.
Is Headwater Exploration's Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio too high?
Headwater Exploration's current Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio of 6.24 is 141% above median its 10-year median of 2.59. Over the past 10 years, this metric has ranged from a low of 0.15 to a high of 6.60. The Oil & Gas industry median Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio is 1.17. Headwater Exploration's value of 6.24 is 433.3% above this industry median. Based on the distribution chart, Headwater Exploration ranks #724 out of 765 companies in the Oil & Gas industry, which is in the bottom quartile relative to peers. Overall, Headwater Exploration has a GF Score™ of 90/100 and is considered Significantly Overvalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Headwater Exploration's Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio compare to COP and EOG?
According to the Oil & Gas industry distribution chart, Headwater Exploration ranks #724 out of 765 companies for Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio. This places Headwater Exploration in the lower half of its industry. The industry median Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio is 1.17. Headwater Exploration's value of 6.24 is 433.3% above this benchmark. Historically, Headwater Exploration's own Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio has ranged from 0.15 to 6.60 over the past decade. While the company's 10-year median is 2.59 vs. the industry median of 1.17, Headwater Exploration has consistently been above the industry average. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio for an Oil & Gas company?
The median Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio among Oil & Gas companies is 1.17, based on 765 companies in the industry. Companies in the top quartile (top 25%) have a Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio significantly above this median, while those in the bottom quartile fall well below. However, Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Headwater Exploration's current Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio of 6.24 is 433.3% above the industry median. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio mean?
A high Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio is the ratio of share price to a company's inflation-adjusted book value per share over a 10-year period. View historical data on Headwater Exploration and its competitors. For the Oil & Gas industry, the median Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio is 1.17 — values significantly above this may indicate overvaluation, while values below may suggest a bargain or underlying issues. Headwater Exploration's current Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio is 6.24, which is 141% above median its own 10-year median of 2.59. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Headwater Exploration stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Headwater Exploration (TSX:HWX) is currently considered Significantly Overvalued. The stock's GF Value™ is C$9.48, compared to a current price of C$13.29 — trading 40.2% above its estimated fair value. The current Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio is 6.24, which is 141% above median its 10-year median of 2.59 and 433.3% above the Oil & Gas industry median of 1.17. Headwater Exploration's overall GF Score™ is 90/100 with 4 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio calculated?
Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Headwater Exploration (TSX:HWX), the current Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio is 6.24 as of Aug. 14, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Headwater Exploration (TSX:HWX) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Headwater Exploration stock appears to be overvalued. The current stock price of C$13.29 is trading 40.2% above its estimated GF Value™ of C$9.48. GuruFocus considers Headwater Exploration to be Significantly Overvalued.

Key valuation signals for TSX:HWX:

  • Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio: 6.24 (141% above median its 10-year median of 2.59)
  • GF Value™: C$9.48 vs. price of C$13.29 (40.2% above fair value)
  • GF Score™: 90/100 with 4 warning signs
  • Industry Position: 433.3% above the Oil & Gas median (#724 of 765)

No single metric tells the full story. See the TSX:HWX stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Headwater Exploration Business Description

Industry EnergyOil & Gas
Other Exchanges CDDRF:USAC6V:Germany
Address 215 - 9th Avenue SW, Unit 1400, Calgary, AB, CAN, T2P 1K3
Headwater Exploration Inc is a Canadian resource company engaged in the exploration for and development and production of petroleum and natural gas in Canada. The company has high quality oil production, reserves, and lands in the prolific Clearwater play in the Marten Hills, Greater Peavine and Greater Nipisi areas of Alberta as well as low decline natural gas production and reserves in the McCully Field near Sussex, New Brunswick. Its core operating areas are Clearwater fairway, Alberta and McCully Field, New Brunswick.
90GF Score

Get the complete analysis for TSX:HWX

Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

C$13.29
Price
C$9.48
GF Value