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Ferguson (CHIX:FERGL) E10 : £4.39 (As of Apr. 2024)


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What is Ferguson E10?

E10 is a concept invented by Prof. Robert Shiller, who uses E10 for his Shiller P/E calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings of a company over the past 10 years.

Ferguson's adjusted earnings per share data for the three months ended in Apr. 2024 was £1.742. Add all the adjusted EPS for the past 10 years together and divide 10 will get our e10, which is £4.39 for the trailing ten years ended in Apr. 2024.

During the past 12 months, Ferguson's average E10 Growth Rate was 11.80% per year. During the past 3 years, the average E10 Growth Rate was 19.80% per year. Please click Growth Rate Calculation Example (GuruFocus) to see how GuruFocus calculates Wal-Mart Stores Inc (WMT)'s revenue growth rate. You can apply the same method to get the E10 growth rate using E10 data.

During the past 13 years, the highest 3-Year average E10 Growth Rate of Ferguson was 19.80% per year. The lowest was -5.70% per year. And the median was -2.90% per year.

As of today (2024-06-19), Ferguson's current stock price is £158.10. Ferguson's E10 for the quarter that ended in Apr. 2024 was £4.39. Ferguson's Shiller PE Ratio of today is 36.01.

During the past 13 years, the highest Shiller PE Ratio of Ferguson was 49.01. The lowest was 23.72. And the median was 36.38.


Ferguson E10 Historical Data

The historical data trend for Ferguson's E10 can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Ferguson E10 Chart

Ferguson Annual Data
Trend Jul14 Jul15 Jul16 Jul17 Jul18 Jul19 Jul20 Jul21 Jul22 Jul23
E10
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 2.10 2.21 2.46 3.57 3.85

Ferguson Quarterly Data
Jul18 Jan19 Jul19 Jan20 Jul20 Oct20 Jan21 Apr21 Jul21 Oct21 Jan22 Apr22 Jul22 Oct22 Jan23 Apr23 Jul23 Oct23 Jan24 Apr24
E10 Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 3.85 3.85 4.24 4.09 4.39

Competitive Comparison of Ferguson's E10

For the Industrial Distribution subindustry, Ferguson's Shiller PE Ratio, along with its competitors' market caps and Shiller PE Ratio data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Ferguson's Shiller PE Ratio Distribution in the Industrial Distribution Industry

For the Industrial Distribution industry and Industrials sector, Ferguson's Shiller PE Ratio distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Ferguson's Shiller PE Ratio falls into.



Ferguson E10 Calculation

E10 is a concept invented by Prof. Robert Shiller, who uses E10 for his Shiller P/E calculation. When we calculate the today's Shiller P/E ratio of a stock, we use today's price divided by E10.

What is E10? How do we calculate E10?

E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings of a company over the past 10 years. Let's use an example to explain.

If we want to calculate the E10 of Wal-Mart (WMT) for Dec. 31, 2010, we need to have the inflation data and the earnings from 2001 through 2010.

We adjusted the earnings of 2001 earnings data with the total inflation from 2001 through 2010 to the equivalent earnings in 2010. If the total inflation from 2001 to 2010 is 40%, and Wal-Mart earned $1 a share in 2001, then the 2001's equivalent earnings in 2010 is $1.4 a share. If Wal-Mart earns $1 again in 2002, and the total inflation from 2002 through 2010 is 35%, then the equivalent 2002 earnings in 2010 is $1.35. So on and so forth, you get the equivalent earnings of past 10 years. Then you add them together and divided the sum by 10 to get E10.

Please note that we use the CPI data of the country/region where the company is headquartered. If the CPI data for that country/region is not available, then we will use the CPI data of the United States as default.

For example, Ferguson's adjusted earnings per share data for the three months ended in Apr. 2024 was:

Adj_EPS= Earnings per Share (Diluted) /CPI of Apr. 2024 (Change)*Current CPI (Apr. 2024)
=1.742/131.6000*131.6000
=1.742

Current CPI (Apr. 2024) = 131.6000.

Ferguson Quarterly Data

per share eps CPI Adj_EPS
200807 0.015 86.600 0.023
200901 -4.882 86.600 -7.419
200907 -2.062 88.000 -3.084
201001 -0.881 88.800 -1.306
201007 -0.481 90.000 -0.703
201101 0.535 91.800 0.767
201107 0.579 93.500 0.815
201201 0.687 94.700 0.955
201207 -0.470 95.700 -0.646
201301 0.488 97.000 0.662
201307 0.614 98.000 0.825
201401 0.896 98.700 1.195
201407 1.109 99.600 1.465
201501 -0.234 99.200 -0.310
201507 1.095 100.000 1.441
201601 1.094 99.900 1.441
201607 1.507 100.900 1.966
201701 0.922 101.800 1.192
201707 2.074 103.500 2.637
201801 1.316 104.500 1.657
201807 2.507 105.900 3.115
201901 1.959 106.400 2.423
201907 1.807 108.000 2.202
202001 1.572 108.300 1.910
202007 1.716 109.200 2.068
202010 1.147 109.200 1.382
202101 0.301 109.300 0.362
202104 1.184 110.400 1.411
202107 2.179 111.400 2.574
202110 1.832 113.400 2.126
202201 1.454 114.600 1.670
202204 1.933 119.000 2.138
202207 2.252 121.200 2.445
202210 2.505 124.300 2.652
202301 1.471 124.800 1.551
202304 1.309 128.300 1.343
202307 2.212 129.000 2.257
202310 2.085 130.200 2.107
202401 1.243 130.000 1.258
202404 1.742 131.600 1.742

Add all the adjusted EPS together and divide 10 will get our e10.


Ferguson  (CHIX:FERGl) E10 Explanation

If a company grows much fast than inflation, E10 may underestimate the company's earnings power. Shiller PE Ratio can seem to be too high even the actual P/E is low.

For the Shiller P/E, the earnings of the past 10 years are inflation-adjusted and averaged. The result is used for P/E calculation. Since it looks at the average over the last 10 years, the Shiller P/E is also called PE10.

The Shiller P/E was first used by professor Robert Shiller to measure the valuation of the overall market. The same calculation is applied here to individual companies.

Ferguson's Shiller P/E Ratio of today is calculated as

Shiller PE Ratio=Share Price/E10
=158.10/4.39
=36.01

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

During the past 13 years, the highest Shiller P/E Ratio of Ferguson was 49.01. The lowest was 23.72. And the median was 36.38.


Be Aware

Shiller PE Ratio works better for cyclical companies. It gives you a better idea on the company's real earnings power.


Ferguson E10 Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Ferguson's E10 provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Ferguson (CHIX:FERGL) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
1020 Eskdale Road, Winnersh Triangle, Wokingham, Berkshire, GBR, RG41 5TS
Ferguson distributes plumbing and HVAC products primarily to repair, maintenance and improvement, new construction, and civil infrastructure markets. It serves over 1 million customers and sources products from 37,000 suppliers. Ferguson engages customers through approximately 1,700 North American branches, over the phone, online, and in residential showrooms. In fiscal 2023, Ferguson derived 95% of its nearly $30 billion of sales in the U.S. According to Modern Distribution Management, Ferguson is the largest industrial and construction distributor in North America. The firm sold its U.K. business in 2021 and is now solely focused on the North American market.

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