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Adhera Therapeutics (Adhera Therapeutics) Earnings Power Value (EPV) : $-4.80 (As of Sep23)


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What is Adhera Therapeutics Earnings Power Value (EPV)?

As of Sep23, Adhera Therapeutics's earnings power value is $-4.80. *

* GuruFocus does not store EPV value into our database if Average Maintenance CAPEX is 0.

Margin of Safety is N/A.

The basic concept of EPV is that one should value a stock based on the current free cash flow of a company and not on future projections which may, or may not, come true. It is arguably a better way to analyze stocks than Discounted Cash Flow analysis that relies on highly speculative growth assumptions many years into the future. Assumption: Current profitability is sustainable.


Adhera Therapeutics Earnings Power Value (EPV) Historical Data

The historical data trend for Adhera Therapeutics's Earnings Power Value (EPV) can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Adhera Therapeutics Earnings Power Value (EPV) Chart

Adhera Therapeutics Annual Data
Trend Dec13 Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22
Earnings Power Value (EPV)
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Adhera Therapeutics Quarterly Data
Dec18 Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23
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Competitive Comparison of Adhera Therapeutics's Earnings Power Value (EPV)

For the Biotechnology subindustry, Adhera Therapeutics's Earnings Power Value (EPV), along with its competitors' market caps and Earnings Power Value (EPV) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Adhera Therapeutics's Earnings Power Value (EPV) Distribution in the Biotechnology Industry

For the Biotechnology industry and Healthcare sector, Adhera Therapeutics's Earnings Power Value (EPV) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Adhera Therapeutics's Earnings Power Value (EPV) falls into.



Adhera Therapeutics Earnings Power Value (EPV) Calculation

Earnings Power Value also known as just Earnings Power is a valuation technique popularised by Bruce Greenwald, an authority on value investing at Columbia University. It is arguably a better way to analyze stocks than Discounted Cash Flow analysis that relies on highly speculative growth assumptions many years into the future.

The basic concept of EPV is that one should value a stock based on the current free cash flow of a company and not on future projections which may, or may not, come true. This valuation tool excludes the potential growth that a company may have so that needs to be looked at separately. Since future growth is excluded from the analysis, only the maintenance capital expenditures are subtracted from after-tax EBIT (earnings before interest and taxes) and growth capex is ignored.

Adhera Therapeutics's "Earning Power" Calculation:

Average of Last 20 Quarters Last Quarter
Revenue 0.04
DDA 0.03
Operating Margin % -4,567.37
SGA * 25% 0.87
Tax Rate % 0.00
Maintenance Capex 0.00
Cash and Cash Equivalents 0.03
Short-Term Debt 10.83
Long-Term Debt 0.00
Shares Outstanding (Diluted) 4.30

1. Start with "Earnings" not including accounting adjustments (one-time charges not excluded unless policy has changed). "Earnings" are "Operating Income.

2. Look at average margins over a business/Industry cycle: Average Operating Margin = -4,567.37%

To normalize margins and eliminate the effects on profitability of valuing the firm at different points in the business cycle, it is usually best to take a long-term average of operating margins. Ideally this would be as long as 10 years and include at least one economic downturn. However, since most of companies do not have as long as 10-year history, here GuruFocus uses the latest 5 years data to do the calculation. To smooth out unusual years but reflect recent developments, we take an average of the 5 year margin.

3. Multiply average margins by sustainable revenues and then adjust for maintenance SGA. This yields "normalized" EBIT:

To be conservative, GuruFocus uses an average of the 5 year revenues as the sustainable revenue.
EPV analysis recognises that part of SG&A expenditure is made to maintain and replace the existing assets, while part is made to grow sales. Since EPV is only interested in what it costs a going concern to maintain its existing asset base, it adds back a percentage of SG&A (between 15% and 50% - this is a matter of judgment and industry knowledge) to make up for the fact that some of this expenditure went to fund growth and shouldn't be accounted for. To start off, we assume 25% for the sake of prudence.
Sustainable Revenue = $0.04 Mil, Average Operating Margin = -4,567.37%, Average Adjusted SGA = 0.87,
therefore "Normalized" EBIT = Sustainable Revenue * Average Operating Margin + Average Adjusted SGA = 0.04 * -4,567.37% +0.87 = $-0.888806171 Mil.

4. Multiply by one minus Average Tax Rate (NOPAT):

Same as average operating margin calculation, GuruFocus takes an average of the 5 years tax rates.
Average Tax Rate = 0.00%, and "Normalized" EBIT = $-0.888806171 Mil,
therefore After-tax "Normalized" EBIT = "Normalized" EBIT * ( 1 - Average Tax Rate ) = -0.888806171 * ( 1 - 0.00% ) = $-0.888806171 Mil.

5. Add back Excess Depreciation (after tax at 1/2 average tax rate). This yields "normalized" Earnings:

Excess Depreciation = Average DDA * % of Excess Depreciation (after tax at 1/2 average tax rate) = 0.03 * 0.5 * 0.00% = $0 Mil.
"Normalized" Earnings = After-tax "Normalized" EBIT + Excess Depreciation = -0.888806171 + 0 = $-0.888806171 Mil.

6. Adjusted for Maintenance Capital Expenditure:

First, calculate the revenue change regarding to the previous year. If the revenue decreased from the previous year, then the Maintenance Capital Expenditure = Capital Expenditure (positive).
Second, if the revenue increased from the previous year, then calculate the percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue.
Third, calculate Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase.
If [Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase] was negative, then the Maintenance Capital Expenditure = Capital Expenditure (positive).
If [Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase] was positive, then the Maintenance Capital Expenditure = Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase.
Fourth, GuruFocus uses an average of the 5 year maintenance capital expenditures as maintenance CAPEX.
Adhera Therapeutics's Average Maintenance CAPEX = $0.00 Mil *.
* GuruFocus does not store EPV value into our database if Average Maintenance CAPEX is 0.

7. Investors require a return of "WACC" for the risk they are taking: WACC = 9%

8. Adhera Therapeutics's current cash and cash equivalent = $0.03 Mil.
Adhera Therapeutics's current interest bearing debt = Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation + Short-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation = 0.00 + 10.83 = $10.829 Mil.
Adhera Therapeutics's current Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average) = 4.30 Mil.

Adhera Therapeutics's Earnings Power Value (EPV) for Sep23 is calculated as:

EPV = ( ( Norm. Earnings-Maint. CAPEX *) / WACC + CashandEquiv - Int. Bearing Debt ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
= ( ( -0.888806171 - 0.00)/ 9%+0.03-10.829 )/4.30
=-4.80

Margin of Safety (EPV)=( Earnings Power Value (EPV)-Current Price )/Earnings Power Value (EPV)
=( -4.8031189875052-0.00624 )/-4.8031189875052
= N/A

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* GuruFocus does not store EPV value into our database if Average Maintenance CAPEX is 0.


Adhera Therapeutics  (OTCPK:ATRX) Earnings Power Value (EPV) Explanation

Assumption: Current profitability is sustainable.

Earnings power value (EPV) uses a very basic equation which assumes no growth, although it does rely on an assumption about the cost of capital as well as the fact that current earnings are sustainable. It also involves several adjustments to clean up the underlying Earnings figures.


Be Aware

Though using today's earnings in calculating Earnings Power Value, GuruFocus is normalizing these earnings to the business cycle. This eliminates the effects on profitability of valuing the firm at different points in the business cycle. This means that we are considering the average earnings over 5 years.


Adhera Therapeutics Earnings Power Value (EPV) Related Terms

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Adhera Therapeutics (Adhera Therapeutics) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
8000 Innovation Parkway, Baton Rouge, LA, USA, 70820
Adhera Therapeutics Inc is an emerging specialty biotech company that is strategically evaluating its focus including a return to a drug discovery and development company.
Executives
Zahed Subhan director 8000 INNOVATION PARKWAY, BATON ROUGE LA 70820
Trond Kydd Waerness director 8000 INNOVATION PARKWAY, BAON ROUGE LA 70820
Rice Charles L Jr director C/O ENTERGY CORPORATION LEGAL DEPT., 639 LOYOLA AVE., 26TH FLOOR, NEW ORLEANS LA 70113
Andrew Albert Kucharchuk director, officer: Chief Executive Officer 549 MILGATE PLACE, BATON ROUGE LA 70810
Rhonda L. Stanley officer: SVP Finance & Accounting 5001 SOUTH MIAMA BOULEVARD, SUITE 300, DURHAM NC 27703
Nancy R. Phelan director 812 MAPLEWOOD ROAD, WAYNE PA 19087
Robert Eric Teague officer: Chief Financial Officer C/O MARINA BIOTECH, INC., 4721 EMPEROR BOULEVARD, SUITE 350, DURHAM NC 27703
Uli Hacksell director 3911 SORRENTO VALLEY BOULEVARD, SAN DIEGO CA 92121
Robert Jr. Moscato officer: CEO 400 PRATT STREET, SUITE 606, BALTIMORE MD 21202
Timothy Boris director 805 AEROVISTA PLACE, SUITE 205, SAN LUIS OBISPO CA 93401
Isaac Blech director C/O INSPIREMD, INC., 321 COLUMBUS AVENUE, BOSTON MA 02116
Peter D. Weinstein officer: Chief Legal Officer C.O MARINA BIOTECH, INC., 17870 CASTLETON STREET, SUITE 250, CITY OF INDUSTRY CA 91748
Amit B. Shah officer: Chief Financial Officer 10 AGUILA, ALISO VIEJO CA 92656
Erik C. Emerson officer: Chief Commercial Officer 2300 WEST SAHARA AVENUE, SUITE 800 - #4012, LAS VEGAS NV 89102
Mihir Munsif officer: Chief Operating Officer 21102 BRIARWOOD LANE, TRABUCO CANYON CA 92679