Goodman New Zealand and Goodman Property Services (FRA:NJK) Earnings Power Value (EPV): €-0.12 (As of Mar25)


FRA:NJK Goodman New Zealand Ltd and Goodman Property Services Ltd FRA:NJK
31 GF Score
Price €1.00
GF Value €0.74
Valuation Significantly Overvalued
! 7 Warning Signs
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What is Goodman New Zealand and Goodman Property Services Earnings Power Value (EPV)?

Goodman New Zealand and Goodman Property Services FRA:NJK 31 Earnings Power Value (EPV) is €-0.12 as of Mar25. GuruFocus rates FRA:NJK with a GF Score™ of 31/100 and a GF Value™ of €0.74 (Significantly Overvalued). The stock has 7 warning signs investors should review.

As of Mar25, Goodman New Zealand and Goodman Property Services's earnings power value is €-0.12. *

* GuruFocus does not store EPV value into our database if Average Maintenance CAPEX is 0.

Margin of Safety is N/A.

The basic concept of EPV is that one should value a stock based on the current free cash flow of a company and not on future projections which may, or may not, come true. It is arguably a better way to analyze stocks than Discounted Cash Flow analysis that relies on highly speculative growth assumptions many years into the future. Assumption: Current profitability is sustainable.


Goodman New Zealand and Goodman Property Services  (FRA:NJK) Earnings Power Value (EPV) Explanation

Assumption: Current profitability is sustainable.

Earnings power value (EPV) uses a very basic equation which assumes no growth, although it does rely on an assumption about the cost of capital as well as the fact that current earnings are sustainable. It also involves several adjustments to clean up the underlying Earnings figures.


Be Aware

Though using today's earnings in calculating Earnings Power Value, GuruFocus is normalizing these earnings to the business cycle. This eliminates the effects on profitability of valuing the firm at different points in the business cycle. This means that we are considering the average earnings over 5 years.


Goodman New Zealand and Goodman Property Services Earnings Power Value (EPV) Related Terms


Goodman New Zealand and Goodman Property Services Earnings Power Value (EPV) Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for Goodman New Zealand and Goodman Property Services's Earnings Power Value (EPV) can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Goodman New Zealand and Goodman Property Services Earnings Power Value (EPV) Chart

Goodman New Zealand and Goodman Property Services Annual Data
Trend Mar16 Mar17 Mar18 Mar19 Mar20 Mar21 Mar22 Mar23 Mar24 Mar25
Earnings Power Value (EPV)
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00

Goodman New Zealand and Goodman Property Services Semi-Annual Data
Mar16 Sep16 Mar17 Sep17 Mar18 Sep18 Mar19 Sep19 Mar20 Sep20 Mar21 Sep21 Mar22 Sep22 Mar23 Sep23 Mar24 Sep24 Mar25 Sep25
Earnings Power Value (EPV) Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00

FRA:NJK vs PLD, PSA, EXR: Earnings Power Value (EPV) Comparison

For the REIT - Industrial subindustry, Goodman New Zealand and Goodman Property Services's Earnings Power Value (EPV), along with its competitors' market caps and Earnings Power Value (EPV) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Goodman New Zealand and Goodman Property Services Earnings Power Value (EPV) vs REITs Industry

For the REITs industry and Real Estate sector, Goodman New Zealand and Goodman Property Services's Earnings Power Value (EPV) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Goodman New Zealand and Goodman Property Services's Earnings Power Value (EPV) falls into.


FRA:NJK
31GF Score
Goodman New Zealand Ltd and Goodman Property Services Ltd FRA:NJK
Earnings Power Value (EPV) is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

Goodman New Zealand and Goodman Property Services Earnings Power Value (EPV) Calculation

Earnings Power Value also known as just Earnings Power is a valuation technique popularised by Bruce Greenwald, an authority on value investing at Columbia University. It is arguably a better way to analyze stocks than Discounted Cash Flow analysis that relies on highly speculative growth assumptions many years into the future.

The basic concept of EPV is that one should value a stock based on the current free cash flow of a company and not on future projections which may, or may not, come true. This valuation tool excludes the potential growth that a company may have so that needs to be looked at separately. Since future growth is excluded from the analysis, only the maintenance capital expenditures are subtracted from after-tax EBIT (earnings before interest and taxes) and growth capex is ignored.

Goodman New Zealand and Goodman Property Services's "Earning Power" Calculation:

Average of Last 5 Years Last Year
Revenue 126.8
DDA 0.0
Operating Margin % 48.20
SGA * 25% 0.9
Tax Rate % 6.15
Maintenance Capex 0.0
Cash and Cash Equivalents 4.3
Short-Term Debt 172.6
Long-Term Debt 666.9
Shares Outstanding (Diluted) 1,538.8

1. Start with "Earnings" not including accounting adjustments (one-time charges not excluded unless policy has changed). "Earnings" are "Operating Income.

2. Look at average margins over a business/Industry cycle: Average Operating Margin = 48.20%

To normalize margins and eliminate the effects on profitability of valuing the firm at different points in the business cycle, it is usually best to take a long-term average of operating margins. Ideally this would be as long as 10 years and include at least one economic downturn. However, since most of companies do not have as long as 10-year history, here GuruFocus uses the latest 5 years data to do the calculation. To smooth out unusual years but reflect recent developments, we take an average of the 5 year margin.

3. Multiply average margins by sustainable revenues and then adjust for maintenance SGA. This yields "normalized" EBIT:

To be conservative, GuruFocus uses an average of the 5 year revenues as the sustainable revenue.
EPV analysis recognises that part of SG&A expenditure is made to maintain and replace the existing assets, while part is made to grow sales. Since EPV is only interested in what it costs a going concern to maintain its existing asset base, it adds back a percentage of SG&A (between 15% and 50% - this is a matter of judgment and industry knowledge) to make up for the fact that some of this expenditure went to fund growth and shouldn't be accounted for. To start off, we assume 25% for the sake of prudence.
Sustainable Revenue = €126.8 Mil, Average Operating Margin = 48.20%, Average Adjusted SGA = 0.9,
therefore "Normalized" EBIT = Sustainable Revenue * Average Operating Margin + Average Adjusted SGA = 126.8 * 48.20% +0.9 = €61.991096568 Mil.

4. Multiply by one minus Average Tax Rate (NOPAT):

Same as average operating margin calculation, GuruFocus takes an average of the 5 years tax rates.
Average Tax Rate = 6.15%, and "Normalized" EBIT = €61.991096568 Mil,
therefore After-tax "Normalized" EBIT = "Normalized" EBIT * ( 1 - Average Tax Rate ) = 61.991096568 * ( 1 - 6.15% ) = €58.179883950999 Mil.

5. Add back Excess Depreciation (after tax at 1/2 average tax rate). This yields "normalized" Earnings:

Excess Depreciation = Average DDA * % of Excess Depreciation (after tax at 1/2 average tax rate) = 0.0 * 0.5 * 6.15% = €0 Mil.
"Normalized" Earnings = After-tax "Normalized" EBIT + Excess Depreciation = 58.179883950999 + 0 = €58.179883950999 Mil.

6. Adjusted for Maintenance Capital Expenditure:

First, calculate the revenue change regarding to the previous year. If the revenue decreased from the previous year, then the Maintenance Capital Expenditure = Capital Expenditure (positive).
Second, if the revenue increased from the previous year, then calculate the percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue.
Third, calculate Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase.
If [Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase] was negative, then the Maintenance Capital Expenditure = Capital Expenditure (positive).
If [Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase] was positive, then the Maintenance Capital Expenditure = Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase.
Fourth, GuruFocus uses an average of the 5 year maintenance capital expenditures as maintenance CAPEX.
Goodman New Zealand and Goodman Property Services's Average Maintenance CAPEX = €0.0 Mil *.
* GuruFocus does not store EPV value into our database if Average Maintenance CAPEX is 0.

7. Investors require a return of "WACC" for the risk they are taking: WACC = 9%

8. Goodman New Zealand and Goodman Property Services's current cash and cash equivalent = €4.3 Mil.
Goodman New Zealand and Goodman Property Services's current interest bearing debt = Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation + Short-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation = 666.9 + 172.6 = €839.44 Mil.
Goodman New Zealand and Goodman Property Services's current Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average) = 1,538.8 Mil.

Goodman New Zealand and Goodman Property Services's Earnings Power Value (EPV) for Mar25 is calculated as:

EPV = ( ( Norm. Earnings-Maint. CAPEX *) / WACC + CashandEquiv - Int. Bearing Debt ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
= ( ( 58.179883950999 - 0.0)/ 9%+4.3-839.44 )/1,538.8
=-0.12

Margin of Safety (EPV)=( Earnings Power Value (EPV)-Current Price )/Earnings Power Value (EPV)
=( -0.12259737781966-1.00 )/-0.12259737781966
= N/A

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* GuruFocus does not store EPV value into our database if Average Maintenance CAPEX is 0.

What does a Earnings Power Value (EPV) of €-0.12 mean?
Goodman New Zealand and Goodman Property Services (FRA:NJK) has a Earnings Power Value (EPV) of €-0.12 as of Mar25. Bruce Greenwald's earnings power value focuses on current earnings without factoring in future growth. View historical data on Goodman New Zealand and Goodman Property Services and its competitors.
Is Goodman New Zealand and Goodman Property Services' Earnings Power Value (EPV) too high?
Goodman New Zealand and Goodman Property Services' current Earnings Power Value (EPV) is €-0.12. Overall, Goodman New Zealand and Goodman Property Services has a GF Score™ of 31/100 and is considered Significantly Overvalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Goodman New Zealand and Goodman Property Services' Earnings Power Value (EPV) compare to PLD and PSA?
Goodman New Zealand and Goodman Property Services' Earnings Power Value (EPV) of €-0.12 can be compared against companies in the REITs industry. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Earnings Power Value (EPV) for a REITs company?
A good Earnings Power Value (EPV) depends on the REITs industry context. However, Earnings Power Value (EPV) should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Earnings Power Value (EPV) mean?
A high Earnings Power Value (EPV) can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. Bruce Greenwald's earnings power value focuses on current earnings without factoring in future growth. View historical data on Goodman New Zealand and Goodman Property Services and its competitors. Goodman New Zealand and Goodman Property Services's current Earnings Power Value (EPV) is €-0.12. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Goodman New Zealand and Goodman Property Services stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Goodman New Zealand and Goodman Property Services (FRA:NJK) is currently considered Significantly Overvalued. The stock's GF Value™ is €0.74, compared to a current price of €1.00 — trading 35.1% above its estimated fair value. The current Earnings Power Value (EPV) is €-0.12. Goodman New Zealand and Goodman Property Services' overall GF Score™ is 31/100 with 7 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Earnings Power Value (EPV) calculated?
Earnings Power Value (EPV) is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Goodman New Zealand and Goodman Property Services (FRA:NJK), the current Earnings Power Value (EPV) is €-0.12 as of Mar25. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Goodman New Zealand and Goodman Property Services (FRA:NJK) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Goodman New Zealand and Goodman Property Services stock appears to be overvalued. The current stock price of €1.00 is trading 35.1% above its estimated GF Value™ of €0.74. GuruFocus considers Goodman New Zealand and Goodman Property Services to be Significantly Overvalued.

Key valuation signals for FRA:NJK:

  • Earnings Power Value (EPV): €-0.12
  • GF Value™: €0.74 vs. price of €1.00 (35.1% above fair value)
  • GF Score™: 31/100 with 7 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the FRA:NJK stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Goodman New Zealand and Goodman Property Services Business Description

Industry Real EstateREITs
Other Exchanges GNZ:New Zealand
Address 18 Viaduct Harbour Avenue, Victoria Street West, PO Box 90940, Level 2, KPMG Centre, Auckland, NSW, AUS, 1142
Goodman New Zealand Ltd and Goodman Property Services Ltd, formerly known as Goodman Property Trust, is one of New Zealand's property trusts, with a portfolio composed of industrial estates, businesses, and a development bank. After selling its Christchurch assets, Goodman is 100% Auckland-centric. The focus over the next few years will be on selling lower-quality assets and redeploying capital to industrial property in strategically important locations. The investment is premised on management's view that industrial assets in premium locations will generate superior long-term returns from lower average vacancy and higher rent growth.
31GF Score

Get the complete analysis for FRA:NJK

Earnings Power Value (EPV) is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

€1.00
Price
€0.74
GF Value