Toho Co (FSE:9602) Earnings Power Value (EPV): 円475.29 (As of Feb26)


FSE:9602 Toho Co Ltd FSE:9602
95 GF Score
Price 円1,560.00
GF Value 円1,975.27
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What is Toho Co Earnings Power Value (EPV)?

Toho Co FSE:9602 95 Earnings Power Value (EPV) is 円475.29 as of Feb26. GuruFocus rates FSE:9602 with a GF Score™ of 95/100 and a GF Value™ of 円1,975.27.

As of Feb26, Toho Co's earnings power value is 円475.29. *

* GuruFocus does not store EPV value into our database if Average Maintenance CAPEX is 0.

Margin of Safety is -228.22

The basic concept of EPV is that one should value a stock based on the current free cash flow of a company and not on future projections which may, or may not, come true. It is arguably a better way to analyze stocks than Discounted Cash Flow analysis that relies on highly speculative growth assumptions many years into the future. Assumption: Current profitability is sustainable.


Toho Co  (FSE:9602) Earnings Power Value (EPV) Explanation

Assumption: Current profitability is sustainable.

Earnings power value (EPV) uses a very basic equation which assumes no growth, although it does rely on an assumption about the cost of capital as well as the fact that current earnings are sustainable. It also involves several adjustments to clean up the underlying Earnings figures.


Be Aware

Though using today's earnings in calculating Earnings Power Value, GuruFocus is normalizing these earnings to the business cycle. This eliminates the effects on profitability of valuing the firm at different points in the business cycle. This means that we are considering the average earnings over 5 years.


Toho Co Earnings Power Value (EPV) Related Terms


Toho Co Earnings Power Value (EPV) Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for Toho Co's Earnings Power Value (EPV) can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Toho Co Earnings Power Value (EPV) Chart

Toho Co Annual Data
Trend Feb17 Feb18 Feb19 Feb20 Feb21 Feb22 Feb23 Feb24 Feb25 Feb26
Earnings Power Value (EPV)
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 328.09 330.55 320.32 230.44 473.77

Toho Co Quarterly Data
May21 Aug21 Nov21 Feb22 May22 Aug22 Nov22 Feb23 May23 Aug23 Nov23 Feb24 May24 Aug24 Nov24 Feb25 May25 Aug25 Nov25 Feb26
Earnings Power Value (EPV) Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 230.44 229.39 458.19 479.57 473.77

FSE:9602 vs NFLX, DIS, WBD: Earnings Power Value (EPV) Comparison

For the Entertainment subindustry, Toho Co's Earnings Power Value (EPV), along with its competitors' market caps and Earnings Power Value (EPV) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Toho Co Earnings Power Value (EPV) vs Media - Diversified Industry

For the Media - Diversified industry and Communication Services sector, Toho Co's Earnings Power Value (EPV) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Toho Co's Earnings Power Value (EPV) falls into.


FSE:9602
95GF Score
Toho Co Ltd FSE:9602
Earnings Power Value (EPV) is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
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Toho Co Earnings Power Value (EPV) Calculation

Earnings Power Value also known as just Earnings Power is a valuation technique popularised by Bruce Greenwald, an authority on value investing at Columbia University. It is arguably a better way to analyze stocks than Discounted Cash Flow analysis that relies on highly speculative growth assumptions many years into the future.

The basic concept of EPV is that one should value a stock based on the current free cash flow of a company and not on future projections which may, or may not, come true. This valuation tool excludes the potential growth that a company may have so that needs to be looked at separately. Since future growth is excluded from the analysis, only the maintenance capital expenditures are subtracted from after-tax EBIT (earnings before interest and taxes) and growth capex is ignored.

Toho Co's "Earning Power" Calculation:

Average of Last 20 Quarters Last Quarter
Revenue 285,969
DDA 12,386
Operating Margin % 19.08
SGA * 25% 2,132
Tax Rate % 30.91
Maintenance Capex 16,119
Cash and Cash Equivalents 126,343
Short-Term Debt 345
Long-Term Debt 1,275
Shares Outstanding (Diluted) 846

1. Start with "Earnings" not including accounting adjustments (one-time charges not excluded unless policy has changed). "Earnings" are "Operating Income.

2. Look at average margins over a business/Industry cycle: Average Operating Margin = 19.08%

To normalize margins and eliminate the effects on profitability of valuing the firm at different points in the business cycle, it is usually best to take a long-term average of operating margins. Ideally this would be as long as 10 years and include at least one economic downturn. However, since most of companies do not have as long as 10-year history, here GuruFocus uses the latest 5 years data to do the calculation. To smooth out unusual years but reflect recent developments, we take an average of the 5 year margin.

3. Multiply average margins by sustainable revenues and then adjust for maintenance SGA. This yields "normalized" EBIT:

To be conservative, GuruFocus uses an average of the 5 year revenues as the sustainable revenue.
EPV analysis recognises that part of SG&A expenditure is made to maintain and replace the existing assets, while part is made to grow sales. Since EPV is only interested in what it costs a going concern to maintain its existing asset base, it adds back a percentage of SG&A (between 15% and 50% - this is a matter of judgment and industry knowledge) to make up for the fact that some of this expenditure went to fund growth and shouldn't be accounted for. To start off, we assume 25% for the sake of prudence.
Sustainable Revenue = 円285,969 Mil, Average Operating Margin = 19.08%, Average Adjusted SGA = 2,132,
therefore "Normalized" EBIT = Sustainable Revenue * Average Operating Margin + Average Adjusted SGA = 285,969 * 19.08% +2,132 = 円56683.020136 Mil.

4. Multiply by one minus Average Tax Rate (NOPAT):

Same as average operating margin calculation, GuruFocus takes an average of the 5 years tax rates.
Average Tax Rate = 30.91%, and "Normalized" EBIT = 円56683.020136 Mil,
therefore After-tax "Normalized" EBIT = "Normalized" EBIT * ( 1 - Average Tax Rate ) = 56683.020136 * ( 1 - 30.91% ) = 円39162.865442164 Mil.

5. Add back Excess Depreciation (after tax at 1/2 average tax rate). This yields "normalized" Earnings:

Excess Depreciation = Average DDA * % of Excess Depreciation (after tax at 1/2 average tax rate) = 12,386 * 0.5 * 30.91% = 円1914.256188 Mil.
"Normalized" Earnings = After-tax "Normalized" EBIT + Excess Depreciation = 39162.865442164 + 1914.256188 = 円41077.121630164 Mil.

6. Adjusted for Maintenance Capital Expenditure:

First, calculate the revenue change regarding to the previous year. If the revenue decreased from the previous year, then the Maintenance Capital Expenditure = Capital Expenditure (positive).
Second, if the revenue increased from the previous year, then calculate the percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue.
Third, calculate Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase.
If [Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase] was negative, then the Maintenance Capital Expenditure = Capital Expenditure (positive).
If [Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase] was positive, then the Maintenance Capital Expenditure = Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase.
Fourth, GuruFocus uses an average of the 5 year maintenance capital expenditures as maintenance CAPEX.
Toho Co's Average Maintenance CAPEX = 円16,119 Mil *.
* GuruFocus does not store EPV value into our database if Average Maintenance CAPEX is 0.

7. Investors require a return of "WACC" for the risk they are taking: WACC = 9%

8. Toho Co's current cash and cash equivalent = 円126,343 Mil.
Toho Co's current interest bearing debt = Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation + Short-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation = 1,275 + 345 = 円1620 Mil.
Toho Co's current Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average) = 846 Mil.

Toho Co's Earnings Power Value (EPV) for Feb26 is calculated as:

EPV = ( ( Norm. Earnings-Maint. CAPEX *) / WACC + CashandEquiv - Int. Bearing Debt ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
= ( ( 41077.121630164 - 16,119)/ 9%+126,343-1620 )/846
=475.29

Margin of Safety (EPV)=( Earnings Power Value (EPV)-Current Price )/Earnings Power Value (EPV)
=( 475.28576236443-1560.00 )/475.28576236443
= -228.22%

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* GuruFocus does not store EPV value into our database if Average Maintenance CAPEX is 0.

What does a Earnings Power Value (EPV) of 円475.29 mean?
Toho Co (FSE:9602) has a Earnings Power Value (EPV) of 円475.29 as of Feb26. Bruce Greenwald's earnings power value focuses on current earnings without factoring in future growth. View historical data on Toho Co and its competitors.
Is Toho Co's Earnings Power Value (EPV) too high?
Toho Co's current Earnings Power Value (EPV) is 円475.29. Overall, Toho Co has a GF Score™ of 95/100, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Toho Co's Earnings Power Value (EPV) compare to NFLX and DIS?
Toho Co's Earnings Power Value (EPV) of 円475.29 can be compared against companies in the Media - Diversified industry. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Earnings Power Value (EPV) for a Media - Diversified company?
A good Earnings Power Value (EPV) depends on the Media - Diversified industry context. However, Earnings Power Value (EPV) should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Earnings Power Value (EPV) mean?
A high Earnings Power Value (EPV) can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. Bruce Greenwald's earnings power value focuses on current earnings without factoring in future growth. View historical data on Toho Co and its competitors. Toho Co's current Earnings Power Value (EPV) is 円475.29. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Toho Co stock overvalued right now?
Toho Co (FSE:9602) has a current Earnings Power Value (EPV) of 円475.29. The stock's GF Value™ is 円1,975.27, compared to a current price of 円1,560.00 — trading 21% below its estimated fair value. The current Earnings Power Value (EPV) is 円475.29. Toho Co's overall GF Score™ is 95/100. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Earnings Power Value (EPV) calculated?
Earnings Power Value (EPV) is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Toho Co (FSE:9602), the current Earnings Power Value (EPV) is 円475.29 as of Feb26. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Toho Co (FSE:9602) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Toho Co stock appears to be undervalued. The current stock price of 円1,560.00 is trading 21% below its estimated GF Value™ of 円1,975.27.

Key valuation signals for FSE:9602:

  • Earnings Power Value (EPV): 円475.29
  • GF Value™: 円1,975.27 vs. price of 円1,560.00 (21% below fair value)
  • GF Score™: 95/100

No single metric tells the full story. See the FSE:9602 stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Toho Co Business Description

Address 1-2-2 Yurakucho, Chiyoda-ku, Tokyo, JPN, 100-8415
Toho Co Ltd is a diversified media company with interests in the film and theater businesses. The company operates through three primary business segments: movie, theater, and real estate. The movie segment generates the vast majority of its revenue and is involved in the production and distribution of feature films. The theater segment is involved in planning, producing, and performing stage productions. The corporate real estate segment leases land and buildings. The company generates the vast majority of its revenue in Japan.
95GF Score

Get the complete analysis for FSE:9602

Earnings Power Value (EPV) is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

円1,560.00
Price
円1,975.27
GF Value