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OSUR (OraSure Technologies) Earnings Power Value (EPV) : $1.39 (As of Sep24)


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What is OraSure Technologies Earnings Power Value (EPV)?

As of Sep24, OraSure Technologies's earnings power value is $1.39. *

* GuruFocus does not store EPV value into our database if Average Maintenance CAPEX is 0.

Margin of Safety is -182.2

The basic concept of EPV is that one should value a stock based on the current free cash flow of a company and not on future projections which may, or may not, come true. It is arguably a better way to analyze stocks than Discounted Cash Flow analysis that relies on highly speculative growth assumptions many years into the future. Assumption: Current profitability is sustainable.


OraSure Technologies Earnings Power Value (EPV) Historical Data

The historical data trend for OraSure Technologies's Earnings Power Value (EPV) can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

OraSure Technologies Earnings Power Value (EPV) Chart

OraSure Technologies Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Earnings Power Value (EPV)
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 6.57 5.18 2.32 -0.25 1.94

OraSure Technologies Quarterly Data
Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Sep24
Earnings Power Value (EPV) Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 1.27 1.94 1.68 1.40 1.39

Competitive Comparison of OraSure Technologies's Earnings Power Value (EPV)

For the Medical Instruments & Supplies subindustry, OraSure Technologies's Earnings Power Value (EPV), along with its competitors' market caps and Earnings Power Value (EPV) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


OraSure Technologies's Earnings Power Value (EPV) Distribution in the Medical Devices & Instruments Industry

For the Medical Devices & Instruments industry and Healthcare sector, OraSure Technologies's Earnings Power Value (EPV) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where OraSure Technologies's Earnings Power Value (EPV) falls into.



OraSure Technologies Earnings Power Value (EPV) Calculation

Earnings Power Value also known as just Earnings Power is a valuation technique popularised by Bruce Greenwald, an authority on value investing at Columbia University. It is arguably a better way to analyze stocks than Discounted Cash Flow analysis that relies on highly speculative growth assumptions many years into the future.

The basic concept of EPV is that one should value a stock based on the current free cash flow of a company and not on future projections which may, or may not, come true. This valuation tool excludes the potential growth that a company may have so that needs to be looked at separately. Since future growth is excluded from the analysis, only the maintenance capital expenditures are subtracted from after-tax EBIT (earnings before interest and taxes) and growth capex is ignored.

OraSure Technologies's "Earning Power" Calculation:

Average of Last 20 Quarters Last Quarter
Revenue 279.3
DDA 13.7
Operating Margin % -2.80
SGA * 25% 23.0
Tax Rate % 24.68
Maintenance Capex 27.9
Cash and Cash Equivalents 278.6
Short-Term Debt 1.6
Long-Term Debt 9.5
Shares Outstanding (Diluted) 74.6

1. Start with "Earnings" not including accounting adjustments (one-time charges not excluded unless policy has changed). "Earnings" are "Operating Income.

2. Look at average margins over a business/Industry cycle: Average Operating Margin = -2.80%

To normalize margins and eliminate the effects on profitability of valuing the firm at different points in the business cycle, it is usually best to take a long-term average of operating margins. Ideally this would be as long as 10 years and include at least one economic downturn. However, since most of companies do not have as long as 10-year history, here GuruFocus uses the latest 5 years data to do the calculation. To smooth out unusual years but reflect recent developments, we take an average of the 5 year margin.

3. Multiply average margins by sustainable revenues and then adjust for maintenance SGA. This yields "normalized" EBIT:

To be conservative, GuruFocus uses an average of the 5 year revenues as the sustainable revenue.
EPV analysis recognises that part of SG&A expenditure is made to maintain and replace the existing assets, while part is made to grow sales. Since EPV is only interested in what it costs a going concern to maintain its existing asset base, it adds back a percentage of SG&A (between 15% and 50% - this is a matter of judgment and industry knowledge) to make up for the fact that some of this expenditure went to fund growth and shouldn't be accounted for. To start off, we assume 25% for the sake of prudence.
Sustainable Revenue = $279.3 Mil, Average Operating Margin = -2.80%, Average Adjusted SGA = 23.0,
therefore "Normalized" EBIT = Sustainable Revenue * Average Operating Margin + Average Adjusted SGA = 279.3 * -2.80% +23.0 = $15.234560776 Mil.

4. Multiply by one minus Average Tax Rate (NOPAT):

Same as average operating margin calculation, GuruFocus takes an average of the 5 years tax rates.
Average Tax Rate = 24.68%, and "Normalized" EBIT = $15.234560776 Mil,
therefore After-tax "Normalized" EBIT = "Normalized" EBIT * ( 1 - Average Tax Rate ) = 15.234560776 * ( 1 - 24.68% ) = $11.47520438611 Mil.

5. Add back Excess Depreciation (after tax at 1/2 average tax rate). This yields "normalized" Earnings:

Excess Depreciation = Average DDA * % of Excess Depreciation (after tax at 1/2 average tax rate) = 13.7 * 0.5 * 24.68% = $1.6951028145 Mil.
"Normalized" Earnings = After-tax "Normalized" EBIT + Excess Depreciation = 11.47520438611 + 1.6951028145 = $13.17030720061 Mil.

6. Adjusted for Maintenance Capital Expenditure:

First, calculate the revenue change regarding to the previous year. If the revenue decreased from the previous year, then the Maintenance Capital Expenditure = Capital Expenditure (positive).
Second, if the revenue increased from the previous year, then calculate the percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue.
Third, calculate Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase.
If [Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase] was negative, then the Maintenance Capital Expenditure = Capital Expenditure (positive).
If [Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase] was positive, then the Maintenance Capital Expenditure = Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase.
Fourth, GuruFocus uses an average of the 5 year maintenance capital expenditures as maintenance CAPEX.
OraSure Technologies's Average Maintenance CAPEX = $27.9 Mil *.
* GuruFocus does not store EPV value into our database if Average Maintenance CAPEX is 0.

7. Investors require a return of "WACC" for the risk they are taking: WACC = 9%

8. OraSure Technologies's current cash and cash equivalent = $278.6 Mil.
OraSure Technologies's current interest bearing debt = Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation + Short-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation = 9.5 + 1.6 = $11.107 Mil.
OraSure Technologies's current Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average) = 74.6 Mil.

OraSure Technologies's Earnings Power Value (EPV) for Sep24 is calculated as:

EPV = ( ( Norm. Earnings-Maint. CAPEX *) / WACC + CashandEquiv - Int. Bearing Debt ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
= ( ( 13.17030720061 - 27.9)/ 9%+278.6-11.107 )/74.6
=1.39

Margin of Safety (EPV)=( Earnings Power Value (EPV)-Current Price )/Earnings Power Value (EPV)
=( 1.385550654321-3.91 )/1.385550654321
= -182.2%

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* GuruFocus does not store EPV value into our database if Average Maintenance CAPEX is 0.


OraSure Technologies  (NAS:OSUR) Earnings Power Value (EPV) Explanation

Assumption: Current profitability is sustainable.

Earnings power value (EPV) uses a very basic equation which assumes no growth, although it does rely on an assumption about the cost of capital as well as the fact that current earnings are sustainable. It also involves several adjustments to clean up the underlying Earnings figures.


Be Aware

Though using today's earnings in calculating Earnings Power Value, GuruFocus is normalizing these earnings to the business cycle. This eliminates the effects on profitability of valuing the firm at different points in the business cycle. This means that we are considering the average earnings over 5 years.


OraSure Technologies Earnings Power Value (EPV) Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of OraSure Technologies's Earnings Power Value (EPV) provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


OraSure Technologies Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
220 East First Street, Bethlehem, PA, USA, 18015
OraSure Technologies Inc is a medical devices company that develops, manufactures, and distributes oral fluid diagnostic and collection devices. Its reportable segments are diagnostics and molecular solutions. The diagnostics segment produces rapid oral diagnostic tests and specimen collection devices for infectious diseases such as HIV and HCV. The molecular solutions segment specializes in kits used to collect, stabilize, and transport genetic material samples for molecular testing of both hereditary diseases and infectious diseases, such as COVID-19. The company gets majority of its sales from the molecular solutions business, derived mainly from customers in the United States.
Executives
Kathleen Gallagher Weber officer: Chief Product Officer 220 EAST FIRST STREET, BETHLEHEM PA 18017
Michele Marie Miller officer: VP, Finance and Controller 220 EAST FIRST STREET, BETHLEHEM PA 18017
Robert W. Mcmahon director 250 CAMPUS DRIVE, MARLBOROUGH MA 01752
Kenneth J Mcgrath officer: Chief Financial Officer C/O ORASURE TECHNOLOGIES, INC., 220 E. FIRST STREET, BETHLEHEM PA 18015
Ronny B Lancaster director ORASURE TECHNOLOGIES INC, 220 EAST FIRST STREET, BETHLEHEM PA 18015
Mara G. Aspinall director 7381 NORTH MOON SPIRIT LANE, TUCSON AZ 85718
Nancy J Gagliano director 33 GRANITE WAY, GRANTHAM NH 03753
Michael Celano director 220 EAST FIRST STREET, BETHLEHEM PA 18015
Manner Carrie Eglinton director, officer: President & CEO C/O QUEST DIAGNOSTICS, 500 PLAZA DRIVE, SECAUCUS NJ 07094
Scott Gleason officer: Interim CFO/SVP IR 1809 SOUTH 2500 EAST, SALT LAKE CITY UT 84108
Eamonn P Hobbs director C/O DELCATH SYSTEMS, INC., 600 FIFTH AVENUE, NEW YORK NY 10020
Anne Clem Whitaker director 109 BRIERY BRANCH COURT, MORRISVILLE NC 27560
James A Datin director 21 ESTATES DRIVE, DOYLESTOWN PA 18901
Lelio Marmora director 64 RUE DE VESENEX, DIVONNE LES BAINS I0 01220
Lisa Nibauer officer: President of Diagnostics 1 CRESENT PLACE, SHORT HILLS NJ 07078