Festaria Holdings Co (TSE:2736) Earnings Power Value (EPV): 円-455.32 (As of Aug25)


TSE:2736 Festaria Holdings Co Ltd TSE:2736
45 GF Score
Price 円684.00
GF Value 円571.19
Valuation Modestly Overvalued
! 7 Warning Signs
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What is Festaria Holdings Co Earnings Power Value (EPV)?

Festaria Holdings Co TSE:2736 +0.59% 45 Earnings Power Value (EPV) is 円-455.32 as of Aug25. GuruFocus rates TSE:2736 with a GF Score™ of 45/100 and a GF Value™ of 円571.19 (Modestly Overvalued). The stock has 7 warning signs investors should review.

As of Aug25, Festaria Holdings Co's earnings power value is 円-455.32. *

* GuruFocus does not store EPV value into our database if Average Maintenance CAPEX is 0.

Margin of Safety is N/A.

The basic concept of EPV is that one should value a stock based on the current free cash flow of a company and not on future projections which may, or may not, come true. It is arguably a better way to analyze stocks than Discounted Cash Flow analysis that relies on highly speculative growth assumptions many years into the future. Assumption: Current profitability is sustainable.


Festaria Holdings Co  (TSE:2736) Earnings Power Value (EPV) Explanation

Assumption: Current profitability is sustainable.

Earnings power value (EPV) uses a very basic equation which assumes no growth, although it does rely on an assumption about the cost of capital as well as the fact that current earnings are sustainable. It also involves several adjustments to clean up the underlying Earnings figures.


Be Aware

Though using today's earnings in calculating Earnings Power Value, GuruFocus is normalizing these earnings to the business cycle. This eliminates the effects on profitability of valuing the firm at different points in the business cycle. This means that we are considering the average earnings over 5 years.


Festaria Holdings Co Earnings Power Value (EPV) Related Terms


Festaria Holdings Co Earnings Power Value (EPV) Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for Festaria Holdings Co's Earnings Power Value (EPV) can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Festaria Holdings Co Earnings Power Value (EPV) Chart

Festaria Holdings Co Annual Data
Trend Aug16 Aug17 Aug18 Aug19 Aug20 Aug21 Aug22 Aug23 Aug24 Aug25
Earnings Power Value (EPV)
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -1,076.44 -890.19 -860.39 -721.47 -455.32

Festaria Holdings Co Semi-Annual Data
Aug16 Feb17 Aug17 Feb18 Aug18 Feb19 Aug19 Feb20 Aug20 Feb21 Aug21 Feb22 Aug22 Feb23 Aug23 Feb24 Aug24 Feb25 Aug25 Feb26
Earnings Power Value (EPV) Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 0.00 -721.47 0.00 -455.32 0.00

TSE:2736 vs TPR: Earnings Power Value (EPV) Comparison

For the Luxury Goods subindustry, Festaria Holdings Co's Earnings Power Value (EPV), along with its competitors' market caps and Earnings Power Value (EPV) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Festaria Holdings Co Earnings Power Value (EPV) vs Retail - Cyclical Industry

For the Retail - Cyclical industry and Consumer Cyclical sector, Festaria Holdings Co's Earnings Power Value (EPV) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Festaria Holdings Co's Earnings Power Value (EPV) falls into.


TSE:2736
45GF Score
Festaria Holdings Co Ltd TSE:2736
Earnings Power Value (EPV) is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

Festaria Holdings Co Earnings Power Value (EPV) Calculation

Earnings Power Value also known as just Earnings Power is a valuation technique popularised by Bruce Greenwald, an authority on value investing at Columbia University. It is arguably a better way to analyze stocks than Discounted Cash Flow analysis that relies on highly speculative growth assumptions many years into the future.

The basic concept of EPV is that one should value a stock based on the current free cash flow of a company and not on future projections which may, or may not, come true. This valuation tool excludes the potential growth that a company may have so that needs to be looked at separately. Since future growth is excluded from the analysis, only the maintenance capital expenditures are subtracted from after-tax EBIT (earnings before interest and taxes) and growth capex is ignored.

Festaria Holdings Co's "Earning Power" Calculation:

Average of Last 5 Years Last Year
Revenue 8,975
DDA 202
Operating Margin % 3.45
SGA * 25% 0
Tax Rate % 40.34
Maintenance Capex 182
Cash and Cash Equivalents 1,143
Short-Term Debt 2,529
Long-Term Debt 800
Shares Outstanding (Diluted) 4

1. Start with "Earnings" not including accounting adjustments (one-time charges not excluded unless policy has changed). "Earnings" are "Operating Income.

2. Look at average margins over a business/Industry cycle: Average Operating Margin = 3.45%

To normalize margins and eliminate the effects on profitability of valuing the firm at different points in the business cycle, it is usually best to take a long-term average of operating margins. Ideally this would be as long as 10 years and include at least one economic downturn. However, since most of companies do not have as long as 10-year history, here GuruFocus uses the latest 5 years data to do the calculation. To smooth out unusual years but reflect recent developments, we take an average of the 5 year margin.

3. Multiply average margins by sustainable revenues and then adjust for maintenance SGA. This yields "normalized" EBIT:

To be conservative, GuruFocus uses an average of the 5 year revenues as the sustainable revenue.
EPV analysis recognises that part of SG&A expenditure is made to maintain and replace the existing assets, while part is made to grow sales. Since EPV is only interested in what it costs a going concern to maintain its existing asset base, it adds back a percentage of SG&A (between 15% and 50% - this is a matter of judgment and industry knowledge) to make up for the fact that some of this expenditure went to fund growth and shouldn't be accounted for. To start off, we assume 25% for the sake of prudence.
Sustainable Revenue = 円8,975 Mil, Average Operating Margin = 3.45%, Average Adjusted SGA = 0,
therefore "Normalized" EBIT = Sustainable Revenue * Average Operating Margin + Average Adjusted SGA = 8,975 * 3.45% +0 = 円309.643848 Mil.

4. Multiply by one minus Average Tax Rate (NOPAT):

Same as average operating margin calculation, GuruFocus takes an average of the 5 years tax rates.
Average Tax Rate = 40.34%, and "Normalized" EBIT = 円309.643848 Mil,
therefore After-tax "Normalized" EBIT = "Normalized" EBIT * ( 1 - Average Tax Rate ) = 309.643848 * ( 1 - 40.34% ) = 円184.7335197168 Mil.

5. Add back Excess Depreciation (after tax at 1/2 average tax rate). This yields "normalized" Earnings:

Excess Depreciation = Average DDA * % of Excess Depreciation (after tax at 1/2 average tax rate) = 202 * 0.5 * 40.34% = 円40.67796852 Mil.
"Normalized" Earnings = After-tax "Normalized" EBIT + Excess Depreciation = 184.7335197168 + 40.67796852 = 円225.4114882368 Mil.

6. Adjusted for Maintenance Capital Expenditure:

First, calculate the revenue change regarding to the previous year. If the revenue decreased from the previous year, then the Maintenance Capital Expenditure = Capital Expenditure (positive).
Second, if the revenue increased from the previous year, then calculate the percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue.
Third, calculate Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase.
If [Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase] was negative, then the Maintenance Capital Expenditure = Capital Expenditure (positive).
If [Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase] was positive, then the Maintenance Capital Expenditure = Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase.
Fourth, GuruFocus uses an average of the 5 year maintenance capital expenditures as maintenance CAPEX.
Festaria Holdings Co's Average Maintenance CAPEX = 円182 Mil *.
* GuruFocus does not store EPV value into our database if Average Maintenance CAPEX is 0.

7. Investors require a return of "WACC" for the risk they are taking: WACC = 9%

8. Festaria Holdings Co's current cash and cash equivalent = 円1,143 Mil.
Festaria Holdings Co's current interest bearing debt = Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation + Short-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation = 800 + 2,529 = 円3329.361 Mil.
Festaria Holdings Co's current Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average) = 4 Mil.

Festaria Holdings Co's Earnings Power Value (EPV) for Aug25 is calculated as:

EPV = ( ( Norm. Earnings-Maint. CAPEX *) / WACC + CashandEquiv - Int. Bearing Debt ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
= ( ( 225.4114882368 - 182)/ 9%+1,143-3329.361 )/4
=-455.32

Margin of Safety (EPV)=( Earnings Power Value (EPV)-Current Price )/Earnings Power Value (EPV)
=( -455.31925321946-684.00 )/-455.31925321946
= N/A

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* GuruFocus does not store EPV value into our database if Average Maintenance CAPEX is 0.

What does a Earnings Power Value (EPV) of 円-455.32 mean?
Festaria Holdings Co (TSE:2736) has a Earnings Power Value (EPV) of 円-455.32 as of Aug25. Bruce Greenwald's earnings power value focuses on current earnings without factoring in future growth. View historical data on Festaria Holdings Co and its competitors.
Is Festaria Holdings Co's Earnings Power Value (EPV) too high?
Festaria Holdings Co's current Earnings Power Value (EPV) is 円-455.32. Overall, Festaria Holdings Co has a GF Score™ of 45/100 and is considered Modestly Overvalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Festaria Holdings Co's Earnings Power Value (EPV) compare to TPR?
Festaria Holdings Co's Earnings Power Value (EPV) of 円-455.32 can be compared against companies in the Retail - Cyclical industry. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Earnings Power Value (EPV) for a Retail - Cyclical company?
A good Earnings Power Value (EPV) depends on the Retail - Cyclical industry context. However, Earnings Power Value (EPV) should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Earnings Power Value (EPV) mean?
A high Earnings Power Value (EPV) can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. Bruce Greenwald's earnings power value focuses on current earnings without factoring in future growth. View historical data on Festaria Holdings Co and its competitors. Festaria Holdings Co's current Earnings Power Value (EPV) is 円-455.32. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Festaria Holdings Co stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Festaria Holdings Co (TSE:2736) is currently considered Modestly Overvalued. The stock's GF Value™ is 円571.19, compared to a current price of 円684.00 — trading 19.7% above its estimated fair value. The current Earnings Power Value (EPV) is 円-455.32. Festaria Holdings Co's overall GF Score™ is 45/100 with 7 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Earnings Power Value (EPV) calculated?
Earnings Power Value (EPV) is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Festaria Holdings Co (TSE:2736), the current Earnings Power Value (EPV) is 円-455.32 as of Aug25. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Festaria Holdings Co (TSE:2736) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Festaria Holdings Co stock appears to be overvalued. The current stock price of 円684.00 is trading 19.7% above its estimated GF Value™ of 円571.19. GuruFocus considers Festaria Holdings Co to be Modestly Overvalued.

Key valuation signals for TSE:2736:

  • Earnings Power Value (EPV): 円-455.32
  • GF Value™: 円571.19 vs. price of 円684.00 (19.7% above fair value)
  • GF Score™: 45/100 with 7 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the TSE:2736 stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Festaria Holdings Co Business Description

Address 20-9 Nishigotanda 7-chome, Shinagawa-ku, Tokyo, JPN, 153-0061
Festaria Holdings Co Ltd is a Japanese company engaged in manufacturing, processing, and sale of jewellery. The brands of the company include veretta 8va, wish upon a star, and Festaria bijou Sophia online shop.
45GF Score

Get the complete analysis for TSE:2736

Earnings Power Value (EPV) is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

円684.00
Price
円571.19
GF Value