Festaria Holdings Co (TSE:2736) Beneish M-Score: -2.65 (As of Jul. 08, 2026)


TSE:2736 Festaria Holdings Co Ltd TSE:2736
45 GF Score
Price 円684.00
GF Value 円571.19
Valuation Modestly Overvalued
! 7 Warning Signs
View Full Analysis

What is Festaria Holdings Co Beneish M-Score?

Festaria Holdings Co TSE:2736 +0.59% 45 Beneish M-Score is -2.65 as of Jul. 08, 2026. GuruFocus rates TSE:2736 with a GF Score™ of 45/100 and a GF Value™ of 円571.19 (Modestly Overvalued). The stock has 7 warning signs investors should review. Among 1,081 Retail - Cyclical companies, Festaria Holdings Co ranks better than 56.34% on this metric.

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -2.65 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for Festaria Holdings Co's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

TSE:2736' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -3.43   Med: -2.58   Max: -1.74
Current: -2.65

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Festaria Holdings Co was -1.74. The lowest was -3.43. And the median was -2.58.


Festaria Holdings Co Beneish M-Score Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for Festaria Holdings Co's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Festaria Holdings Co Beneish M-Score Chart

Festaria Holdings Co Annual Data
Trend Aug16 Aug17 Aug18 Aug19 Aug20 Aug21 Aug22 Aug23 Aug24 Aug25
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -3.43 -2.70 -2.58 -2.52 -2.65

Festaria Holdings Co Semi-Annual Data
Aug16 Feb17 Aug17 Feb18 Aug18 Feb19 Aug19 Feb20 Aug20 Feb21 Aug21 Feb22 Aug22 Feb23 Aug23 Feb24 Aug24 Feb25 Aug25 Feb26
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 0.00 -2.52 0.00 -2.65 0.00

TSE:2736 vs TPR: Beneish M-Score Comparison

For the Luxury Goods subindustry, Festaria Holdings Co's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Festaria Holdings Co Beneish M-Score vs Retail - Cyclical Industry

For the Retail - Cyclical industry and Consumer Cyclical sector, Festaria Holdings Co's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Festaria Holdings Co's Beneish M-Score falls into.


TSE:2736
45GF Score
Festaria Holdings Co Ltd TSE:2736
Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

Festaria Holdings Co Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Festaria Holdings Co for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 0.9141+0.528 * 1.0105+0.404 * 1.0785+0.892 * 1.0104+0.115 * 0.9848
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 1+4.679 * -0.031098-0.327 * 0.9674
=-2.65

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Aug25) TTM:Last Year (Aug24) TTM:
Total Receivables was 円883 Mil.
Revenue was 円9,403 Mil.
Gross Profit was 円5,855 Mil.
Total Current Assets was 円5,663 Mil.
Total Assets was 円7,189 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was 円437 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was 円182 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was 円0 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was 円4,239 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was 円800 Mil.
Net Income was 円176 Mil.
Gross Profit was 円0 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was 円400 Mil.
Total Receivables was 円956 Mil.
Revenue was 円9,306 Mil.
Gross Profit was 円5,856 Mil.
Total Current Assets was 円5,852 Mil.
Total Assets was 円7,349 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was 円465 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was 円189 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was 円0 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was 円3,850 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was 円1,474 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(883.332 / 9403.118) / (956.374 / 9305.952)
=0.09394 / 0.10277
=0.9141

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(5855.54 / 9305.952) / (5855.103 / 9403.118)
=0.629225 / 0.622677
=1.0105

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (5662.73 + 437.009) / 7189.331) / (1 - (5851.694 + 464.657) / 7349.042)
=0.151557 / 0.14052
=1.0785

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=9403.118 / 9305.952
=1.0104

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(189.078 / (189.078 + 464.657)) / (181.722 / (181.722 + 437.009))
=0.289227 / 0.293701
=0.9848

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(0 / 9403.118) / (0 / 9305.952)
=0 / 0
=1

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((800.182 + 4238.819) / 7189.331) / ((1474.301 + 3850.223) / 7349.042)
=0.7009 / 0.724519
=0.9674

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(176.413 - 0 - 399.989) / 7189.331
=-0.031098

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Festaria Holdings Co has a M-score of -2.65 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

Frequently Asked Questions Learn more about Beneish M-Score →
What does a Beneish M-Score of -2.65 mean?
Festaria Holdings Co (TSE:2736) has a Beneish M-Score of -2.65 as of Jul. 08, 2026. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on Festaria Holdings Co and its competitors. According to the industry distribution chart, Festaria Holdings Co ranks #472 out of 1081 companies in the Retail - Cyclical industry, placing it in the top 43.7%.
Is Festaria Holdings Co's Beneish M-Score too high?
Festaria Holdings Co's current Beneish M-Score is -2.65. Based on the distribution chart, Festaria Holdings Co ranks #472 out of 1081 companies in the Retail - Cyclical industry, which is above the industry midpoint. Overall, Festaria Holdings Co has a GF Score™ of 45/100 and is considered Modestly Overvalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Festaria Holdings Co's Beneish M-Score compare to TPR?
According to the Retail - Cyclical industry distribution chart, Festaria Holdings Co ranks #472 out of 1081 companies for Beneish M-Score. This puts Festaria Holdings Co in the upper half of its industry. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Beneish M-Score for a Retail - Cyclical company?
A good Beneish M-Score depends on the Retail - Cyclical industry context. However, Beneish M-Score should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Beneish M-Score mean?
A high Beneish M-Score can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on Festaria Holdings Co and its competitors. Festaria Holdings Co's current Beneish M-Score is -2.65. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Festaria Holdings Co stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Festaria Holdings Co (TSE:2736) is currently considered Modestly Overvalued. The stock's GF Value™ is 円571.19, compared to a current price of 円684.00 — trading 19.7% above its estimated fair value. The current Beneish M-Score is -2.65. Festaria Holdings Co's overall GF Score™ is 45/100 with 7 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Beneish M-Score calculated?
Beneish M-Score is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Festaria Holdings Co (TSE:2736), the current Beneish M-Score is -2.65 as of Jul. 08, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Festaria Holdings Co (TSE:2736) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Festaria Holdings Co stock appears to be overvalued. The current stock price of 円684.00 is trading 19.7% above its estimated GF Value™ of 円571.19. GuruFocus considers Festaria Holdings Co to be Modestly Overvalued.

Key valuation signals for TSE:2736:

  • Beneish M-Score: -2.65
  • GF Value™: 円571.19 vs. price of 円684.00 (19.7% above fair value)
  • GF Score™: 45/100 with 7 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the TSE:2736 stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Festaria Holdings Co Business Description

Address 20-9 Nishigotanda 7-chome, Shinagawa-ku, Tokyo, JPN, 153-0061
Festaria Holdings Co Ltd is a Japanese company engaged in manufacturing, processing, and sale of jewellery. The brands of the company include veretta 8va, wish upon a star, and Festaria bijou Sophia online shop.
45GF Score

Get the complete analysis for TSE:2736

Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

円684.00
Price
円571.19
GF Value