Nippon Chuzo K.K. (TSE:5609) Earnings Power Value (EPV): 円555.11 (As of Jun26)

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Director of Data and Quant Analytics at GuruFocus
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TSE:5609 Nippon Chuzo K.K. TSE:5609
64 GF Score
Price 円916.00
GF Value 円740.77
Valuation Modestly Overvalued
! 7 Warning Signs
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What is Nippon Chuzo K.K. Earnings Power Value (EPV)?

Nippon Chuzo K.K. TSE:5609 -1.51% 64 Earnings Power Value (EPV) is 円555.11 as of Jun26. GuruFocus rates TSE:5609 with a GF Score™ of 64/100 and a GF Value™ of 円740.77 (Modestly Overvalued). The stock has 7 warning signs investors should review.

As of Jun26, Nippon Chuzo K.K.'s earnings power value is 円555.11. *

* GuruFocus does not store EPV value into our database if Average Maintenance CAPEX is 0.

Margin of Safety is N/A.

The basic concept of EPV is that one should value a stock based on the current free cash flow of a company and not on future projections which may, or may not, come true. It is arguably a better way to analyze stocks than Discounted Cash Flow analysis that relies on highly speculative growth assumptions many years into the future. Assumption: Current profitability is sustainable.


Nippon Chuzo K.K.  (TSE:5609) Earnings Power Value (EPV) Explanation

Assumption: Current profitability is sustainable.

Earnings power value (EPV) uses a very basic equation which assumes no growth, although it does rely on an assumption about the cost of capital as well as the fact that current earnings are sustainable. It also involves several adjustments to clean up the underlying Earnings figures.


Be Aware

Though using today's earnings in calculating Earnings Power Value, GuruFocus is normalizing these earnings to the business cycle. This eliminates the effects on profitability of valuing the firm at different points in the business cycle. This means that we are considering the average earnings over 5 years.


Nippon Chuzo K.K. Earnings Power Value (EPV) Related Terms


Nippon Chuzo K.K. Earnings Power Value (EPV) Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for Nippon Chuzo K.K.'s Earnings Power Value (EPV) can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Nippon Chuzo K.K. Earnings Power Value (EPV) Chart

Nippon Chuzo K.K. Annual Data
Trend Mar17 Mar18 Mar19 Mar20 Mar21 Mar22 Mar23 Mar24 Mar25 Mar26
Earnings Power Value (EPV)
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -975.80 -1,137.41 -718.26 -971.67 -451.35

Nippon Chuzo K.K. Quarterly Data
Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Sep24 Mar25 Jun25 Sep25 Dec25 Mar26 Jun26
Earnings Power Value (EPV) Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 0.00 0.00 0.00 -451.35 0.00

TSE:5609 vs NUE, STLD, RS: Earnings Power Value (EPV) Comparison

For the Steel subindustry, Nippon Chuzo K.K.'s Earnings Power Value (EPV), along with its competitors' market caps and Earnings Power Value (EPV) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Nippon Chuzo K.K. Earnings Power Value (EPV) vs Steel Industry

For the Steel industry and Basic Materials sector, Nippon Chuzo K.K.'s Earnings Power Value (EPV) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Nippon Chuzo K.K.'s Earnings Power Value (EPV) falls into.


TSE:5609
64GF Score
Nippon Chuzo K.K. TSE:5609
Earnings Power Value (EPV) is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

Nippon Chuzo K.K. Earnings Power Value (EPV) Calculation

Earnings Power Value also known as just Earnings Power is a valuation technique popularised by Bruce Greenwald, an authority on value investing at Columbia University. It is arguably a better way to analyze stocks than Discounted Cash Flow analysis that relies on highly speculative growth assumptions many years into the future.

The basic concept of EPV is that one should value a stock based on the current free cash flow of a company and not on future projections which may, or may not, come true. This valuation tool excludes the potential growth that a company may have so that needs to be looked at separately. Since future growth is excluded from the analysis, only the maintenance capital expenditures are subtracted from after-tax EBIT (earnings before interest and taxes) and growth capex is ignored.

Nippon Chuzo K.K.'s "Earning Power" Calculation:

Average of Last 20 Quarters Last Quarter
Revenue 12,791
DDA 0
Operating Margin % 4.00
SGA * 25% 0
Tax Rate % 24.74
Maintenance Capex 0
Cash and Cash Equivalents 1,601
Short-Term Debt 2,300
Long-Term Debt 900
Shares Outstanding (Diluted) 5

1. Start with "Earnings" not including accounting adjustments (one-time charges not excluded unless policy has changed). "Earnings" are "Operating Income.

2. Look at average margins over a business/Industry cycle: Average Operating Margin = 4.00%

To normalize margins and eliminate the effects on profitability of valuing the firm at different points in the business cycle, it is usually best to take a long-term average of operating margins. Ideally this would be as long as 10 years and include at least one economic downturn. However, since most of companies do not have as long as 10-year history, here GuruFocus uses the latest 5 years data to do the calculation. To smooth out unusual years but reflect recent developments, we take an average of the 5 year margin.

3. Multiply average margins by sustainable revenues and then adjust for maintenance SGA. This yields "normalized" EBIT:

To be conservative, GuruFocus uses an average of the 5 year revenues as the sustainable revenue.
EPV analysis recognises that part of SG&A expenditure is made to maintain and replace the existing assets, while part is made to grow sales. Since EPV is only interested in what it costs a going concern to maintain its existing asset base, it adds back a percentage of SG&A (between 15% and 50% - this is a matter of judgment and industry knowledge) to make up for the fact that some of this expenditure went to fund growth and shouldn't be accounted for. To start off, we assume 25% for the sake of prudence.
Sustainable Revenue = 円12,791 Mil, Average Operating Margin = 4.00%, Average Adjusted SGA = 0,
therefore "Normalized" EBIT = Sustainable Revenue * Average Operating Margin + Average Adjusted SGA = 12,791 * 4.00% +0 = 円511.264264 Mil.

4. Multiply by one minus Average Tax Rate (NOPAT):

Same as average operating margin calculation, GuruFocus takes an average of the 5 years tax rates.
Average Tax Rate = 24.74%, and "Normalized" EBIT = 円511.264264 Mil,
therefore After-tax "Normalized" EBIT = "Normalized" EBIT * ( 1 - Average Tax Rate ) = 511.264264 * ( 1 - 24.74% ) = 円384.7647034798 Mil.

5. Add back Excess Depreciation (after tax at 1/2 average tax rate). This yields "normalized" Earnings:

Excess Depreciation = Average DDA * % of Excess Depreciation (after tax at 1/2 average tax rate) = 0 * 0.5 * 24.74% = 円0 Mil.
"Normalized" Earnings = After-tax "Normalized" EBIT + Excess Depreciation = 384.7647034798 + 0 = 円384.7647034798 Mil.

6. Adjusted for Maintenance Capital Expenditure:

First, calculate the revenue change regarding to the previous year. If the revenue decreased from the previous year, then the Maintenance Capital Expenditure = Capital Expenditure (positive).
Second, if the revenue increased from the previous year, then calculate the percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue.
Third, calculate Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase.
If [Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase] was negative, then the Maintenance Capital Expenditure = Capital Expenditure (positive).
If [Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase] was positive, then the Maintenance Capital Expenditure = Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase.
Fourth, GuruFocus uses an average of the 5 year maintenance capital expenditures as maintenance CAPEX.
Nippon Chuzo K.K.'s Average Maintenance CAPEX = 円0 Mil *.
* GuruFocus does not store EPV value into our database if Average Maintenance CAPEX is 0.

7. Investors require a return of "WACC" for the risk they are taking: WACC = 9%

8. Nippon Chuzo K.K.'s current cash and cash equivalent = 円1,601 Mil.
Nippon Chuzo K.K.'s current interest bearing debt = Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation + Short-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation = 900 + 2,300 = 円3200 Mil.
Nippon Chuzo K.K.'s current Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average) = 5 Mil.

Nippon Chuzo K.K.'s Earnings Power Value (EPV) for Jun26 is calculated as:

EPV = ( ( Norm. Earnings-Maint. CAPEX *) / WACC + CashandEquiv - Int. Bearing Debt ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
= ( ( 384.7647034798 - 0)/ 9%+1,601-3200 )/5
=555.11

Margin of Safety (EPV)=( Earnings Power Value (EPV)-Current Price )/Earnings Power Value (EPV)
=( 555.10544949135-916.00 )/555.10544949135
= -65.01%

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* GuruFocus does not store EPV value into our database if Average Maintenance CAPEX is 0.

What does a Earnings Power Value (EPV) of 円555.11 mean?
Nippon Chuzo K.K. (TSE:5609) has a Earnings Power Value (EPV) of 円555.11 as of Jun26. Bruce Greenwald's earnings power value focuses on current earnings without factoring in future growth. View historical data on Nippon Chuzo K.K. and its competitors.
Is Nippon Chuzo K.K.'s Earnings Power Value (EPV) too high?
Nippon Chuzo K.K.'s current Earnings Power Value (EPV) is 円555.11. Overall, Nippon Chuzo K.K. has a GF Score™ of 64/100 and is considered Modestly Overvalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Nippon Chuzo K.K.'s Earnings Power Value (EPV) compare to NUE and STLD?
Nippon Chuzo K.K.'s Earnings Power Value (EPV) of 円555.11 can be compared against companies in the Steel industry. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Earnings Power Value (EPV) for a Steel company?
A good Earnings Power Value (EPV) depends on the Steel industry context. However, Earnings Power Value (EPV) should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Earnings Power Value (EPV) mean?
A high Earnings Power Value (EPV) can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. Bruce Greenwald's earnings power value focuses on current earnings without factoring in future growth. View historical data on Nippon Chuzo K.K. and its competitors. Nippon Chuzo K.K.'s current Earnings Power Value (EPV) is 円555.11. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Nippon Chuzo K.K. stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Nippon Chuzo K.K. (TSE:5609) is currently considered Modestly Overvalued. The stock's GF Value™ is 円740.77, compared to a current price of 円916.00 — trading 23.7% above its estimated fair value. The current Earnings Power Value (EPV) is 円555.11. Nippon Chuzo K.K.'s overall GF Score™ is 64/100 with 7 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Earnings Power Value (EPV) calculated?
Earnings Power Value (EPV) is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Nippon Chuzo K.K. (TSE:5609), the current Earnings Power Value (EPV) is 円555.11 as of Jun26. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Nippon Chuzo K.K. (TSE:5609) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Nippon Chuzo K.K. stock appears to be overvalued. The current stock price of 円916.00 is trading 23.7% above its estimated GF Value™ of 円740.77. GuruFocus considers Nippon Chuzo K.K. to be Modestly Overvalued.

Key valuation signals for TSE:5609:

  • Earnings Power Value (EPV): 円555.11
  • GF Value™: 円740.77 vs. price of 円916.00 (23.7% above fair value)
  • GF Score™: 64/100 with 7 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the TSE:5609 stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Nippon Chuzo K.K. Business Description

Address Shiraishi town 2-1, Kawasaki, JPN, 210-9567
Nippon Chuzo K.K. is a Japan-based company mainly engaged in the manufacturing and sale of forged products. It operates in three business divisions, including the Material product division that is engaged in the manufacturing of castings and fabricated materials, particularly for casting machinery. The Engineering division designs and manufactures bridge support and expansion device. And the Construction materials division manages fixed column foot construction.
64GF Score

Get the complete analysis for TSE:5609

Earnings Power Value (EPV) is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

円916.00
Price
円740.77
GF Value