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Tanseisha Co (TSE:9743) Earnings Power Value (EPV) : 円777.21 (As of Jan25)


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What is Tanseisha Co Earnings Power Value (EPV)?

As of Jan25, Tanseisha Co's earnings power value is 円777.21. *

* GuruFocus does not store EPV value into our database if Average Maintenance CAPEX is 0.

Margin of Safety is -46.81

The basic concept of EPV is that one should value a stock based on the current free cash flow of a company and not on future projections which may, or may not, come true. It is arguably a better way to analyze stocks than Discounted Cash Flow analysis that relies on highly speculative growth assumptions many years into the future. Assumption: Current profitability is sustainable.


Tanseisha Co Earnings Power Value (EPV) Historical Data

The historical data trend for Tanseisha Co's Earnings Power Value (EPV) can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Tanseisha Co Earnings Power Value (EPV) Chart

Tanseisha Co Annual Data
Trend Jan16 Jan17 Jan18 Jan19 Jan20 Jan21 Jan22 Jan23 Jan24 Jan25
Earnings Power Value (EPV)
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Tanseisha Co Quarterly Data
Jan20 Apr20 Jul20 Oct20 Jan21 Apr21 Jul21 Oct21 Jan22 Apr22 Jul22 Oct22 Jan23 Apr23 Jul23 Oct23 Jan24 Apr24 Jul24 Jan25
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Competitive Comparison of Tanseisha Co's Earnings Power Value (EPV)

For the Specialty Business Services subindustry, Tanseisha Co's Earnings Power Value (EPV), along with its competitors' market caps and Earnings Power Value (EPV) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Tanseisha Co's Earnings Power Value (EPV) Distribution in the Business Services Industry

For the Business Services industry and Industrials sector, Tanseisha Co's Earnings Power Value (EPV) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Tanseisha Co's Earnings Power Value (EPV) falls into.



Tanseisha Co Earnings Power Value (EPV) Calculation

Earnings Power Value also known as just Earnings Power is a valuation technique popularised by Bruce Greenwald, an authority on value investing at Columbia University. It is arguably a better way to analyze stocks than Discounted Cash Flow analysis that relies on highly speculative growth assumptions many years into the future.

The basic concept of EPV is that one should value a stock based on the current free cash flow of a company and not on future projections which may, or may not, come true. This valuation tool excludes the potential growth that a company may have so that needs to be looked at separately. Since future growth is excluded from the analysis, only the maintenance capital expenditures are subtracted from after-tax EBIT (earnings before interest and taxes) and growth capex is ignored.

Tanseisha Co's "Earning Power" Calculation:

Average of Last 20 Quarters Last Quarter
Revenue 67,944
DDA 0
Operating Margin % 3.70
SGA * 25% 0
Tax Rate % 28.97
Maintenance Capex 0
Cash and Cash Equivalents 17,507
Short-Term Debt 0
Long-Term Debt 668
Shares Outstanding (Diluted) 47

1. Start with "Earnings" not including accounting adjustments (one-time charges not excluded unless policy has changed). "Earnings" are "Operating Income.

2. Look at average margins over a business/Industry cycle: Average Operating Margin = 3.70%

To normalize margins and eliminate the effects on profitability of valuing the firm at different points in the business cycle, it is usually best to take a long-term average of operating margins. Ideally this would be as long as 10 years and include at least one economic downturn. However, since most of companies do not have as long as 10-year history, here GuruFocus uses the latest 5 years data to do the calculation. To smooth out unusual years but reflect recent developments, we take an average of the 5 year margin.

3. Multiply average margins by sustainable revenues and then adjust for maintenance SGA. This yields "normalized" EBIT:

To be conservative, GuruFocus uses an average of the 5 year revenues as the sustainable revenue.
EPV analysis recognises that part of SG&A expenditure is made to maintain and replace the existing assets, while part is made to grow sales. Since EPV is only interested in what it costs a going concern to maintain its existing asset base, it adds back a percentage of SG&A (between 15% and 50% - this is a matter of judgment and industry knowledge) to make up for the fact that some of this expenditure went to fund growth and shouldn't be accounted for. To start off, we assume 25% for the sake of prudence.
Sustainable Revenue = 円67,944 Mil, Average Operating Margin = 3.70%, Average Adjusted SGA = 0,
therefore "Normalized" EBIT = Sustainable Revenue * Average Operating Margin + Average Adjusted SGA = 67,944 * 3.70% +0 = 円2511.560738994 Mil.

4. Multiply by one minus Average Tax Rate (NOPAT):

Same as average operating margin calculation, GuruFocus takes an average of the 5 years tax rates.
Average Tax Rate = 28.97%, and "Normalized" EBIT = 円2511.560738994 Mil,
therefore After-tax "Normalized" EBIT = "Normalized" EBIT * ( 1 - Average Tax Rate ) = 2511.560738994 * ( 1 - 28.97% ) = 円1783.9490351037 Mil.

5. Add back Excess Depreciation (after tax at 1/2 average tax rate). This yields "normalized" Earnings:

Excess Depreciation = Average DDA * % of Excess Depreciation (after tax at 1/2 average tax rate) = 0 * 0.5 * 28.97% = 円0 Mil.
"Normalized" Earnings = After-tax "Normalized" EBIT + Excess Depreciation = 1783.9490351037 + 0 = 円1783.9490351037 Mil.

6. Adjusted for Maintenance Capital Expenditure:

First, calculate the revenue change regarding to the previous year. If the revenue decreased from the previous year, then the Maintenance Capital Expenditure = Capital Expenditure (positive).
Second, if the revenue increased from the previous year, then calculate the percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue.
Third, calculate Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase.
If [Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase] was negative, then the Maintenance Capital Expenditure = Capital Expenditure (positive).
If [Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase] was positive, then the Maintenance Capital Expenditure = Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase.
Fourth, GuruFocus uses an average of the 5 year maintenance capital expenditures as maintenance CAPEX.
Tanseisha Co's Average Maintenance CAPEX = 円0 Mil *.
* GuruFocus does not store EPV value into our database if Average Maintenance CAPEX is 0.

7. Investors require a return of "WACC" for the risk they are taking: WACC = 9%

8. Tanseisha Co's current cash and cash equivalent = 円17,507 Mil.
Tanseisha Co's current interest bearing debt = Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation + Short-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation = 668 + 0 = 円668.08 Mil.
Tanseisha Co's current Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average) = 47 Mil.

Tanseisha Co's Earnings Power Value (EPV) for Jan25 is calculated as:

EPV = ( ( Norm. Earnings-Maint. CAPEX *) / WACC + CashandEquiv - Int. Bearing Debt ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
= ( ( 1783.9490351037 - 0)/ 9%+17,507-668.08 )/47
=777.21

Margin of Safety (EPV)=( Earnings Power Value (EPV)-Current Price )/Earnings Power Value (EPV)
=( 777.20578642351-1141.00 )/777.20578642351
= -46.81%

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* GuruFocus does not store EPV value into our database if Average Maintenance CAPEX is 0.


Tanseisha Co  (TSE:9743) Earnings Power Value (EPV) Explanation

Assumption: Current profitability is sustainable.

Earnings power value (EPV) uses a very basic equation which assumes no growth, although it does rely on an assumption about the cost of capital as well as the fact that current earnings are sustainable. It also involves several adjustments to clean up the underlying Earnings figures.


Be Aware

Though using today's earnings in calculating Earnings Power Value, GuruFocus is normalizing these earnings to the business cycle. This eliminates the effects on profitability of valuing the firm at different points in the business cycle. This means that we are considering the average earnings over 5 years.


Tanseisha Co Earnings Power Value (EPV) Related Terms

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Tanseisha Co Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
1-2-70 Konan, Shinagawa Season Terrace, 19th Floor, Minato-ku, Tokyo, JPN, 108-8220
Tanseisha Co Ltd is engaged in the research, planning, design, layout, construction, production and operation of commercial, public, cultural, business and event spaces. The business segments of the group are Commercial and Other Facilities Business, Chain Store Business, Cultural Facilities Business, and Others. The Commercial and Other Facilities business segment involves the interior decoration of department stores, specialty stores, restaurants, offices, hotels, and related facilities. The Chain store business segment handles the interiors of chain stores offering casual wear and fast food. The Cultural facilities business segment manages cultural facilities such as exhibitions in museums and science halls.

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