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BHP GroupCHIX:BHPL +3.25%78 Graham Number is £15.37 as of Dec. 2025, which is 100% below its 10-year median of 1.27. GuruFocus rates CHIX:BHPL with a GF Score™ of 78/100 and a GF Value™ of £22.79 (Significantly Overvalued). The stock has 7 warning signs investors should review. Among 611 Metals & Mining companies, BHP Group ranks worse than 69.89% on this metric.
Graham Number is a figure that measures a stock's fundamental value by taking into account the company's earnings per share and book value per share. The Graham number is the upper bound of the price range that a defensive investor should pay for the stock. According to the theory, any stock price below the Graham number is considered undervalued, and thus worth investing in.
As of today (2026-07-22), the stock price of BHP Group is £31.015. BHP Group's graham number for the quarter that ended in Dec. 2025 was £15.37. Therefore, BHP Group's Price to Graham Number ratio for today is 2.02.
The historical rank and industry rank for BHP Group's Graham Number or its related term are showing as below:
CHIX:BHPl'
s Price-to-Graham-Number Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 0.88 Med: 1.27 Max: 2.09
Current: 1.87
During the past 13 years, the highest Price to Graham Number ratio of BHP Group was 2.09. The lowest was 0.88. And the median was 1.27.
CHIX:BHPl's Price-to-Graham-Number is ranked worse than 69.89% of 611
companies
in the Metals & Mining industry
Industry Median: 1.23
vs CHIX:BHPl: 1.87
Graham Number is a combination of asset valuation and earnings power valuation. It is a very conservative way of valuing a stock.
BHP Group (CHIX:BHPl) Graham Number Explanation
Ben Graham actually did not publish a formula like this. But he wrote in The Intelligent Investor (1948 version) regarding to the criteria for purchases:
Current price should not be more than 15 times average earnings of the past three years.
Current price should not be more than 1.5 times the book value last reported. However, a multiplier of earnings below 15 could justify a correspondingly higher multiplier of assets. As a rule of thumb we suggest that the product of the multiplier times the ratio of price to book value should not exceed 22.5. (This figure corresponds to 15 times earnings and 1.5 times book value. It would admit an issue selling at only 9 times earnings and 2.5 times asset value, etc.)
Unlike valuation methods such as DCF or Discounted Earnings, the Graham number does not take growth into the valuation. Unlike the valuation methods based on book value alone, it takes into account the earnings power. Therefore, the Graham Number is a combination of asset valuation and earnings power valuation.
In general, the Graham number is a very conservative way of valuing a stock. It cannot be applied to companies with negative book values.
BHP Group's Price to Graham number Ratio for today is calculated as
Price to Graham number
=
Share Price (Today)
/
Graham number (Q: Dec. 2025 )
=
31.015
/
15.37
=
2.02
* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD. * For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.
Be Aware
Please keep these in mind:
1. Graham Number does not take growth into account. Therefore it underestimates the values of the companies that have good earnings growth. We feel that if the earnings per share grows more than 10% a year, Graham Number underestimates the value.
2. Graham Number punishes the companies that have temporarily low earnings. Therefore, an average of earnings makes more sense in the calculation of Graham Number.
3. Graham Numbers underestimates companies that are light with book.
BHP Group Graham Number Related Terms
BHP Group Graham Number Historical Data
* Premium members only.
The historical data trend for BHP Group's Graham Number can be seen below:
* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD. * For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.
For the Other Industrial Metals & Mining subindustry, BHP Group's Price-to-Graham-Number, along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-Graham-Number data, can be viewed below:
* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.
BHP Group Price-to-Graham-Number vs Metals & Mining Industry
For the Metals & Mining industry and Basic Materials sector, BHP Group's Price-to-Graham-Number distribution charts can be found below:
* The bar in red indicates where BHP Group's Price-to-Graham-Number falls into.
* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD. * For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.
BHP Group (CHIX:BHPL) has a Graham Number of £15.37 as of Dec. 2025. The Graham Number values a company based on its per-share earnings and book value. View historical data on BHP Group and its competitors. This is 1110% above median its historical median of 1.27. Over the past decade, BHP Group's Graham Number has ranged from 0.88 to 2.09. According to the industry distribution chart, BHP Group ranks #427 out of 611 companies in the Metals & Mining industry, placing it in the top 69.9%.
Is BHP Group's Graham Number too high?
BHP Group's current Graham Number of £15.37 is 1110% above median its 10-year median of 1.27. Over the past 10 years, this metric has ranged from a low of 0.88 to a high of 2.09. Based on the distribution chart, BHP Group ranks #427 out of 611 companies in the Metals & Mining industry, which is below the industry midpoint. Overall, BHP Group has a GF Score™ of 78/100 and is considered Significantly Overvalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does BHP Group's Graham Number compare to competitors?
According to the Metals & Mining industry distribution chart, BHP Group ranks #427 out of 611 companies for Graham Number. This places BHP Group in the lower half of its industry. The industry median Graham Number is 1.23. Historically, BHP Group's own Graham Number has ranged from 0.88 to 2.09 over the past decade. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Graham Number for a Metals & Mining company?
The median Graham Number among Metals & Mining companies is 1.23, based on 611 companies in the industry. Companies in the top quartile (top 25%) have a Graham Number significantly above this median, while those in the bottom quartile fall well below. However, Graham Number should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Graham Number mean?
A high Graham Number can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. The Graham Number values a company based on its per-share earnings and book value. View historical data on BHP Group and its competitors. For the Metals & Mining industry, the median Graham Number is 1.23 — values significantly above this may indicate overvaluation, while values below may suggest a bargain or underlying issues. BHP Group's current Graham Number is £15.37, which is 1110% above median its own 10-year median of 1.27. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is BHP Group stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, BHP Group (CHIX:BHPL) is currently considered Significantly Overvalued. The stock's GF Value™ is £22.79, compared to a current price of £31.02 — trading 36.1% above its estimated fair value. The current Graham Number is £15.37, which is 1110% above median its 10-year median of 1.27. BHP Group's overall GF Score™ is 78/100 with 7 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Graham Number calculated?
Graham Number is calculated from a company's financial statements. For BHP Group (CHIX:BHPL), the current Graham Number is £15.37 as of Dec. 2025. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.
Is BHP Group (CHIX:BHPL) Overvalued in 2026?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, BHP Group stock appears to be overvalued.
The current stock price of £31.02 is trading 36.1% above its estimated GF Value™ of £22.79.
GuruFocus considers BHP Group to be Significantly Overvalued.
Key valuation signals for CHIX:BHPL:
Graham Number: £15.37 (1110% above median its 10-year median of 1.27)
GF Value™: £22.79 vs. price of £31.02 (36.1% above fair value)
No single metric tells the full story. See the CHIX:BHPL stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.
BHP is a global diversified miner mainly supplying iron ore and copper. The merger of BHP Limited and Billiton PLC created the present-day BHP Group. The dual-listed structure from the 2001 BHP and Billiton merger was collapsed in 2022. Major assets include Pilbara iron ore and Escondida copper. Onshore US oil and gas assets were sold in 2018, and the remaining Petroleum assets were spun off and merged with Woodside in 2022, with BHP vesting the Woodside shares it received to BHP shareholders. It purchased copper miner Oz Minerals in fiscal 2023 and half of the Vicuna copper joint venture in fiscal 2025. It is entering the potash market through the development of its Jansen project in Canada. However, due to low prices, BHP placed its nickel business on care and maintenance in 2024.
78GF Score
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